Abel Sosa

OF DSL Twins

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKMIN	174	.293/.387/.420	3	9	45	—	.185/.260/.242
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBMIN	284	.223/.286/.305	3	7	68	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBMIN	80	.227/.292/.319	1	2	73	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBMIN	176	.230/.297/.330	2	5	78	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%81

Whiff%67

Speed63

wOBA57

ISO55

Chase%55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJuan Lagares (age 18) · Eddys Leonard (age 18) · Gilberto Celestino (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 145 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .283 / .303

PA145

HR1

K%23

BB%7

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	174	150	44	6	2	3	21	26	2	9	5	293	387	420	807	127	336	15	12	363	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	174	157	29	4	1	1	14	32	2	9	5	185	260	242	502	57	220	18	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	174	157	29	4	1	1	14	32	2	9	5	185	260	242	502	57	224	18	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	174	150	44	6	2	3	21	26	2	9	5	293	387	420	807	127	336	15	12	363	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	174	156	29	4	1	1	14	32	2	9	5	186	260	244	504	58	220	18	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	174	156	29	4	1	1	14	32	2	9	5	186	260	244	504	58	220	18	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	284	260	59	9	3	3	20	67	2	7	1	223	286	305	591	83	287	24	7	269	68	-11	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	232	211	48	7	2	3	17	54	2	6	2	227	292	318	610	92	289	23	7	277	73	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
2029	20	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	363	329	75	11	3	5	27	84	4	10	3	230	297	330	627	100	291	23	7	284	78	-9	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.3
2030	21	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	460	416	97	15	4	7	35	105	6	13	4	233	301	340	641	107	292	23	8	289	82	-10	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.2
2031	22	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	529	478	111	17	4	9	40	121	6	15	5	236	303	349	652	113	293	23	8	294	85	-9	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.0
2032	23	MLB MLE	MIN	58%	576	520	124	19	5	11	44	131	7	16	5	238	306	356	662	119	294	23	8	298	88	-9	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.2
2033	24	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	607	548	131	20	5	12	47	138	7	17	5	239	307	360	667	121	295	23	8	300	89	-8	+1	+0	-4	+13	0.3
2034	25	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	624	563	135	21	5	13	48	141	8	17	5	239	308	362	670	123	295	23	8	301	90	-8	+1	+0	-4	+14	0.4
2035	26	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	632	570	136	21	5	13	49	143	8	17	5	240	308	364	672	124	294	23	8	301	90	-7	+1	+0	-4	+14	0.4
2036	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	633	572	136	21	5	13	49	144	7	17	6	238	307	361	668	123	294	23	8	300	89	-8	+1	+0	-4	+14	0.3
2037	28	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	629	569	135	21	5	13	48	145	7	17	6	237	305	356	661	120	293	23	8	297	87	-10	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.1
2038	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	619	560	131	20	5	12	47	144	7	16	6	234	302	350	652	116	292	23	8	293	85	-11	+1	-1	-4	+13	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	80	73	16	2	1	1	6	19	1	2	1	227	292	319	611	92	289	24	8	277	73	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	176	159	36	6	1	2	13	41	2	5	1	230	297	330	627	100	291	23	7	284	78	-5	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	249	225	52	8	2	4	19	57	3	7	2	233	301	341	641	107	292	23	8	289	82	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2031	22	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	299	270	63	10	2	5	23	68	4	8	3	236	304	349	653	114	293	23	8	294	85	-5	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2032	23	MLB CTX	MIN	58%	332	300	71	11	3	6	25	75	4	9	3	238	306	357	663	119	294	23	8	298	88	-5	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2033	24	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	346	312	75	12	3	7	27	78	4	10	3	239	307	360	668	121	295	23	8	300	89	-5	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2034	25	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	354	320	77	12	3	7	27	80	4	10	3	240	308	363	671	123	295	23	8	301	90	-4	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2035	26	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	358	323	78	12	3	8	28	81	4	10	3	240	308	364	672	125	295	23	8	302	90	-4	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2036	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	351	317	76	12	3	7	27	80	4	10	3	239	307	362	669	123	294	23	8	300	89	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2037	28	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	345	311	74	11	3	7	27	79	4	9	3	237	305	357	662	120	293	23	8	297	87	-5	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.0
2038	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	331	299	69	11	2	6	25	77	4	9	3	234	302	351	652	116	292	23	8	294	85	-6	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3221	2909	687	107	26	60	247	735	38	89	28	236	304	353	657	117	294	23	8	296	85	-52	+7	-1	-19	+70	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	139	22	5	12	50	148	8	18	6	237	305	353	658	116	295	23	8	296	85	-10	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6223	5626	1316	201	50	113	475	1416	72	173	58	234	302	348	649	114	291	23	8	293	85	-103	+12	-2	-36	+131	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	137	21	5	12	50	148	8	18	6	233	302	347	649	114	290	23	8	293	85	-11	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Bert Haas'37-'51 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,674 PA	4.0	2,674	22	51	258*	313*	395*	-19	-7	3.1	3.5
/162	664	5	13	-4.6	-1.8	0.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.1	3,366	62	92	237	301	353	-20	+0	2.4	2.5
/162	664	12	18	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 3
#5Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Abel Sosa (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	221/283/303	82	287	1	3	23%	7%	68	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Juan Lagares 2007 · A	18	40→50	38→45	53→50	45	192/255/278	86	256	4	11	26%	7%	51	-2.2	206/244/285	79	280	4	10	26%	4%	48	-2.5	276/309/387	111	347	6	13	22%	4%	93	+0.7
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Alexander Canario 2018 · A	18	42→36	39→60	48→50	50	198/268/288	90	240	5	14	19%	8%	59	-1.7	209/273/339	130	282	14	10	30%	7%	73	-0.6	210/280/412	202	285	27	13	35%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→45	47→55	51	190/291/259	69	233	5	12	19%	8%	63	-1.4	203/293/290	87	241	8	16	18%	9%	70	-0.9	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
●Jahmai Jones 2016 · A	18	43→51	38→50	50	42	204/262/285	80	276	5	16	27%	6%	55	-1.9	230/286/334	104	297	8	16	24%	6%	76	-0.4	250/346/426	175	326	16	18	26%	11%	116	+1.4
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	41→51	41→50	49→55	45	201/256/299	98	254	8	12	24%	7%	56	-1.9	233/299/372	139	304	15	16	27%	8%	90	+0.6	241/309/383	142	307	16	19	26%	8%	94	+0.7
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	41→51	42→50	51→45	46	199/266/307	109	243	8	10	22%	7%	63	-1.4	240/301/360	120	292	12	8	21%	5%	88	+0.4	266/321/397	132	318	13	6	20%	5%	101	+1.1
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/270/292	91	260	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	205/256/277	72	300	3	25	30%	6%	51	-2.3	240/291/409	169	325	21	27	32%	5%	95	+0.4
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Eguy Rosario 2018 · A	18	45→54	36→55	54→55	42	211/269/291	80	298	2	20	28%	6%	59	-1.6	214/263/318	104	301	8	13	30%	5%	63	-1.4	240/303/388	148	312	14	21	26%	7%	92	+0.5
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2022 · A	18	40→44	41→60	48→30	43	194/269/292	98	274	9	7	31%	7%	61	-1.5	193/270/310	117	291	12	5	35%	8%	65	-1.2	207/300/402	195	286	26	2	35%	10%	96	+0.8
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Arnaldo Lantigua 2024 · A	18	37→43	42→50	47→40	47	184/259/284	100	247	10	8	28%	9%	55	-1.9	194/272/317	123	257	13	6	28%	9%	68	-1.0	193/275/323	131	258	14	4	29%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Anthony García 2010 · A	18	44→48	37→55	49→45	41	207/266/286	79	287	4	8	28%	6%	57	-1.8	226/296/366	140	282	14	5	24%	7%	88	+0.4	226/292/403	176	286	19	3	27%	6%	92	+0.3
✕Oswald Peraza 2018 · A	18	46→54	35→50	53→60	44	214/285/281	67	280	1	11	22%	6%	64	-1.3	212/274/278	66	288	4	15	26%	6%	59	-1.7	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Aldo Gaxiola 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	49→40	46	200/275/274	74	279	5	9	28%	8%	59	-1.7	199/263/295	96	263	9	5	27%	6%	59	-1.7	193/251/309	115	259	14	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	37→41	41→55	44→45	47	183/257/274	91	240	9	9	26%	8%	52	-2.2	199/262/315	116	251	12	9	25%	7%	63	-1.3	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Tito Polo 2013 · A	18	44→54	37→45	50→60	44	206/288/282	76	276	4	18	25%	7%	66	-1.1	203/265/282	79	275	4	22	26%	6%	56	-1.9	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4

Abel Sosa

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps