Frelian Flores

2B DSL Blue Jays Red

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Blue Jays…	123	.259/.333/.287	0	1	26	—	.189/.250/.207
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	233	.234/.290/.297	1	2	67	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	67	.237/.295/.309	1	1	72	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	161	.240/.300/.321	2	1	77	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%99

Whiff%99

Z-Con%99

Chase%19

wOBA14

wRC+13

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsRamon Mendoza (age 18) · Luis Santana (age 18) · Luis Torrens (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 103 proj PA

wRC+67

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .287 / .294

PA103

HR1

K%19

BB%6

ISO63

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	123	108	28	3	0	0	11	9	1	1	1	259	333	287	620	28	275	7	9	284	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	123	111	21	2	0	0	8	11	1	1	1	189	250	207	457	18	194	9	7	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	123	111	21	2	0	0	8	11	1	1	1	189	250	207	457	18	204	9	7	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	123	108	28	3	0	0	11	9	1	1	1	259	333	287	620	28	275	7	9	284	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	123	113	21	2	0	0	8	11	1	1	1	186	250	204	454	18	194	9	7	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	123	113	21	2	0	0	8	11	1	1	1	186	250	204	454	18	194	9	7	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	233	214	50	7	1	1	15	45	2	2	1	234	290	297	586	63	287	19	6	267	67	-9	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	194	177	43	6	1	2	13	38	2	2	1	237	295	309	605	72	289	20	7	275	72	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	333	304	72	10	2	3	22	65	4	3	2	240	300	321	621	81	291	20	7	282	77	-9	-0	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	438	400	97	14	2	6	30	85	5	4	2	242	304	331	634	88	292	19	7	287	80	-10	+0	+0	+2	+9	0.1
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	512	465	113	16	3	7	36	100	6	4	2	244	306	339	646	95	293	20	7	292	83	-10	+0	+0	+2	+11	0.3
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	562	511	125	18	3	9	40	110	6	5	3	246	308	347	655	101	294	20	7	295	86	-9	-0	+0	+2	+12	0.5
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	595	541	134	20	3	10	42	116	7	5	3	247	310	350	660	103	295	19	7	297	87	-9	-0	+0	+2	+13	0.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	614	558	138	20	3	11	44	120	7	5	3	247	310	353	663	105	295	20	7	298	88	-9	-0	+0	+2	+13	0.7
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	624	568	141	20	4	11	44	122	7	5	3	248	310	354	664	106	294	20	7	299	88	-9	-0	+0	+2	+14	0.7
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	625	568	140	20	3	11	45	123	7	5	3	247	309	351	660	105	294	20	7	297	87	-9	-0	+0	+2	+14	0.6
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	621	565	138	20	3	10	44	123	7	4	4	245	307	347	654	102	293	20	7	295	86	-11	-1	-1	+2	+13	0.4
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	611	557	135	19	3	10	43	123	6	4	6	242	304	340	644	98	292	20	7	291	83	-12	-2	-1	+2	+13	0.0
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	601	548	132	19	3	9	42	123	6	4	11	239	301	332	633	93	290	20	7	286	80	-14	-4	-2	+2	+13	-0.5
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	67	62	15	2	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	237	295	309	605	72	289	19	6	275	72	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	161	147	36	5	1	2	11	31	2	1	1	240	300	321	621	81	291	19	7	282	77	-4	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	238	217	52	7	1	3	16	46	3	2	1	242	304	331	634	88	292	19	7	287	80	-6	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.0
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	290	265	64	9	2	4	20	56	3	2	1	244	306	339	646	95	293	19	7	292	83	-6	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	324	294	73	11	2	5	23	63	4	3	2	246	308	347	655	101	294	19	7	295	86	-5	-0	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	339	308	76	11	2	6	24	66	4	3	2	247	310	350	660	103	295	19	7	297	87	-5	-0	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	348	316	78	11	2	6	25	68	4	3	2	247	310	353	663	105	295	20	7	298	88	-5	-0	+0	+1	+8	0.4
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	353	321	80	12	2	6	25	69	4	3	2	248	310	354	664	106	294	20	7	299	88	-5	-0	+0	+1	+8	0.4
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	347	315	78	11	2	6	25	68	4	3	2	247	309	351	660	105	294	20	7	297	87	-5	-0	+0	+1	+8	0.3
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	341	310	76	11	2	6	24	68	4	2	2	245	307	347	654	102	293	20	7	295	86	-6	-0	-0	+1	+7	0.2
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	327	298	72	10	2	5	23	66	3	2	3	242	304	340	644	98	292	20	7	291	83	-7	-1	-1	+1	+7	0.0
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	316	288	70	10	2	5	22	65	3	2	6	239	301	332	633	93	290	21	7	286	80	-8	-2	-1	+1	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3451	3141	770	110	20	55	242	679	39	27	24	245	307	345	653	100	295	20	7	293	83	-64	-4	-2	+12	+75	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	145	21	4	10	46	128	7	5	5	245	307	345	652	100	295	20	7	293	83	-12	-1	-0	+2	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6556	5967	1452	207	34	100	460	1279	72	52	44	243	305	340	645	96	292	20	7	291	83	-122	-7	-4	+23	+139	2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	144	21	3	10	46	127	7	5	4	243	306	340	645	96	292	20	7	291	83	-12	-1	-0	+2	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Eddie Mayo'36-'48 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,392 PA	5.1	3,392	26	29	246*	303*	370*	+12	+10	3.3	4.8
/162	664	5	6	+2.4	+1.9	0.6	pk7: 6
#3Brent Gates'93-'99 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,625 PA	4.0	2,625	25	18	253*	313*	350*	+8	+11	4.2	4.2
/162	664	6	5	+2.0	+2.8	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Zeb Terry'16-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,666 PA	4.0	2,666	2	32	240*	309*	357*	+19	+13	4.0	4.0
/162	664	0	8	+4.8	+3.3	1.0	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.4	3,553	55	27	245	304	343	+13	+7	4.0	3.8
/162	664	10	5	+2.4	+1.3	0.7	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Frelian Flores (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	232/287/294	62	287	1	1	19%	6%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	43→51	39→45	47→45	49	205/283/297	92	259	5	4	22%	8%	67	-1.1	204/276/286	82	286	4	4	28%	7%	61	-1.5	232/310/341	109	301	10	3	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Luis Santana 2017 · A	18	45	36→45	44→50	44	210/263/284	74	250	3	5	17%	5%	55	-1.9	234/308/320	86	266	5	10	13%	7%	81	-0.1	232/299/348	116	287	12	10	23%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→49	36→50	49→40	45	200/267/261	62	282	3	5	29%	8%	52	-2.2	206/282/284	78	279	6	5	26%	8%	63	-1.3	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Deivy Grullón 2014 · A	18	46→45	38→55	48→30	44	218/266/297	79	275	4	4	22%	6%	59	-1.6	211/252/305	94	288	8	2	28%	5%	56	-1.9	236/277/397	161	310	22	0	31%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	43→44	36→50	50→45	44	203/264/273	70	257	3	6	22%	6%	54	-2.0	227/274/332	105	258	10	5	16%	5%	71	-0.8	232/277/359	127	262	15	5	18%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	40→42	37→55	48→50	46	191/261/271	79	260	3	5	26%	8%	52	-2.2	197/244/318	121	277	11	5	32%	5%	56	-1.9	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→45	47→55	51	190/291/259	69	233	5	12	19%	8%	63	-1.4	203/293/290	87	241	8	16	18%	9%	70	-0.9	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Jadher Areinamo 2022 · A	18	42→52	35→45	45→55	48	196/262/255	60	240	2	8	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/278/310	77	283	4	11	18%	5%	67	-1.1	248/287/352	104	282	9	18	15%	5%	79	-0.2
✕Juan Uriarte 2016 · A	18	41	38→45	41→30	48	193/269/270	77	229	5	4	18%	7%	56	-1.9	209/267/293	84	266	6	4	23%	5%	59	-1.6	190/235/269	79	257	8	1	28%	3%	40	-0.9
✕Yassel Soler 2024 · A	18	41→46	37→45	45→40	47	196/267/268	73	235	4	5	18%	6%	55	-2.0	212/270/319	107	281	11	5	27%	6%	67	-1.1	213/275/324	111	289	13	3	29%	6%	68	-0.6
✕Ali Sánchez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	42→40	50	210/283/277	67	260	5	8	20%	8%	62	-1.4	215/266/268	53	272	3	6	21%	6%	53	-2.1	247/298/343	95	318	11	1	25%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Carlos Virahonda 2024 · A	18	43	38→55	44→45	42	202/279/289	86	248	3	7	19%	4%	64	-1.3	190/275/279	89	238	7	5	22%	6%	61	-1.5	195/286/306	111	240	12	4	23%	6%	69	-0.5
✕José Fermín 2017 · A	18	41→51	37→45	47→55	45	197/255/276	80	259	3	8	24%	7%	51	-2.3	204/253/278	74	242	4	11	17%	4%	51	-2.3	248/334/370	122	271	11	25	12%	10%	102	+0.9
✕Yairo Muñoz 2013 · A	18	40→50	36→50	48→55	43	188/243/263	75	253	2	8	26%	6%	43	-2.8	202/253/287	85	259	6	7	23%	6%	53	-2.1	265/303/396	131	322	14	17	22%	4%	96	+0.6
✕Daniel Castro 2011 · A	18	41→51	36→40	48→50	50	193/266/261	68	233	3	8	18%	8%	52	-2.2	205/252/277	72	239	4	9	16%	5%	49	-2.4	269/290/370	102	300	8	8	13%	3%	80	-0.1
✕Lenyn Sosa 2018 · A	18	46→53	38→50	44→40	44	219/265/296	77	271	6	6	21%	6%	59	-1.7	215/246/302	87	271	7	4	23%	3%	53	-2.1	243/278/380	137	290	18	3	23%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	43→52	37→45	47→55	46	202/270/270	68	253	4	9	21%	7%	56	-1.9	202/263/280	78	298	5	15	32%	6%	55	-2.0	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Carlos Narváez 2018 · A	19	44→45	36→45	48→45	46	209/266/271	61	256	4	3	19%	6%	53	-2.1	215/288/284	69	301	4	5	27%	9%	65	-1.2	214/298/346	132	289	15	6	29%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Andres Melendez 2019 · A	18	46	37→50	49→40	48	215/276/292	77	257	4	7	18%	6%	62	-1.4	205/273/296	91	276	6	5	26%	8%	63	-1.4	189/272/303	114	277	10	2	33%	9%	62	-0.5
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	44→50	51	186/280/245	59	267	2	10	28%	10%	55	-2.0	186/259/249	63	277	2	15	31%	8%	47	-2.6	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5

Frelian Flores

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps