Alex Linares

SS DSL Blue Jays Red

Age 18 S/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Blue Jays…	192	.211/.447/.248	0	14	55	—	.148/.332/.174
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	302	.210/.309/.277	2	6	72	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	85	.215/.314/.294	1	2	77	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	181	.219/.318/.308	2	4	82	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%98

BB%97

wOBA64

wRC+60

K%60

Whiff%56

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsWelbyn Francisca (age 18) · Jonathan Martinez (age 17) · Leo Rivas (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 162 proj PA

wRC+72

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .307 / .275

PA162

HR1

K%26

BB%11

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$38M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
2037	Arb-2	$6M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$8M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$18M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	192	133	28	5	0	0	53	37	4	14	7	211	447	248	695	38	292	19	28	350	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	192	149	22	4	0	0	37	45	4	14	7	148	332	174	506	27	204	23	19	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	192	149	22	4	0	0	37	45	4	14	7	148	332	174	506	27	212	23	19	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	192	133	28	5	0	0	53	37	4	14	7	211	447	248	695	38	292	19	28	350	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	192	149	22	4	0	0	37	45	4	14	7	148	332	174	506	27	204	23	19	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	192	149	22	4	0	0	37	45	4	14	7	148	332	174	506	27	204	23	19	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	302	262	55	9	2	2	34	77	3	6	1	210	309	277	586	68	287	25	11	274	72	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	246	213	45	7	1	2	28	62	3	5	1	215	314	294	608	79	289	25	11	283	77	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	374	324	71	12	2	4	42	93	5	7	2	219	318	308	626	89	291	25	11	290	82	-8	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	469	407	92	15	3	7	52	116	7	9	3	223	321	321	642	98	292	25	11	295	86	-8	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	536	464	105	17	3	9	59	131	8	10	3	226	323	332	655	105	293	24	11	300	89	-7	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.1
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	581	505	115	19	3	10	63	141	8	11	3	229	325	341	665	112	294	24	11	304	92	-6	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.4
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	611	530	121	20	3	11	67	148	9	12	4	230	326	345	671	115	295	24	11	306	93	-5	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	625	543	125	21	3	12	68	152	9	12	4	231	327	348	675	117	295	24	11	307	94	-4	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.7
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	633	550	127	21	3	13	69	154	9	12	4	231	327	350	677	119	295	24	11	308	95	-4	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.8
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	633	550	126	21	3	12	69	155	9	12	4	230	326	348	674	118	294	24	11	307	94	-5	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.7
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	629	547	124	20	3	12	69	155	8	11	4	228	324	343	667	115	294	25	11	304	92	-6	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.5
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	619	539	122	20	3	11	67	154	8	11	4	226	321	337	658	111	292	25	11	301	90	-8	+1	-1	+7	+13	1.2
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	609	530	118	19	3	10	66	154	8	10	5	223	318	329	647	106	291	25	11	296	87	-10	+0	-2	+7	+13	0.8
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	52%	594	518	113	18	3	9	64	152	7	9	6	219	313	320	633	101	288	26	11	291	83	-12	-1	-3	+6	+13	0.4
2041	32	MLB MLE	—	52%	576	503	108	17	3	8	61	150	7	9	10	214	307	308	615	94	284	26	11	283	78	-15	-2	-4	+6	+12	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	85	74	16	3	0	1	10	21	1	2	0	215	314	294	608	79	289	25	12	283	77	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	181	156	35	6	1	2	20	45	3	4	1	219	318	308	626	89	291	25	11	290	82	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	254	220	49	8	1	4	28	63	4	5	1	223	321	321	642	98	292	25	11	295	86	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	303	263	60	10	2	5	33	74	4	6	2	226	323	332	655	105	293	24	11	300	89	-4	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	335	290	67	11	2	6	37	81	5	7	2	229	325	341	665	112	294	24	11	304	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	348	302	70	12	2	6	38	84	5	7	2	230	326	345	671	115	295	24	11	306	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	354	307	72	12	2	7	39	86	5	7	2	231	327	348	675	117	295	24	11	307	94	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	358	311	72	12	2	7	39	87	5	7	2	231	327	350	677	119	295	24	11	308	95	-2	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	351	305	71	12	2	7	38	86	5	7	2	230	326	348	674	118	294	25	11	307	94	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	345	299	69	11	2	7	38	85	5	6	2	228	324	343	667	115	294	25	11	304	92	-3	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.8
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	331	288	66	11	2	6	36	82	4	6	2	226	321	337	658	111	292	25	11	301	90	-4	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.6
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	321	279	62	10	2	5	35	81	4	6	3	223	318	329	647	106	291	25	11	296	87	-5	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.4
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	52%	310	270	59	10	1	5	33	79	4	5	3	219	313	320	633	101	288	25	11	291	83	-6	-0	-1	+3	+7	0.2
2041	32	MLB CTX	—	52%	299	261	55	9	1	4	32	78	4	5	5	214	307	308	615	94	284	26	11	283	78	-8	-1	-2	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4175	3625	823	137	22	72	456	1032	58	80	29	227	323	337	660	110	295	25	11	300	88	-55	+4	-6	+45	+90	8.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	564	127	21	3	11	71	161	9	12	5	225	321	332	653	106	293	25	11	300	88	-8	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	8089	7013	1564	256	40	131	899	2003	111	157	65	223	321	327	648	104	291	25	11	298	88	-109	+5	-10	+85	+171	14.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	126	21	3	11	72	161	9	13	5	223	321	330	651	106	291	25	11	298	88	-9	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chico Carrasquel'50-'59 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,259 PA	7.9	5,259	55	31	251*	317*	361*	+54	+31	14.2	15.5
/162	664	7	4	+6.9	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 17
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.5	4,338	73	80	226	318	333	+46	+24	10.9	9.3
/162	664	11	12	+7.1	+3.7	1.7	pk7: 8
#6Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Linares (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	208/307/275	67	287	1	3	26%	11%	72	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Jonathan Martinez 2024 · A	17	40	36→40	54→65	49	184/282/254	70	267	3	16	29%	10%	58	-1.7	199/294/275	76	309	3	22	33%	10%	66	-1.1	201/317/288	87	345	4	40	37%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	41→51	36→40	51→65	48	192/286/264	72	258	2	16	24%	8%	61	-1.5	206/297/278	72	286	3	17	26%	10%	68	-1.0	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Riley Unroe 2014 · A	18	43→47	37→45	51→55	47	198/278/272	73	293	3	9	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/262/264	65	278	4	9	28%	7%	51	-2.3	218/301/329	112	292	11	26	27%	10%	78	-0.1
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	40→46	40→45	50→55	58	188/306/284	96	264	6	16	28%	14%	74	-0.5	205/300/295	90	282	5	20	26%	11%	74	-0.6	219/288/322	102	278	9	23	23%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Yolmer Sánchez 2010 · A	18	43→53	36→50	50	46	200/279/270	70	293	4	8	30%	9%	59	-1.6	232/306/293	61	296	2	10	20%	8%	74	-0.6	247/308/360	113	308	7	9	21%	7%	90	+0.6
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	43→53	36→45	58→50	59	198/299/266	68	249	3	16	20%	12%	67	-1.1	232/295/324	92	306	6	11	24%	8%	77	-0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	42→51	37→50	51→55	58	197/311/267	70	262	5	9	24%	13%	72	-0.7	215/290/330	115	309	10	14	31%	9%	77	-0.3	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Luis Escudero 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	46→55	54	195/297/270	75	265	4	8	25%	11%	67	-1.1	193/297/281	88	236	6	21	19%	12%	70	-0.9	182/300/291	109	211	11	28	19%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	45→55	37→40	53→55	62	208/315/286	78	255	3	15	18%	13%	77	-0.3	227/325/310	83	318	4	21	26%	12%	85	+0.2	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	45→50	39→50	53→45	49	213/277/301	88	254	6	13	18%	7%	65	-1.2	229/306/349	120	287	11	10	22%	9%	87	+0.4	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Yosander Asencio 2023 · A	18	45	35→40	54→55	54	198/310/267	68	315	2	15	33%	13%	72	-0.7	189/286/274	85	342	5	9	40%	12%	63	-1.3	149/253/239	90	308	7	7	48%	12%	41	-0.8
✕Leandro Arias 2023 · A	18	38→45	36→40	50→45	48	180/262/249	69	254	3	11	28%	9%	49	-2.4	199/270/279	80	258	6	10	24%	8%	58	-1.7	197/269/267	70	250	6	8	22%	7%	53	-1.0
✕Enrique Jimenez 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	48→45	48	198/271/282	84	258	3	6	23%	8%	59	-1.7	199/279/318	119	281	12	6	31%	10%	70	-0.8	186/279/321	135	256	16	4	32%	11%	69	-0.3
✕Darwin Perez 2007 · A	18	40→50	34→40	49→50	51	188/270/241	53	264	1	9	27%	10%	49	-2.4	205/276/271	66	299	2	9	29%	9%	57	-1.8	238/302/305	67	328	3	14	26%	8%	72	-0.6

Alex Linares

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps