Ariel Reynoso

SS DSL LAD Bautista

Age 18 S/R ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL LAD Bauti…	145	.156/.361/.248	1	5	20	—	.084/.243/.118
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBLAD	255	.201/.290/.283	2	5	65	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBLAD	72	.202/.292/.289	1	2	71	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBLAD	167	.206/.296/.302	2	4	75	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%91

Z-Con%65

Chase%54

Speed43

ISO36

K%29

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsRiley Unroe (age 18) · Jonathan Martinez (age 17) · Yolmer Sánchez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 121 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .287 / .280

PA121

HR1

K%29

BB%10

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$20M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	145	109	17	7	0	1	34	38	1	5	0	156	361	248	609	92	225	26	23	301	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	145	119	10	4	0	0	24	46	1	5	0	84	243	118	361	34	139	32	17	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	145	119	10	4	0	0	24	46	1	5	0	84	243	118	361	34	135	32	17	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	—	145	109	17	7	0	1	34	38	1	5	0	156	361	248	609	92	225	26	23	301	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	145	119	10	4	0	0	24	46	1	5	0	84	243	118	361	34	139	32	17	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	145	119	10	4	0	0	24	46	1	5	0	84	243	118	361	34	139	32	17	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	255	225	46	10	2	2	26	74	2	5	1	201	290	283	573	81	287	29	10	265	65	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	LAD	34%	210	185	38	8	1	2	21	60	2	4	1	206	296	297	593	90	289	29	10	273	71	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2029	20	MLB MLE	LAD	48%	345	303	63	13	2	4	35	96	4	8	3	211	300	310	610	99	291	28	10	280	75	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2030	21	MLB MLE	LAD	54%	447	394	85	18	3	6	45	123	5	10	4	215	304	321	624	106	292	28	10	285	79	-11	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2031	22	MLB MLE	LAD	57%	519	456	100	21	3	8	52	141	6	12	4	218	306	330	637	112	293	27	10	290	82	-11	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.7
2032	23	MLB MLE	LAD	58%	568	500	111	23	3	10	57	153	6	13	5	221	308	339	647	118	294	27	10	294	85	-10	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.9
2033	24	MLB MLE	LAD	57%	600	528	118	24	4	11	60	161	7	13	5	222	310	342	652	120	295	27	10	296	86	-10	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.0
2034	25	MLB MLE	LAD	57%	618	544	121	25	4	11	62	166	7	14	5	223	310	345	655	122	295	27	10	297	87	-10	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.2
2035	26	MLB MLE	LAD	57%	627	552	123	25	4	12	63	168	7	14	5	223	310	347	657	124	295	27	10	298	88	-9	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.2
2036	27	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	628	553	123	25	4	12	63	169	7	14	5	222	309	344	653	122	294	27	10	296	87	-10	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.1
2037	28	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	624	549	122	25	4	11	63	170	7	13	5	220	307	339	647	119	294	27	10	294	85	-11	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.9
2038	29	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	615	542	118	24	3	11	62	169	6	12	6	218	305	333	638	116	292	27	10	290	83	-13	+0	-1	+7	+13	0.6
2039	30	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	604	533	114	23	3	10	60	168	6	12	6	215	301	326	627	111	291	28	10	286	80	-15	+0	-2	+6	+13	0.3
2040	31	MLB MLE	LAD	52%	590	521	110	22	3	9	58	166	6	11	8	211	297	317	613	106	288	28	10	280	76	-17	-1	-3	+6	+13	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	LAD	34%	72	64	13	3	0	1	7	20	1	2	0	202	292	289	581	87	282	28	10	268	71	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	LAD	48%	167	146	30	6	1	2	17	47	2	4	1	206	296	302	598	96	284	28	10	275	75	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	LAD	54%	242	212	45	9	1	4	25	67	3	5	2	210	300	314	613	103	285	28	10	281	79	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2031	22	MLB CTX	LAD	57%	294	259	55	11	1	5	30	80	3	7	2	214	302	324	626	110	286	27	10	286	82	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2032	23	MLB CTX	LAD	58%	327	287	63	12	2	6	33	88	4	7	3	217	305	332	637	116	287	27	10	290	85	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2033	24	MLB CTX	LAD	57%	342	301	66	13	2	6	34	92	4	8	3	218	306	336	642	118	288	27	10	292	86	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2034	25	MLB CTX	LAD	57%	351	309	68	13	2	7	35	94	4	8	3	218	306	339	645	120	288	27	10	293	87	-5	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2035	26	MLB CTX	LAD	57%	355	312	68	13	2	7	36	95	4	8	3	219	307	340	647	122	288	27	10	294	88	-5	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2036	27	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	348	306	67	13	2	7	35	94	4	8	3	218	306	338	644	120	287	27	10	292	87	-6	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2037	28	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	343	302	65	13	2	6	34	93	4	7	3	216	304	333	637	117	287	27	10	290	85	-6	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.5
2038	29	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	329	290	62	12	2	6	33	90	3	7	3	214	301	327	628	114	285	27	10	286	83	-7	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.3
2039	30	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	318	280	59	12	1	5	32	88	3	6	3	211	298	320	618	109	284	28	10	282	80	-8	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2040	31	MLB CTX	LAD	52%	308	272	56	11	1	5	30	87	3	6	4	207	293	310	604	104	281	28	10	276	76	-9	-0	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3796	3340	717	141	19	67	381	1035	42	83	33	215	303	328	631	114	288	27	10	287	81	-77	+3	-4	+41	+82	4.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	122	24	3	11	65	177	7	14	6	213	301	323	625	110	286	27	10	287	81	-13	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	7261	6386	1378	285	42	118	737	1991	78	157	63	216	305	329	634	113	292	27	10	288	81	-149	+5	-7	+76	+154	8.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	125	26	4	11	66	178	7	14	6	219	307	336	643	117	295	27	10	288	81	-14	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.9	3,917	65	83	219	303	334	+42	+24	7.2	6.4
/162	664	11	14	+7.1	+4.1	1.2	pk7: 6
#5George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ariel Reynoso (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	200/287/280	81	287	1	2	29%	10%	65	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Riley Unroe 2014 · A	18	43→47	37→45	51→55	47	198/278/272	73	293	3	9	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/262/264	65	278	4	9	28%	7%	51	-2.3	218/301/329	112	292	11	26	27%	10%	78	-0.1
✕Jonathan Martinez 2024 · A	17	40	36→40	54→65	49	184/282/254	70	267	3	16	29%	10%	58	-1.7	199/294/275	76	309	3	22	33%	10%	66	-1.1	201/317/288	87	345	4	40	37%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Yolmer Sánchez 2010 · A	18	43→53	36→50	50	46	200/279/270	70	293	4	8	30%	9%	59	-1.6	232/306/293	61	296	2	10	20%	8%	74	-0.6	247/308/360	113	308	7	9	21%	7%	90	+0.6
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Wilder Dalis 2024 · A	18	42→51	35→45	51→55	44	199/258/257	57	266	2	15	25%	6%	47	-2.5	225/298/325	100	294	8	17	24%	9%	78	-0.3	235/311/365	130	312	13	19	27%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Kleiver Chauran 2024 · A	18	41	35→40	46→60	49	191/269/253	61	261	3	9	26%	9%	52	-2.2	186/297/254	68	260	3	17	26%	12%	63	-1.3	172/307/237	65	243	3	26	26%	14%	63	-0.5
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Leandro Arias 2023 · A	18	38→45	36→40	50→45	48	180/262/249	69	254	3	11	28%	9%	49	-2.4	199/270/279	80	258	6	10	24%	8%	58	-1.7	197/269/267	70	250	6	8	22%	7%	53	-1.0
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	44→50	51	186/280/245	59	267	2	10	28%	10%	55	-2.0	186/259/249	63	277	2	15	31%	8%	47	-2.6	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Enrique Jimenez 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	48→45	48	198/271/282	84	258	3	6	23%	8%	59	-1.7	199/279/318	119	281	12	6	31%	10%	70	-0.8	186/279/321	135	256	16	4	32%	11%	69	-0.3
✕Luis Puello 2024 · A	18	42	36→55	50	47	191/283/258	66	287	2	10	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/263/294	95	299	8	8	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/247/314	123	286	14	8	37%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Robel García 2011 · A	18	36→37	38→50	50→40	47	172/261/255	82	265	4	9	33%	10%	49	-2.4	185/254/288	103	284	7	7	35%	8%	54	-2.0	188/259/372	183	269	25	2	39%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Harold Garcia 2006 · A	19	42→52	37→45	49→55	43	197/267/273	76	272	3	10	27%	6%	55	-1.9	203/285/289	86	252	5	11	20%	7%	67	-1.1	253/305/360	108	338	8	26	26%	4%	87	+0.3
✕Aldo Gaxiola 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	49→40	46	200/275/274	74	279	5	9	28%	8%	59	-1.7	199/263/295	96	263	9	5	27%	6%	59	-1.7	193/251/309	115	259	14	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	39	37→40	42→45	48	187/265/263	76	258	4	6	27%	9%	53	-2.1	190/298/267	77	248	4	7	22%	12%	67	-1.1	180/313/262	82	232	4	7	21%	15%	70	-0.2
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	42→50	37→45	46→50	48	196/277/265	70	283	4	9	30%	10%	57	-1.8	206/294/301	95	310	7	14	32%	10%	72	-0.7	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Manuel Pena 2022 · A	18	38→48	38→50	50	45	187/249/259	72	249	5	15	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/254/287	83	304	5	9	32%	6%	53	-2.1	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4

Ariel Reynoso

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps