Victor Vizcaya

P DSL Astros Blue

Age 20 RHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	19	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	10	3	34	3.44	3.25	17.6%	12.8%	—	K 11.9% · BB 16.0% · FIP 4.12
2027PROJ	20	MLBHOU	19	0	20	5.27	5.27	19.1%	14.4%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBHOU	15	0	16	5.03	4.93	20.2%	12.7%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsEccel Correa (age 20) · Engel Daniel Peralta (age 20) · Yunior Montero (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.27

FIP5.27

K%19.1%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%4.8%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	10	3	34	148	26	19	0	30%	3.4	11.9%	16.0%	-4.1%	0.0%	3.44	4.12	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	10	3	34	148	26	19	0	30%	3.4	11.9%	16.0%	-4.1%	0.0%	3.44	4.12	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	10	3	34	148	26	19	0	30%	3.4	17.6%	12.8%	4.7%	0.0%	3.44	3.25	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	HOU	19	0	20	84	16	12	2	0%	1.1	19.1%	14.4%	4.8%	2.9%	5.27	5.27	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	HOU	31	0	32	136	27	17	4	0%	1.0	20.2%	12.7%	7.5%	2.8%	5.03	4.93	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	HOU	15	0	16	68	14	9	2	0%	1.1	20.2%	12.7%	7.5%	2.8%	5.03	4.93	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	67	13	8	2	0%	1.1	20.2%	12.7%	7.5%	2.8%	5.03	4.55	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	165	101	25	0%	1.1	20.2%	12.7%	7.5%	2.8%	5.03	4.55	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		10	3	34	148	18	24	0	30%	3.4	11.9%	16.0%	-4.1%	0.0%	3.44	4.12	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	18	200	871	104	140	0	30%	3.4	11.9%	16.0%	-4.1%	0.0%	3.44	4.12	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Victor Vizcaya (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.27	19.1%	14.4%	2.9%	—	4.93	20.2%	7.5%	32	-0.34	—	—	—
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	88
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SW	5.28	17.7%	15.0%	3.2%	.300	5.89	16.6%	1.2%	33	+0.61	3.34	129	87
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	85
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	84
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	84
Felix Arronde R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	20	SW	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.98	15.8%	5.8%	344	+0.56	4.16	442	82
Julio Goff R 2019 · 4.80 FIP	19	SW	4.80	16.1%	11.9%	2.8%	.364	4.70	16.4%	5.9%	207	-0.10	4.46	251	82
Rafael Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.11 FIP	20	SW	4.11	21.8%	16.3%	1.4%	.303	5.08	15.7%	-4.4%	82	+0.97	3.42	162	82
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	82
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	82
Kristian Cardozo R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	20	SW	4.89	16.3%	13.5%	2.7%	.358	6.76	13.6%	-4.3%	15	+1.87	3.49	138	82
Dante Mendoza R 2018 · 5.90 FIP	19	SW	5.90	14.9%	14.1%	4.1%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	113	82
Jose Vasquez R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	19	SW	4.12	21.9%	13.4%	2.1%	.359	6.49	15.6%	-10.2%	66	+2.37	4.12	123	81
Tyler Gray R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	18.2%	11.7%	2.6%	.333	4.41	11.9%	3.6%	72	-0.08	4.41	119	81
Tyler Driver R 2021 · 5.26 FIP	20	SW	5.26	15.0%	13.8%	3.1%	.312	5.68	14.5%	1.4%	88	+0.42	5.17	180	81
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	81
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	80
Anderson Cardenas R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	18	SW	4.90	19.5%	11.9%	3.5%	.235	3.52	22.2%	8.8%	58	-1.38	3.52	129	80
Victor Espiritu R 2024 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	14.6%	12.7%	1.8%	.294	4.04	13.5%	1.8%	60	-0.41	3.49	101	80
Ian Snell R 2004 · 5.74 FIP	22	SW	5.74	16.1%	16.1%	3.6%	.333	4.06	20.2%	12.0%	436	-1.68	3.69	804	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	19.8%	13.3%	1.10	5.12
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76