Noel Brito

P DSL Astros Blue

Age 19 RHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	18	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	11	4	24	5.18	7.37	10.4%	29.6%	—	K 7.1% · BB 37.0% · FIP 8.52
2027PROJ	19	MLBHOU	13	0	14	6.11	6.11	18.3%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBHOU	10	0	11	5.71	5.57	19.6%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAnthony Cruz (age 19) · Randel Clemente (age 19) · Over Galue (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149141vR 133

ERA6.11

FIP6.11

K%18.3%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-1.7%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	11	4	24	115	12	34	2	36%	2.2	7.1%	37.0%	-29.9%	2.4%	5.18	8.52	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	11	4	24	115	12	34	2	36%	2.2	7.1%	37.0%	-29.9%	2.4%	5.18	8.52	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	11	4	24	115	12	34	2	36%	2.2	10.4%	29.6%	-19.1%	1.7%	5.18	7.37	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	HOU	13	0	14	59	11	12	2	0%	1.1	18.3%	20.0%	-1.7%	3.0%	6.11	6.11	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	HOU	22	0	23	97	19	16	3	0%	1.0	19.6%	16.8%	2.7%	2.9%	5.71	5.57	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	HOU	10	0	11	46	9	8	1	0%	1.1	19.6%	16.8%	2.7%	2.9%	5.71	5.57	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	48	9	8	1	0%	1.0	19.6%	16.8%	2.7%	2.9%	5.71	5.19	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	159	142	18	0%	1.1	19.6%	16.8%	2.7%	2.9%	5.71	5.19	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		11	4	24	115	8	43	3	36%	2.2	7.1%	37.0%	-29.9%	2.4%	5.18	8.52	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	33	200	945	67	349	23	36%	2.2	7.1%	37.0%	-29.9%	2.4%	5.18	8.52	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Noel Brito (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.11	18.3%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.57	19.6%	2.7%	23	-0.54	—	—	—
Anthony Cruz R 2022 · 5.38 FIP	19	SW	5.38	16.7%	16.6%	2.9%	.237	4.19	18.2%	5.6%	180	-1.19	3.32	272	86
Randel Clemente R 2021 · 5.99 FIP	19	SW	5.99	14.3%	21.7%	2.4%	.270	4.60	21.8%	-1.8%	88	-1.39	3.74	214	86
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	84
Joseph Hernandez R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	18	SW	5.37	15.6%	15.0%	3.1%	.296	4.39	24.7%	8.0%	31	-0.98	4.39	260	84
Aneudis Mejia R 2023 · 7.12 FIP	19	SW	7.12	18.7%	29.9%	3.3%	.404	5.03	16.9%	1.3%	102	-2.09	4.36	122	84
Junior Pina R 2022 · 5.93 FIP	19	SW	5.93	15.7%	22.4%	2.4%	.263	6.65	9.7%	-20.4%	26	+0.72	4.72	115	83
Yeiber Cartaya R 2022 · 5.86 FIP	19	SW	5.86	14.4%	21.1%	2.4%	.256	4.45	19.9%	2.0%	195	-1.41	4.12	283	83
Ben Peoples R 2019 · 6.28 FIP	18	SW	6.28	21.8%	27.5%	2.8%	.227	4.51	23.0%	9.1%	103	-1.77	3.56	365	83
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	83
Sven Schüller R 2015 · 5.92 FIP	19	SW	5.92	13.2%	23.4%	1.8%	.320	4.44	11.5%	0.8%	160	-1.48	3.88	247	82
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	82
Leomar Rosario R 2022 · 5.75 FIP	19	SW	5.75	15.4%	26.4%	1.1%	.282	5.24	19.6%	-2.4%	58	-0.51	4.95	134	81
Angel Peralta R 2024 · 6.70 FIP	17	SW	6.70	19.0%	29.7%	2.6%	.200	4.28	15.9%	2.0%	84	-2.42	3.81	107	81
Kamdyn Perry R 2024 · 5.61 FIP	18	SW	5.61	12.3%	18.4%	2.2%	.300	5.55	14.9%	1.0%	116	-0.06	5.31	142	81
Yorman Galindez R 2022 · 4.93 FIP	19	SW	4.93	19.1%	18.3%	2.1%	.374	3.77	22.9%	6.2%	96	-1.16	3.63	201	81
Ronny Lopez R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	20	SW	5.33	15.1%	20.6%	1.6%	.232	5.01	13.7%	-5.7%	85	-0.32	4.23	121	81
Cesar Espinal R 2024 · 5.75 FIP	18	SW	5.75	16.8%	25.5%	1.5%	.300	6.38	15.7%	-1.8%	36	+0.63	4.28	109	81
Hansel Rosario R 2022 · 6.13 FIP	19	SW	6.13	16.9%	32.0%	0.7%	.271	5.82	16.0%	-8.8%	82	-0.31	5.25	107	81
Alan Mundo R 2018 · 6.34 FIP	18	SW	6.34	12.2%	18.6%	3.5%	.317	3.90	19.2%	0.1%	17	-2.44	2.49	126	80
Jose Alberto Rivera R 2017 · 5.65 FIP	20	SW	5.65	16.1%	19.2%	2.7%	.185	3.68	20.3%	9.9%	115	-1.97	3.39	163	80