Adafel Montiel

C DSL Colorado

Age 20 S/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	19	ROKDSL Colorado	186	.338/.486/.486	5	10	87	—	.230/.361/.316
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLB—	296	.225/.307/.306	3	5	77	0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	21	MLB—	101	.228/.310/.319	1	2	81	0.2
2029PROJ61% MLB	22	MLB—	215	.231/.313/.329	3	4	84	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%94

Whiff%93

wOBA92

wRC+90

K%90

Chase%69

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 95%

CompsLeo Bernal (age 20) · Juan Brito (age 20) · Shawn Zarraga (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 156 proj PA

wRC+77

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .304 / .304

PA156

HR2

K%23

BB%9

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$55M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.3M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$16M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	186	142	48	6	0	5	32	23	9	10	4	338	486	486	972	148	368	12	17	433	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	186	152	35	4	0	3	22	28	9	10	4	230	361	316	676	86	244	15	12	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	186	152	35	4	0	3	22	28	9	10	4	230	361	316	676	86	258	15	12	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	186	142	48	6	0	5	32	23	9	10	4	338	486	486	972	148	368	12	17	433	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	186	153	35	4	0	3	22	28	9	10	4	229	361	314	674	85	244	15	12	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	186	153	35	4	0	3	22	28	9	10	4	229	361	314	674	85	244	15	12	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	—	0%	296	263	60	9	2	3	26	68	5	5	1	225	307	306	613	82	288	23	9	282	77	-8	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	43%	235	209	47	7	1	3	20	54	4	4	1	228	310	319	629	91	289	23	9	288	81	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2029	22	MLB MLE	—	61%	353	313	72	11	2	5	31	80	6	6	1	231	313	329	642	98	290	23	9	293	84	-7	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.8
2030	23	MLB MLE	—	68%	432	383	88	13	2	7	38	98	8	7	2	233	315	339	653	105	291	23	9	297	87	-7	+1	+0	+8	+9	1.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	—	70%	484	431	101	15	3	9	42	109	8	8	2	235	316	346	663	111	292	23	9	301	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+10	1.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	—	70%	514	455	108	17	3	10	45	116	9	9	2	237	317	352	669	116	292	23	9	303	91	-5	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2033	26	MLB MLE	—	71%	520	461	110	17	3	11	45	117	9	9	2	237	317	354	671	117	292	22	9	304	92	-5	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2034	27	MLB MLE	—	69%	520	460	109	17	3	10	46	118	9	9	2	236	316	351	667	116	292	23	9	302	91	-6	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	—	69%	520	461	108	16	3	10	45	119	9	8	2	234	314	346	661	113	291	23	9	299	89	-7	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	—	67%	520	462	107	16	2	10	45	121	8	8	2	231	311	340	651	109	289	23	9	296	86	-8	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	—	66%	519	461	105	16	2	9	45	122	8	8	3	228	307	332	639	104	287	24	9	291	83	-10	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.9
2038	31	MLB MLE	—	65%	491	438	97	14	2	8	42	117	8	7	4	224	303	322	624	98	284	24	9	285	79	-12	-0	-3	+9	+11	0.4
2039	32	MLB MLE	—	65%	459	410	90	13	2	7	39	112	7	6	6	218	296	309	606	91	280	24	8	277	74	-14	-1	-4	+8	+10	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	43%	101	89	21	3	1	1	9	23	2	2	0	228	310	319	629	91	289	23	9	288	81	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	—	61%	215	190	44	7	1	3	19	49	4	4	1	231	313	329	642	98	290	23	9	293	84	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2030	23	MLB CTX	—	68%	294	261	61	9	2	5	26	67	5	5	1	233	315	339	653	105	291	23	9	297	87	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2031	24	MLB CTX	—	70%	337	299	71	11	2	6	29	76	6	6	1	235	316	346	663	111	292	23	9	301	90	-4	+1	+0	+6	+7	1.0
2032	25	MLB CTX	—	70%	361	321	76	12	2	7	31	81	6	6	1	237	317	352	669	116	292	22	9	303	91	-4	+1	+0	+6	+8	1.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	—	71%	367	326	78	12	2	8	32	83	6	6	1	237	317	354	671	117	292	23	9	304	92	-4	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	—	69%	361	320	76	12	2	7	32	82	6	6	1	236	316	351	667	116	292	23	9	302	91	-4	+1	+0	+6	+8	1.1
2035	28	MLB CTX	—	69%	357	317	74	11	2	7	31	82	6	6	2	234	314	346	661	113	291	23	9	299	89	-5	+0	-0	+6	+8	0.9
2036	29	MLB CTX	—	67%	348	309	73	11	2	7	30	81	6	5	2	231	311	340	651	109	289	23	9	296	86	-6	+0	-1	+6	+8	0.7
2037	30	MLB CTX	—	66%	341	304	68	10	1	6	29	80	5	5	2	228	307	332	639	104	287	23	9	291	83	-7	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.6
2038	31	MLB CTX	—	65%	320	285	63	9	1	5	27	77	5	4	2	224	303	322	624	98	284	24	8	285	79	-8	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.3
2039	32	MLB CTX	—	65%	297	266	58	8	1	5	25	72	4	4	4	218	296	309	606	91	280	24	8	277	74	-9	-1	-2	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3699	3287	763	115	19	67	320	853	61	59	18	232	312	340	652	108	292	23	9	296	86	-61	+5	-7	+66	+80	8.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	134	20	3	12	56	150	11	10	3	232	312	339	651	107	290	23	9	296	86	-11	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5909	5235	1208	180	29	104	518	1347	105	102	34	231	313	336	648	105	289	23	9	295	86	-98	+6	-10	+102	+124	12.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	132	20	3	11	57	148	12	11	4	229	312	332	644	102	287	23	9	295	86	-11	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ray Schalk'12-'29 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,217 PA	9.4	6,217	11	177	238*	322*	355*	+111	+0	22.1	19.8
/162	664	1	19	+11.9	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 18
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.8	3,855	69	61	232	309	339	+69	+36	11.4	10.0
/162	664	12	11	+11.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 9
#5Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
#6Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adafel Montiel (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	223/304/304	81	288	2	3	23%	9%	77	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leo Bernal 2024 · A	20	45→50	42→45	47→50	49	220/293/323	103	283	9	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	231/296/349	118	296	13	8	25%	8%	83	+0.1	235/299/362	127	292	15	9	24%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	44→50	41→50	47→45	46	215/282/311	96	276	9	12	25%	8%	70	-0.9	234/317/368	134	286	12	9	21%	10%	96	+1.0	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	227/308/323	96	307	7	7	26%	9%	82	+0.0	224/297/299	75	308	5	6	26%	8%	72	-0.7	277/345/359	82	319	4	2	13%	7%	103	+0.5
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Pedro Ramírez 2024 · A	20	48→57	42→45	51→55	48	234/298/345	111	291	9	14	22%	7%	82	+0.0	255/308/360	105	318	8	17	21%	6%	90	+0.6	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Héctor Sánchez 2010 · A	20	47→50	38→50	47→30	51	221/298/306	85	266	5	4	18%	8%	75	-0.5	242/282/351	109	298	9	2	21%	5%	78	-0.3	251/289/371	119	308	13	0	22%	4%	85	+0.1
✕Jose Lobatón 2006 · A	21	45	39→45	50→30	46	213/275/298	85	283	5	8	26%	8%	63	-1.3	216/286/337	121	301	12	3	30%	9%	77	-0.3	234/317/366	131	296	12	0	23%	10%	95	+0.4
✕Brayan Rocchio 2021 · A	20	48→56	38→45	48→50	43	229/281/312	83	285	5	13	21%	5%	68	-1.0	235/295/363	128	298	12	14	24%	6%	86	+0.3	241/304/368	127	298	11	16	22%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Josh Johnson 2006 · A	20	43→50	39→45	48→50	50	203/281/298	95	268	5	9	24%	9%	66	-1.1	222/309/292	70	291	3	10	22%	11%	75	-0.5	247/316/346	99	293	8	16	17%	9%	86	+0.2
●Angel Genao 2024 · A	20	47→57	39→45	48→50	48	224/290/313	89	292	6	9	24%	8%	73	-0.6	262/314/381	119	324	9	12	21%	7%	97	+1.1	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Harold Garcia 2007 · A	20	42→52	38→45	46→55	49	197/295/278	82	252	4	9	22%	8%	68	-1.0	215/282/308	93	269	6	15	22%	5%	69	-0.9	253/305/360	108	338	8	26	26%	4%	87	+0.3
●Bryan Rincon 2024 · A	20	43→47	43→45	49→55	54	210/307/319	109	268	10	19	24%	11%	82	-0.0	196/286/316	120	277	12	25	31%	10%	73	-0.6	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→49	39→50	49→40	45	207/279/288	81	285	6	6	28%	8%	63	-1.3	212/273/295	83	270	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Colin Walsh 2011 · A	21	44→52	40→45	53→50	52	213/295/309	95	271	8	10	23%	10%	74	-0.6	224/297/348	124	275	11	8	21%	9%	84	+0.1	214/321/331	117	302	10	7	29%	13%	87	+0.3
✕Max Moroff 2013 · A	20	51→60	39→50	48→50	52	239/316/323	85	302	6	12	22%	10%	84	+0.2	217/281/304	87	307	5	10	29%	8%	67	-1.1	242/324/370	128	322	13	10	27%	10%	96	+0.8
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Juan Benjamin 2023 · A	20	46→51	41→40	50→55	49	216/295/324	107	296	7	10	28%	9%	77	-0.3	222/284/297	75	312	4	17	28%	8%	66	-1.1	220/283/288	68	306	3	20	27%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Aidan Miller 2024 · A	20	49→50	38→50	52→65	47	228/303/310	83	316	4	12	27%	8%	77	-0.3	227/310/359	132	312	11	28	28%	9%	91	+0.7	224/315/364	140	306	12	36	28%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Jacob Amaya 2019 · A	20	49→47	39→45	48→45	52	232/310/319	87	306	7	11	25%	10%	82	-0.0	216/290/316	100	284	8	6	25%	9%	74	-0.6	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4

Adafel Montiel

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps