Juan Benjamin
SS Akron RubberDucks| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | ALynchburg Hil… | 383 | .251/.317/.329 | 2 | 24 | 44 | — | .206/.256/.273 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 406 | .259/.358/.369 | 4 | 19 | 70 | — | .228/.303/.304 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA/AA/A+CLE | 328 | .198/.289/.316 | 6 | 15 | 37 | — | .168/.240/.263 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBCLE | 4 | .206/.272/.298 | 0 | 0 | 62 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 25 | MLBCLE | 78 | .209/.277/.311 | 1 | 2 | 66 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ45% MLB | 26 | MLBCLE | 134 | .212/.280/.319 | 2 | 4 | 69 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Indians Blue | — | 81 | 68 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 250 | 354 | 338 | 693 | 88 | 333 | 22 | 12 | 313 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Guardians | — | 139 | 110 | 33 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 27 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 300 | 438 | 500 | 938 | 200 | 366 | 19 | 18 | 410 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 413 | 358 | 97 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 49 | 81 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 271 | 363 | 346 | 710 | 75 | 341 | 20 | 12 | 326 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 383 | 346 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 85 | 4 | 24 | 3 | 251 | 317 | 329 | 646 | 78 | 324 | 22 | 8 | 293 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 352 | 301 | 83 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 41 | 64 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 276 | 370 | 385 | 755 | 110 | 335 | 18 | 12 | 339 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 54 | 46 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 152 | 278 | 261 | 539 | 109 | 194 | 26 | 13 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 52 | 47 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 170 | 250 | 298 | 548 | 128 | 207 | 31 | 10 | 252 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 158 | 138 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 31 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 181 | 276 | 290 | 565 | 109 | 219 | 20 | 10 | 259 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 118 | 103 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 233 | 325 | 359 | 684 | 126 | 314 | 27 | 12 | 309 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians Blue | — | 81 | 71 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 183 | 266 | 254 | 519 | 70 | 227 | 26 | 9 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 139 | 120 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 38 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 233 | 328 | 392 | 720 | 158 | 299 | 27 | 11 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 413 | 373 | 88 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 112 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 236 | 305 | 295 | 600 | 59 | 325 | 27 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 383 | 355 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 117 | 4 | 24 | 3 | 206 | 256 | 273 | 529 | 68 | 291 | 31 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 352 | 312 | 71 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 80 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 228 | 303 | 304 | 608 | 77 | 287 | 23 | 9 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 52 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 146 | 212 | 208 | 420 | 62 | 198 | 37 | 8 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 158 | 142 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 38 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 169 | 244 | 268 | 511 | 99 | 217 | 24 | 8 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 118 | 107 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 178 | 248 | 280 | 528 | 103 | 262 | 35 | 8 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians Blue | — | 81 | 71 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 183 | 266 | 254 | 519 | 70 | 255 | 26 | 9 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Indians Blue | — | 81 | 68 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 250 | 354 | 338 | 693 | 88 | 333 | 22 | 12 | 313 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 139 | 120 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 38 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 233 | 328 | 392 | 720 | 158 | 309 | 27 | 11 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Guardians | — | 139 | 110 | 33 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 27 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 300 | 438 | 500 | 938 | 200 | 366 | 19 | 18 | 410 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 413 | 373 | 88 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 112 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 236 | 305 | 295 | 600 | 59 | 330 | 27 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A RAW | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 413 | 358 | 97 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 49 | 81 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 271 | 363 | 346 | 710 | 75 | 341 | 20 | 12 | 326 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 383 | 355 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 117 | 4 | 24 | 3 | 206 | 256 | 273 | 529 | 68 | 297 | 31 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 383 | 346 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 85 | 4 | 24 | 3 | 251 | 317 | 329 | 646 | 78 | 324 | 22 | 8 | 293 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 406 | 361 | 83 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 92 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 230 | 305 | 313 | 618 | 83 | 295 | 23 | 8 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 406 | 347 | 90 | 24 | 1 | 4 | 48 | 78 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 259 | 357 | 369 | 726 | 110 | 319 | 19 | 12 | 328 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 328 | 298 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 98 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 168 | 237 | 262 | 499 | 94 | 230 | 30 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 328 | 288 | 57 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 79 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 198 | 289 | 316 | 605 | 118 | 250 | 24 | 11 | 276 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians Blue | — | 81 | 73 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 178 | 266 | 247 | 512 | 68 | 227 | 26 | 9 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 139 | 121 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 38 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 231 | 328 | 388 | 717 | 157 | 299 | 27 | 11 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 413 | 373 | 88 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 112 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 236 | 305 | 295 | 600 | 59 | 325 | 27 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 383 | 356 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 117 | 4 | 24 | 3 | 205 | 256 | 272 | 528 | 67 | 291 | 31 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 406 | 364 | 83 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 92 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 228 | 305 | 310 | 615 | 82 | 287 | 23 | 8 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 328 | 298 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 98 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 168 | 237 | 262 | 499 | 94 | 230 | 30 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 383 | 356 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 117 | 4 | 24 | 3 | 205 | 256 | 272 | 528 | 67 | 291 | 31 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 406 | 364 | 83 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 92 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 228 | 305 | 310 | 615 | 82 | 287 | 23 | 8 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 328 | 298 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 98 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 168 | 237 | 262 | 499 | 94 | 230 | 30 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | CLE | 2% | 378 | 343 | 70 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 100 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 205 | 272 | 298 | 570 | 93 | 272 | 26 | 8 | 259 | 62 | -17 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | CLE | 2% | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 272 | 298 | 570 | 92 | 273 | 25 | 0 | 259 | 62 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | CLE | 31% | 253 | 229 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 66 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 209 | 276 | 311 | 588 | 102 | 274 | 26 | 8 | 266 | 66 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | CLE | 45% | 300 | 271 | 57 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 78 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 211 | 279 | 319 | 599 | 108 | 275 | 26 | 8 | 271 | 69 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | CLE | 49% | 317 | 287 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 82 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 212 | 281 | 321 | 602 | 109 | 275 | 26 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | CLE | 52% | 326 | 295 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 84 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 212 | 281 | 321 | 602 | 109 | 275 | 26 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | CLE | 52% | 320 | 290 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 83 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 212 | 280 | 320 | 600 | 108 | 275 | 26 | 8 | 271 | 70 | -11 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | CLE | 52% | 314 | 284 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 83 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 209 | 277 | 313 | 589 | 104 | 273 | 26 | 8 | 267 | 67 | -12 | +0 | -2 | +3 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | CLE | 31% | 78 | 71 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 209 | 277 | 311 | 588 | 101 | 274 | 26 | 8 | 266 | 66 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | CLE | 45% | 134 | 121 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 212 | 280 | 319 | 599 | 107 | 275 | 26 | 8 | 271 | 69 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | CLE | 49% | 156 | 142 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 40 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 213 | 281 | 321 | 602 | 108 | 276 | 26 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | CLE | 52% | 168 | 152 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 213 | 281 | 321 | 602 | 108 | 276 | 26 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -6 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | CLE | 52% | 165 | 150 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 43 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 212 | 280 | 320 | 600 | 107 | 276 | 26 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | CLE | 52% | 162 | 147 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 43 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 209 | 277 | 312 | 589 | 103 | 274 | 27 | 8 | 267 | 67 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 863 | 783 | 168 | 37 | 3 | 15 | 68 | 225 | 6 | 19 | 6 | 215 | 282 | 327 | 609 | 112 | 279 | 26 | 8 | 270 | 64 | -32 | +1 | -2 | +9 | +19 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 590 | 126 | 28 | 2 | 11 | 51 | 169 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 214 | 282 | 324 | 606 | 110 | 278 | 26 | 8 | 270 | 64 | -24 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +14 | -0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3790 | 3425 | 722 | 146 | 17 | 46 | 296 | 1009 | 30 | 141 | 42 | 211 | 279 | 304 | 583 | 93 | 282 | 27 | 8 | 262 | 64 | -77 | +4 | -4 | +22 | +44 | -1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 124 | 25 | 3 | 8 | 51 | 173 | 5 | 24 | 7 | 211 | 280 | 305 | 584 | 94 | 283 | 27 | 8 | 262 | 64 | -25 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAkron RubberDucks · 158 PAwOBA .253 → .225 (−28)K% 19.6% → 23.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.62% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.033 | ×1.027 | 14.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.033 | ×1.027 | 5.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | ×1.027 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 1.50% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .253 → .225; ISO .109 → .096; BABIP .219 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Lake County Captains · 118 PAwOBA .304 → .232 (−72)K% 27.1% → 34.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.12% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 34.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 8.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 18.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 7.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.25% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .304 → .232; ISO .126 → .094; BABIP .314 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAAColumbus Clippers · 52 PAwOBA .245 → .195 (−50)K% 30.8% → 36.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.77% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 18.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 4.74% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .245 → .195; ISO .128 → .088; BABIP .207 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Lake County Captains · 352 PAwOBA .335 → .274 (−61)K% 18.2% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.020 | ×1.270 | — | — | 22.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.65% | ÷0.991 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 8.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.14% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.05% | ÷1.031 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 21.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.28% | ÷1.138 | ×0.810 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 6.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.42% | ÷0.952 | ×0.850 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.011 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.01% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 106, 2B 128, 3B 90, K 104, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .335 → .274; ISO .110 → .084; BABIP .335 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ALynchburg Hillcats · 383 PAwOBA .288 → .233 (−55)K% 22.2% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.19% | ÷0.985 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.57% | ÷1.041 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.29% | ÷1.056 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×1.015 | 22.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.51% | ÷0.941 | ×0.830 | ×1.010 | ×1.015 | 5.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.77% | ÷0.906 | ×0.910 | ×1.010 | ×1.015 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.77% | ÷0.844 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.74% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 111, 2B 88, 3B 81, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .288 → .233; ISO .078 → .068; BABIP .324 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ALynchburg Hillcats · 413 PAwOBA .319 → .270 (−49)K% 19.6% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.61% | ÷0.981 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.86% | ÷1.020 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 8.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.73% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.80% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×1.030 | 26.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.78% | ÷0.947 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×1.030 | 5.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.36% | ÷0.982 | ×0.910 | ×1.011 | ×1.030 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.08% | ÷1.017 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.88% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 96, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .319 → .270; ISO .075 → .063; BABIP .341 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Guardians · 139 PAwOBA .406 → .310 (−96)K% 19.4% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.42% | ÷1.019 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.99% | ÷1.013 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 11.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.51% | ÷0.998 | ×0.820 | ×1.016 | ×1.008 | 22.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.61% | ÷1.076 | ×0.720 | ×1.016 | ×1.008 | 2.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.02% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×1.016 | ×1.008 | 4.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.61% | ÷0.915 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 3.11% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 100, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .406 → .310; ISO .200 → .165; BABIP .366 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL Indians Blue · 81 PAwOBA .309 → .217 (−92)K% 22.2% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.046 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.35% | ÷1.003 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 8.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.680 | ×1.034 | ×1.008 | 16.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷0.967 | ×0.600 | ×1.034 | ×1.008 | 5.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×1.034 | ×1.008 | 1.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.943 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 109, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .309 → .217; ISO .088 → .056; BABIP .333 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .