Carlos Garcia
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 26 | INTLBravos de Mar… | 61 | .298/.344/.386 | 0 | 3 | 108 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | INTLBravos de Mar… | 98 | .233/.312/.291 | 1 | 9 | 73 | — |
| 2020 | 28 | INTLTigres de Ara… | 16 | .077/.200/.077 | 0 | 0 | -13 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK | DSL Royals | — | 150 | 113 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 150 | 333 | 168 | 501 | 18 | 193 | 17 | 18 | 252 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK | DSL Royals | — | 292 | 235 | 60 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 27 | 7 | 50 | 12 | 255 | 384 | 302 | 686 | 47 | 286 | 9 | 14 | 318 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK | AZL Royals | — | 170 | 147 | 40 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 272 | 344 | 388 | 731 | 116 | 333 | 16 | 9 | 315 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 241 | 209 | 57 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 31 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 273 | 350 | 340 | 690 | 67 | 309 | 13 | 10 | 309 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 264 | 228 | 76 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 34 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 333 | 404 | 430 | 834 | 96 | 383 | 13 | 9 | 364 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 311 | 276 | 75 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 49 | 5 | 31 | 5 | 272 | 341 | 355 | 696 | 83 | 323 | 16 | 8 | 312 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 45 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 250 | 302 | 325 | 627 | 75 | 270 | 7 | 4 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 352 | 307 | 84 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 30 | 56 | 5 | 21 | 8 | 274 | 348 | 371 | 719 | 98 | 328 | 16 | 9 | 317 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 149 | 126 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 254 | 352 | 333 | 685 | 79 | 291 | 15 | 11 | 310 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 26 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 167 | 231 | 250 | 481 | 83 | 190 | 12 | 8 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 316 | 279 | 71 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 51 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 254 | 325 | 348 | 672 | 93 | 298 | 16 | 8 | 299 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 194 | 174 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 30 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 287 | 347 | 351 | 698 | 63 | 340 | 15 | 6 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 139 | 132 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 242 | 270 | 333 | 603 | 91 | 268 | 14 | 2 | 267 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 146 | 122 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 221 | 331 | 361 | 692 | 139 | 245 | 16 | 12 | 309 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 26 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 167 | 200 | 167 | 367 | 211 | 23 | 4 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 26 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 61 | 57 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 298 | 344 | 386 | 730 | 88 | 354 | 15 | 5 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 98 | 86 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 233 | 312 | 291 | 603 | 58 | 302 | 23 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 16 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 200 | 77 | 277 | 91 | 12 | 0 | 148 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals | — | 150 | 121 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 30 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 116 | 257 | 132 | 389 | 17 | 140 | 20 | 13 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals | — | 292 | 248 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 33 | 7 | 50 | 12 | 177 | 282 | 206 | 487 | 28 | 197 | 11 | 10 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 170 | 153 | 33 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 216 | 264 | 301 | 564 | 85 | 279 | 23 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 241 | 218 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 45 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 225 | 278 | 280 | 558 | 55 | 259 | 19 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 264 | 237 | 65 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 49 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 274 | 325 | 350 | 676 | 76 | 316 | 19 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 311 | 285 | 74 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 63 | 5 | 31 | 5 | 260 | 308 | 337 | 645 | 77 | 315 | 20 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 352 | 320 | 78 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 80 | 5 | 21 | 8 | 244 | 292 | 322 | 614 | 78 | 307 | 23 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 149 | 133 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 226 | 290 | 293 | 583 | 68 | 270 | 20 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 316 | 288 | 66 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 61 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 229 | 279 | 316 | 595 | 87 | 264 | 19 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 139 | 133 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 218 | 241 | 301 | 542 | 83 | 251 | 19 | 1 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 146 | 128 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 188 | 268 | 312 | 580 | 125 | 211 | 23 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals | — | 150 | 121 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 30 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 116 | 257 | 132 | 389 | 17 | 154 | 20 | 13 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Royals | — | 150 | 113 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 150 | 333 | 168 | 501 | 18 | 193 | 17 | 18 | 252 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals | — | 292 | 248 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 33 | 7 | 50 | 12 | 177 | 282 | 206 | 487 | 28 | 203 | 11 | 10 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Royals | — | 292 | 235 | 60 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 27 | 7 | 50 | 12 | 255 | 384 | 302 | 686 | 47 | 286 | 9 | 14 | 318 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 170 | 153 | 33 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 216 | 264 | 301 | 564 | 85 | 289 | 23 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Royals | — | 170 | 147 | 40 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 272 | 344 | 388 | 731 | 116 | 333 | 16 | 9 | 315 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 241 | 218 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 45 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 225 | 278 | 280 | 558 | 55 | 272 | 19 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK RAW | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 241 | 209 | 57 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 31 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 273 | 350 | 340 | 690 | 67 | 309 | 13 | 10 | 309 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 264 | 237 | 65 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 49 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 274 | 325 | 350 | 676 | 76 | 337 | 19 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK RAW | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 264 | 228 | 76 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 34 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 333 | 404 | 430 | 834 | 96 | 383 | 13 | 9 | 364 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 356 | 325 | 84 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 72 | 6 | 33 | 5 | 258 | 307 | 329 | 637 | 71 | 325 | 20 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 356 | 316 | 85 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 52 | 6 | 33 | 5 | 269 | 336 | 351 | 687 | 82 | 316 | 15 | 7 | 307 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 527 | 478 | 114 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 116 | 7 | 44 | 15 | 238 | 290 | 312 | 602 | 73 | 306 | 22 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 527 | 457 | 120 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 49 | 81 | 7 | 44 | 15 | 263 | 343 | 354 | 698 | 92 | 310 | 15 | 9 | 310 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 510 | 463 | 104 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 98 | 7 | 22 | 10 | 225 | 279 | 305 | 584 | 80 | 272 | 19 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 510 | 453 | 121 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 81 | 7 | 22 | 10 | 267 | 333 | 349 | 682 | 82 | 315 | 16 | 7 | 304 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 311 | 285 | 58 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 65 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 204 | 253 | 302 | 555 | 98 | 240 | 21 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 311 | 278 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 50 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 227 | 293 | 331 | 624 | 104 | 253 | 16 | 7 | 278 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | INTL MLE | Bravos de Margarita | — | 61 | 57 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 298 | 344 | 386 | 730 | 88 | 354 | 15 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | INTL RAW | Bravos de Margarita | — | 61 | 57 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 298 | 344 | 386 | 730 | 88 | 354 | 15 | 5 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | INTL MLE | Bravos de Margarita | — | 98 | 86 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 233 | 312 | 291 | 603 | 58 | 302 | 23 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | INTL RAW | Bravos de Margarita | — | 98 | 86 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 233 | 312 | 291 | 603 | 58 | 302 | 23 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | INTL MLE | Tigres de Aragua | — | 16 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 200 | 77 | 277 | 91 | 12 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2020 | 28 | INTL RAW | Tigres de Aragua | — | 16 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 200 | 77 | 277 | 91 | 12 | 0 | 148 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals | — | 150 | 126 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 30 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 111 | 257 | 127 | 384 | 16 | 140 | 20 | 13 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals | — | 292 | 254 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 33 | 7 | 50 | 12 | 173 | 282 | 201 | 482 | 28 | 197 | 11 | 10 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 170 | 158 | 33 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 209 | 264 | 291 | 555 | 82 | 279 | 23 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 241 | 223 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 45 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 220 | 278 | 274 | 551 | 54 | 259 | 19 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 264 | 244 | 65 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 49 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 266 | 325 | 340 | 666 | 74 | 316 | 19 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 356 | 330 | 84 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 72 | 6 | 33 | 5 | 255 | 307 | 324 | 632 | 70 | 315 | 20 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 527 | 487 | 114 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 116 | 7 | 44 | 15 | 234 | 290 | 306 | 596 | 72 | 296 | 22 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 510 | 470 | 104 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 98 | 7 | 22 | 10 | 221 | 279 | 300 | 579 | 79 | 264 | 19 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 311 | 289 | 58 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 65 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 201 | 253 | 298 | 551 | 97 | 231 | 21 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2996 | 2684 | 603 | 77 | 24 | 20 | 183 | 581 | 48 | 214 | 72 | 225 | 286 | 294 | 580 | 69 | 277 | 19 | 6 | 237 | 46 | -192 | +14 | +0 | +11 | +65 | -10.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 131 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 126 | 10 | 46 | 16 | 225 | 286 | 292 | 578 | 67 | 279 | 19 | 6 | 237 | 46 | -42 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAugusta GreenJackets · 146 PAwOBA .301 → .248 (−53)K% 16.4% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.44% | ÷0.954 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.64% | ÷0.997 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.970 | 7.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.05% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.970 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.37% | ÷1.010 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×0.970 | 16.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.10% | ÷0.989 | ×0.820 | ×0.995 | ×0.970 | 4.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.940 | ×0.995 | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.08% | ÷0.818 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.970 | 3.97% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 102, 2B 98, 3B 103, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .301 → .248; ISO .139 → .130; BABIP .245 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 139 PAwOBA .263 → .236 (−27)K% 14.4% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.39% | ÷0.948 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.16% | ÷0.974 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 1.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.32% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×0.996 | ×0.998 | 21.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.096 | ×0.860 | ×0.996 | ×0.998 | 2.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.89% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.996 | ×0.998 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷0.848 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.64% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 101, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 90, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .263 → .236; ISO .091 → .079; BABIP .268 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 316 PAwOBA .294 → .253 (−41)K% 16.1% → 19.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.14% | ÷1.024 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.23% | ÷1.081 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.68% | ÷1.061 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×1.012 | 21.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.82% | ÷1.029 | ×0.840 | ×1.016 | ×1.012 | 4.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.029 | ×0.940 | ×1.016 | ×1.012 | 1.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.32% | ÷0.967 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.10% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 112, 2B 106, 3B 106, K 105, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .294 → .253; ISO .093 → .083; BABIP .298 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 352 PAwOBA .311 → .267 (−44)K% 15.9% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.91% | ÷0.991 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.24% | ÷1.102 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 4.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.42% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 1.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.50% | ÷1.027 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 24.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.38% | ÷0.931 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 4.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.19% | ÷1.144 | ×0.800 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 2.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.40% | ÷0.769 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 0.47% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 54, 1B 105, 2B 86, 3B 129, K 98, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .311 → .267; ISO .098 → .083; BABIP .328 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ALexington Legends · 149 PAwOBA .304 → .255 (−49)K% 14.8% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.77% | ÷0.974 | ×1.340 | — | — | 20.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.41% | ÷1.074 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 6.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×1.033 | ×0.990 | 23.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.026 | ×0.820 | ×1.033 | ×0.990 | 3.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.940 | ×1.033 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.103 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 1.42% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 99, 2B 105, 3B 104, K 95, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .304 → .255; ISO .079 → .063; BABIP .291 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ALexington Legends · 311 PAwOBA .304 → .275 (−28)K% 15.8% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.76% | ÷1.041 | ×1.340 | — | — | 20.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.40% | ÷1.013 | ×0.660 | — | — | 4.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.99% | ÷0.968 | ×0.920 | ×1.048 | — | 25.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.85% | ÷0.958 | ×0.820 | ×1.048 | — | 4.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.048 | — | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.034 | ×0.820 | — | — | 0.70% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 94, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 108, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .304 → .275; ISO .083 → .072; BABIP .323 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars · 264 PAwOBA .356 → .281 (−75)K% 12.9% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.88% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.985 | 5.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.044 | ×0.985 | 26.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.044 | ×0.985 | 3.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.044 | ×0.985 | 1.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.985 | 0.76% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .356 → .281; ISO .096 → .073; BABIP .383 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars · 241 PAwOBA .304 → .240 (−64)K% 12.9% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.86% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.995 | 5.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 22.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 3.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.995 | 0.84% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .304 → .240; ISO .067 → .051; BABIP .309 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .