Jadon Williamson

P Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 24 RHP 6'5" / 215 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	AMIA	2	0	1	27.00	3.85	36.4%	27.3%	—	K 36.4% · BB 27.3% · FIP 3.48
2026	23	MIX2 levels	12	3	19	15.63	6.31	22.7%	21.8%	—	K 16.2% · BB 26.4% · FIP 7.02
2027PROJ	24	MLBMIA	10	0	11	5.95	5.95	20.7%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBMIA	9	0	9	5.61	5.50	21.3%	16.9%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJordan Brink (age 23) · Tyler Davis (age 25) · Yoel Espinal (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146138vR 130

ERA5.95

FIP5.95

K%20.7%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%0.7%

Proj IP11

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	2	0	1	11	4	3	0	0%	0.7	36.4%	27.3%	9.1%	0.0%	27.00	3.48	—
2025	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	2	0	1	11	4	3	0	0%	0.7	36.4%	27.3%	9.1%	0.0%	27.00	3.48	—
2025	22	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	2	0	1	11	4	3	0	0%	0.7	36.4%	27.3%	9.1%	0.0%	27.00	3.85	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	3	19	110	25	24	3	25%	1.6	16.2%	26.4%	-10.2%	3.5%	15.63	7.02	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	3	19	110	25	24	3	25%	1.6	16.2%	26.4%	-10.2%	3.5%	15.63	7.02	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	3	19	110	25	24	3	25%	1.6	22.7%	21.8%	0.9%	2.7%	15.63	6.31	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	MIA	10	0	11	46	10	9	1	0%	1.1	20.7%	20.0%	0.7%	3.1%	5.95	5.95	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIA	19	0	20	84	18	14	3	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.9%	4.4%	3.1%	5.61	5.50	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIA	9	0	9	38	8	6	1	0%	1.0	21.3%	16.9%	4.4%	3.1%	5.61	5.50	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	6	1	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.9%	4.4%	3.1%	5.61	5.12	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	140	23	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.9%	4.4%	3.1%	5.61	5.12	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		14	3	20	121	22	32	4	21%	1.5	18.0%	26.5%	-8.4%	3.2%	16.38	6.70	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		138	30	200	1190	215	315	38	21%	1.5	18.0%	26.5%	-8.4%	3.2%	16.38	6.70	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jadon Williamson (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.95	20.7%	20.0%	3.1%	—	5.50	21.3%	4.4%	20	-0.45	—	—	—
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	87
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	82
Yoel Espinal R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	21.4%	23.1%	2.1%	.255	4.24	22.9%	10.0%	99	-1.13	3.86	231	80
Will Bednar R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	24	SW	6.40	23.8%	23.1%	4.3%	.240	3.83	25.5%	9.4%	115	-2.57	3.38	202	79
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	79
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	79
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	79
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.06	19.2%	3.8%	102	-0.66	3.74	203	78
Drake Fellows R 2023 · 5.66 FIP	25	SW	5.66	17.1%	20.4%	2.6%	.367	4.88	14.6%	5.6%	271	-0.78	4.28	282	78
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	78
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	78
Jake Eddington R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	23	SW	5.02	18.8%	24.1%	0.8%	.316	4.83	16.6%	-1.5%	105	-0.19	4.70	135	78
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	77
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	76
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	76
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	76
Alec Hansen R 2019 · 5.74 FIP	24	SU	5.74	18.8%	19.8%	3.1%	.349	4.98	29.5%	-5.0%	22	-0.76	3.34	288	76
Will McAffer R 2021 · 6.40 FIP	24	SU	6.40	21.5%	24.2%	3.7%	.343	5.37	14.5%	-5.7%	33	-1.03	4.68	133	75
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	75
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	75