Juan Ledezma

P Visalia Rawhide

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 200 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	20	ROKDSL Arizona R…	12	12	6.75	4.10	24.6%	15.8%	—	K 16.7% · BB 19.7% · FIP 5.39
2026	21	MIX2 levels	21	23	6.17	5.29	23.9%	12.0%	—	K 12.8% · BB 17.3% · FIP 8.97
2027PROJ	22	MLBARI	8	8	5.55	5.55	19.2%	15.2%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBARI	10	11	5.26	5.14	20.6%	13.2%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsKasey Ford (age 23) · Michael Perez (age 21) · Tyler Smith (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139130vR 122

ERA5.55

FIP5.55

K%19.2%

BB%15.2%

K-BB%4.0%

Proj IP8

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	12	0	12	57	14	9	1	0%	1.0	16.7%	19.7%	-3.0%	2.2%	6.75	5.39	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	12	0	12	57	14	9	1	0%	1.0	16.7%	19.7%	-3.0%	2.2%	6.75	5.39	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	12	0	12	57	14	9	1	0%	1.0	24.6%	15.8%	8.8%	1.8%	6.75	4.10	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	23	117	28	14	5	0%	1.1	12.8%	17.3%	-4.5%	8.7%	6.17	8.97	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	23	117	28	14	5	0%	1.1	12.8%	17.3%	-4.5%	8.7%	6.17	8.97	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	0	23	117	28	14	5	0%	1.1	23.9%	12.0%	12.0%	4.3%	6.17	5.29	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	ARI	8	0	8	34	7	5	1	0%	1.0	19.2%	15.2%	4.0%	3.2%	5.55	5.55	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	ARI	21	0	22	92	19	12	3	0%	1.0	20.6%	13.2%	7.4%	3.2%	5.26	5.14	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	ARI	10	0	11	46	10	6	1	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.2%	7.4%	3.2%	5.26	5.14	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	45	9	6	1	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.2%	7.4%	3.2%	5.26	4.76	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	168	112	19	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.2%	7.4%	3.2%	5.26	4.76	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		33	0	35	174	25	31	11	0%	1.1	14.1%	18.1%	-4.0%	6.5%	6.37	7.80	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		187	0	200	985	139	178	64	0%	1.1	14.1%	18.1%	-4.0%	6.5%	6.37	7.80	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Juan Ledezma (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.55	19.2%	15.2%	3.2%	—	5.14	20.6%	7.4%	22	-0.41	—	—	—
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	92
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	91
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	89
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	89
Jason Ruffcorn R 2021 · 4.74 FIP	23	SU	4.74	16.6%	14.2%	2.3%	.297	4.69	17.6%	4.2%	136	-0.05	4.01	283	89
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	89
Carson Hobbs R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	22	SU	5.63	18.9%	13.6%	4.4%	.303	3.97	22.0%	10.4%	118	-1.66	3.54	143	88
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	88
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	88
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	87
Ismael Cabrera R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	19.5%	12.4%	3.2%	.276	5.29	16.9%	6.5%	95	+0.52	3.56	133	86
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	86
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	86
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	86
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	86
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	85
Randy Messenger R 2005 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	16.3%	12.9%	2.8%	.281	3.93	13.8%	7.1%	137	-0.97	3.56	174	85
Jairo Beras R 2017 · 6.07 FIP	22	SU	6.07	16.4%	16.9%	4.0%	.237	4.35	20.7%	4.5%	96	-1.72	3.48	110	85
Brooks Crawford R 2019 · 4.78 FIP	22	SU	4.78	14.9%	13.7%	2.2%	.262	3.56	22.1%	14.5%	103	-1.22	2.50	296	84
Saul Teran R 2024 · 5.21 FIP	22	SU	5.21	22.4%	18.8%	2.9%	.279	4.40	20.1%	10.7%	84	-0.81	2.28	166	84