Joshua Fermin — OGILVIE

Joshua FerminOF DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 18 R/R 6'3" / 175 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION79 act + 52 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .247 / .226

PA52

HR0

K%28

BB%6

BABIP267

ISO41

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	109	97	12	3	1	1	4	49	6	5	4	124	206	206	412	82	234	45	4	170	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	109	93	19	6	1	1	8	31	6	5	4	204	308	323	631	118	295	28	7	288	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	KC	—	79	68	11	3	0	0	5	19	4	8	0	162	260	206	466	44	220	24	6	203	14	-8	+2	+0	-0	+2	-0.4
YTD	18	ROK	KC	—	79	65	14	4	0	0	8	13	4	8	0	215	338	277	615	62	264	16	10	287	78	-2	+2	+0	-0	+2	0.1
ROS	18	ROK	KC	0%	52	48	9	2	0	0	3	15	1	2	0	185	247	226	473	41	276	28	6	251	50	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		272	—	—	231	35	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	KC	—	79	69	11	3	0	0	5	19	4	8	0	159	260	203	463	43	216	24	6	203	14	-8	+2	+0	-0	+2	-0.4
TOT	18	ROK	KC	—	131	116	20	5	0	0	8	34	5	10	0	171	254	214	469	43	239	26	6	222	28	-11	+2	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	KC	34%	185	167	34	7	1	2	12	51	4	4	1	204	273	293	567	90	278	28	6	263	59	-9	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
2027	19	MLB	KC	34%	64	59	11	2	0	1	4	18	1	2	0	186	250	271	521	85	275	28	6	243	44	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	64	60	11	2	0	1	4	18	1	2	0	183	250	267	517	83	244	28	6	243	44	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	609	111	20	0	10	41	183	10	20	0	182	249	264	514	82	243	28	6	243	44	-41	+4	+0	-4	+18	-2.3
Career	—			—	346	312	55	12	2	3	19	115	11	11	5	176	248	256	504	80	266	33	5	232	36	-25	+0	+0	-2	+10	-1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	103	22	4	6	36	216	21	21	9	176	249	258	507	82	265	33	6	232	36	-47	+1	+0	-4	+18	-3.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	109	93	19	6	1	1	8	31	6	5	4	204	308	323	631	118	295	28	7	288	78	-3	-1	—	—	+3	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joshua Fermin (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	171/254/214	43	239	0	10	26%	6%	28	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	41→34	38→45	50	40	197/258/282	85	286	5	8	31%	6%	48	-1.9	226/275/318	92	287	6	14	22%	5%	63	-0.8	239/283/340	101	289	8	18	19%	4%	70	-0.1
✕Olivber Moreno 2019 · A	18	40	36→40	52→50	41	192/248/253	61	272	3	13	29%	6%	36	-2.7	198/268/274	76	279	6	11	29%	7%	50	-1.7	203/284/283	80	254	7	13	21%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Roni Cabrera 2023 · A	18	39	38→45	51→55	38	186/249/260	74	297	5	10	37%	6%	39	-2.5	189/259/297	108	290	10	12	36%	7%	53	-1.5	159/234/278	120	248	12	17	39%	7%	35	-0.8
✕Simon Juan 2023 · A	18	38	38→45	56→50	38	183/245/263	80	272	5	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	188/242/284	96	295	9	9	37%	6%	41	-2.3	186/239/293	108	289	12	10	38%	6%	40	-1.0
✕Johan Lopez 2018 · A	18	39	36→45	47→55	40	185/242/248	63	252	3	11	27%	5%	32	-3.0	204/265/285	81	246	4	15	18%	6%	51	-1.7	200/275/301	101	259	7	19	24%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Kelvin Hidalgo 2023 · A	18	42→39	40→45	50→55	44	204/266/298	94	269	6	13	25%	6%	55	-1.4	206/263/306	100	292	9	17	31%	6%	56	-1.3	196/248/285	89	291	8	23	34%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2011 · A	18	38	36→45	48→40	39	186/240/247	61	267	4	5	31%	5%	30	-3.1	192/249/275	83	281	7	4	32%	5%	42	-2.3	187/245/279	93	270	8	2	33%	5%	39	-0.7
✕Marino Campana 2016 · A	18	43→37	37→55	49→45	36	202/250/277	74	293	3	8	31%	4%	42	-2.3	198/243/301	103	281	9	5	31%	4%	46	-2.0	174/216/306	132	255	15	2	37%	4%	33	-1.2
✕Enger Jimenez 2013 · A	18	39	41→40	48→50	36	191/243/287	95	290	8	8	36%	6%	42	-2.3	193/242/288	95	273	7	10	30%	5%	42	-2.3	195/245/291	96	261	6	12	26%	5%	42	-0.8
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	39	39→45	53→45	38	185/246/275	89	296	6	8	38%	7%	41	-2.3	197/260/287	90	318	5	8	36%	7%	50	-1.8	215/289/325	110	304	4	8	28%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Neyfy Castillo 2019 · A	18	37→29	36→50	54→55	39	177/242/241	64	278	4	16	36%	6%	30	-3.1	181/246/275	94	298	8	13	39%	7%	41	-2.3	170/240/302	132	292	17	16	45%	7%	43	-1.2
✕Rayne Doncon 2022 · A	18	43→35	40→50	53→40	40	203/267/295	92	313	7	11	35%	7%	54	-1.4	195/247/327	132	256	15	6	29%	6%	55	-1.4	181/237/310	129	235	15	4	30%	6%	44	-1.4
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Robinson Medrano 2014 · A	18	40	36→45	50→45	35	192/232/256	64	290	4	10	34%	4%	28	-3.2	205/261/286	81	281	5	7	27%	6%	50	-1.8	200/259/285	85	267	6	5	26%	6%	45	-0.7
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→32	37→40	43→50	40	199/260/273	73	295	4	10	32%	6%	46	-2.0	184/285/263	79	357	5	9	44%	10%	56	-1.3	152/269/228	75	334	5	7	49%	11%	40	-1.1
✕Israel Mota 2014 · A	18	39	37→45	47→50	45	186/266/260	74	272	4	7	31%	8%	46	-2.0	197/247/292	95	286	8	9	32%	5%	45	-2.1	192/240/304	112	265	12	11	31%	5%	43	-0.7