Jhon Rivas
P
FCL Blue Jays
Age 18
RHP
5'9" / 155 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 10 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120110vR 101
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%22.9%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP10
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays Blue | 12 | 0 | 17 | 79 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 13.8% | 15.8% | -2.1% | 5.3% | 7.56 | 6.84 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays Blue | 12 | 0 | 17 | 79 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.3% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 7.56 | 4.54 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 8 | 0 | 17 | 70 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 2.1 | 12.6% | 12.5% | 0.1% | 2.0% | 1.62 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | TOR | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.43 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 18 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 27 | 112 | 23 | 11 | 2 | — | — | 20.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 2.0% | 2.67 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | TOR | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | TOR | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 3.92 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 20 | 0 | 33 | 149 | 20 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.7 | 13.2% | 14.3% | -1.0% | 3.7% | 4.59 | 5.84 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 120 | 0 | 200 | 894 | 118 | 128 | 33 | 0% | 1.7 | 13.2% | 14.3% | -1.0% | 3.7% | 4.59 | 5.84 | -1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jhon Rivas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.30 | 23.4% | 14.2% | 20 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Harold Cortijo R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 18 | SU | 4.46 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .309 | 5.87 | 13.5% | 2.2% | 73 | +1.41 | 4.13 | 179 | 87 |
| Kevin Malisheski R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 18 | SU | 4.99 | 20.4% | 8.3% | 4.7% | .333 | 4.81 | 12.0% | 0.1% | 122 | -0.18 | 3.81 | 198 | 84 |
| Blake Workman R 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.00 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .307 | 3.92 | 23.8% | 19.5% | 105 | -0.08 | 3.34 | 213 | 83 |
| Danny Dopico R 2029 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.11 | 3.00 | 318 | 82 |
| Chris Gau R 2029 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 82 |
| David Matoma R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 18 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .259 | 5.85 | 14.9% | -6.1% | 62 | +1.96 | 3.58 | 101 | 82 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2029 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 82 |
| Angel Guillen R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 18 | SU | 3.92 | 20.6% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .411 | 3.44 | 15.7% | 8.6% | 78 | -0.48 | 3.37 | 181 | 81 |
| Anthony Hoopii-Tuionetoa R 2028 · 4.12 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.12 | 25.1% | 13.3% | 2.6% | .327 | 3.37 | 23.8% | 13.4% | 81 | -0.75 | 3.30 | 104 | 81 |
| Sean Boyle R 2029 · 4.70 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.70 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .342 | 2.85 | 22.6% | 15.3% | 86 | -1.85 | 2.85 | 496 | 80 |
| Jeff Bain R 2029 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.94 | 19.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .339 | 4.13 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 274 | +0.19 | 3.37 | 475 | 80 |
| Caleb Freeman R 2029 · 3.98 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.98 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 2.4% | .267 | 5.17 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 58 | +1.19 | 3.98 | 222 | 80 |
| Mason Fox R 2029 · 3.59 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.59 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 1.6% | .260 | 7.31 | 21.3% | 4.8% | 30 | +3.72 | 3.59 | 112 | 79 |
| Yordin Chalas R 2027 · 4.72 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.72 | 17.3% | 10.6% | 3.2% | .294 | 3.99 | 19.9% | 7.8% | 116 | -0.73 | 3.69 | 140 | 79 |
| Pedro Da Costa Lemos R 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.62 | 23.5% | 13.2% | 1.5% | .286 | 5.15 | 17.2% | 6.2% | 157 | +1.53 | 3.62 | 181 | 79 |
| Robinson Hernandez R 2028 · 3.38 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.38 | 19.6% | 9.0% | 1.4% | .328 | 4.15 | 17.5% | 7.0% | 102 | +0.77 | 2.57 | 166 | 79 |
| Justin Meis R 2029 · 3.80 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.80 | 25.6% | 13.6% | 2.1% | .300 | 5.11 | 18.2% | 5.5% | 261 | +1.31 | 3.80 | 385 | 78 |
| Troy Bacon R 2028 · 3.92 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.92 | 19.9% | 11.7% | 1.9% | .222 | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.8% | 102 | +0.27 | 3.43 | 203 | 78 |
| Alexander Campos R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.89 | 17.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% | .281 | 4.69 | 11.4% | 6.0% | 129 | +0.80 | 3.85 | 151 | 78 |
| Denny Brady R 2028 · 4.01 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.01 | 18.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | .368 | 3.35 | 18.7% | 10.1% | 124 | -0.66 | 3.19 | 160 | 78 |