Evan Phillips
P
Oklahoma City Comets
+0.2
WAR
INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)
Age 31
RHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
AAA
Svc 5.0 · Ctrl thru 2026
peak 0.6 · 2027
ERA3.42
FIP3.82
xFIP2.62
SIERA2.72
K%25.8%
BB%7.7%
K-BB%18.2%
IP52
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2027
K†6565
FB Velo
p7496.2
Whiff%
p6527.7%
K%
p7927.6%
xwOBA vs
p790.284
SL+1.2 (53%)
CT+0.6 (8%)
SI (8%)
FB (39%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 20 | A | Rome Braves | 18 | 0 | 30 | 118 | 37 | 12 | 2 | 21.4% | 13.7% | 1.7% | 2.73 | 3.96 | +0.3 |
| 2016 | 21 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 43 | 0 | 63 | 262 | 62 | 23 | 2 | 18.9% | 9.8% | 0.9% | 3.02 | 3.22 | +1.2 |
| 2017 | 22 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | 40 | 1 | 51 | 234 | 53 | 32 | 6 | 19.2% | 14.6% | 3.3% | 6.14 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2018 | 23 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 48 | 1 | 63 | 261 | 80 | 25 | 7 | 27.3% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 4.29 | 3.53 | +1.0 |
| 2019 | 24 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 52 | 0 | 68 | 311 | 84 | 37 | 4 | 25.3% | 12.2% | 1.4% | 4.92 | 3.28 | +1.3 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 14 | 0 | 14 | 69 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 29.0% | 14.5% | 1.5% | 5.02 | 3.31 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 28 | 1 | 42 | 178 | 49 | 17 | 6 | 25.0% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 4.32 | 4.12 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 64 | 0 | 63 | 233 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 33.0% | 6.0% | 0.8% | 1.14 | 1.53 | +2.5 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 62 | 0 | 61 | 234 | 66 | 11 | 6 | 28.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.05 | 2.67 | +1.6 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 63 | 0 | 56 | 233 | 66 | 16 | 6 | 27.6% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 3.51 | 3.04 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 13 | 1 | 11 | 48 | 15 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.18 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 16 | — | 16 | 66 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 27.2% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 3.27 | 3.70 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 50 | — | 50 | 212 | 56 | 17 | 6 | 26.6% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 3.60 | 3.82 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 48 | — | 48 | 203 | 52 | 16 | 6 | 25.9% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 3.81 | 3.94 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 46 | — | 46 | 193 | 49 | 16 | 6 | 25.2% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 3.97 | 4.08 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 35 | MLB | LAD | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 44 | 15 | 6 | 24.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 4.13 | 4.23 | +0.4 |
| 2031 | 36 | MLB | LAD | 40 | — | 40 | 170 | 40 | 15 | 6 | 23.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 4.29 | 4.40 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 37 | MLB | LAD | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 36 | 14 | 5 | 22.9% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 4.46 | 4.57 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 38 | MLB | LAD | 34 | — | 34 | 145 | 32 | 13 | 5 | 22.0% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 4.64 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 445 | 4 | 522 | 2181 | 557 | 211 | 44 | 25.5% | 9.7% | 2.0% | 3.58 | 3.28 | +11.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 170 | 2 | 200 | 835 | 213 | 81 | 17 | 25.5% | 9.7% | 2.0% | 3.58 | 3.28 | +4.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Evan Phillips (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.70 | 27.2% | 7.7% | 2.8% | — | 3.94 | 25.9% | 17.9% | 144 | +0.24 | — | — | — |
| Rubby De La Rosa R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 27.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.95 | 281 | 74 |
| Chad Gaudin R 2028 · 2.66 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.66 | 22.8% | 6.8% | 1.1% | .325 | 3.16 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 58 | +0.50 | 2.02 | 102 | 72 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 72 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.33 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.33 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .342 | 4.98 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 122 | 72 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.63 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | .240 | 5.25 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.62 | 3.10 | 120 | 71 |
| Spencer Patton R 2028 · 3.03 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.03 | 27.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .305 | 5.07 | 21.4% | 9.7% | 88 | +2.04 | 2.83 | 239 | 70 |
| C.C. Lee R 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.02 | 34.7% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 121 | 70 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 70 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 3.00 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.00 | 28.1% | 6.1% | 2.7% | .257 | 3.13 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 89 | +0.13 | 2.73 | 316 | 69 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.21 | 25.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | .286 | 3.66 | 21.9% | 12.2% | 152 | +0.45 | 2.80 | 284 | 69 |
| Ryan Madson R 2029 · 2.94 FIP | 34 | SW | 2.94 | 23.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | .244 | 2.97 | 23.9% | 18.7% | 176 | +0.03 | 1.43 | 240 | 69 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.20 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 137 | 69 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.09 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .278 | 3.53 | 24.3% | 18.2% | 99 | -0.56 | 2.31 | 403 | 69 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.04 | 25.0% | 8.3% | 1.8% | .341 | 4.21 | 22.5% | 13.9% | 113 | +1.17 | 2.26 | 602 | 69 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.89 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .246 | 3.65 | 28.8% | 20.4% | 145 | -0.24 | 1.69 | 468 | 69 |
| Tommy Nance R 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.23 | 29.1% | 9.2% | 2.6% | .345 | 2.77 | 23.7% | 17.8% | 118 | -0.46 | 2.11 | 300 | 69 |
| Josh Fields R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.19 | 26.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | .216 | 5.00 | 20.5% | 12.9% | 66 | +0.81 | 1.85 | 238 | 69 |
| Robert Stock R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.16 | 23.0% | 8.5% | 3.5% | .301 | 7.43 | 14.7% | -1.9% | 23 | +3.27 | 2.91 | 334 | 68 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 68 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 68 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-3
MLB Debut 2018
Service 5.791 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2026
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-3 | $6M | +0.2 | $0.8M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $0.8M | $0.8M | +$0.0M | ||