Evan Phillips — OGILVIE

Evan Phillips P Los Angeles Dodgers

Age 31 RHP 6'2" / 215 lbs MLB peak 0.7 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9183vR 75

ERA3.03

FIP3.06

K%28.0%

BB%5.8%

K-BB%22.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5555

CMD6060

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p8196.7

Whiff%

p3723.4%

p8228.1%

xwOBA vs

p290.336

SL+1.2 (53%)

CT+0.6 (8%)

SI (8%)

FB (39%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	30	118	37	12	2	0%	1.6	21.4%	13.7%	7.8%	1.7%	2.73	3.96	—
2015	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	0	30	118	37	12	2	0%	1.6	31.4%	10.2%	21.2%	1.7%	2.73	2.70	—
2016	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	63	262	62	23	2	0%	1.5	18.9%	9.8%	9.1%	0.8%	3.02	3.21	—
2016	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	63	262	62	23	2	0%	1.5	23.7%	8.8%	14.9%	0.8%	3.02	2.64	—
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	1	51	234	53	32	6	2%	1.3	19.2%	14.6%	4.6%	3.3%	6.14	5.11	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	1	51	234	53	32	6	2%	1.3	22.6%	13.7%	9.0%	2.6%	6.14	4.42	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	1	63	261	80	25	7	2%	1.3	27.3%	9.9%	17.5%	2.6%	4.29	3.47	+0.8
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	1	63	261	80	25	7	2%	1.3	30.7%	9.6%	21.1%	2.7%	4.29	3.20	+1.0
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	68	311	84	37	4	0%	1.3	25.3%	12.2%	13.1%	1.4%	4.92	3.26	+1.0
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	68	311	84	37	4	0%	1.3	27.0%	11.9%	15.1%	1.3%	4.92	3.03	+1.2
2020	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	14	0	14	69	20	10	1	0%	1.0	29.0%	14.5%	14.5%	1.3%	5.02	3.21	+0.2
2020	25	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	14	0	14	69	20	10	1	0%	1.0	29.0%	14.5%	14.5%	1.4%	5.02	3.31	+0.2
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	1	42	178	49	17	6	4%	1.5	25.0%	9.9%	15.1%	3.5%	4.32	4.15	+0.2
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	1	42	178	49	17	6	4%	1.5	27.5%	9.6%	18.0%	3.4%	4.32	3.84	+0.3
2022	27	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	64	0	63	233	77	14	2	0%	1.0	33.0%	6.0%	27.0%	0.8%	1.14	1.52	+2.3
2022	27	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	64	0	63	233	77	14	2	0%	1.0	33.0%	6.0%	27.0%	0.9%	1.14	1.73	+2.1
2023	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	62	0	61	234	66	11	6	0%	1.0	28.2%	4.7%	23.5%	2.5%	2.05	2.66	+1.4
2023	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	62	0	61	234	66	11	6	0%	1.0	28.2%	4.7%	23.5%	2.5%	2.05	2.66	+1.4
2023	28	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	62	0	61	234	66	11	6	0%	1.0	28.2%	4.7%	23.5%	2.6%	2.05	2.76	+1.3
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	0	56	233	66	16	6	0%	0.9	27.6%	7.0%	20.6%	2.5%	3.51	3.04	+1.0
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	0	56	233	66	16	6	0%	0.9	27.6%	7.0%	20.6%	2.5%	3.51	3.04	+1.0
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	63	0	56	233	66	16	6	0%	0.9	28.3%	6.9%	21.5%	2.6%	3.51	2.99	+1.0
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	1	11	48	15	3	0	8%	0.9	31.2%	6.2%	25.0%	0.0%	3.18	1.25	+0.5
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	1	11	48	15	3	0	8%	0.9	31.2%	6.2%	25.0%	0.0%	3.18	1.25	+0.5
2025	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	1	11	48	15	3	0	8%	0.9	31.2%	6.2%	25.0%	0.0%	3.18	1.25	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			276	1	273	1132	316	90	27	0%	1.0	27.9%	8.0%	20.0%	2.4%	3.36	3.06	+4.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	31	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	38	0	31	134	38	8	5	0%	0.8	28.1%	3.4%	24.7%	4.3%	2.90	3.52	+0.4
YTD	31	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	38	0	31	134	38	8	5	0%	0.8	28.1%	3.4%	24.7%	4.3%	2.90	3.52	+0.4
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	31	AAA RAW	LAD	12	0	10	45	13	5	1	0%	0.8	28.9%	11.1%	17.8%	2.2%	1.80	3.29	—
2026	31	MLB RAW	LAD	26	0	21	89	25	3	4	0%	0.8	28.1%	3.4%	24.7%	4.5%	3.43	3.62	+0.2
SO FAR	31	MLB RAW	LAD	26	0	21	89	25	3	4	0%	0.8	28.1%	3.4%	24.7%	4.5%	3.43	3.62	+0.2
ROS	31	MLB MLE	LAD	6	0	6	25	7	1	1	0%	1.0	28.0%	5.8%	22.2%	2.9%	3.03	3.06	+0.1
ROS	31	MLB CTX	LAD	6	0	6	25	7	1	1	0%	1.0	28.0%	5.8%	22.2%	2.9%	3.03	3.06	+0.1
2026 TOT	31	MLB MLE	LAD	—	—	37	159	45	9	6	—	—	28.3%	5.9%	22.4%	3.6%	2.92	3.45	+0.5
FULL	31	MLB A+C	LAD	—	—	27	114	45	9	6	—	—	39.6%	8.3%	31.3%	5.0%	4.01	3.57	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	LAD	58	0	61	258	70	16	9	0%	1.1	27.2%	6.2%	21.0%	3.3%	3.68	3.80	+0.6
2028	33	MLB MLE	LAD	53	0	56	237	62	16	9	0%	1.1	26.4%	6.6%	19.7%	3.6%	3.92	4.08	+0.3
2027	32	MLB CTX	LAD	55	0	58	245	67	15	8	0%	1.1	27.2%	6.2%	21.0%	3.3%	3.68	3.80	+0.5
2028	33	MLB CTX	LAD	50	0	53	224	59	15	8	0%	1.1	26.4%	6.6%	19.7%	3.6%	3.92	4.08	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		388	1	390	1627	449	122	44	0%	1.0	27.6%	7.5%	20.1%	2.7%	3.48	3.20	+6.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		199	1	200	834	230	63	23	0%	1.0	27.6%	7.5%	20.1%	2.7%	3.48	3.20	+3.2
Career	—	MLE		483	4	553	2315	594	216	49	1%	1.1	25.7%	9.3%	16.3%	2.1%	3.55	3.28	+5.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		175	1	200	837	215	78	18	1%	1.1	25.7%	9.3%	16.3%	2.1%	3.55	3.28	+2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Evan Phillips (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.48	28.0%	6.4%	2.8%	—	3.93	26.8%	20.4%	117	+0.45	—	—	—
Rubby De La Rosa R 2019 · 4.21 FIP	30	SU	4.21	27.7%	8.0%	4.4%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	281	76
Josh Fields R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	31	SU	3.98	26.9%	6.3%	4.3%	.216	5.01	20.5%	12.9%	66	+1.03	1.90	238	76
Tommy Hunter R 2017 · 2.99 FIP	31	SU	2.99	28.1%	6.1%	2.7%	.257	3.16	20.5%	15.1%	89	+0.17	2.78	316	75
Mark Lowe R 2015 · 2.37 FIP	32	SU	2.37	28.4%	5.1%	1.9%	.302	5.22	19.2%	9.9%	98	+2.85	2.37	153	74
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.92	176	72
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	72
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	72
Jumbo Diaz R 2015 · 3.16 FIP	31	SU	3.16	25.2%	6.0%	2.6%	.286	3.65	21.9%	12.2%	152	+0.49	2.80	284	71
Ryan Madson R 2015 · 2.99 FIP	34	SU	2.99	23.4%	5.2%	2.2%	.244	2.96	23.9%	18.7%	176	-0.03	1.42	240	71
C.C. Lee R 2018 · 3.03 FIP	31	SU	3.03	34.7%	9.1%	3.1%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.59	121	70
Ryan Brasier R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	31	SU	4.12	25.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.278	3.56	24.3%	18.2%	99	-0.56	2.31	426	70
Pedro Strop R 2016 · 2.56 FIP	31	SU	2.56	32.1%	7.5%	2.2%	.211	3.30	25.5%	16.3%	162	+0.74	2.56	277	70
Josh Lueke R 2015 · 2.29 FIP	30	SU	2.29	30.0%	4.1%	2.2%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	70
Jason Adam R 2023 · 3.40 FIP	31	SU	3.40	31.1%	9.0%	3.2%	.222	2.95	25.3%	18.2%	171	-0.45	2.42	394	70
Matt Bush R 2017 · 3.60 FIP	31	SU	3.60	24.2%	7.9%	2.8%	.321	4.72	17.6%	4.6%	23	+1.12	2.87	249	70
Gregory Infante R 2018 · 4.07 FIP	31	SU	4.07	22.0%	4.6%	4.1%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	230	70
Anthony Swarzak R 2017 · 2.35 FIP	31	SU	2.35	30.0%	5.9%	1.9%	.277	5.30	23.7%	12.8%	80	+2.95	2.35	260	69
Justin Miller R 2018 · 4.24 FIP	31	SU	4.24	27.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.248	4.82	24.8%	18.8%	66	+0.58	2.63	279	69
Chad Gaudin R 2016 · 2.67 FIP	33	SU	2.67	22.8%	6.8%	1.2%	.325	3.15	21.8%	13.9%	58	+0.48	2.02	102	69
Luis García R 2018 · 3.05 FIP	31	SU	3.05	25.0%	8.3%	1.8%	.341	4.16	22.5%	13.9%	113	+1.11	2.33	617	68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	61	27.3%	6.4%	1.25	3.67
Blake Parker ('21)	1.2	60	26.6%	7.3%	1.40	3.36
Sean Doolittle ('21)	1.2	49	28.7%	6.2%	1.18	3.31
Richard Rodríguez ('21)	1.1	56	25.0%	6.3%	1.21	3.00
Adbert Alzolay ('23)	1.1	70	26.1%	7.0%	1.32	3.84
Chris Devenski ('24)	1.9	62	26.0%	6.9%	1.25	3.61
Erik Swanson ('24)	1.3	51	26.2%	6.5%	1.57	3.70