Daniel Liriano

IF DSL Royals Ventura
Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 176 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202518ROKDSL Royals Ve…99.171/.337/.1970511—.113/.253/.125
202619ROKDSL Royals Ve…116.171/.447/.28921255—.107/.342/.167
2027PROJMLE20MLBKC226.186/.283/.2572558-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBKC40.189/.286/.2670163-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
BB%91
Chase%91
wOBA70
wRC+61
Speed61
ISO51
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsRobert Gonzalez (age 20) · Hans Montero (age 20) · Jesus Hernandez (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj PA
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .280 / .254
PA61
HR0
K%30
BB%9
ISO71
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +1.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 36
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT33
scouting grade only
POWER36
scouting grade only
EYE69
scouting grade only
SPEED62
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202518 ROKDSL Royals Ventura — 9976 13200 12247 50 171337197534 26236 2412 263 11 — — — — — —
202619 ROKDSL Royals Ventura — 11676 13302 273311 122 171447289737 118262 2823 364 55 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202518 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 9980 9100 8317 50 113253125378 12163 318 185 11 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 11684 9201 194011 122 107342167509 60170 3416 250 55 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 9980 9100 8317 50 113253125378 12173 318 185 11 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Royals Ventura — 9976 13200 12247 50 171337197534 26236 2412 263 11 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 11684 9201 194011 122 107342167509 60182 3416 250 55 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWDSL Royals Ventura — 11676 13302 273311 122 171447289737 118262 2823 364 55 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 9984 9100 8317 50 107253119372 12163 318 185 11 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 11685 9201 194011 122 106342165507 59170 3416 250 55 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202518 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 9984 9100 8317 50 107253119372 12163 318 185 11 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 11685 9201 194011 122 106342165507 59170 3416 250 55 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEKC 0% 226197 36612 21696 51 186283257539 71271 319 254 58 -11 +1 +0 +0 +5 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEKC 34% 115101 19311 10343 31 191287271558 80273 309 261 63 -5 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.2
202821 MLB CTXKC 34% 4035 6100 4121 10 189286267552 78271 3010 259 63 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4035 6100 4121 10 171275200475 29261 3010 259 47 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650569 971600 6519516 160 170274199472 28259 3010 259 47 -29 +3 +0 +0 +14 -1.2
Career— MLE — 391318 46812 4312423 213 145292195487 50223 3211 237 47 -8 +0 +0 +0 +4 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650529 761323 7120638 355 144290193482 49223 3211 237 47 -30 +1 +0 +0 +14 -1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Royals Ventura · 116 PAwOBA .360 → .250 (−110)K% 28.4% → 34.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.45%÷1.000×1.220——34.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.28%÷1.000×0.700—×0.99516.21%
HBP% /PA9.48%—×0.700—×0.9956.60%
Singles /BIP18.60%÷1.000×0.680×1.012×0.99512.73%
Doubles /BIP6.98%÷1.000×0.600×1.012×0.9954.21%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600×1.012×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP4.65%÷1.000×0.470—×0.9952.18%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .360 → .250; ISO .118 → .070; BABIP .262 → .170. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Royals Ventura · 99 PAwOBA .266 → .185 (−81)K% 24.2% → 31.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.24%÷0.952×1.220——31.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.12%÷1.097×0.700—×1.0087.80%
HBP% /PA7.07%—×0.700—×1.0084.99%
Singles /BIP21.15%÷1.025×0.680×1.050×1.00814.85%
Doubles /BIP3.85%÷1.060×0.600×1.050×1.0082.30%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.950×0.600×1.050×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.877×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 105, 2B 112, 3B 90, K 90, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .266 → .185; ISO .026 → .017; BABIP .236 → .163. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).