Jacob Kuhn — OGILVIE

Jacob Kuhn P Charleston RiverDogs

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2032

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.05

FIP5.05

K%22.0%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%7.6%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	32	10	79	331	84	53	1	31%	2.5	18.8%	18.9%	-0.1%	0.4%	2.52	4.12	—
YTD	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	32	10	79	331	84	53	1	31%	2.5	18.8%	18.9%	-0.1%	0.4%	2.52	4.12	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	TB	32	10	79	331	84	53	1	31%	2.5	25.4%	16.0%	9.4%	0.3%	2.52	3.15	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	TB	76	0	80	337	77	43	10	0%	1.1	22.9%	12.6%	10.3%	2.9%	4.83	4.73	-0.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	TB	78	0	82	346	81	40	10	0%	1.1	23.4%	11.4%	12.0%	2.9%	4.63	4.52	+0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	TB	79	0	83	350	83	37	10	0%	1.0	23.8%	10.6%	13.1%	2.9%	4.48	4.39	+0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	TB	79	0	83	350	84	37	10	0%	1.0	23.9%	10.5%	13.4%	2.9%	4.41	4.36	+0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	TB	78	0	82	345	82	36	10	0%	1.0	23.9%	10.6%	13.3%	2.9%	4.40	4.40	+0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	TB	75	0	79	334	86	33	10	0%	1.1	25.8%	9.9%	15.8%	3.0%	4.29	4.21	+0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	TB	72	0	76	319	81	32	10	0%	1.0	25.5%	10.2%	15.4%	3.2%	4.32	4.34	+0.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	TB	68	0	71	300	76	31	10	0%	1.0	25.2%	10.5%	14.7%	3.4%	4.44	4.52	+0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	TB	37	0	39	165	38	21	5	0%	1.1	22.9%	12.6%	10.3%	2.9%	4.83	4.73	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	TB	54	0	57	241	56	28	7	0%	1.1	23.4%	11.4%	12.0%	2.9%	4.63	4.52	+0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	TB	64	0	67	283	67	30	8	0%	1.0	23.8%	10.6%	13.1%	2.9%	4.48	4.39	+0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	TB	69	0	72	304	73	32	9	0%	1.0	23.9%	10.5%	13.4%	2.9%	4.41	4.36	+0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	TB	70	0	74	312	75	33	9	0%	1.1	23.9%	10.6%	13.3%	2.9%	4.40	4.40	+0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	TB	70	0	73	308	79	31	9	0%	1.0	25.8%	9.9%	15.8%	3.0%	4.29	4.21	+0.3
2033	29	MLB CTX	TB	67	0	70	296	75	30	9	0%	1.0	25.5%	10.2%	15.4%	3.2%	4.32	4.34	+0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	TB	64	0	67	283	71	30	9	0%	1.0	25.2%	10.5%	14.7%	3.4%	4.44	4.52	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		495	0	520	2194	535	234	66	0%	1.0	24.4%	10.7%	13.7%	3.0%	4.45	4.03	+3.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	206	90	25	0%	1.1	24.4%	10.7%	13.7%	3.0%	4.45	4.03	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		32	10	79	331	62	63	1	31%	2.5	18.8%	18.9%	-0.1%	0.4%	2.52	4.12	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	25	200	842	158	159	3	31%	2.5	18.8%	18.9%	-0.1%	0.4%	2.52	4.12	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jacob Kuhn (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.05	22.0%	14.4%	2.9%	—	4.54	23.4%	11.8%	245	-0.51	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	90
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	84
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	82
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	399	82
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	82
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.76	23.1%	12.3%	156	-0.79	3.23	254	82
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	81
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	80
Eiberson Castellano R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SW	4.25	18.3%	14.1%	1.7%	.359	4.06	20.9%	10.7%	248	-0.19	3.67	383	79
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	79
Victor Simeon R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	22	SW	5.53	20.3%	15.7%	3.9%	.333	3.87	25.6%	5.4%	81	-1.66	3.22	180	79
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	79
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	79
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	79
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	78
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	78
Joel Garcia R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	19	SW	4.26	18.4%	13.0%	1.9%	.341	3.88	16.7%	9.5%	72	-0.38	3.02	104	77
Corey Black R 2015 · 4.19 FIP	23	SW	4.19	22.1%	13.9%	2.2%	.310	3.56	22.1%	6.0%	53	-0.63	3.56	139	77
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	77
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.3	73	24.2%	10.9%	1.15	4.50
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81