Jesus Bello — OGILVIE

Jesus BelloC DSL Rockies

Age 18 R/R 5'7" / 180 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .301 / .296

PA70

HR0

K%21

BB%7

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$10M	+$10M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.0	$9M	+$9M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.0	$9M	+$8M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+2.0	$8M	+$7M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+1.9	$7M	+$5M
2037	Arb-3	$8M	+1.8	$6M	+$4M
Totals		$21M		$50M	+$42M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	75	62	9	1	0	0	6	10	5	2	0	145	274	161	435	16	167	13	8	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	75	58	12	2	0	0	10	7	5	2	0	207	370	241	611	34	226	9	13	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	COL	—	70	63	13	2	0	0	5	15	2	1	0	206	286	238	524	32	289	21	7	277	70	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	COL	34%	163	146	34	5	1	2	12	35	4	2	1	233	309	322	631	89	291	21	7	286	77	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2028	20	MLB	COL	48%	308	274	65	11	2	4	24	65	7	4	1	237	315	336	651	99	293	21	8	293	82	-6	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.9
2029	21	MLB	COL	54%	419	373	89	15	2	6	33	89	10	5	1	239	317	338	655	99	294	21	8	297	86	-7	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.4
2030	22	MLB	COL	57%	499	445	106	17	3	8	39	105	12	6	2	238	317	344	660	106	295	21	8	301	88	-7	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.7
2031	23	MLB	COL	58%	520	461	111	18	3	8	41	109	13	7	2	241	320	345	665	104	296	21	8	303	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2032	24	MLB	COL	57%	520	461	111	18	3	8	41	109	13	7	2	241	320	345	665	104	296	21	8	304	91	-5	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2033	25	MLB	COL	57%	520	461	112	18	3	9	41	109	13	7	2	243	322	354	676	111	297	21	8	305	92	-5	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2034	26	MLB	COL	57%	520	461	112	18	3	9	41	109	13	7	2	243	322	354	676	111	296	21	8	306	92	-5	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2035	27	MLB	COL	55%	520	460	112	18	3	9	42	109	13	7	2	243	324	354	679	111	296	21	8	306	92	-5	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2036	28	MLB	COL	55%	520	460	111	18	3	9	42	110	13	6	2	241	322	352	675	111	296	21	8	305	91	-5	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.9
2037	29	MLB	COL	58%	520	459	110	18	3	8	43	111	13	6	1	240	322	344	667	105	295	21	8	303	90	-6	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.8
2038	30	MLB	COL	60%	520	459	110	18	3	8	43	112	13	5	1	240	322	344	667	105	294	22	8	300	88	-7	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.6
2039	31	MLB	COL	62%	504	446	106	17	3	8	41	110	12	4	1	238	319	343	662	105	291	22	8	296	85	-9	+0	-3	+9	+14	1.2
2040	32	MLB	COL	63%	489	434	100	16	2	7	40	109	12	4	1	230	313	325	638	94	288	22	8	290	80	-11	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.9
2041	33	MLB	COL	63%	473	421	94	14	2	6	38	108	11	3	1	223	304	309	613	86	284	23	8	284	75	-13	+0	-4	+8	+13	0.5
2042	34	MLB	COL	59%	430	382	83	12	2	5	35	101	10	2	0	217	300	298	598	81	279	23	8	276	69	-15	+0	-5	+8	+12	0.0
2043	35	MLB	COL	54%	368	328	69	9	2	4	29	89	8	1	0	210	290	287	577	76	273	24	8	267	62	-16	+0	-6	+7	+10	-0.4
2027	19	MLB	COL	34%	56	51	12	2	0	1	4	12	1	1	0	235	304	333	637	98	312	21	7	286	77	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB	COL	48%	149	133	34	6	1	2	11	32	4	2	0	256	331	361	692	105	314	21	7	293	83	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2029	21	MLB	COL	54%	227	201	52	9	1	4	18	48	6	3	1	259	338	373	711	114	315	21	8	298	86	-3	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.7
2030	22	MLB	COL	57%	282	251	65	11	2	5	22	60	7	4	1	259	336	378	714	120	316	21	8	302	89	-3	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.0
2031	23	MLB	COL	58%	299	266	69	12	2	5	24	63	7	4	1	259	337	376	713	117	317	21	8	304	91	-3	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2032	24	MLB	COL	57%	296	264	69	12	2	6	23	62	7	4	1	261	337	390	727	129	318	21	8	306	92	-3	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.2
2033	25	MLB	COL	57%	295	263	69	12	2	6	23	62	7	4	1	262	338	392	730	129	318	21	8	307	93	-2	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.2
2034	26	MLB	COL	57%	294	262	69	12	2	6	23	62	7	4	1	263	339	393	732	130	318	21	8	308	94	-2	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.2
2035	27	MLB	COL	55%	289	257	67	11	2	6	23	61	7	4	1	261	338	389	727	128	318	21	8	308	94	-2	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.2
2036	28	MLB	COL	55%	286	254	66	11	2	6	23	61	7	3	1	260	338	390	728	130	317	21	8	306	93	-2	+0	-0	+5	+8	1.1
2037	29	MLB	COL	58%	302	267	70	12	2	6	25	64	7	3	1	262	341	390	731	127	316	21	8	304	91	-3	+0	-1	+5	+9	1.1
2038	30	MLB	COL	60%	313	276	71	12	2	6	26	68	8	3	1	257	339	380	719	123	315	22	8	301	89	-4	+0	-1	+6	+9	1.0
2039	31	MLB	COL	62%	311	276	69	11	2	5	25	68	7	3	1	250	328	359	687	109	312	22	8	297	85	-5	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.8
2040	32	MLB	COL	63%	307	272	68	11	2	5	25	68	7	2	1	250	329	360	689	110	309	22	8	291	81	-7	+0	-2	+5	+9	0.5
2041	33	MLB	COL	63%	300	266	64	10	2	4	24	68	7	2	0	241	320	338	658	98	305	23	8	284	75	-8	+0	-3	+5	+8	0.3
2042	34	MLB	COL	59%	254	226	52	8	1	3	20	60	6	1	0	230	310	314	624	84	299	24	8	275	69	-9	+0	-3	+5	+7	0.0
2043	35	MLB	COL	54%	200	177	40	6	1	2	16	48	5	1	0	226	308	305	613	79	292	24	8	265	61	-9	+0	-3	+4	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4460	3962	1006	168	28	78	355	967	107	48	12	254	332	370	701	116	316	22	8	298	86	-71	+5	-15	+80	+126	12.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	146	24	4	11	52	141	16	7	2	253	332	366	697	113	315	22	8	298	86	-10	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.8
Career	—			—	7958	7056	1657	263	43	118	636	1714	197	86	22	235	316	334	650	100	292	22	8	296	85	-139	+8	-25	+142	+225	21.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	136	21	4	10	52	140	16	7	2	236	317	339	655	102	293	22	8	296	85	-11	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	75	58	12	2	0	0	10	7	5	2	0	207	370	241	611	34	226	9	13	297	85	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brian Schneiderlast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,522 PA	12	3,522	66	4	246	319	367	+54	+84	21.4	20.8
	/162	664	12	1	246	319	367	+10.3	+15.8	4.0	pk7: 20
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#4Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	12	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
	/162	664	14	3	250	308	370	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	4,532	67	47	236	313	337	+74	+44	13.0	10.4
	/162	664	10	7	236	313	337	+10.8	+6.4	1.9	pk7: 8
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Bello (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	226/301/296	71	289	0	1	21%	7%	70	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Edward Duran 2022 · A	18	49→45	37→40	49→50	46	231/297/312	81	291	3	9	21%	7%	72	-0.2	217/290/287	70	281	2	8	22%	8%	63	-0.9	225/304/305	79	304	5	8	25%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→55	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	53	-1.5	241/286/357	116	275	12	5	17%	5%	79	+0.3	241/284/373	131	274	16	5	18%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Luis Santana 2017 · A	18	47	37→45	44→50	44	220/273/299	79	265	3	5	18%	5%	58	-1.2	249/318/344	95	286	6	10	14%	7%	89	+0.9	242/312/345	102	286	8	12	17%	6%	83	+0.2
●Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/279/361	133	299	12	12	27%	6%	77	+0.1	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	71	-0.3	236/280/312	76	293	3	12	19%	5%	63	-0.8	270/315/371	102	328	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
✕Ivan Ramirez 2010 · A	18	50	38→40	50→40	43	235/293/316	81	288	5	5	20%	5%	71	-0.3	244/294/308	64	287	3	3	15%	6%	69	-0.4	263/310/310	48	297	2	1	12%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→51	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	74	-0.1	209/280/297	88	296	5	4	29%	7%	61	-1.0	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	45	38→45	46→55	49	211/291/293	83	275	4	8	23%	9%	65	-0.7	213/293/327	114	268	10	14	23%	8%	75	-0.0	214/280/327	113	274	11	12	25%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Sebastian Valle 2008 · A	18	46→49	38→50	43→40	49	216/286/302	86	264	5	6	20%	8%	65	-0.7	209/261/312	103	271	8	4	25%	5%	56	-1.3	229/281/373	143	303	16	2	29%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	50	36→40	44→45	50	231/310/298	67	290	3	8	20%	8%	74	-0.1	208/273/281	73	275	4	5	24%	8%	53	-1.5	208/262/276	68	271	6	4	24%	7%	43	-0.5
✕Luis Alvarez 2008 · A	18	43	39→45	45	45	208/273/291	82	251	7	4	20%	6%	56	-1.3	229/300/339	110	282	10	5	21%	7%	81	+0.4	228/295/347	119	269	13	3	20%	6%	77	+0.0
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→47	36→55	49→30	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	43	-2.2	204/277/283	79	275	6	5	26%	8%	56	-1.3	231/286/395	164	298	21	0	29%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Francisco Herrera 2012 · A	18	46	40→45	47→30	49	220/280/315	95	261	7	8	19%	7%	66	-0.6	225/284/324	99	267	9	5	19%	6%	69	-0.4	225/284/320	95	260	10	3	17%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Juan Castillo 2008 · A	18	47	37→45	50→40	50	220/283/289	69	255	5	5	16%	7%	59	-1.1	224/283/316	92	265	8	5	18%	6%	67	-0.5	225/268/312	87	275	7	2	20%	5%	57	-0.4