Diego Castro

P DSL Tampa Bay

Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 190 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Tampa Bay	12	7	40	4.99	4.44	16.4%	11.1%	—	K 11.1% · BB 13.9% · FIP 5.81
2026	19	ROKDSL Tampa Bay	20	0	31	7.34	4.18	15.8%	15.1%	—	K 10.7% · BB 18.8% · FIP 5.11
2027PROJ	20	MLB—	19	0	20	5.61	5.61	17.4%	15.7%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLB—	17	0	18	5.31	5.19	18.9%	13.7%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsWill Kobos (age 20) · Over Galue (age 20) · Michael Perez (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 123

ERA5.61

FIP5.61

K%17.4%

BB%15.7%

K-BB%1.7%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	12	7	40	171	28	19	4	58%	3.3	11.1%	13.9%	-2.8%	3.4%	4.99	5.81	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	12	7	40	171	28	19	4	58%	3.3	11.1%	13.9%	-2.8%	3.4%	4.99	5.81	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	12	7	40	171	28	19	4	58%	3.3	16.4%	11.1%	5.3%	2.3%	4.99	4.44	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	20	0	31	146	23	22	1	0%	1.5	10.7%	18.8%	-8.1%	1.0%	7.34	5.11	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	20	0	31	146	23	22	1	0%	1.5	10.7%	18.8%	-8.1%	1.0%	7.34	5.11	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	20	0	31	146	23	22	1	0%	1.5	15.8%	15.1%	0.7%	0.7%	7.34	4.18	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	—	19	0	20	84	15	13	2	0%	1.1	17.4%	15.7%	1.7%	2.9%	5.61	5.61	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	36	0	38	158	30	22	5	0%	1.0	18.9%	13.7%	5.3%	2.9%	5.31	5.19	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	17	0	18	76	14	10	2	0%	1.1	18.9%	13.7%	5.3%	2.9%	5.31	5.19	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	0	18	78	15	11	2	0%	1.0	18.9%	13.7%	5.3%	2.9%	5.31	4.81	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	119	22	0%	1.1	18.9%	13.7%	5.3%	2.9%	5.31	4.81	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		32	7	70	317	35	51	7	22%	2.2	10.9%	16.2%	-5.2%	2.3%	6.01	5.49	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		91	20	200	901	99	146	21	22%	2.2	10.9%	16.2%	-5.2%	2.3%	6.01	5.49	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Diego Castro (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.61	17.4%	15.7%	2.9%	—	5.19	18.9%	5.3%	38	-0.42	—	—	—
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	89
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	89
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	87
Alejandro Méndez R 2021 · 5.70 FIP	20	SU	5.70	14.6%	14.5%	3.6%	.321	5.60	15.8%	-7.5%	91	-0.10	4.65	136	86
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	86
David Landeta R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	20	SU	5.04	14.5%	15.3%	2.2%	.353	3.86	16.8%	-0.4%	64	-1.18	3.64	111	86
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	84
Ismael Aquino R 2019 · 4.89 FIP	20	SU	4.89	17.0%	16.5%	2.1%	.354	5.58	14.1%	-1.5%	14	+0.69	3.99	122	84
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	84
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	83
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	83
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	83
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	83
Juan Burgos R 2019 · 4.75 FIP	19	SW	4.75	15.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.292	4.38	17.7%	0.8%	58	-0.37	3.50	284	83
Luis Almonte R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	20	SU	4.51	15.5%	15.9%	1.3%	.286	2.93	25.7%	19.4%	52	-1.58	2.20	105	83
Miguel Guerrero R 2021 · 5.00 FIP	21	SU	5.00	16.4%	12.9%	3.0%	.349	4.96	17.5%	5.4%	115	-0.04	4.56	171	82
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	82
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	82
Sunayro Martina R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	20	SW	4.57	16.3%	16.9%	1.3%	.305	5.69	13.9%	-4.9%	71	+1.12	4.57	118	82
Jose Pena Jr. R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	20	SU	6.67	13.6%	25.8%	2.6%	.292	3.81	22.3%	9.1%	116	-2.86	3.48	176	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	18.4%	14.4%	1.12	5.41
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*