Jeferson Villabona

Jeferson Villabona P Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 25 RHP 5'11" / 176 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 10 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.41

FIP4.41

K%23.0%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%13.1%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	24	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	19	0	18	72	23	6	0	0%	1.0	21.7%	10.4%	11.3%	0.0%	1.96	2.59	—
2025	24	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	19	0	18	72	23	6	0	0%	1.0	21.7%	10.4%	11.3%	0.0%	1.96	2.59	—
2025	24	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	19	0	18	72	23	6	0	0%	1.0	31.9%	8.3%	23.6%	0.0%	1.96	1.57	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	32	0	47	219	43	25	8	0%	1.5	15.1%	13.4%	1.7%	4.1%	5.70	5.78	—
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	32	0	47	219	43	25	8	0%	1.5	15.1%	13.4%	1.7%	4.1%	5.70	5.78	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	ROK RAW	SD	1	0	1	4	0	0	1	0%	1.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	25.0%	9.00	16.82	—
2026	25	A RAW	SD	10	0	21	87	20	4	2	0%	2.1	23.0%	4.6%	18.4%	2.3%	3.86	3.00	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	SD	21	0	25	128	23	21	5	0%	1.2	18.0%	16.4%	1.6%	3.9%	7.11	5.80	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SD	44	0	46	196	46	19	6	0%	1.1	23.3%	9.8%	13.4%	2.9%	4.39	4.38	+0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	SD	44	0	46	193	45	19	6	0%	1.0	23.3%	9.8%	13.4%	3.0%	4.40	4.41	+0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	SD	42	0	44	187	43	19	6	0%	1.1	23.1%	10.0%	13.2%	3.1%	4.45	4.49	+0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	SD	19	0	20	84	20	8	2	0%	1.1	23.3%	9.8%	13.4%	2.9%	4.39	4.38	+0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	SD	28	0	29	122	28	12	4	0%	1.0	23.3%	9.8%	13.4%	3.0%	4.40	4.41	+0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	SD	31	0	33	139	32	14	4	0%	1.1	23.1%	10.0%	13.2%	3.1%	4.45	4.49	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		78	0	82	346	80	34	10	0%	1.1	23.2%	9.9%	13.3%	3.0%	4.42	4.05	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	195	83	24	0%	1.0	23.2%	9.9%	13.3%	3.0%	4.42	4.05	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		51	0	66	291	49	37	9	0%	1.3	16.8%	12.7%	4.1%	3.1%	4.66	4.99	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		155	0	200	886	148	112	27	0%	1.3	16.8%	12.7%	4.1%	3.1%	4.66	4.99	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeferson Villabona (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.41	23.0%	9.9%	2.9%	—	4.43	23.2%	13.3%	136	+0.02	—	—	—
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	90
Blake Goldsberry R 2022 · 3.43 FIP	25	SU	3.43	23.6%	8.3%	2.3%	.257	5.26	23.6%	12.0%	44	+1.83	3.43	117	87
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	87
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.36	22.2%	13.5%	185	+0.63	3.73	223	87
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	86
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	86
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	84
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	84
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	84
Mitchell Stumpo R 2021 · 3.97 FIP	25	SU	3.97	25.6%	8.0%	3.7%	.299	5.27	22.4%	6.8%	121	+1.30	3.97	158	84
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	84
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.58	19.9%	3.7%	131	+0.74	3.70	201	83
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	83
Roman Mendez R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	25	SU	4.31	19.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.275	4.52	20.2%	10.4%	118	+0.21	4.12	230	82
Dakota Donovan R 2022 · 3.44 FIP	25	SU	3.44	21.9%	10.3%	1.6%	.291	3.65	18.9%	6.4%	50	+0.21	3.15	153	82
Matt Ramsey R 2017 · 3.25 FIP	27	SU	3.25	24.2%	9.6%	1.8%	.330	3.21	23.6%	14.6%	81	-0.04	2.42	125	82
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	82
Matt Carasiti R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	22.2%	7.6%	2.7%	.313	3.36	23.4%	12.8%	93	-0.32	2.80	312	81
Tyler Mitzel R 2021 · 4.03 FIP	25	SU	4.03	20.8%	12.0%	2.1%	.323	4.14	23.4%	17.9%	58	+0.11	4.03	142	81
Trey McLoughlin R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	23.7%	8.4%	3.0%	.295	4.59	20.8%	8.4%	121	+0.80	3.77	244	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	37	23.2%	9.9%	1.16	4.41
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33