Owen Hull

OF Greenville Drive

Age 23 L/R A+ HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2086ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	22	A+BOS	117	.337/.440/.531	3	1	124	—	.298/.371/.471
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBBOS	227	.231/.299/.359	5	4	86	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBBOS	32	.240/.308/.374	1	1	88	0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBBOS	73	.241/.309/.377	2	2	89	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

wOBA94

wRC+94

K%94

Z-Con%89

Whiff%76

ISO70

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 5.1, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 75%

CompsTristan Peters (age 23) · Drew Avans (age 23) · Ezequiel Pagan (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj PA

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .296 / .356

PA61

HR1

K%25

BB%8

ISO128

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	117	98	33	10	0	3	16	17	2	1	5	337	440	531	970	194	380	15	14	426	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	117	104	31	9	0	3	10	22	2	1	5	298	371	471	842	173	338	19	9	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	117	104	31	9	0	3	10	22	2	1	5	298	371	471	842	173	350	19	9	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	—	117	98	33	10	0	3	16	17	2	1	5	337	440	531	970	194	380	15	14	426	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	117	104	31	9	0	3	10	22	2	1	5	298	371	471	842	173	338	19	9	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	117	104	31	9	0	3	10	22	2	1	5	298	371	471	842	173	338	19	9	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	227	206	48	10	1	5	17	56	2	4	2	231	299	359	657	128	292	25	7	295	86	-4	+0	-0	-1	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	BOS	30%	104	94	21	5	0	2	8	26	1	2	1	232	301	364	664	131	292	25	8	298	88	-2	+0	-0	-1	+2	0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	BOS	44%	166	150	35	7	1	4	13	41	2	4	2	233	302	367	669	133	292	25	8	299	89	-2	+0	-0	-1	+4	0.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	BOS	51%	226	204	48	10	1	5	18	55	2	5	2	234	303	368	671	135	292	24	8	300	89	-3	+0	-0	-1	+5	0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	BOS	52%	265	239	56	12	1	6	21	65	3	6	3	233	303	368	670	134	291	25	8	300	89	-3	+0	-0	-2	+6	0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	290	262	61	13	1	7	23	71	3	6	3	232	301	365	666	133	291	24	8	299	88	-4	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.0
2033	29	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	297	269	61	13	1	6	23	74	3	6	3	230	299	359	657	129	289	25	8	295	86	-5	+0	-2	-2	+6	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	BOS	30%	32	30	8	2	0	1	2	8	0	1	0	240	308	374	682	135	303	25	6	305	88	-0	+0	-0	-0	+1	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	BOS	44%	73	66	16	4	0	2	6	18	1	2	1	241	309	377	686	137	303	25	8	307	89	-1	+0	-0	-0	+2	0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	BOS	51%	115	104	25	6	0	3	9	28	1	3	1	241	309	379	688	138	303	24	8	308	89	-1	+0	-0	-1	+2	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	BOS	52%	139	126	31	7	1	3	11	34	1	3	2	241	309	378	688	138	302	24	8	307	89	-2	-0	-0	-1	+3	0.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	155	140	34	8	1	3	12	38	2	3	2	239	308	376	684	136	301	25	8	306	88	-2	-0	-0	-1	+3	-0.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	156	141	34	8	1	3	12	39	2	3	2	237	305	369	674	132	300	25	8	302	86	-3	-0	-1	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	670	607	148	35	3	15	52	165	7	15	8	244	311	386	696	142	309	25	8	305	91	-10	-0	-1	-4	+15	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	144	34	3	15	50	160	7	15	8	244	311	389	700	144	309	25	8	305	91	-9	-0	-1	-4	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1526	1377	325	72	5	34	121	369	17	31	20	236	306	370	675	134	297	24	8	302	91	-20	+0	-3	-8	+31	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	138	31	2	14	52	157	7	13	9	235	305	366	672	131	296	24	8	302	91	-9	+0	-1	-4	+14	-0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Greenville Drive · 117 PAwOBA .419 → .351 (−67)K% 14.5% → 19.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.53%	÷1.000	×1.310	—	—	19.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.68%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.012	8.30%
HBP% /PA	1.71%	—	×0.770	—	×1.012	1.33%
Singles /BIP	24.69%	÷1.000	×0.870	×1.050	×1.012	22.83%
Doubles /BIP	12.35%	÷1.000	×0.780	×1.050	×1.012	10.23%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.850	×1.050	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.70%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×1.012	3.30%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .419 → .351; ISO .194 → .171; BABIP .380 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Larry Stahl'64-'73 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,889 PA	2.8	1,889	36	22	235*	297*	387*	-16	+11	2.4	2.9
/162	664	13	8	-5.5	+3.9	0.8	pk7: 4
#4Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.0	670	15	15	233	299	366	-4	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	15	15	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Owen Hull (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	229/296/356	127	292	1	1	25%	8%	86	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Tristan Peters 2023 · AA	23	48→53	43→50	53→50	49	229/296/351	122	291	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.1	231/299/350	119	288	9	12	22%	8%	84	+0.2	233/307/367	134	284	11	9	21%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Drew Avans 2019 · A	23	45→55	48→45	56→60	49	227/298/370	142	278	15	18	24%	8%	88	+0.5	228/287/350	122	318	12	22	30%	7%	80	-0.2	235/311/348	112	327	7	30	28%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2023 · A	23	48→54	45	52→50	44	239/289/363	124	283	12	9	20%	5%	84	+0.1	225/275/326	101	275	10	11	21%	5%	70	-0.9	214/263/307	93	263	9	11	22%	4%	58	-1.0
✕Tucker Bradley 2022 · A	24	48→52	41→45	54→50	46	227/298/334	107	309	8	11	28%	8%	80	-0.1	243/308/371	128	315	11	15	25%	8%	93	+0.8	250/316/388	137	318	12	17	24%	8%	97	+0.7
✕Matt Cogen 2019 · A	23	46	47→55	54→40	46	229/290/368	139	282	13	5	24%	7%	85	+0.2	203/264/287	84	285	6	5	29%	7%	57	-1.8	160/223/197	36	238	0	2	30%	7%	19	-1.4
✕Richie Palacios 2021 · A	24	48→54	45	52→55	43	235/285/356	121	299	12	11	26%	6%	80	-0.1	246/322/372	126	302	9	18	20%	9%	98	+1.2	244/325/374	130	290	10	17	18%	9%	98	+0.9
✕Nick Loftin 2022 · A	23	46→53	45	53→50	48	228/293/356	128	271	11	11	20%	7%	84	+0.1	235/299/357	122	275	13	14	19%	7%	86	+0.3	231/320/355	124	264	10	10	16%	10%	94	+0.6
✕Wenceel Pérez 2023 · AA	23	48→49	47→55	58→55	46	236/291/382	145	287	12	16	22%	7%	88	+0.5	236/299/378	142	289	13	17	22%	8%	91	+0.6	236/303/381	146	287	14	17	22%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Joe McCarthy 2017 · A	23	48→51	42→45	51→50	51	232/316/340	108	294	9	14	23%	9%	89	+0.5	224/311/350	126	295	10	12	25%	10%	89	+0.5	204/287/361	156	270	18	5	30%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Troy Montgomery 2018 · AA	23	47→56	43→40	51→50	47	228/290/338	111	289	10	13	24%	8%	78	-0.3	229/298/316	87	319	6	12	27%	9%	76	-0.4	251/326/321	70	360	2	15	28%	10%	86	+0.2
✕Nate Tenbrink 2010 · A	23	47→53	42→50	52→50	42	229/285/341	112	304	9	9	27%	6%	77	-0.3	232/300/373	141	306	13	16	27%	8%	90	+0.6	231/305/387	157	304	15	20	27%	8%	93	+0.4
✕Sam Hilliard 2016 · A	22	45→49	44→55	54→55	44	219/281/347	128	305	10	11	30%	8%	76	-0.4	211/262/318	107	335	10	18	38%	6%	63	-1.4	208/281/383	175	283	19	18	32%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Matthew Spencer 2009 · A	23	47→49	45→50	51→45	40	232/279/357	125	300	13	9	27%	5%	78	-0.3	231/275/375	144	284	17	7	24%	5%	82	-0.0	223/267/372	148	269	18	7	24%	5%	76	-0.3
●Ka'ai Tom 2018 · A	24	45→49	43→55	52→50	46	220/281/340	120	278	10	15	24%	7%	75	-0.5	233/296/390	157	299	16	10	26%	7%	93	+0.8	221/294/380	160	285	17	7	28%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Michael Guldberg 2022 · A	23	45	44→45	55	44	222/290/341	119	280	12	16	24%	7%	80	-0.2	214/272/298	84	283	6	12	25%	6%	62	-1.4	205/259/264	60	274	3	10	25%	6%	47	-0.7
●Tim Wheeler 2011 · A	23	44→54	44→50	50	43	217/279/332	116	278	12	14	26%	6%	73	-0.6	242/297/373	131	316	13	13	26%	6%	89	+0.5	247/301/371	124	324	12	13	26%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	42→48	48→55	52→55	44	215/274/360	145	274	16	12	28%	7%	78	-0.3	228/295/388	160	293	16	20	27%	8%	92	+0.7	227/300/392	165	291	17	22	27%	9%	94	+0.7
✕Casey Craig 2008 · AA	23	49→51	45	50	47	242/302/367	125	298	12	14	23%	7%	89	+0.5	235/288/335	100	299	8	16	23%	6%	76	-0.4	236/281/315	79	301	6	19	23%	5%	68	-0.7
●Sterlin Thompson 2024 · AA	23	48→58	47→50	52→50	43	238/297/373	135	302	14	14	26%	6%	90	+0.6	241/312/380	139	313	14	13	26%	7%	97	+1.1	249/331/393	144	321	14	15	25%	8%	103	+1.3
✕Brock Stassi 2013 · A	23	45→55	42→45	51→45	47	218/276/326	108	271	9	9	23%	7%	70	-0.8	235/285/330	95	277	7	7	17%	6%	74	-0.6	237/307/363	127	275	13	1	18%	9%	90	+0.4

Owen Hull

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps