Starlin Mieses

OF FCL Orioles
Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202517ROKDSL Orioles B…171.280/.464/.42421370—.178/.339/.259
202618ROKBAL89.114/.295/.12901-12—.079/.205/.092
2027PROJMLE19MLBBAL199.188/.278/.2652457-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLBBAL36.197/.286/.2860163-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
BB%68
Speed20
Whiff%9
Chase%8
K%5
ISO4
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsRobert Gonzalez (age 20) · Alejandro Hodge (age 19) · Esteban Mejia (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj PA
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .275 / .263
PA49
HR0
K%31
BB%10
ISO77
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +1.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202517 ROKDSL Orioles Black — 171125 35632 38395 135 280464424888 144393 2322 401 70 — — — — — —
202618 ROKFCL Orioles — 8970 8100 16322 10 114295129424 14211 3618 228 -12 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 171135 24421 28495 135 178339259599 81248 2916 271 70 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 8976 6100 10462 10 7920592297 13183 5211 150 -12 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 171135 24421 28495 135 178339259599 81271 2916 271 70 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Orioles Black — 171125 35632 38395 135 280464424888 144393 2322 401 70 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 8976 6100 10462 10 7920592297 13200 5211 150 -12 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAWFCL Orioles — 8970 8100 16322 10 114295129424 14211 3618 228 -12 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 171136 24421 28495 135 176339257597 81248 2916 271 70 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 8977 6100 10462 10 7820591295 13183 5211 150 -12 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 171136 24421 28495 135 176339257597 81248 2916 271 70 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 8977 6100 10462 10 7820591295 13183 5211 150 -12 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLEBAL 0% 199175 33522 19623 41 188278265543 77278 3110 253 57 -10 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLEBAL 34% 10593 18311 10321 21 194283280564 86280 3010 261 63 -5 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.3
202820 MLB CTXBAL 34% 3633 6100 3110 10 197286286572 89284 318 264 63 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3633 6100 3110 10 182250212462 30273 318 264 49 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650596 1081800 541990 180 181249211461 30272 318 264 49 -29 +4 +0 -4 +14 -1.5
Career— MLE — 414347 55932 531429 176 159286219505 61260 3413 240 49 -7 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650545 861453 8322314 279 158285218503 61259 3413 240 49 -30 +1 +0 -4 +14 -2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Orioles · 89 PAwOBA .223 → .150 (−74)K% 36.0% → 51.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.96%÷1.000×1.440——51.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.98%÷1.000×0.620—×1.02211.40%
HBP% /PA2.25%—×0.720—×1.0221.65%
Singles /BIP18.42%÷1.000×0.820×1.050×1.02216.22%
Doubles /BIP2.63%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×1.0222.03%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .223 → .150; ISO .014 → .009; BABIP .211 → .183. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Orioles Black · 171 PAwOBA .393 → .271 (−121)K% 22.8% → 28.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.81%÷0.968×1.220——28.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.22%÷0.972×0.700—×1.02216.37%
HBP% /PA2.92%—×0.700—×1.0222.09%
Singles /BIP27.91%÷1.000×0.680×0.950×1.02218.44%
Doubles /BIP6.98%÷1.043×0.600×0.950×1.0223.90%
Triples /BIP3.49%÷0.964×0.600×0.950×1.0222.11%
Home runs /BIP2.33%÷0.823×0.470—×1.0221.36%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 100, 2B 109, 3B 93, K 94, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .393 → .271; ISO .144 → .088; BABIP .393 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).