Starlin Mieses — OGILVIE

Starlin MiesesOF FCL Orioles

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION87 act + 58 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.157 / .259 / .235

PA58

HR1

K%36

BB%10

BABIP241

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	171	138	26	4	2	2	25	60	5	13	5	188	333	290	623	101	316	35	15	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	171	125	35	6	3	2	38	39	5	13	5	280	464	424	888	144	393	23	22	401	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	BAL	—	87	74	6	1	0	0	10	45	2	1	0	81	209	95	304	14	207	52	11	151	-26	-12	+0	+0	-1	+2	-1.0
YTD	18	ROK	BAL	—	87	68	8	1	0	0	16	31	2	1	0	118	302	132	435	15	216	36	18	233	36	-6	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
ROS	18	ROK	BAL	0%	58	51	8	1	0	1	6	21	1	1	0	157	259	235	494	78	270	36	10	241	43	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
ROS	18	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		274	—	—	233	36	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	BAL	—	87	75	6	1	0	0	10	45	2	1	0	80	209	93	303	13	200	52	11	151	-26	-12	+0	+0	-1	+2	-1.0
TOT	18	ROK	BAL	—	145	125	14	2	0	1	16	66	3	2	0	112	229	152	381	40	224	46	11	187	1	-16	+0	+0	-1	+4	-1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	BAL	34%	230	202	36	6	1	3	23	78	3	5	1	178	272	262	534	84	275	34	10	254	53	-12	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.7
2028	20	MLB	BAL	48%	361	316	60	10	2	6	36	118	6	8	2	190	285	291	576	101	278	33	10	264	60	-16	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.7
2027	19	MLB	BAL	34%	79	70	12	2	0	1	8	27	1	2	0	171	266	243	509	71	279	34	10	246	47	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
2028	20	MLB	BAL	48%	175	153	30	5	1	3	17	57	3	4	1	196	289	301	590	105	282	33	10	256	54	-9	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	254	224	42	7	1	4	25	84	4	6	1	188	282	281	563	94	277	33	10	253	52	-14	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	108	18	3	10	64	215	10	15	3	188	283	283	565	94	279	33	10	253	52	-36	+2	+0	-4	+18	-2.0
Career	—			—	820	707	130	21	5	12	90	277	15	27	8	184	289	279	568	95	280	34	11	263	60	-37	+2	+0	-5	+23	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	560	104	17	4	10	71	220	12	21	6	186	290	284	574	98	283	34	11	263	60	-30	+2	+0	-4	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	171	125	35	6	3	2	38	39	5	13	5	280	464	424	888	144	393	23	22	401	165	+13	+1	—	—	+5	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	397	5	8	189	278	281	-2	+0	-1.0	-0.5
	/162	664	9	14	189	278	281	-4.0	+0.0	-1.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Starlin Mieses (OGILVIE)	18	40	30	60	60	112/229/152	40	224	1	2	46%	11%	1	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Curtney Doran 2010 · A	18	39	37→30	51→55	48	184/277/259	75	284	4	16	34%	10%	51	-1.7	188/294/266	78	272	4	10	29%	12%	60	-1.0	154/290/223	68	217	3	8	26%	15%	49	-0.9
✕Marco Soto 2022 · A	18	41	36→30	52→50	41	195/262/260	64	278	3	10	29%	6%	44	-2.1	202/257/256	54	271	2	8	25%	5%	40	-2.4	184/237/220	36	252	1	8	26%	5%	21	-0.9
✕Olivber Moreno 2019 · A	18	40	36→40	52→50	41	192/248/253	61	272	3	13	29%	6%	36	-2.7	198/268/274	76	279	6	11	29%	7%	50	-1.7	203/284/283	80	254	7	13	21%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Antonio Tovar 2014 · A	18	40	34→30	53→45	47	187/263/237	50	262	2	14	27%	9%	38	-2.6	205/274/264	59	266	2	10	22%	8%	50	-1.8	206/272/262	56	259	3	9	20%	8%	46	-0.8
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44→45	38→40	55→60	45	206/289/290	83	281	5	13	27%	8%	63	-0.8	190/255/255	65	322	4	20	39%	6%	40	-2.4	197/270/275	78	320	7	32	37%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Samuel Gil 2023 · A	18	42	39→30	52→50	45	203/268/289	86	274	5	9	27%	7%	54	-1.4	207/283/272	65	284	4	8	26%	9%	56	-1.3	198/287/247	50	267	2	9	24%	10%	48	-1.0
✕Mc Gregory Contreras 2017 · A	18	43	38→40	51→50	45	199/283/285	86	299	4	9	32%	9%	59	-1.1	197/253/285	88	333	6	7	40%	6%	46	-2.0	171/210/251	81	319	7	3	47%	4%	15	-1.1
✕Adalfi Almonte 2014 · A	18	39	41→40	51→50	47	187/275/288	101	276	7	11	32%	10%	57	-1.2	191/286/274	83	275	6	12	30%	9%	59	-1.1	175/285/243	68	254	5	14	29%	10%	49	-0.6
✕Juan Bidau 2018 · A	18	43	38→30	51→45	45	205/264/288	83	267	5	10	24%	7%	51	-1.7	200/272/268	68	246	3	8	18%	8%	50	-1.7	187/267/247	59	225	2	7	16%	8%	42	-0.9
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Angel Jimenez 2013 · A	18	41	40	50	46	197/271/292	95	275	8	10	30%	9%	56	-1.3	201/274/294	93	261	8	12	25%	8%	59	-1.1	190/263/280	89	241	8	13	23%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Angel Aponte 2018 · A	18	43	40→45	53→55	42	206/274/301	94	284	6	13	28%	6%	59	-1.1	206/265/304	98	285	8	19	29%	6%	56	-1.3	202/262/292	90	286	7	25	30%	6%	50	-0.7
✕Cristian Encarnacion 2015 · A	18	45	38→40	53→55	38	211/256/297	87	308	4	7	32%	6%	50	-1.8	196/284/280	84	270	4	14	27%	8%	59	-1.1	175/277/254	80	241	4	18	26%	8%	50	-0.7
✕Gilbert Gomez 2010 · A	18	43→35	38→40	55→50	49	202/285/284	82	286	5	23	29%	10%	60	-1.0	200/262/286	86	282	5	13	29%	7%	50	-1.7	202/261/288	86	281	5	10	28%	6%	46	-0.8
✕Roger Avello 2013 · A	18	41	38→30	50	42	197/263/274	77	286	5	10	31%	7%	47	-1.9	201/258/260	59	288	2	13	29%	6%	41	-2.3	199/252/244	45	279	0	18	27%	5%	31	-0.9
✕Simon Juan 2023 · A	18	38	38→45	56→50	38	183/245/263	80	272	5	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	188/242/284	96	295	9	9	37%	6%	41	-2.3	186/239/293	108	289	12	10	38%	6%	40	-1.0
✕Leandro Arias 2023 · A	18	40	38→30	51→45	43	188/262/268	80	284	4	11	33%	8%	46	-2.0	199/267/280	81	262	6	10	25%	7%	51	-1.7	199/277/263	64	267	6	7	25%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Ruben Santana 2023 · A	18	47→38	37→40	57→50	47	217/298/294	77	317	4	16	30%	9%	68	-0.5	195/266/278	83	300	5	10	34%	8%	50	-1.7	172/246/248	76	271	5	10	36%	8%	33	-1.8
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	45→46	38→45	55→60	46	212/281/288	76	301	6	19	30%	8%	59	-1.1	193/251/266	73	311	6	18	37%	7%	40	-2.4	212/279/312	100	297	8	33	29%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Rafael P Valera 2013 · A	18	43	35→30	48→55	46	201/273/256	55	281	2	11	27%	8%	47	-1.9	206/289/259	53	271	1	14	22%	9%	56	-1.3	212/285/276	64	296	0	7	26%	8%	54	-0.4