Jose Lavagnino — OGILVIE

Jose LavagninoC DSL NYY Yankees

Age 19 L/R 5'9" / 205 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 65 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .285 / .311

PA6

HR0

K%27

BB%8

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$32M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.3M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	67	54	13	2	0	2	12	12	0	1	1	241	379	389	768	148	268	18	18	347	121	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	67	59	8	1	0	1	7	17	0	1	1	136	227	203	431	68	182	25	10	226	39	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	67	59	8	1	0	1	7	17	0	1	1	136	227	203	431	68	167	25	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	67	54	13	2	0	2	12	12	0	1	1	241	379	389	768	148	268	18	18	347	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	67	60	8	1	0	1	7	17	0	1	1	133	227	200	427	67	182	25	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	67	60	8	1	0	1	7	17	0	1	1	133	227	200	427	67	182	25	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		290	33	0	273	71	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	156	141	32	5	1	3	13	41	1	2	1	227	297	340	637	113	291	26	8	282	77	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2028	21	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	298	269	61	10	2	6	25	77	2	3	1	227	297	346	643	119	292	26	8	287	81	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2029	22	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	403	363	83	14	2	8	34	103	3	4	1	229	300	344	644	116	293	26	8	291	83	-8	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.9
2030	23	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	475	428	99	17	3	10	40	120	4	5	2	231	303	355	658	124	294	25	8	294	85	-8	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	520	466	108	18	3	11	44	131	5	6	2	232	305	354	659	122	295	25	8	295	86	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2032	25	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	520	466	108	18	3	11	44	131	5	6	2	232	305	354	659	122	295	25	8	296	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2033	26	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	520	466	108	18	3	11	44	131	5	6	2	232	305	354	659	122	295	25	8	296	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2034	27	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	520	465	108	18	3	11	45	131	5	6	2	232	307	355	662	123	294	25	9	297	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2035	28	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	520	465	107	18	3	11	45	132	5	5	2	230	305	353	658	123	294	25	9	295	86	-9	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	520	464	107	18	3	11	46	133	5	5	1	231	307	353	660	123	293	26	9	294	85	-9	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	520	464	105	17	3	10	46	135	5	4	1	226	303	341	643	114	292	26	9	291	83	-11	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.8
2038	31	MLB MLE	NYY	60%	504	451	101	17	2	10	44	132	4	4	1	224	299	337	636	113	289	26	9	287	80	-12	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.6
2039	32	MLB MLE	NYY	61%	488	438	95	15	2	9	43	130	4	3	1	217	293	322	615	105	286	27	9	281	76	-14	+0	-4	+9	+11	0.2
2040	33	MLB MLE	NYY	62%	446	400	85	13	2	8	39	121	4	2	1	212	289	315	604	103	282	27	9	274	72	-15	+0	-4	+8	+10	-0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	54	49	11	2	0	1	5	14	0	1	0	224	296	327	623	102	293	26	9	279	77	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	144	130	30	5	1	3	12	37	1	2	0	231	301	354	655	123	294	26	8	285	81	-3	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	219	196	46	8	1	5	19	56	2	2	1	235	309	362	671	128	295	26	9	289	83	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2030	23	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	269	242	57	10	2	6	23	68	2	3	1	236	307	368	675	132	296	25	9	291	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2031	24	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	294	264	63	11	2	7	25	74	3	3	1	239	312	375	687	136	296	25	9	293	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	25	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	294	264	63	11	2	7	25	74	3	3	1	239	312	375	687	136	297	25	9	293	87	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	294	264	62	10	2	7	25	74	3	3	1	235	308	367	676	133	296	25	9	294	87	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	27	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	288	258	61	10	2	7	25	73	3	3	1	236	311	372	683	136	296	25	9	294	87	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2035	28	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	285	255	59	10	2	6	25	72	3	3	1	231	307	357	664	125	296	25	9	293	86	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.7
2036	29	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	278	250	57	10	1	6	24	71	2	3	1	228	301	348	649	120	295	26	9	291	85	-5	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.6
2037	30	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	297	266	60	10	1	6	26	77	3	3	1	226	302	338	640	113	293	26	9	288	83	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2038	31	MLB CTX	NYY	60%	300	268	60	10	1	6	26	79	3	2	1	224	300	336	635	112	291	26	9	284	80	-7	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.3
2039	32	MLB CTX	NYY	61%	299	269	59	10	1	6	26	79	2	2	1	219	293	331	624	112	288	26	9	278	76	-8	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2040	33	MLB CTX	NYY	62%	279	251	54	9	1	5	24	76	2	1	0	215	289	319	608	104	284	27	9	272	72	-9	+0	-3	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3594	3226	742	126	19	78	310	924	32	34	11	230	304	353	657	123	297	26	9	288	82	-73	+2	-9	+64	+78	6.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	134	23	3	14	56	167	6	6	2	230	304	352	656	122	296	26	9	288	82	-13	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6483	5811	1316	217	35	131	559	1667	57	62	21	226	301	343	644	117	293	26	9	290	82	-130	+4	-15	+115	+139	11.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	133	22	4	13	56	167	6	6	2	228	303	346	649	118	295	26	9	290	82	-13	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	5.3	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
/162	664	14	3	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.5	3,659	73	34	227	298	344	+65	+36	9.2	7.6
/162	664	13	6	+11.9	+6.5	1.7	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Lavagnino (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	216/285/311	95	290	1	1	27%	8%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	65	-1.2	190/247/308	118	273	11	8	33%	7%	55	-1.9	213/305/387	174	267	21	12	27%	11%	94	+0.7
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→49	44→55	48→45	40	207/262/315	108	280	13	4	30%	6%	63	-1.4	232/288/385	153	298	18	7	27%	7%	88	+0.5	229/288/395	166	286	21	6	27%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	41→45	46→45	48	183/286/282	99	291	8	6	36%	11%	66	-1.1	184/261/262	78	291	6	6	35%	9%	51	-2.3	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	44	41→45	46→45	43	211/283/321	110	282	7	6	26%	6%	73	-0.6	197/255/304	107	263	9	6	27%	5%	58	-1.7	132/175/242	109	157	14	3	27%	3%	12	-1.3
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	56	-1.9	213/303/311	98	271	7	8	22%	10%	78	-0.3	194/297/306	112	259	11	6	27%	12%	72	-0.3
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	42→52	47→50	45→40	47	215/281/345	130	270	15	5	26%	8%	77	-0.3	241/299/370	129	293	14	4	22%	7%	89	+0.5	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	61	-1.5	204/280/290	86	281	5	16	27%	8%	63	-1.3	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	45→50	41→45	46→55	51	216/301/314	97	294	9	7	28%	10%	77	-0.3	232/302/345	113	325	10	11	29%	9%	84	+0.2	233/308/347	114	330	9	15	29%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→50	49→40	45	196/264/278	82	269	6	5	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/286/292	92	306	7	4	34%	10%	68	-1.0	189/297/321	132	304	15	2	39%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	43→49	42→50	44→50	43	213/265/317	104	278	10	6	27%	6%	64	-1.3	231/290/362	131	316	13	11	29%	7%	84	+0.1	234/295/378	144	313	15	11	29%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	46→56	40	50→40	47	222/289/316	94	291	7	7	25%	8%	73	-0.6	241/308/328	87	308	7	5	22%	8%	82	+0.0	248/318/312	64	318	4	2	21%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	72	-0.7	233/285/324	91	297	6	3	22%	6%	72	-0.7	243/287/342	99	309	8	2	23%	5%	75	-0.2
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	45→50	45	51	220/308/355	135	308	10	8	30%	11%	89	+0.5	191/267/284	93	292	7	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	188/237/266	78	247	8	4	27%	6%	40	-0.9
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	45	40→50	47→50	44	211/284/318	107	303	5	9	30%	8%	72	-0.7	189/267/301	112	298	10	8	37%	8%	62	-1.4	154/246/261	107	253	10	8	40%	8%	44	-0.7
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	68	-1.0	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	62	-1.4	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Kyle Higashioka 2010 · A	20	45→43	40→60	49→45	41	215/267/304	89	290	7	7	28%	6%	61	-1.5	194/244/296	102	239	10	3	23%	6%	52	-2.2	228/274/415	187	269	26	4	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Gosuke Katoh 2014 · A	19	44→52	44→45	49→50	44	216/280/339	122	298	11	6	30%	8%	75	-0.5	189/265/271	82	319	5	11	38%	9%	54	-2.0	220/287/313	93	311	7	11	29%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Hank Conger 2007 · A	19	46→56	40→50	54→45	44	222/273/324	102	287	6	6	24%	6%	68	-1.0	243/281/377	134	290	14	6	21%	5%	84	+0.1	251/302/378	128	291	13	2	18%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A	20	44→52	44→50	50→40	45	215/270/339	125	281	10	8	27%	7%	71	-0.8	232/297/337	105	300	8	4	23%	9%	80	-0.1	218/284/357	138	259	16	3	22%	8%	79	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps