Jose Lavagnino — OGILVIE

Jose LavagninoC DSL NYY Yankees

Age 19 L/R 5'9" / 205 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 65 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .283 / .309

PA65

HR1

K%27

BB%8

ISO95

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+1.0	$3M	+$2M
Totals		$14M		$35M	+$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	67	59	8	1	0	1	7	18	0	1	1	136	227	203	431	68	171	27	10	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	67	54	13	2	0	2	12	12	0	1	1	241	379	389	768	148	268	18	18	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	NYY	—	65	60	12	2	0	1	5	17	0	1	0	200	262	283	545	83	290	26	8	271	66	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	NYY	34%	156	141	32	5	1	3	13	41	1	2	1	227	297	340	637	113	291	26	8	280	72	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2028	21	MLB	NYY	48%	298	269	60	10	2	5	25	77	2	3	1	223	294	331	625	108	292	26	8	286	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2029	22	MLB	NYY	54%	403	364	83	14	2	8	33	103	3	4	1	228	297	343	641	115	293	26	8	290	80	-9	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.0
2030	23	MLB	NYY	57%	475	429	99	17	3	10	39	121	4	5	2	231	301	354	655	124	294	25	8	292	82	-10	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.3
2031	24	MLB	NYY	57%	520	467	108	18	3	11	43	132	5	6	2	231	303	353	656	122	295	25	8	294	83	-10	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2032	25	MLB	NYY	57%	520	467	108	18	3	11	43	132	5	6	2	231	303	353	656	122	295	25	8	295	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2033	26	MLB	NYY	56%	520	467	108	18	3	11	43	132	5	6	2	231	303	353	656	122	295	25	8	295	84	-9	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2034	27	MLB	NYY	55%	520	466	108	18	3	11	44	132	5	6	2	232	305	354	659	122	295	25	8	295	84	-9	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2035	28	MLB	NYY	59%	520	465	107	18	3	11	45	133	5	5	2	230	305	353	658	123	294	26	9	294	83	-10	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.4
2036	29	MLB	NYY	61%	520	465	107	18	3	11	45	134	5	5	1	230	305	353	658	123	293	26	9	292	82	-11	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.3
2037	30	MLB	NYY	62%	520	465	106	18	3	10	45	135	5	4	1	228	303	344	647	116	292	26	9	289	79	-12	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.0
2038	31	MLB	NYY	63%	504	452	101	17	2	10	43	133	4	4	1	223	297	336	633	113	290	26	9	285	76	-14	+0	-3	+9	+14	0.8
2039	32	MLB	NYY	64%	488	439	96	16	2	9	42	130	4	3	1	219	293	326	619	107	286	27	9	280	72	-15	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.4
2040	33	MLB	NYY	65%	446	401	84	13	2	7	38	122	4	2	1	209	284	304	589	95	282	27	9	273	67	-17	+0	-4	+8	+13	-0.0
2041	34	MLB	NYY	60%	390	351	72	11	2	6	33	109	3	1	0	205	279	299	578	94	277	28	8	265	61	-17	+0	-5	+7	+11	-0.4
2027	20	MLB	NYY	34%	54	50	11	2	0	1	4	14	0	1	0	220	278	320	598	100	293	26	7	276	70	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	21	MLB	NYY	48%	144	130	30	5	1	3	12	37	1	2	0	231	301	354	655	123	294	26	8	282	74	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2029	22	MLB	NYY	54%	219	197	45	8	1	4	18	56	2	2	1	228	300	340	640	112	295	26	8	286	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2030	23	MLB	NYY	57%	269	243	57	10	2	6	22	68	2	3	1	235	303	366	670	132	296	25	8	288	79	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2031	24	MLB	NYY	57%	294	265	62	11	2	6	24	75	3	3	1	234	305	358	663	125	296	26	8	290	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2032	25	MLB	NYY	57%	294	264	62	11	2	6	25	75	3	3	1	235	308	360	668	125	297	26	9	290	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2033	26	MLB	NYY	56%	294	264	62	11	2	6	25	75	3	3	1	235	308	360	668	125	296	26	9	291	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2034	27	MLB	NYY	55%	288	259	60	10	2	6	24	73	3	3	1	232	304	355	659	124	296	25	8	291	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2035	28	MLB	NYY	59%	307	275	64	11	2	7	26	79	3	3	1	233	306	364	670	131	296	26	8	290	80	-7	+0	-0	+5	+9	0.7
2036	29	MLB	NYY	61%	317	284	66	11	2	7	27	82	3	3	1	232	306	359	665	127	295	26	9	288	78	-8	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.6
2037	30	MLB	NYY	62%	324	290	67	11	2	7	28	84	3	3	1	231	305	355	660	124	293	26	9	285	76	-9	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.5
2038	31	MLB	NYY	63%	318	285	64	11	2	6	27	84	3	2	1	225	298	340	639	116	291	26	8	281	73	-10	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.3
2039	32	MLB	NYY	64%	311	278	61	10	1	6	27	83	3	2	1	219	295	327	623	108	288	27	9	276	69	-11	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.1
2040	33	MLB	NYY	65%	290	261	55	9	1	5	25	79	2	1	0	211	285	310	595	100	284	27	9	269	64	-12	+0	-3	+5	+8	-0.1
2041	34	MLB	NYY	60%	236	212	44	7	1	4	20	66	2	1	0	208	282	307	589	99	278	28	8	261	58	-11	+0	-3	+4	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3959	3557	810	138	23	80	334	1030	36	35	11	228	300	347	647	119	296	26	8	284	75	-111	+3	-12	+71	+112	6.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	133	23	4	13	55	169	6	6	2	228	301	348	648	120	296	26	8	284	75	-18	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	6932	6227	1399	232	37	136	586	1801	60	64	21	225	298	339	637	115	292	26	8	287	78	-174	+4	-20	+124	+196	13.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	131	22	3	13	55	169	6	6	2	224	298	339	637	115	291	26	8	287	78	-16	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	67	54	13	2	0	2	12	12	0	1	1	241	379	389	768	148	268	18	18	347	124	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,023	78	36	226	295	340	+72	+40	8.2	7.0
	/162	664	13	6	226	295	340	+11.9	+6.6	1.4	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Lavagnino (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	215/283/309	94	290	1	1	27%	8%	66	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	40→45	46→45	47	181/281/275	94	294	7	6	37%	11%	57	-1.2	183/259/259	76	293	5	6	36%	9%	43	-2.2	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	44	41→45	46→45	43	211/283/321	110	282	7	6	26%	6%	69	-0.4	197/255/304	107	263	9	6	27%	5%	53	-1.5	132/175/242	109	157	14	3	27%	3%	1	-1.4
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	189/246/313	124	271	11	8	33%	7%	50	-1.7	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	68	-0.5	235/286/325	90	300	6	3	22%	6%	70	-0.3	247/290/366	119	318	11	2	25%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→48	44→55	48→45	40	209/264/317	108	283	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	232/286/390	158	298	19	7	28%	7%	88	+0.9	230/287/406	176	286	23	6	28%	7%	89	+0.8
✕Joe Mack 2022 · A	19	43→40	39→55	45	49	193/294/276	83	327	6	5	38%	12%	63	-0.9	197/277/301	104	294	12	2	34%	9%	61	-1.0	212/278/383	171	271	23	5	30%	7%	80	+0.3
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	63	-0.8	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	57	-1.2	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	35→45	42→55	45→50	44	176/254/278	102	265	9	7	35%	9%	46	-2.0	196/287/331	135	277	14	9	32%	11%	73	-0.1	224/298/396	172	291	21	8	29%	9%	92	+0.9
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	56	-1.3	205/280/294	89	283	5	16	27%	8%	59	-1.1	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	45	40→50	47→50	44	211/284/318	107	303	5	9	30%	8%	68	-0.5	190/267/305	115	300	11	8	37%	8%	59	-1.1	154/245/264	110	254	11	8	41%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	45→49	41→45	46→55	51	216/301/314	97	294	9	7	28%	10%	74	-0.1	230/299/349	119	326	11	11	30%	9%	82	+0.5	228/302/349	121	326	10	15	31%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	45→43	39→50	49→30	44	211/285/298	86	311	6	8	32%	8%	63	-0.8	210/293/378	168	310	19	3	36%	10%	89	+0.9	201/295/383	183	291	22	1	36%	11%	86	+0.4
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→47	42→50	43→50	42	210/262/309	99	277	9	6	27%	6%	56	-1.3	229/287/360	131	315	13	11	30%	7%	80	+0.4	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	52→55	47	210/291/312	102	321	7	14	34%	10%	70	-0.3	212/314/339	127	299	15	12	31%	12%	88	+0.9	207/304/326	119	281	14	14	29%	11%	78	+0.2
✕Alejandro Flores 2015 · A	19	40	41→50	48→40	43	199/259/294	95	265	9	5	28%	7%	51	-1.7	195/256/288	93	291	8	6	33%	7%	48	-1.9	202/257/342	140	271	13	4	30%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	44→42	44→50	49→45	41	219/269/335	116	284	12	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	226/283/364	138	283	16	7	25%	7%	79	+0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	42→41	39→55	47→50	50	201/285/293	92	282	6	8	29%	10%	63	-0.9	187/257/303	116	284	10	9	35%	7%	53	-1.5	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0