Yariel Valdez

P DSL Red Sox Red

Age 19 RHP 5'2" / 160 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKDSL Red Sox B…	16	24	9.25	5.85	11.5%	21.5%	—	K 7.8% · BB 26.9% · FIP 6.49
2026	18	ROKDSL Red Sox R…	14	24	6.38	5.60	18.0%	24.2%	—	K 12.2% · BB 30.3% · FIP 6.50
2027PROJ	19	MLBBOS	13	14	6.10	6.10	17.9%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBBOS	10	11	5.70	5.55	19.3%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJonathan Jimenez (age 19) · Elison Joseph (age 20) · Carlos De Los Santos (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149141vR 133

ERA6.10

FIP6.10

K%17.9%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-2.1%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	16	0	24	130	15	28	1	0%	1.5	7.8%	26.9%	-19.1%	1.2%	9.25	6.49	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	16	0	24	130	15	28	1	0%	1.5	7.8%	26.9%	-19.1%	1.2%	9.25	6.49	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	16	0	24	130	15	28	1	0%	1.5	11.5%	21.5%	-10.0%	0.8%	9.25	5.85	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	14	0	24	128	23	31	1	0%	1.7	12.2%	30.3%	-18.1%	1.1%	6.38	6.50	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	14	0	24	128	23	31	1	0%	1.7	12.2%	30.3%	-18.1%	1.1%	6.38	6.50	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	14	0	24	128	23	31	1	0%	1.7	18.0%	24.2%	-6.2%	0.8%	6.38	5.60	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	BOS	13	0	14	59	11	12	2	0%	1.1	17.9%	20.0%	-2.1%	2.9%	6.10	6.10	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	BOS	22	0	23	97	19	16	3	0%	1.0	19.3%	16.8%	2.5%	2.9%	5.70	5.55	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	BOS	10	0	11	46	9	8	1	0%	1.1	19.3%	16.8%	2.5%	2.9%	5.70	5.55	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	48	9	8	1	0%	1.0	19.3%	16.8%	2.5%	2.9%	5.70	5.17	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	159	142	18	0%	1.1	19.3%	16.8%	2.5%	2.9%	5.70	5.17	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		30	0	48	258	26	74	3	0%	1.6	10.0%	28.6%	-18.6%	1.1%	7.82	6.50	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		124	0	200	1068	107	305	12	0%	1.6	10.0%	28.6%	-18.6%	1.1%	7.82	6.50	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yariel Valdez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.10	17.9%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.55	19.3%	2.5%	23	-0.55	—	—	—
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	90
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	90
Carlos De Los Santos R 2019 · 5.68 FIP	18	SU	5.68	16.9%	16.0%	3.6%	.286	3.95	20.9%	3.2%	86	-1.73	3.67	173	89
Juan Arnaud R 2022 · 6.33 FIP	19	SU	6.33	14.6%	23.7%	2.7%	.330	4.40	18.8%	1.6%	102	-1.93	3.43	184	88
Brendan Hardy R 2018 · 5.18 FIP	18	SU	5.18	17.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.227	6.99	15.9%	-17.2%	25	+1.81	2.54	137	87
Enrique Saldana R 2018 · 6.54 FIP	19	SU	6.54	15.4%	25.9%	2.6%	.310	3.85	14.6%	6.3%	80	-2.69	2.96	109	86
Jose G. Gonzalez R 2021 · 5.42 FIP	19	SU	5.42	16.2%	22.7%	1.5%	.320	4.81	15.6%	0.6%	94	-0.61	3.63	165	86
Angel Reyes R 2018 · 4.91 FIP	20	SU	4.91	16.5%	19.4%	1.4%	.328	4.51	17.1%	5.7%	119	-0.40	3.99	308	85
Daniel Lloyd R 2021 · 5.40 FIP	20	SU	5.40	20.4%	22.4%	2.2%	.367	4.15	18.0%	8.5%	226	-1.25	3.59	319	85
Luis Ramirez R 2022 · 4.92 FIP	20	SU	4.92	14.0%	16.5%	1.7%	.273	5.05	15.6%	-1.9%	68	+0.13	3.72	123	85
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	84
Michael Arias R 2021 · 5.06 FIP	19	SU	5.06	15.0%	17.5%	1.8%	.226	4.39	22.3%	4.7%	155	-0.67	3.79	253	84
Angel Gonzalez R 2022 · 6.40 FIP	19	SU	6.40	13.7%	20.4%	3.4%	.260	4.80	19.3%	-2.3%	122	-1.60	3.63	182	84
Rafael Mendez R 2022 · 4.95 FIP	19	SU	4.95	14.3%	16.0%	1.9%	.337	3.92	20.1%	4.3%	45	-1.03	3.76	103	84
Alejandro Lugo R 2021 · 4.91 FIP	18	SU	4.91	20.4%	16.7%	2.6%	.265	4.96	16.7%	3.1%	98	+0.05	3.77	159	84
Yonaiker Garcia R 2019 · 5.57 FIP	18	SU	5.57	14.8%	23.6%	1.3%	.258	4.24	14.3%	-0.4%	67	-1.33	3.66	108	84
Natanael Garabitos R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	18	SU	5.80	13.6%	23.6%	1.6%	.296	5.11	21.3%	1.6%	85	-0.69	4.25	221	83
Luis A. Reyes R 2023 · 6.35 FIP	19	SU	6.35	14.9%	30.5%	1.2%	.302	6.72	14.5%	-14.4%	71	+0.37	4.89	123	83
Edwin Núñez R 2021 · 6.60 FIP	19	SU	6.60	15.2%	22.9%	3.4%	.343	4.73	16.4%	0.7%	170	-1.87	4.31	288	83
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	83