Adrian Feliz — OGILVIE

Adrian FelizSS DSL NYY Yankees

Age 17 R/R 6'2" / 162 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION107 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .273 / .200

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP284

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$40M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$8M	+1.1	$4M	+$1M
2037	Arb-3	$11M	+1.0	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$16M		$27M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	16	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	68	59	11	1	0	0	7	15	2	5	4	186	294	203	498	17	250	22	10	245	52	-4	-1	—	—	+1	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	68	62	8	1	0	0	4	22	2	5	4	129	206	145	351	16	192	32	6	161	-5	-8	-1	—	—	+1	-0.8
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	68	62	8	1	0	0	4	22	2	5	4	129	206	145	351	16	200	32	6	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	68	59	11	1	0	0	7	15	2	5	4	186	294	203	498	17	250	22	10	245	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	68	62	8	1	0	0	4	22	2	5	4	129	206	145	351	16	192	32	6	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	68	62	8	1	0	0	4	22	2	5	4	129	206	145	351	16	192	32	6	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	17	ROK MLE	NYY	—	107	87	19	2	1	1	12	22	4	9	2	218	340	299	639	80	265	21	11	277	74	-3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	17	ROK RAW	NYY	—	107	80	22	2	1	1	19	15	4	9	2	275	437	362	799	87	309	14	18	362	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	17	ROK MLE	NYY	0%	11	10	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	200	273	200	473		284	27	9	273	71	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	17	ROK MLE	NYY	—	118	97	21	2	1	1	13	25	4	9	2	216	333	289	622	72	267	21	11	277	73	-4	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	18	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	188	167	36	5	1	2	16	45	3	6	1	216	296	293	589	78	284	24	9	278	74	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2028	19	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	331	294	66	10	2	5	28	78	6	11	2	224	305	323	628	99	286	24	8	287	80	-8	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2029	20	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	442	393	90	13	3	8	38	104	8	15	3	229	310	338	648	109	288	24	9	293	85	-8	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2030	21	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	526	465	108	16	4	10	46	122	10	18	3	232	315	348	663	116	289	23	9	298	88	-8	+2	+0	+6	+11	1.2
2031	22	MLB MLE	NYY	58%	583	516	120	18	4	11	51	135	11	20	4	233	315	347	662	114	290	23	9	301	90	-7	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.5
2032	23	MLB MLE	NYY	58%	606	536	125	18	4	12	53	139	12	20	4	233	316	349	665	116	291	23	9	304	92	-6	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.6
2033	24	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	620	548	129	19	4	13	55	142	12	21	4	235	319	356	675	120	292	23	9	306	93	-5	+3	+0	+7	+13	1.8
2034	25	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	630	557	132	19	4	14	56	144	12	21	4	237	320	361	681	124	292	23	9	307	94	-4	+3	+0	+7	+14	1.9
2035	26	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	636	563	132	19	4	14	56	146	12	21	4	234	317	357	674	123	292	23	9	308	95	-4	+3	+0	+7	+14	2.0
2036	27	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	635	561	132	19	4	14	57	146	12	21	4	235	319	358	677	123	292	23	9	308	95	-4	+3	+0	+7	+14	2.0
2037	28	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	630	556	131	19	4	14	57	146	12	21	4	236	320	360	680	124	292	23	9	307	94	-4	+3	-1	+7	+14	1.8
2038	29	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	620	546	127	18	4	13	57	145	12	20	4	233	319	352	670	119	291	23	9	306	93	-5	+2	-1	+7	+13	1.6
2039	30	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	609	536	125	18	4	13	56	144	12	20	4	233	320	354	674	121	290	24	9	303	91	-6	+2	-2	+7	+13	1.4
2040	31	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	595	525	121	17	4	12	54	142	11	19	4	230	315	347	662	116	288	24	9	299	89	-8	+2	-3	+6	+13	1.1
2041	32	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	576	508	114	16	3	11	52	140	11	18	3	224	310	333	643	108	285	24	9	294	85	-10	+2	-4	+6	+12	0.8
2042	33	MLB MLE	NYY	59%	547	483	106	14	3	10	49	136	10	17	3	219	304	323	627	104	282	25	9	288	81	-12	+2	-4	+6	+12	0.3
2043	34	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	499	442	94	12	3	8	45	127	9	15	3	213	298	308	606	95	277	25	9	280	76	-14	+2	-5	+5	+11	-0.1
2027	18	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	63	57	12	2	0	1	5	15	1	2	0	211	286	298	584	88	285	24	8	268	74	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	159	141	33	5	1	3	14	38	3	5	1	234	316	348	664	113	288	24	9	276	80	-4	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	20	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	239	212	49	7	2	4	21	56	4	8	2	231	312	340	652	108	290	23	9	283	85	-4	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2030	21	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	297	263	61	9	2	6	26	69	6	10	2	232	315	350	665	118	291	23	9	287	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2031	22	MLB CTX	NYY	58%	336	298	69	10	2	7	29	78	6	11	2	232	312	349	661	117	292	23	9	290	90	-4	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2032	23	MLB CTX	NYY	58%	351	310	74	11	2	8	31	81	7	12	2	239	322	365	686	126	293	23	9	293	92	-3	+2	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2033	24	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	354	313	74	11	2	8	31	81	7	12	2	236	319	361	680	125	294	23	9	295	93	-3	+2	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2034	25	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	358	316	75	11	2	8	32	82	7	12	2	237	321	361	682	123	294	23	9	297	94	-3	+2	+0	+4	+8	1.1
2035	26	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	360	318	76	11	2	9	32	82	7	12	2	239	322	371	693	132	294	23	9	298	95	-2	+2	+0	+4	+8	1.1
2036	27	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	353	311	74	11	2	8	32	81	7	12	2	238	323	363	686	125	294	23	9	298	95	-2	+2	+0	+4	+8	1.1
2037	28	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	346	305	73	11	2	8	31	80	7	11	2	239	324	367	691	128	293	23	9	297	94	-2	+1	-0	+4	+7	1.0
2038	29	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	332	293	69	10	2	8	30	77	6	11	2	235	319	365	684	130	293	23	9	295	93	-3	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.9
2039	30	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	321	283	67	10	2	7	29	76	6	10	2	237	321	360	681	124	292	24	9	293	91	-3	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.7
2040	31	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	310	273	64	9	2	7	28	74	6	10	2	234	319	359	678	125	290	24	9	289	89	-4	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.6
2041	32	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	324	286	65	9	2	7	29	79	6	10	2	227	312	346	658	119	287	24	9	284	85	-6	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.4
2042	33	MLB CTX	NYY	59%	323	285	64	9	2	6	29	80	6	10	2	225	309	333	643	109	283	25	9	277	81	-7	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.2
2043	34	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	272	241	53	7	2	5	24	69	5	8	2	220	304	328	632	108	278	25	9	269	76	-8	+1	-3	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5098	4505	1052	153	31	110	453	1198	97	166	31	234	317	354	671	121	292	23	9	290	88	-65	+21	-11	+55	+110	11.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	135	20	4	14	58	153	12	21	4	235	318	357	675	122	294	24	9	290	88	-8	+3	-1	+7	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	9352	8268	1898	271	59	184	831	2206	177	309	62	230	313	343	657	114	289	24	9	299	88	-121	+38	-20	+99	+201	20.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	132	19	4	13	58	153	12	21	4	230	313	344	658	115	289	24	9	299	88	-8	+3	-1	+7	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	9.3	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.2	18.2
/162	664	5	19	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	7.8	5,175	103	169	232	312	347	+54	+30	14.8	11.8
/162	664	13	22	+6.9	+3.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	4.2	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
/162	664	14	30	+2.4	+12.6	2.5	pk7: 11
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adrian Feliz (OGILVIE)	17	—	—	—	—	214/296/290	77	284	1	3	24%	9%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	42→52	39→55	51→55	40	205/251/286	81	270	6	16	26%	5%	51	-2.2	205/253/316	111	261	11	14	25%	5%	59	-1.6	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→52	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	61	-1.5	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	234/311/308	74	302	5	10	22%	9%	76	-0.2
●Jahmai Jones 2016 · A	18	42→50	38→50	50	42	202/259/282	79	273	5	16	27%	6%	54	-2.0	226/281/327	101	292	8	16	24%	6%	72	-0.7	248/345/422	173	324	16	18	26%	11%	114	+1.3
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	43	37→45	52→55	46	204/259/278	73	249	3	9	19%	6%	53	-2.1	228/282/303	75	268	3	15	15%	6%	67	-1.1	286/329/371	85	315	6	22	11%	5%	96	+0.4
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	202/254/274	72	296	2	25	30%	6%	49	-2.4	242/294/410	167	331	20	27	32%	6%	94	+0.4
●Moisés Sierra 2007 · A	18	42→52	39→50	52→50	42	203/266/292	89	271	6	13	26%	6%	59	-1.6	205/253/299	94	283	8	9	29%	4%	55	-1.9	249/315/369	120	307	12	15	22%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Eguy Rosario 2018 · A	18	44→52	36→55	54→55	42	206/263/284	78	291	2	20	28%	6%	55	-1.9	207/254/307	100	291	8	13	30%	5%	57	-1.8	224/286/367	142	294	14	21	28%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	39→48	37→45	55→50	55	183/284/257	74	242	4	15	24%	11%	59	-1.6	194/267/263	69	267	3	9	26%	8%	53	-2.1	217/289/313	96	287	8	16	26%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	41→51	35→45	51→50	46	190/270/254	64	256	2	15	24%	7%	53	-2.1	230/299/329	99	282	6	10	20%	6%	80	-0.1	244/324/361	117	272	11	9	14%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Dixon Machado 2010 · A	18	39→49	37→45	53→55	49	188/254/256	69	223	5	19	18%	7%	47	-2.6	198/252/243	45	251	2	17	21%	6%	41	-3.0	222/304/330	107	267	11	4	20%	9%	79	-0.1
✕José Fermín 2017 · A	18	42→51	37→45	48→55	44	201/258/285	84	274	3	8	27%	7%	54	-2.0	203/252/278	75	241	4	11	17%	4%	50	-2.3	244/330/367	123	265	11	26	12%	10%	98	+0.7
✕Andruw Monasterio 2015 · A	18	46→54	35→45	55	46	215/270/274	59	269	2	16	20%	6%	55	-1.9	205/258/265	60	261	2	11	21%	6%	49	-2.4	240/320/337	97	310	8	23	24%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	83	+0.1	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	87	+0.1
✕Yonathan Perlaza 2017 · A	18	41→51	39→55	48→50	39	201/244/289	88	280	6	14	30%	5%	49	-2.4	205/247/278	73	301	4	11	31%	5%	47	-2.5	232/305/402	170	301	17	12	27%	9%	96	+1.0
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→40	36→45	51→60	46	196/275/269	73	281	3	13	29%	8%	57	-1.8	201/270/288	87	311	7	23	35%	7%	60	-1.6	204/257/327	123	302	13	35	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Juan Lagares 2007 · A	18	42→52	40→45	53→50	41	203/261/302	99	285	6	11	30%	6%	59	-1.7	203/241/283	80	277	4	10	27%	4%	46	-2.6	268/308/373	106	324	7	13	19%	4%	89	+0.3
✕Adrián Sanchez 2009 · A	18	43→47	38→45	52→50	42	207/255/285	78	258	5	14	22%	5%	53	-2.1	224/255/301	77	272	5	11	19%	3%	55	-1.9	251/288/348	97	306	6	11	20%	4%	76	-0.2
✕Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	44→54	37→40	52→65	44	204/291/284	80	291	3	16	28%	8%	68	-1.0	208/298/282	74	292	3	17	27%	10%	69	-0.9	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps