Adrian FelizSS DSL NYY Yankees
Age 17 R/R 6'2" / 162 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION114 act + 76 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†73
AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .303 / .309
PA76
HR1
K%24
BB%9
BABIP286
ISO88
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +1.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +5.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
0.01.53.00.40.81.31.72.12.32.42.52.52.62.4+$139M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.3$12M+$11M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+2.4$11M+$11M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+2.5$11M+$10M
2035Arb-1$5M+2.5$10M+$8M
2036Arb-2$9M+2.6$10M+$7M
2037Arb-3$12M+2.4$8M+$4M
Totals $29M $62M +$52M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202516 ROKDSL NYY Yankees — 6862 7100 4222 54 113191129320 16175 326 149 -28 — — — — — —
202516 ROKDSL NYY Yankees — 6859 11100 7152 54 186294203498 17250 2210 245 46 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD17 ROKNYY — 11491 22022 14223 103 242361352713 110274 1912 306 93 -1 +1 +0 +1 +3 0.4
YTD17 ROKNYY — 11482 23022 23153 103 280454402856 122296 1320 376 146 +6 +1 +0 +1 +3 1.1
ROS17 ROKNYY 0% 7668 15111 7181 31 221303309611 88285 249 280 73 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
ROS17 MLBNYY 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 286 —— 270 65 — — +0 +0 — —
FULL17 ROKNYY — 11492 22022 14223 103 239361348709 109270 1912 306 93 -1 +1 +0 +1 +3 0.4
TOT17 ROKNYY — 190159 37133 21404 134 233337333670 101279 2111 296 85 -3 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202718 MLBNYY 34% 231205 45523 21543 61 220301307609 88285 239 285 76 -6 +1 +0 +2 +7 0.4
202819 MLBNYY 48% 364322 74936 33856 92 230313332645 102288 239 293 82 -7 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.8
202920 MLBNYY 54% 466413 961249 421078 123 232315346662 114290 239 299 87 -7 +1 +0 +5 +13 1.3
203021 MLBNYY 57% 542479 11314511 491249 143 236318355673 119291 239 304 91 -6 +2 +0 +6 +15 1.7
203122 MLBNYY 58% 594525 12415513 5413510 153 236319358677 122292 239 307 93 -5 +2 +0 +6 +17 2.1
203223 MLBNYY 58% 613541 13016614 5613811 153 240324370694 129293 239 309 95 -4 +2 +0 +7 +17 2.3
203324 MLBNYY 57% 625552 13216614 5714111 163 239323366689 127293 239 311 96 -3 +2 +0 +7 +18 2.4
203425 MLBNYY 57% 633559 13416615 5814211 164 240323370694 131294 229 312 97 -2 +2 +0 +7 +18 2.5
203526 MLBNYY 57% 638563 13516615 5914311 164 240324369693 130293 229 313 98 -2 +2 +0 +7 +18 2.5
203627 MLBNYY 56% 637562 13516615 5914311 164 240324370694 130293 229 313 98 -1 +2 +0 +7 +18 2.6
203728 MLBNYY 55% 631556 13316615 5914311 153 239324371695 131293 239 312 97 -2 +2 -1 +7 +18 2.4
203829 MLBNYY 53% 620545 12916514 5914211 143 237324361685 125292 2310 311 96 -3 +2 -1 +7 +18 2.2
203930 MLBNYY 53% 609536 12615514 5814110 123 235321360681 125292 2310 308 94 -4 +1 -2 +7 +17 1.9
204031 MLBNYY 52% 595524 12214513 5613910 102 233319353672 120289 239 304 91 -6 +1 -3 +6 +17 1.6
204132 MLBNYY 52% 576507 11613512 5413710 82 229315345660 116287 249 299 87 -8 +1 -4 +6 +16 1.2
204233 MLBNYY 52% 547482 10812411 511339 61 224310334644 110284 249 293 82 -11 +1 -4 +6 +15 0.7
204334 MLBNYY 47% 499441 961049 471258 41 218304320624 102279 259 285 77 -13 +0 -5 +5 +14 0.2
204435 MLBNYY 43% 443392 82847 411147 31 209295304599 94274 269 277 70 -15 +0 -6 +5 +13 -0.3
202718 MLBNYY 34% 7971 16211 7191 20 225304324628 99286 249 276 69 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202819 MLBNYY 48% 176155 36423 16413 41 232316342658 110289 239 284 75 -5 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.2
202920 MLBNYY 54% 253224 52625 23584 61 232315344658 112291 239 289 80 -6 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.5
203021 MLBNYY 57% 307271 64836 28705 82 236319354673 118292 239 293 83 -6 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.7
203122 MLBNYY 58% 342302 72938 31786 92 238322368689 129293 239 296 85 -6 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.9
203223 MLBNYY 58% 355314 74938 32806 92 236318360678 124294 239 299 87 -5 +1 +0 +4 +10 1.0
203324 MLBNYY 57% 357315 75938 33806 92 238322362684 124295 229 301 88 -5 +1 +0 +4 +10 1.0
203425 MLBNYY 57% 360318 771039 33816 92 242325377702 135295 229 302 89 -4 +1 +0 +4 +10 1.1
203526 MLBNYY 57% 361319 771039 33816 92 241324376700 135295 229 303 90 -4 +1 +0 +4 +10 1.1
203627 MLBNYY 56% 354312 75939 33806 92 240325375700 135294 239 303 90 -4 +1 +0 +4 +10 1.1
203728 MLBNYY 55% 347305 73938 33796 82 239326367693 128294 2310 302 89 -4 +1 -0 +4 +10 1.0
203829 MLBNYY 53% 332292 71938 31766 72 243328377705 134293 239 300 88 -4 +1 -1 +4 +9 0.8
203930 MLBNYY 53% 321283 67837 30745 61 237321360681 124293 239 298 86 -5 +1 -1 +3 +9 0.7
204031 MLBNYY 52% 310273 65837 29735 51 238322366689 128290 249 294 83 -6 +1 -1 +3 +9 0.5
204132 MLBNYY 52% 299264 60726 28715 41 227313337650 110288 249 289 79 -7 +0 -2 +3 +8 0.3
204233 MLBNYY 52% 283249 56626 27695 31 225313337651 112285 2410 283 75 -8 +0 -2 +3 +8 0.1
204334 MLBNYY 47% 236208 45524 22594 20 216303317621 101280 259 276 69 -8 +0 -2 +3 +7 -0.1
204435 MLBNYY 43% 189167 35413 17493 10 210294299594 90275 269 267 63 -8 +0 -2 +2 +5 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 52614643 109013245115 486121888 11024 235319357676 122292 239 294 83 -99 +12 -12 +56 +149 10.9
/ 162G— — 650574 13516614 6015011 143 235319357677 122293 239 294 83 -12 +2 -2 +7 +18 1.4
Career— — 100078834 205224188211 9242326170 21551 232317351668 119290 239 303 90 -117 +23 -25 +107 +284 27.7
/ 162G— — 650574 13416614 6015111 143 233318355673 122291 239 303 90 -8 +2 -2 +7 +18 1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202516 ROKDSL NYY Yankees — 6859 11100 7152 54 186294203498 17250 2210 245 46 -4 -1 — — +2 -0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA
104,23810957246292387+42+6818.017.6
/162664179+6.6+10.62.8pk7: 17
#2Zack Cozartlast yr '19
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA
83,3508521246300398+33+3814.214.8
/162664174+6.6+7.62.8pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons
105,355114114235315355+54+3015.812.6
/1626641414+6.7+3.72.0pk7: 9
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#6Royce Claytonlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA
83,9205470256311365+18+1710.110.0
/162664912+3.1+2.91.7pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Adrian Feliz (OGILVIE) 17 — — — — 233/337/333 101279 313 21% 11% 85 +0.5 ————————— —————————
✕Eddys Leonard
2019 · A 		18 41→47 41→55 48→50 48 200/282/301 101267 914 27% 9% 64 -0.8 211/283/328 117302 118 32% 8% 71 -0.3 225/292/37815329318428%6%84+0.6
●Dilson Herrera
2012 · A 		18 46→56 39→50 50 47 218/290/315 98283 413 23% 7% 70 -0.3 228/279/361 133299 1212 27% 6% 77 +0.1 258/308/400143315151323%6%96+1.3
●José Fermín
2017 · A 		18 42→50 37→45 48→55 44 201/258/285 84274 38 27% 7% 48 -1.9 201/251/277 76239 411 17% 4% 43 -2.2 256/343/399143276142813%10%110+1.2
✕Gilberto Celestino
2017 · A 		18 43→53 38→45 54→55 48 203/273/292 90270 513 25% 8% 56 -1.3 209/261/295 86283 611 27% 6% 52 -1.6 240/311/3197931771425%9%75-0.0
●Derek Hill
2015 · A 		19 41→51 40→50 55→60 47 200/269/291 91259 713 25% 8% 55 -1.4 199/251/270 71293 325 31% 6% 40 -2.4 248/301/422175338222932%6%100+0.7
✕Ceddanne Rafaela
2019 · A 		18 42→48 39→55 51→55 40 205/251/286 81270 616 26% 5% 45 -2.1 206/254/321 115262 1114 25% 5% 56 -1.3 247/287/396150298152022%4%88+0.7
●Elvis Andrus
2006 · A 		17 47→57 39→50 47→60 46 226/288/308 82287 69 23% 7% 66 -0.6 232/281/307 75309 422 25% 6% 63 -0.9 277/330/410133307112313%7%107+2.4
✕Aroon Escobar
2023 · A 		18 43→46 38→45 47→55 49 203/297/279 76256 612 22% 8% 66 -0.6 211/299/308 97254 916 20% 9% 72 -0.2 216/299/322106259121921%8%75-0.0
✕Jorge Mateo
2013 · A 		18 44→46 40→50 51→65 48 211/282/302 91281 610 26% 9% 63 -0.9 210/268/306 96286 734 27% 7% 58 -1.2 222/263/355133288134927%5%66-0.2
✕Ravel Santana
2010 · A 		18 39 42→50 48→55 44 192/269/294 102269 109 31% 8% 56 -1.3 219/288/360 141283 1615 27% 8% 81 +0.4 220/291/383163271202026%8%85+0.3
✕Ricardo Cova
2022 · A 		18 44 38→50 47→55 44 212/278/287 75273 69 24% 6% 57 -1.2 209/268/294 85323 715 35% 6% 55 -1.4 235/286/365130286142022%5%78+0.1
✕Jett Williams
2023 · A 		19 45→46 41→45 56→55 43 214/285/313 99288 714 27% 7% 68 -0.5 203/314/320 117299 923 31% 12% 83 +0.6 201/310/335134289102630%12%81+0.3
✕Victor Heredia
2018 · A 		18 45 38→50 49→30 42 211/275/293 82307 66 31% 7% 57 -1.2 221/268/323 102290 94 26% 5% 62 -0.9 221/264/32610528110125%4%63-0.3
✕Ronarsy Ledesma
2011 · A 		18 44 44→45 53→50 41 217/277/335 118288 119 28% 6% 69 -0.4 219/286/320 101286 611 24% 6% 69 -0.4 226/280/33711129161123%4%69-0.2
✕Francisco Acuna
2018 · A 		18 39→49 37→45 55→50 55 183/284/257 74242 415 24% 11% 54 -1.4 194/267/263 69267 39 26% 8% 47 -1.9 223/293/3229929491626%7%70-0.2
●Angel Genao
2022 · A 		18 45→55 37→50 58→50 55 210/300/285 75268 416 22% 11% 66 -0.6 232/290/328 96308 711 25% 7% 72 -0.2 264/318/398134323111321%7%100+1.2
✕Leo Rivas
2016 · A 		18 44→54 37→40 52→65 44 204/291/284 80291 316 28% 8% 63 -0.8 208/298/281 73293 317 27% 10% 65 -0.7 239/352/3359531894424%14%101+1.2
●Royce Lewis
2018 · A 		19 45→49 41→60 55→50 47 217/288/313 96267 816 21% 7% 69 -0.4 215/262/314 99286 816 27% 5% 57 -1.2 261/322/478218301311424%8%123+1.6
●Ramón Urías
2012 · A 		18 42→52 37→50 47→50 46 199/275/269 70250 46 21% 6% 53 -1.5 210/273/284 74251 46 17% 5% 55 -1.4 261/328/377117313121420%5%99+1.0
✕Ricky Cabrera
2023 · A 		18 42→44 37→45 47→60 37 197/271/278 80298 48 33% 5% 53 -1.5 219/295/319 100315 815 31% 6% 74 -0.1 224/303/332108321102031%6%76+0.1