Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025
19
ROKMLE
DSL Pirates Gold
13
3
29
114
39
8
0
23%
2.2
23.3%
8.8%
14.5%
0.0%
0.93
2.25
—
2025
19
ROKMLE
DSL Pirates Gold
13
3
29
114
39
8
0
23%
2.2
23.3%
8.8%
14.5%
0.0%
0.93
2.25
—
2025
19
ROKRAW
DSL Pirates Gold
13
3
29
114
39
8
0
23%
2.2
34.2%
7.0%
27.2%
0.0%
0.93
1.24
—
2026
20
MIXMLE
2 levels
19
18
72
307
48
30
7
95%
3.8
11.7%
10.6%
1.2%
3.1%
4.23
5.17
—
2026
20
MIXMLE
2 levels
19
18
72
307
48
30
7
95%
3.8
11.7%
10.6%
1.2%
3.1%
4.23
5.17
—
2026
20
MIXRAW
2 levels
19
18
72
307
48
30
7
95%
3.8
15.6%
9.8%
5.9%
2.3%
4.23
4.28
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
21
MLB
PIT
8
8
39
165
26
17
5
100%
4.9
15.8%
10.2%
5.6%
3.0%
5.07
5.07
-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
22
MLBMLE
PIT
13
13
68
289
53
27
8
100%
5.3
18.2%
9.4%
8.9%
2.9%
4.84
4.73
+0.1
2029
23
MLBMLE
PIT
13
13
71
300
59
27
9
100%
5.5
19.8%
8.9%
10.9%
2.9%
4.63
4.52
+0.3
2030
24
MLBMLE
PIT
13
13
73
307
64
26
9
100%
5.6
20.7%
8.6%
12.1%
2.9%
4.48
4.39
+0.4
2031
25
MLBMLE
PIT
13
13
74
311
66
26
9
100%
5.7
21.2%
8.5%
12.7%
2.8%
4.39
4.33
+0.5
2032
26
MLBMLE
PIT
12
12
74
311
67
26
9
100%
6.1
21.4%
8.4%
12.9%
2.8%
4.34
4.31
+0.5
2033
27
MLBMLE
PIT
12
12
73
307
66
26
9
100%
6.0
21.4%
8.5%
12.8%
2.9%
4.34
4.34
+0.5
2034
28
MLBMLE
PIT
12
12
70
297
63
26
9
100%
5.9
21.2%
8.7%
12.6%
3.0%
4.39
4.43
+0.4
2035
29
MLBMLE
PIT
11
11
67
284
60
25
9
100%
6.1
21.0%
8.9%
12.1%
3.1%
4.49
4.56
+0.3
2036
30
MLBMLE
PIT
11
11
63
267
55
25
9
100%
5.7
20.6%
9.2%
11.4%
3.3%
4.64
4.74
+0.1
2028
22
MLBCTX
PIT
7
7
34
144
26
13
4
100%
4.9
18.2%
9.4%
8.9%
2.7%
4.72
4.61
+0.1
2029
23
MLBCTX
PIT
10
10
52
220
43
20
6
100%
5.2
19.8%
8.9%
10.9%
2.7%
4.51
4.40
+0.2
2030
24
MLBCTX
PIT
11
11
60
253
52
22
7
100%
5.5
20.7%
8.6%
12.1%
2.6%
4.36
4.27
+0.4
2031
25
MLBCTX
PIT
11
11
65
274
58
23
7
100%
5.9
21.2%
8.5%
12.7%
2.6%
4.27
4.21
+0.4
2032
26
MLBCTX
PIT
11
11
67
283
60
24
7
100%
6.1
21.4%
8.4%
12.9%
2.6%
4.22
4.19
+0.5
2033
27
MLBCTX
PIT
11
11
67
283
60
24
8
100%
6.1
21.4%
8.5%
12.8%
2.7%
4.22
4.22
+0.4
2034
28
MLBCTX
PIT
11
11
66
279
59
24
8
100%
6.0
21.2%
8.7%
12.6%
2.8%
4.27
4.31
+0.4
2035
29
MLBCTX
PIT
11
11
64
270
57
24
8
100%
5.8
21.0%
8.9%
12.1%
2.9%
4.36
4.43
+0.3
2036
30
MLBCTX
PIT
10
10
60
253
52
23
8
100%
6.0
20.6%
9.2%
11.4%
3.1%
4.50
4.60
+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
92
92
535
2260
470
198
62
100%
5.8
20.8%
8.7%
12.0%
2.7%
4.36
3.96
+6.0
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
34
34
200
844
176
74
23
100%
5.8
20.8%
8.7%
12.0%
2.7%
4.36
3.96
+2.2
Career
—
MLE
32
21
101
421
63
42
10
66%
3.2
14.9%
10.1%
4.8%
2.3%
3.29
4.38
+3.1
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
63
41
200
831
123
84
19
66%
3.2
14.9%
10.1%
4.8%
2.3%
3.29
4.38
+1.0
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.