Gensi Angeles

P FCL Braves

Age 19 RHP 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 1.0 · 2036

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#551ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKATL	10	4	35	3.57	4.06	17.3%	7.2%	—	K 11.7% · BB 9.0% · FIP 5.77
2026	18	MIX2 levels	18	13	73	3.59	3.91	18.8%	10.5%	—	K 13.1% · BB 13.0% · FIP 5.05
2027PROJ	19	MLBATL	—	—	0	5.28	5.28	16.6%	12.0%	—
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBATL	4	4	27	5.05	4.96	18.3%	10.9%	0.1
2029PROJ73% MLB	21	MLBATL	6	6	39	4.84	4.73	19.5%	10.2%	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 1.3, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsChristian Fernandez (age 18) · Reibyn Corona (age 19) · Bryan Polanco (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.28

FIP5.28

K%16.6%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%4.6%

Proj IP42

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$35M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.8M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.5M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$8M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	10	4	35	139	24	10	4	40%	3.5	11.7%	9.0%	2.7%	4.6%	3.57	5.77	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	10	4	35	139	24	10	4	40%	3.5	11.7%	9.0%	2.7%	4.6%	3.57	5.77	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	10	4	35	139	24	10	4	40%	3.5	17.3%	7.2%	10.1%	2.9%	3.57	4.06	—
2026	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	13	73	313	59	33	6	72%	4.0	13.1%	13.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.59	5.05	—
2026	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	13	73	313	59	33	6	72%	4.0	13.1%	13.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.59	5.05	—
2026	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	13	73	313	59	33	6	72%	4.0	18.8%	10.5%	8.3%	1.9%	3.59	3.91	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	ATL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	16.6%	12.0%	4.6%	3.1%	5.28	5.28	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	ATL	9	9	54	228	42	25	7	100%	6.0	18.3%	10.9%	7.4%	3.0%	5.05	4.96	+0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	ATL	9	9	54	228	45	23	7	100%	6.0	19.5%	10.2%	9.3%	2.9%	4.84	4.73	+0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	ATL	9	9	54	228	48	22	7	100%	6.0	20.8%	9.4%	11.4%	2.9%	4.63	4.50	+0.6
2031	23	MLB MLE	ATL	9	9	55	232	50	21	7	100%	6.1	21.6%	8.9%	12.7%	2.8%	4.45	4.34	+0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	ATL	9	9	55	233	52	20	7	100%	6.1	22.2%	8.6%	13.6%	2.8%	4.33	4.24	+0.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	ATL	9	9	55	231	52	20	6	100%	6.1	22.6%	8.5%	14.1%	2.8%	4.24	4.18	+0.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	ATL	9	9	55	232	53	20	6	100%	6.1	22.8%	8.5%	14.3%	2.8%	4.19	4.16	+0.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	ATL	9	9	54	227	52	19	6	100%	6.0	22.8%	8.5%	14.2%	2.8%	4.19	4.20	+0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	ATL	9	9	56	237	58	19	7	100%	6.2	24.6%	7.9%	16.8%	2.9%	4.08	4.01	+0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	ATL	9	9	52	219	53	18	7	100%	5.8	24.4%	8.1%	16.3%	3.1%	4.12	4.14	+0.8
2038	30	MLB MLE	ATL	8	8	47	198	48	17	7	100%	5.8	24.1%	8.4%	15.7%	3.3%	4.24	4.32	+0.6
2039	31	MLB MLE	ATL	7	7	42	175	41	15	6	100%	5.9	23.7%	8.8%	14.9%	3.5%	4.41	4.52	+0.4
2040	32	MLB MLE	ATL	6	6	36	154	36	14	6	100%	6.1	23.2%	9.2%	14.1%	3.8%	4.61	4.75	+0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	ATL	4	4	27	114	21	12	3	100%	6.8	18.3%	10.9%	7.4%	3.0%	5.05	4.96	+0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	ATL	6	6	39	165	32	17	5	100%	6.5	19.5%	10.2%	9.3%	2.9%	4.84	4.73	+0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	ATL	8	8	46	194	40	18	6	100%	5.8	20.8%	9.4%	11.4%	2.9%	4.63	4.50	+0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	ATL	8	8	49	207	45	19	6	100%	6.1	21.6%	8.9%	12.7%	2.8%	4.45	4.34	+0.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	ATL	8	8	51	215	48	19	6	100%	6.4	22.2%	8.6%	13.6%	2.8%	4.33	4.24	+0.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	ATL	8	8	51	215	49	18	6	100%	6.4	22.6%	8.5%	14.1%	2.8%	4.24	4.18	+0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	ATL	9	9	52	220	50	19	6	100%	5.8	22.8%	8.5%	14.3%	2.8%	4.19	4.16	+0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	ATL	8	8	51	215	49	18	6	100%	6.4	22.8%	8.5%	14.2%	2.8%	4.19	4.20	+0.7
2036	28	MLB CTX	ATL	9	9	53	224	55	18	7	100%	5.9	24.6%	7.9%	16.8%	2.9%	4.08	4.01	+0.9
2037	29	MLB CTX	ATL	8	8	49	207	51	17	6	100%	6.1	24.4%	8.1%	16.3%	3.1%	4.12	4.14	+0.7
2038	30	MLB CTX	ATL	7	7	44	186	45	16	6	100%	6.3	24.1%	8.4%	15.7%	3.3%	4.24	4.32	+0.6
2039	31	MLB CTX	ATL	6	6	39	165	39	14	6	100%	6.5	23.7%	8.8%	14.9%	3.5%	4.41	4.52	+0.4
2040	32	MLB CTX	ATL	6	6	35	148	34	14	6	100%	5.8	23.2%	9.2%	14.1%	3.8%	4.61	4.75	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		97	97	587	2480	559	218	75	100%	6.1	22.5%	8.8%	13.7%	3.0%	4.37	3.96	+10.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	190	74	26	100%	6.1	22.5%	8.8%	13.7%	3.0%	4.37	3.96	+3.4
Career	—	MLE		28	17	108	452	57	53	14	61%	3.9	12.7%	11.8%	0.9%	3.2%	3.58	5.27	+8.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	31	200	837	106	99	27	61%	3.9	12.7%	11.8%	0.9%	3.2%	3.58	5.27	+2.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Braves · 56 IPFIP 3.41 → 4.49 (+1.08)K% 19.3% → 13.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	19.31%	—	×0.680	13.13%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.59%	—	×1.250	14.48%
HR / BF /BF	0.86%	÷1.000	×1.400	1.20%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.41 → 4.49, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAugusta GreenJackets · 17 IPFIP 5.32 → 6.70 (+1.38)K% 17.5% → 13.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	17.50%	—	×0.740	12.95%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	7.50%	—	×1.180	8.85%
HR / BF /BF	5.00%	÷1.000	×1.300	6.50%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 5.32 → 6.70, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKDSL Braves · 35 IPFIP 4.13 → 5.77 (+1.63)K% 17.3% → 11.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	17.27%	—	×0.680	11.74%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	7.19%	—	×1.250	8.99%
HR / BF /BF	2.88%	÷0.878	×1.400	4.59%

Result: FIP 4.13 → 5.77, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gensi Angeles (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.28	16.6%	12.0%	3.1%	—	4.73	19.6%	9.4%	162	-0.55	—	—	—
Christian Fernandez R 2018 · 4.50 FIP	18	SP-	4.50	17.0%	12.6%	2.3%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	4.06	324	89
Reibyn Corona R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SP-	5.02	17.0%	13.1%	3.1%	.290	5.53	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.51	4.48	190	89
Bryan Polanco R 2022 · 5.18 FIP	20	SP-	5.18	18.2%	14.3%	3.3%	.248	5.58	13.0%	1.2%	243	+0.40	5.18	374	88
Jairo Garcia R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	20	SP-	4.47	16.4%	11.3%	2.4%	.298	5.25	10.1%	-1.9%	96	+0.78	3.88	148	88
Joel Díaz R 2022 · 5.45 FIP	18	SP-	5.45	15.3%	11.9%	3.9%	.335	4.86	16.2%	8.2%	174	-0.59	1.98	328	87
Nolberto Henriquez R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	21	SP-	4.99	16.0%	13.4%	2.8%	.305	5.60	11.3%	-3.1%	52	+0.61	4.99	108	87
Gage Stanifer R 2023 · 4.78 FIP	19	SP-	4.78	16.6%	14.9%	2.2%	.342	4.35	24.2%	7.9%	259	-0.43	2.85	301	86
Donny Troconis R 2024 · 5.43 FIP	18	SP-	5.43	14.4%	11.2%	3.9%	.364	4.94	15.0%	1.8%	138	-0.49	3.15	224	85
Gerson Calzadilla R 2022 · 5.14 FIP	19	SP-	5.14	12.6%	11.6%	3.0%	.287	3.36	17.0%	8.3%	37	-1.78	3.36	130	85
Sal Biasi R 2017 · 4.68 FIP	21	SP-	4.68	16.0%	12.6%	2.5%	.230	5.59	18.5%	5.0%	109	+0.91	4.68	188	85
Miguel Vinicio R 2019 · 5.69 FIP	19	SP-	5.69	13.8%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	3.99	16.9%	1.4%	47	-1.70	3.63	164	84
Alejandro Manzano R 2022 · 4.89 FIP	20	SP-	4.89	14.8%	8.6%	3.5%	.347	4.81	15.6%	6.5%	199	-0.08	4.28	273	84
Tyler McKay R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	21	SP-	5.32	15.1%	10.2%	4.0%	.262	4.64	13.2%	2.2%	106	-0.68	3.10	275	84
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	84
Edward Escoboza R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	19	SP-	4.73	15.3%	11.7%	2.6%	.345	4.05	17.4%	9.9%	157	-0.68	3.44	213	84
Yohanse Morel R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	18	SP-	4.77	17.0%	10.0%	3.4%	.350	5.18	16.2%	2.7%	96	+0.41	3.33	263	84
Cristian Aray R 2024 · 4.99 FIP	17	SP-	4.99	14.8%	11.8%	3.0%	.272	4.48	13.0%	-2.3%	72	-0.51	4.44	104	83
Victor Munoz R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	18	SP-	4.33	14.4%	12.6%	1.6%	.273	3.63	14.1%	7.7%	107	-0.70	2.18	260	83
Steven Fuentes R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	18	SP-	4.60	12.1%	10.1%	2.3%	.319	3.85	16.7%	10.2%	131	-0.75	2.38	359	83
Mike Garcia R 2018 · 4.11 FIP	17	SP-	4.11	17.7%	10.6%	2.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	125	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.6	51	22.0%	9.1%	1.16	4.46
Alan Embree ('09)	3.9	52	20.8%	8.8%	1.10	4.59
Kyle Farnsworth ('14)	4.9	62	22.5%	9.6%	1.20	4.26
Russ Springer ('10)	4.3	66	20.9%	9.4%	1.27	4.52
Mark Guthrie ('89-'03, 8 WAR*)	4.9	65	22.8%*	8.5%*	1.07*	4.01*
Ed Nunez ('82-'94, 2 WAR*)	3.3	54	24.5%*	9.5%*	1.24*	4.37*
Xavier Hernandez ('89-'98, 3 WAR*)	3.4	67	23.9%*	9.1%*	1.12*	4.20*