Gensi Angeles — OGILVIE

Gensi Angeles P FCL Braves

Age 18 RHP 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.8 · 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.68

FIP4.68

K%19.2%

BB%9.0%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$43M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+1.1	$5M	+$3M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$12M		$22M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	10	4	35	139	24	10	4	40%	3.5	11.7%	9.0%	2.7%	4.6%	3.57	5.77	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	10	4	35	139	24	10	4	40%	3.5	11.7%	9.0%	2.7%	4.6%	3.57	5.77	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	10	4	35	139	24	10	4	40%	3.5	17.3%	7.2%	10.1%	2.9%	3.57	4.06	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	18	13	73	313	59	33	6	72%	4.0	13.1%	13.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.59	5.05	—
YTD	18	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	18	13	73	313	59	33	6	72%	4.0	13.1%	13.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.59	5.05	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	18	ROK RAW	ATL	12	10	56	233	45	27	2	83%	4.6	19.3%	11.6%	7.7%	0.9%	2.26	3.41	—
2026	18	A RAW	ATL	6	3	17	80	14	6	4	50%	2.8	17.5%	7.5%	10.0%	5.0%	7.94	5.32	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	ATL	12	12	75	316	64	28	9	100%	6.2	20.3%	8.8%	11.5%	3.0%	4.57	4.52	+0.3
2028	20	MLB MLE	ATL	13	13	78	331	70	28	10	100%	6.0	21.0%	8.5%	12.5%	2.9%	4.46	4.40	+0.5
2029	21	MLB MLE	ATL	13	13	82	348	75	29	10	100%	6.3	21.5%	8.4%	13.2%	2.9%	4.36	4.30	+0.6
2030	22	MLB MLE	ATL	14	14	86	365	82	29	10	100%	6.2	22.4%	7.9%	14.5%	2.8%	4.23	4.14	+0.8
2031	23	MLB MLE	ATL	15	15	90	379	88	29	11	100%	6.0	23.2%	7.6%	15.5%	2.8%	4.10	4.01	+1.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	ATL	15	15	92	388	92	29	11	100%	6.1	23.7%	7.4%	16.3%	2.7%	3.99	3.92	+1.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	ATL	15	15	93	393	95	29	11	100%	6.2	24.1%	7.3%	16.8%	2.7%	3.92	3.87	+1.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	ATL	15	15	93	393	95	28	11	100%	6.2	24.3%	7.2%	17.0%	2.7%	3.87	3.84	+1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	ATL	15	15	92	387	94	28	11	100%	6.1	24.3%	7.3%	17.0%	2.8%	3.88	3.88	+1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	ATL	14	14	89	375	91	28	11	100%	6.4	24.1%	7.5%	16.7%	2.9%	3.93	3.97	+1.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	ATL	14	14	85	358	86	28	11	100%	6.1	23.9%	7.7%	16.2%	3.0%	4.03	4.10	+0.8
2038	30	MLB MLE	ATL	13	13	80	337	86	24	11	100%	6.1	25.6%	7.2%	18.4%	3.2%	4.02	4.01	+0.8
2039	31	MLB MLE	ATL	12	12	74	314	79	24	11	100%	6.2	25.2%	7.5%	17.6%	3.5%	4.13	4.21	+0.6
2027	19	MLB CTX	ATL	6	6	37	156	32	14	5	100%	6.2	20.3%	8.8%	11.5%	3.0%	4.57	4.52	+0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	ATL	9	9	57	241	51	21	7	100%	6.3	21.0%	8.5%	12.5%	2.9%	4.46	4.40	+0.3
2029	21	MLB CTX	ATL	11	11	69	291	63	24	8	100%	6.3	21.5%	8.4%	13.2%	2.9%	4.36	4.30	+0.5
2030	22	MLB CTX	ATL	13	13	78	329	74	26	9	100%	6.0	22.4%	7.9%	14.5%	2.8%	4.23	4.14	+0.7
2031	23	MLB CTX	ATL	13	13	83	350	81	27	10	100%	6.4	23.2%	7.6%	15.5%	2.8%	4.10	4.01	+0.9
2032	24	MLB CTX	ATL	14	14	86	363	86	27	10	100%	6.1	23.7%	7.4%	16.3%	2.7%	3.99	3.92	+1.0
2033	25	MLB CTX	ATL	14	14	88	372	90	27	10	100%	6.3	24.1%	7.3%	16.8%	2.7%	3.92	3.87	+1.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	ATL	14	14	88	372	90	27	10	100%	6.3	24.3%	7.2%	17.0%	2.7%	3.87	3.84	+1.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	ATL	14	14	87	367	89	27	10	100%	6.2	24.3%	7.3%	17.0%	2.8%	3.88	3.88	+1.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	ATL	14	14	84	355	86	26	10	100%	6.0	24.1%	7.5%	16.7%	2.9%	3.93	3.97	+0.9
2037	29	MLB CTX	ATL	13	13	81	342	82	26	10	100%	6.2	23.9%	7.7%	16.2%	3.0%	4.03	4.10	+0.8
2038	30	MLB CTX	ATL	12	12	76	321	82	23	10	100%	6.3	25.6%	7.2%	18.4%	3.2%	4.02	4.01	+0.8
2039	31	MLB CTX	ATL	12	12	71	300	75	23	10	100%	5.9	25.2%	7.5%	17.6%	3.5%	4.13	4.21	+0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		160	160	986	4161	980	318	121	100%	6.2	23.6%	7.6%	15.9%	2.9%	4.08	3.67	+14.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		32	32	200	844	199	65	25	100%	6.2	23.6%	7.6%	15.9%	2.9%	4.08	3.67	+3.0
Career	—	MLE		28	17	108	452	57	53	14	61%	3.9	12.7%	11.8%	0.9%	3.2%	3.58	5.27	+10.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	31	200	837	106	99	27	61%	3.9	12.7%	11.8%	0.9%	3.2%	3.58	5.27	+2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gensi Angeles (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.68	19.2%	9.0%	3.1%	—	4.40	21.0%	12.4%	236	-0.28	—	—	—
Miguel Rondon R 2019 · 4.47 FIP	18	SP-	4.47	18.9%	9.4%	3.2%	.361	7.30	18.1%	2.1%	88	+2.83	2.62	179	85
Pedro González R 2018 · 4.40 FIP	18	SP-	4.40	17.0%	7.5%	3.2%	.292	5.01	13.0%	-2.7%	71	+0.61	4.06	285	84
Donny Troconis R 2023 · 5.31 FIP	17	SP-	5.31	16.0%	9.4%	4.3%	.293	5.06	14.9%	2.2%	180	-0.25	3.15	224	84
Andry Lara R 2021 · 4.98 FIP	18	SP-	4.98	19.1%	9.7%	4.1%	.294	4.77	16.6%	6.7%	334	-0.21	4.57	535	83
Jose Espada R 2015 · 4.42 FIP	18	SP-	4.42	15.5%	7.4%	3.1%	.234	5.09	9.6%	3.5%	53	+0.67	4.09	355	83
Jose Cedeno R 2019 · 4.66 FIP	17	SP-	4.66	15.3%	9.7%	3.0%	.271	3.39	21.5%	12.9%	88	-1.27	2.80	123	82
Yoelvin Silven R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	19	SP-	3.94	17.7%	7.3%	2.6%	.331	4.89	17.9%	12.6%	88	+0.95	3.94	254	82
Porter Hodge R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	20	SP-	4.20	19.3%	8.8%	2.9%	.336	3.40	24.2%	10.6%	249	-0.80	2.97	349	82
Sean Paul Liñan R 2023 · 4.05 FIP	18	SP-	4.05	17.7%	8.3%	2.5%	.324	4.30	22.1%	10.2%	210	+0.25	3.29	272	82
Mike Garcia R 2018 · 4.11 FIP	17	SP-	4.11	17.7%	10.6%	2.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	125	81
Alejandro Manzano R 2022 · 4.89 FIP	20	SP-	4.89	14.8%	8.6%	3.5%	.347	4.81	15.6%	6.5%	199	-0.08	4.28	273	81
Yohanse Morel R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	18	SP-	4.77	17.0%	10.0%	3.4%	.350	5.18	16.2%	2.7%	96	+0.41	3.33	263	81
Luis Arejula R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	19	SP	3.52	21.9%	8.7%	2.1%	.318	4.46	15.7%	3.5%	71	+0.94	3.52	115	80
Anthony Escobar R 2019 · 4.44 FIP	18	SP-	4.44	15.1%	9.7%	2.5%	.263	5.33	14.2%	-3.5%	23	+0.89	3.07	122	80
Adrian Hernandez R 2018 · 3.61 FIP	18	SP-	3.61	18.8%	11.3%	1.2%	.310	3.59	27.3%	15.1%	84	-0.02	3.36	268	79
Dahian Santos R 2021 · 4.91 FIP	18	SP-	4.91	24.2%	10.1%	4.7%	.316	4.72	25.1%	10.2%	161	-0.19	4.57	197	79
Manuel Perez R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	17	SP-	4.04	17.5%	11.8%	1.7%	.366	5.09	13.7%	-1.1%	117	+1.05	3.40	188	79
Jordany Ventura R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP	4.08	16.8%	8.9%	2.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	219	79
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	79
Eric Prado R 2023 · 4.15 FIP	17	SP-	4.15	16.6%	11.5%	1.8%	.222	7.05	14.8%	-0.5%	90	+2.90	4.15	131	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.7	81	23.3%	7.7%	1.13	4.11
Ross Stripling ('24)	4.2	94	20.9%	5.6%	1.32	4.17
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Vince Velasquez ('23)	3.8	85	24.9%	9.3%	1.48	4.88
Michael Fulmer ('23)	3.4	96	20.3%	7.6%	0.99	3.94