Jack Kartsonas
P
Bowling Green Hot Rods
Age 25
RHP
6'4" / 220 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION75 act + 25 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%22.9%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP25
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 16 | 14 | 75 | 320 | 80 | 16 | 9 | 88% | 4.7 | 19.4% | 5.7% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 3.98 | 4.11 | +0.7 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TB | 4 | 4 | 25 | 107 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.3 | 22.9% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | TB | — | — | 100 | 427 | 104 | 25 | 12 | — | — | 24.5% | 6.0% | 18.5% | 2.9% | 4.06 | 4.16 | +1.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.9% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 3.94 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TB | 4 | 4 | 25 | 107 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.3 | 23.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TB | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 3.91 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 73 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 16 | 14 | 75 | 320 | 62 | 18 | 11 | 88% | 4.7 | 19.4% | 5.7% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 3.98 | 4.11 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 38 | 200 | 857 | 166 | 49 | 30 | 87% | 4.7 | 19.4% | 5.7% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 3.98 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jack Kartsonas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 22.9% | 8.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.29 | 23.2% | 14.4% | 25 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .311 | 6.73 | 17.6% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.92 | 3.81 | 106 | 78 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.55 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 1.6% | .286 | 5.51 | 25.3% | 9.1% | 58 | +1.96 | 3.29 | 142 | 76 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.98 | 26.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 209 | 76 |
| Jackson Nezuh R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.06 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 258 | 76 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2028 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 75 |
| Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 75 |
| Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.39 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.65 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 382 | +0.26 | 3.67 | 509 | 75 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.52 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 5.47 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.95 | 4.52 | 239 | 74 |
| Brendan Beck R 2025 · 3.18 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.18 | 22.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% | .289 | 3.78 | 20.9% | 13.1% | 225 | +0.60 | 3.18 | 256 | 74 |
| Tyson Hardin R 2025 · 3.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.45 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.47 | 177 | 74 |
| Griffin Canning R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.37 | 22.4% | 10.1% | 5.2% | .295 | 4.67 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 299 | -0.70 | 3.70 | 776 | 74 |
| Ryan Watson R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.26 | 18.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | .342 | 5.85 | 13.1% | 5.4% | 98 | +1.59 | 4.26 | 165 | 74 |
| Chase Whitley R 2027 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.52 | 18.1% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .275 | 3.52 | 18.5% | 12.0% | 123 | -0.00 | 3.11 | 159 | 74 |
| Peter Van Loon R 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.14 | 25.5% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .303 | 4.30 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 53 | +1.16 | 2.47 | 256 | 74 |
| Jackson Finley R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.85 | 20.7% | 9.3% | 2.4% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 132 | 73 |
| Connor Seabold R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.49 | 20.2% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .247 | 3.94 | 19.3% | 13.1% | 224 | +0.45 | 3.03 | 576 | 73 |
| Ricky Salinas R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.22 | 20.9% | 10.3% | 4.7% | .335 | 5.81 | 14.3% | -0.8% | 71 | +0.59 | 4.87 | 274 | 72 |
| Will Sanders R 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.48 | 24.1% | 9.0% | 4.1% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 259 | 72 |
| Burch Smith R 2028 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 72 |
| Levi Wells R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 19.9% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 192 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 25 | 23.0% | 8.8% | 1.17 | 4.31 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |