Daniel Rogers — OGILVIE

Daniel RogersC San Jose Giants

Age 24 L/R 6'3" / 225 lbs A HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION94 act + 62 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .255 / .277

PA62

HR1

K%32

BB%6

BABIP273

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A	San Jose Giants	—	65	57	12	2	0	0	5	25	2	0	0	211	297	246	542	35	375	38	8	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	San Jose Giants	—	65	54	15	3	0	0	8	17	2	0	0	278	391	333	724	56	405	26	12	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A	SF	—	94	85	16	2	0	3	6	34	2	0	1	188	258	318	576	129	265	36	6	261	58	-4	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
YTD	24	A	SF	—	94	82	20	3	0	4	9	25	2	0	1	244	333	427	760	183	296	27	10	337	116	+2	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.6
ROS	24	A	SF	0%	62	57	11	2	0	1	4	20	1	1	0	191	255	277	533	87	286	32	6	265	61	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
ROS	24	MLB	SF	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		281	—	—	250	50	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	24	A	SF	—	94	86	16	2	0	3	6	34	2	0	1	186	258	314	572	128	260	36	6	261	58	-4	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
TOT	24	A	SF	—	156	142	27	4	0	4	10	54	3	1	1	189	257	301	558	112	268	34	6	263	59	-7	-0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	SF	30%	156	142	30	5	1	4	11	48	2	2	1	211	277	345	622	134	287	31	7	274	68	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2028	26	MLB	SF	44%	254	231	48	8	1	6	18	77	3	3	1	208	274	329	603	121	288	30	7	278	71	-8	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.4
2029	27	MLB	SF	49%	311	281	60	10	1	8	23	94	4	3	1	214	282	342	624	128	288	30	7	281	73	-10	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.5
2030	28	MLB	SF	51%	348	315	66	11	1	8	26	105	4	3	2	210	278	327	605	117	288	30	7	281	73	-11	-0	-1	+6	+10	0.5
2031	29	MLB	SF	51%	364	328	70	12	1	9	28	110	5	3	1	213	285	338	624	125	287	30	8	279	71	-12	+0	-1	+7	+10	0.4
2032	30	MLB	SF	51%	374	338	71	12	1	9	28	114	5	3	1	210	280	331	612	121	285	30	7	276	69	-13	+0	-2	+7	+11	0.2
2033	31	MLB	SF	51%	357	323	66	11	1	8	27	110	4	3	1	204	274	319	593	115	283	31	8	272	66	-14	+0	-3	+6	+10	0.0
2027	25	MLB	SF	30%	47	43	8	1	0	1	3	15	1	0	0	186	255	279	534	93	282	32	6	259	57	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	26	MLB	SF	44%	112	102	23	4	1	3	8	34	1	1	1	225	288	373	661	147	283	30	7	264	60	-5	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2029	27	MLB	SF	49%	152	138	30	5	1	4	11	46	2	2	1	217	285	355	640	138	283	30	7	266	62	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2030	28	MLB	SF	51%	179	162	34	6	1	4	13	54	2	2	1	210	277	333	610	123	282	30	7	266	62	-8	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.0
2031	29	MLB	SF	51%	187	169	35	6	1	4	14	57	2	2	1	207	276	325	601	118	281	30	7	265	61	-8	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.0
2032	30	MLB	SF	51%	193	174	36	6	1	4	15	59	2	2	1	207	277	322	599	115	280	31	8	262	59	-9	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.1
2033	31	MLB	SF	51%	184	166	34	6	1	4	14	57	2	1	1	205	275	325	600	120	278	31	8	258	56	-9	-0	-1	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1054	955	200	34	6	24	78	322	12	10	6	209	278	333	611	124	286	31	7	263	60	-48	-0	-4	+19	+30	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	124	21	4	15	48	199	7	6	4	211	278	336	614	126	288	31	7	263	60	-30	-0	-2	+12	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	2291	2072	434	73	7	53	170	703	30	21	8	209	279	328	607	119	287	31	7	276	69	-80	+1	-7	+41	+65	2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	123	21	2	15	48	199	9	6	2	209	279	328	607	119	286	31	7	276	69	-23	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A	San Jose Giants	—	65	54	15	3	0	0	8	17	2	0	0	278	391	333	724	56	405	26	12	335	114	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,144	27	11	212	278	334	+20	+16	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	15	6	212	278	334	+11.9	+9.3	0.7	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Rogers (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	189/257/301	112	268	4	1	34%	6%	59	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A	25	43→48	44→45	48→40	41	210/276/328	118	297	12	6	32%	7%	68	-0.5	231/286/350	119	313	12	5	29%	6%	77	+0.1	234/292/346	112	318	10	2	28%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	38→45	47→50	49→50	43	195/276/331	137	262	14	9	30%	7%	69	-0.4	215/289/349	134	277	13	9	26%	7%	79	+0.3	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Mark Fleury 2012 · A	24	44→39	44→45	49→45	44	214/279/333	120	291	11	6	29%	8%	70	-0.3	197/273/284	87	315	5	7	36%	8%	55	-1.4	152/245/209	57	258	1	2	37%	10%	25	-1.4
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→43	44→50	52→40	42	187/249/306	120	252	12	7	30%	7%	51	-1.7	207/278/346	139	286	15	3	31%	8%	73	-0.1	222/289/402	180	281	22	1	28%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Carlos Soto 2022 · A	23	40	46→50	45→30	47	200/276/328	128	267	13	3	29%	9%	68	-0.5	198/272/313	115	288	10	5	32%	9%	63	-0.9	146/236/243	98	222	7	0	35%	10%	29	-1.0
✕Bryan Holaday 2011 · A	23	41	44→45	47→40	42	201/283/317	116	296	12	5	34%	8%	69	-0.4	206/259/296	90	269	8	6	25%	5%	51	-1.7	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Patrick Bailey 2023 · A	24	39→49	45	47→45	46	196/270/318	122	268	13	5	31%	9%	63	-0.9	229/290/349	120	305	12	5	27%	8%	79	+0.3	235/295/351	116	311	12	4	27%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Jose Brizuela 2017 · A	24	41→40	46→50	43→45	42	208/270/340	132	285	14	5	32%	7%	68	-0.5	211/263/322	111	297	11	5	31%	6%	59	-1.1	162/194/241	79	211	11	0	29%	4%	7	-1.0
✕Matthew Acosta 2022 · A	24	44	45	53→50	46	214/287/339	125	300	12	9	31%	9%	76	+0.0	205/272/318	113	301	11	13	33%	8%	63	-0.8	180/251/281	101	265	11	16	34%	8%	43	-1.4
✕Aramis Garcia 2017 · A	24	42	43→55	46→45	41	210/264/317	106	287	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	216/261/363	147	297	18	2	33%	5%	70	-0.3	176/253/325	149	241	21	5	36%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Matt Wallach 2010 · A	24	41	42→50	46→40	42	204/258/306	103	265	9	3	26%	6%	53	-1.5	218/283/340	122	259	13	4	21%	7%	73	-0.1	215/288/338	123	247	15	3	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	41→45	50→30	42	210/261/306	96	282	8	8	28%	6%	55	-1.4	214/275/307	93	325	6	3	33%	7%	61	-1.0	207/272/296	89	313	6	1	33%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Sean Coughlin 2009 · A	24	39→37	47→50	44→30	47	200/271/332	132	250	14	2	26%	8%	67	-0.5	219/286/344	125	268	14	3	23%	8%	76	+0.0	220/289/339	119	262	14	1	21%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Kyle Blumenthal 2007 · A	24	44	45	48→45	46	217/280/342	125	282	12	7	27%	8%	72	-0.2	200/267/317	117	281	11	6	31%	8%	60	-1.0	141/221/250	108	195	11	2	32%	9%	24	-1.2
✕Andrew Susac 2013 · A	23	42→40	44→50	46→30	45	208/280/323	115	292	11	4	31%	8%	68	-0.5	218/291/365	147	292	17	3	30%	8%	84	+0.6	217/295/377	160	283	19	1	29%	9%	86	+0.4
✕Chris Kroski 2006 · A	24	46	44→45	50→40	43	226/283/349	123	300	11	7	28%	7%	76	+0.0	212/266/323	111	289	9	4	29%	6%	62	-0.9	198/257/310	111	272	9	1	29%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Wade Wass 2016 · A	24	43	46→50	45	44	209/291/344	134	304	13	3	33%	8%	79	+0.3	207/286/355	148	323	18	9	39%	8%	79	+0.3	199/282/359	159	315	21	11	41%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Carlos Narváez 2023 · A	24	36→45	46→50	46→45	45	182/272/307	125	283	14	6	38%	10%	62	-0.9	207/290/338	131	291	14	7	32%	9%	77	+0.1	212/294/349	136	285	16	6	29%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Carson Blair 2014 · A	24	37	44→50	45→30	40	186/252/307	121	288	11	6	38%	8%	52	-1.6	203/274/338	135	336	14	3	40%	8%	69	-0.4	193/269/328	135	322	14	1	41%	9%	62	-0.4