Daniel Rogers

C Eugene Emeralds

Age 25 L/R 6'3" / 225 lbs A+ HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	ASF	65	.278/.391/.333	0	0	51	—	.211/.297/.246
2026	24	A+/ASF	199	.246/.357/.407	6	0	54	—	.183/.270/.291
2027PROJMLE	25	MLBSF	249	.180/.260/.277	4	4	53	-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBSF	40	.180/.260/.277	1	1	56	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

BB%63

Z-Con%39

wRC+34

ISO30

Whiff%29

wOBA28

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsMax Wright (age 25) · Jameson Fisher (age 25) · Anthony Vilar (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 93 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .258 / .275

PA93

HR1

K%34

BB%9

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A	San Jose Giants	—	65	54	15	3	0	0	8	17	2	0	0	278	391	333	724	56	405	26	12	335	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	138	116	27	7	0	2	18	46	1	0	0	233	341	345	686	112	352	33	13	310	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A	San Jose Giants	—	61	51	14	2	0	4	8	15	2	0	1	275	393	549	942	275	312	25	13	413	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	65	57	12	2	0	0	5	24	2	0	0	211	297	246	542	35	348	37	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	—	138	121	20	5	0	1	13	62	1	0	0	165	252	231	483	66	291	45	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	61	54	12	2	0	3	5	20	2	0	1	222	311	426	737	204	266	33	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	65	57	12	2	0	0	5	24	2	0	0	211	297	246	542	35	364	37	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	San Jose Giants	—	65	54	15	3	0	0	8	17	2	0	0	278	391	333	724	56	405	26	12	335	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	199	175	30	6	0	4	18	82	3	0	1	171	260	274	534	103	283	41	9	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	199	167	41	9	0	6	26	61	3	0	1	246	357	407	764	162	340	31	13	341	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	65	58	12	2	0	0	5	24	2	0	0	207	297	241	538	34	348	37	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	199	176	30	6	0	4	18	82	3	0	1	170	260	273	533	102	283	41	9	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	23	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	65	58	12	2	0	0	5	24	2	0	0	207	297	241	538	34	348	37	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	199	176	30	6	0	4	18	82	3	0	1	170	260	273	533	102	283	41	9	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SF	0%	249	223	40	7	1	4	21	84	3	4	1	180	260	277	537	97	264	34	8	247	53	-14	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	SF	30%	131	118	22	4	1	2	11	43	1	2	1	184	263	284	547	101	265	33	8	251	56	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	SF	30%	40	37	6	1	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	180	260	277	537	97	262	32	8	247	56	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	40	37	6	1	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	162	225	270	495	108	217	32	8	247	54	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	97	16	0	16	49	211	0	16	0	161	225	268	493	106	217	32	8	247	54	-34	+3	+0	+12	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	488	434	78	15	1	7	42	180	7	3	2	180	263	267	530	88	283	37	9	248	54	-12	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	103	20	1	9	56	240	9	4	3	178	261	263	524	85	281	37	9	248	54	-35	+1	+0	+12	+14	-0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Eugene Emeralds · 138 PAwOBA .309 → .224 (−85)K% 33.3% → 45.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	33.33%	÷1.000	×1.350	—	—	45.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.04%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.978	9.06%
HBP% /PA	0.72%	—	×0.810	—	×0.978	0.57%
Singles /BIP	25.71%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.960	×0.978	21.98%
Doubles /BIP	10.00%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.960	×0.978	7.80%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.960	×0.978	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.86%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×0.978	2.32%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .309 → .224; ISO .112 → .080; BABIP .352 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ASan Jose Giants · 61 PAwOBA .402 → .301 (−100)K% 24.6% → 33.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.59%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	33.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.11%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.970	8.78%
HBP% /PA	3.28%	—	×0.780	—	×0.970	2.48%
Singles /BIP	22.22%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×0.970	19.83%
Doubles /BIP	5.56%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×0.970	4.47%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	×0.970	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	11.11%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.970	8.62%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .402 → .301; ISO .275 → .201; BABIP .312 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ASan Jose Giants · 65 PAwOBA .327 → .244 (−83)K% 26.2% → 37.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.15%	÷0.962	×1.360	—	—	36.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.31%	÷1.055	×0.690	—	×0.980	7.89%
HBP% /PA	3.08%	—	×0.780	—	×0.980	2.35%
Singles /BIP	32.43%	÷1.007	×0.920	—	×0.980	29.03%
Doubles /BIP	8.11%	÷1.138	×0.830	—	×0.980	5.79%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.902	×0.910	—	×0.980	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.358	×0.800	—	×0.980	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 172, 1B 101, 2B 128, 3B 80, K 92, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .327 → .244; ISO .056 → .037; BABIP .405 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Rogers (OGILVIE)	25	20	39	42	52	179/258/275	96	264	1	1	34%	9%	53	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Max Wright 2023 · A	25	39	42→40	44→40	43	186/278/290	104	292	9	4	36%	9%	65	-1.2	196/275/298	102	296	9	6	34%	8%	64	-1.3	147/230/225	78	216	10	0	35%	7%	30	-0.8
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA	25	39→36	41→40	42→45	42	192/264/290	98	282	8	6	33%	8%	58	-1.7	196/260/297	101	290	9	6	33%	7%	58	-1.7	195/256/298	103	279	10	4	32%	7%	55	-1.5
✕Anthony Vilar 2024 · A	25	41→40	41→40	41→50	48	192/285/291	99	306	9	4	37%	11%	67	-1.1	196/279/291	95	299	9	10	34%	10%	64	-1.3	189/273/277	89	282	8	11	33%	10%	57	-1.1
✕Aaron Antonini 2023 · AA	25	37	43→40	46→45	45	188/274/289	101	242	12	5	27%	8%	63	-1.4	210/289/330	120	289	13	9	30%	7%	78	-0.3	182/272/311	129	273	14	8	36%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Garrett Kennedy 2018 · AA	25	35	42→45	45→30	41	179/238/279	100	251	10	3	32%	7%	46	-2.6	194/263/291	97	283	9	5	32%	8%	58	-1.7	153/239/223	70	230	6	0	33%	9%	31	-1.0
✕Gavin Logan 2024 · A	24	37	40→45	44→40	45	173/268/267	94	297	8	6	40%	11%	55	-1.9	177/265/296	119	288	12	6	40%	9%	61	-1.5	160/252/295	135	237	17	4	38%	9%	55	-0.7
✕Jake Lowery 2016 · AA	26	37	43→45	47→30	44	186/253/298	111	262	10	4	32%	8%	55	-1.9	187/257/288	101	288	9	5	35%	8%	55	-2.0	125/202/184	59	253	4	0	48%	9%	10	-1.2
✕Tim Susnara 2021 · A	25	36	39→40	47→40	40	175/240/253	77	276	7	5	37%	8%	40	-3.0	200/266/305	105	332	10	6	40%	7%	62	-1.4	164/241/273	109	265	13	0	40%	7%	45	-0.7
✕Mitchell Gunsolus 2017 · A	24	39→35	43→40	40→45	43	196/261/300	104	269	12	6	31%	8%	59	-1.6	186/266/265	79	319	6	7	39%	9%	53	-2.1	153/251/206	53	299	1	7	44%	10%	34	-2.5
✕Jordan Procyshen 2018 · AA	25	41	40	40	40	201/256/286	85	285	8	4	31%	6%	53	-2.1	195/247/309	114	257	12	5	28%	6%	56	-1.9	166/233/306	140	198	19	4	28%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Scott Hurst 2021 · AA	25	42→32	39→40	44→50	41	202/259/288	86	292	7	6	32%	7%	55	-2.0	208/277/299	91	302	8	15	31%	8%	65	-1.2	209/284/299	90	295	9	17	30%	9%	64	-0.7
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→30	40→45	49→60	38	193/260/279	86	281	7	12	32%	5%	55	-2.0	179/254/280	101	276	9	16	36%	8%	53	-2.1	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA	25	37	44→40	47→50	37	185/261/292	108	298	13	8	40%	7%	59	-1.7	210/285/316	106	342	11	13	38%	8%	72	-0.7	210/293/305	96	350	10	19	39%	9%	70	-0.5
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	188/256/297	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	196/270/312	116	292	12	14	34%	9%	65	-1.2	182/266/286	104	281	10	16	36%	9%	56	-1.0
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Cody Morissette 2024 · AA	24	35→31	46→45	44→55	40	187/242/313	126	243	15	5	30%	6%	55	-1.9	190/243/309	119	252	13	15	29%	6%	55	-2.0	184/241/305	121	240	14	19	29%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	48→50	41	192/258/288	96	263	8	14	29%	6%	55	-1.9	207/273/319	112	287	10	14	30%	7%	68	-1.0	180/253/308	127	261	11	20	33%	6%	55	-0.4
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	39	42→45	42→45	46	191/278/294	103	260	10	6	29%	8%	65	-1.2	197/274/326	129	246	14	10	25%	7%	71	-0.8	183/262/322	139	217	16	12	24%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Collin Price 2024 · A	24	37→36	43→50	43→45	44	186/262/299	114	266	11	4	33%	9%	60	-1.6	190/264/324	134	268	16	7	33%	8%	67	-1.1	176/256/317	141	243	18	8	34%	8%	60	-1.1
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	195/257/291	96	267	8	6	29%	7%	55	-1.9	193/247/290	97	279	9	6	32%	6%	51	-2.2	149/199/236	88	209	10	0	34%	5%	17	-1.5