Victor Pilar

P DSL Padres Brown

Age 19 LHP 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKDSL Padres Br…	16	32	5.06	5.22	14.9%	24.7%	—	K 10.2% · BB 30.8% · FIP 6.15
2027PROJ	19	MLBSD	18	19	5.91	5.91	20.3%	20.0%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBSD	14	15	5.55	5.42	21.1%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsCD Pelham (age 20) · Roberto Medina (age 19) · Develson Aria (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129137vR 145

ERA5.91

FIP5.91

K%20.3%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%0.3%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	16	0	32	154	23	38	0	0%	2.0	10.2%	30.8%	-20.7%	0.0%	5.06	6.15	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	16	0	32	154	23	38	0	0%	2.0	10.2%	30.8%	-20.7%	0.0%	5.06	6.15	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	16	0	32	154	23	38	0	0%	2.0	14.9%	24.7%	-9.7%	0.0%	5.06	5.22	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	SD	18	0	19	80	16	16	2	0%	1.1	20.3%	20.0%	0.3%	2.9%	5.91	5.91	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	SD	29	0	30	128	27	21	4	0%	1.0	21.1%	16.8%	4.2%	2.9%	5.55	5.42	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	SD	14	0	15	63	13	11	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	16.8%	4.2%	2.9%	5.55	5.42	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	63	13	11	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	16.8%	4.2%	2.9%	5.55	5.04	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	175	148	27	0%	1.1	21.1%	16.8%	4.2%	2.9%	5.55	5.04	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		16	0	32	154	16	48	0	0%	2.0	10.2%	30.8%	-20.7%	0.0%	5.06	6.15	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		100	0	200	962	98	297	0	0%	2.0	10.2%	30.8%	-20.7%	0.0%	5.06	6.15	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Victor Pilar (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.91	20.3%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.42	21.1%	4.2%	30	-0.49	—	—	—
CD Pelham L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	20	SU	4.77	18.8%	18.7%	1.6%	.286	4.00	20.4%	7.8%	109	-0.77	3.39	288	82
Roberto Medina L 2024 · 5.29 FIP	19	SW	5.29	18.5%	19.6%	2.3%	.254	5.91	15.1%	-2.7%	45	+0.62	3.87	109	82
Develson Aria L 2019 · 5.19 FIP	18	SU	5.19	15.5%	19.7%	1.6%	.311	4.33	21.7%	3.1%	54	-0.86	4.32	137	81
Yensy Bello L 2022 · 6.82 FIP	19	SU	6.82	19.9%	32.3%	2.4%	.240	3.76	17.4%	4.1%	91	-3.06	2.65	103	80
Daniel Gonzalez L 2021 · 5.55 FIP	19	SU	5.55	13.6%	19.1%	2.1%	.318	4.98	20.1%	2.0%	100	-0.57	4.34	136	79
Anfernny Reyes L 2023 · 4.98 FIP	19	SU	4.98	21.6%	13.6%	3.6%	.282	4.34	21.0%	1.8%	99	-0.64	2.89	175	76
Zhiorman Imbriano L 2022 · 5.72 FIP	19	SU	5.72	12.3%	21.1%	1.8%	.283	4.79	13.2%	-5.0%	65	-0.93	3.82	100	75
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	75
Andre Davis L 2015 · 6.34 FIP	21	SU	6.34	13.6%	16.7%	4.2%	.384	4.43	17.5%	9.9%	127	-1.91	4.14	154	74
Edison Suriel L 2018 · 6.39 FIP	19	SU	6.39	16.8%	20.5%	3.8%	.341	2.16	21.4%	14.6%	17	-4.23	2.16	159	73
Jayvien Sandridge L 2018 · 5.17 FIP	19	SU	5.17	15.5%	19.0%	1.8%	.188	6.78	19.0%	-4.9%	13	+1.61	3.25	223	73
Riger Fernandez L 2017 · 5.21 FIP	19	SW	5.21	17.5%	24.7%	0.8%	.278	4.61	17.2%	-2.3%	35	-0.60	4.61	164	72
Ignacio Briceno L 2021 · 5.16 FIP	20	SU	5.16	12.7%	12.9%	2.7%	.230	3.33	17.0%	7.2%	82	-1.83	2.39	156	72
Gabriel Cotto L 2019 · 5.98 FIP	19	SW	5.98	11.3%	18.4%	2.8%	.309	5.15	18.5%	2.4%	113	-0.83	5.02	236	72
Alvaro Gamez L 2024 · 5.50 FIP	19	SW	5.50	13.2%	21.0%	1.6%	.278	7.06	15.0%	-9.3%	21	+1.56	4.57	115	71
Izaak Martinez L 2024 · 6.26 FIP	22	SU	6.26	21.5%	15.0%	5.6%	.300	4.03	20.0%	10.6%	125	-2.23	3.77	138	71
Alex Robinson L 2015 · 5.75 FIP	20	SU	5.75	16.2%	31.7%	0.0%	.312	4.45	23.4%	5.2%	123	-1.30	3.69	135	70
Derek Corro L 2024 · 5.35 FIP	19	SU	5.35	14.6%	18.3%	2.1%	.307	4.54	21.8%	-4.1%	12	-0.81	4.54	128	70
Caden Monke L 2022 · 5.48 FIP	22	SU	5.48	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.38	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	4.35	164	70
Adrian Almeida L 2015 · 5.36 FIP	20	SU	5.36	13.9%	27.1%	0.0%	.271	5.06	18.9%	-1.8%	113	-0.30	4.27	188	69