Luis Amador

P FCL Astros

Age 19 RHP 6'4" / 185 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	14	4	31	4.40	3.20	20.0%	10.8%	—	K 13.6% · BB 13.5% · FIP 4.29
2026	18	ROKHOU	14	0	19	9.00	7.10	15.2%	18.2%	—	K 10.3% · BB 22.7% · FIP 8.21
2027PROJ	19	MLBHOU	13	0	14	5.70	5.70	18.7%	16.8%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBHOU	13	0	14	5.39	5.27	19.9%	14.5%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJonathan Jimenez (age 19) · Carlos De Los Santos (age 18) · Michael Perez (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.70

FIP5.70

K%18.7%

BB%16.8%

K-BB%1.9%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	14	4	31	130	26	14	1	29%	2.2	13.6%	13.5%	0.1%	1.1%	4.40	4.29	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	14	4	31	130	26	14	1	29%	2.2	13.6%	13.5%	0.1%	1.1%	4.40	4.29	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	14	4	31	130	26	14	1	29%	2.2	20.0%	10.8%	9.2%	0.8%	4.40	3.20	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	14	0	19	99	15	18	4	0%	1.4	10.3%	22.7%	-12.4%	5.7%	9.00	8.21	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	14	0	19	99	15	18	4	0%	1.4	10.3%	22.7%	-12.4%	5.7%	9.00	8.21	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	14	0	19	99	15	18	4	0%	1.4	15.2%	18.2%	-3.0%	4.0%	9.00	7.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	HOU	13	0	14	59	11	10	2	0%	1.1	18.7%	16.8%	1.9%	3.0%	5.70	5.70	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	HOU	28	0	29	122	24	18	4	0%	1.0	19.9%	14.5%	5.4%	3.0%	5.39	5.27	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	HOU	13	0	14	59	12	9	2	0%	1.1	19.9%	14.5%	5.4%	3.0%	5.39	5.27	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	60	12	9	2	0%	1.0	19.9%	14.5%	5.4%	3.0%	5.39	4.89	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	168	126	28	0%	1.1	19.9%	14.5%	5.4%	3.0%	5.39	4.89	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		28	4	50	229	28	40	7	14%	1.8	12.2%	17.5%	-5.3%	3.1%	6.16	5.98	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		113	16	200	922	112	161	29	14%	1.8	12.2%	17.5%	-5.3%	3.1%	6.16	5.98	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Amador (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.70	18.7%	16.8%	3.0%	—	5.27	19.9%	5.4%	29	-0.43	—	—	—
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	89
Carlos De Los Santos R 2019 · 5.68 FIP	18	SU	5.68	16.9%	16.0%	3.6%	.286	3.95	20.9%	3.2%	86	-1.73	3.67	173	89
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	88
Alejandro Lugo R 2021 · 4.91 FIP	18	SU	4.91	20.4%	16.7%	2.6%	.265	4.96	16.7%	3.1%	98	+0.05	3.77	159	87
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	86
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	85
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	85
Raimon Gomez R 2021 · 4.90 FIP	19	SW	4.90	17.3%	13.6%	2.8%	.265	3.28	19.5%	8.0%	48	-1.62	3.28	103	85
Alejandro Méndez R 2021 · 5.70 FIP	20	SU	5.70	14.6%	14.5%	3.6%	.321	5.60	15.8%	-7.5%	91	-0.10	4.65	136	84
Anthony Cruz R 2022 · 5.38 FIP	19	SW	5.38	16.7%	16.6%	2.9%	.237	4.19	18.2%	5.6%	180	-1.19	3.32	272	84
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	83
Juan Arnaud R 2022 · 6.33 FIP	19	SU	6.33	14.6%	23.7%	2.7%	.330	4.40	18.8%	1.6%	102	-1.93	3.43	184	83
Daniel Lloyd R 2021 · 5.40 FIP	20	SU	5.40	20.4%	22.4%	2.2%	.367	4.15	18.0%	8.5%	226	-1.25	3.59	319	83
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	83
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	82
Brendan Hardy R 2018 · 5.18 FIP	18	SU	5.18	17.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.227	6.99	15.9%	-17.2%	25	+1.81	2.54	137	82
Wilber Perez R 2017 · 4.85 FIP	19	SU	4.85	14.9%	15.4%	1.9%	.362	4.14	18.7%	4.8%	140	-0.71	3.02	265	82
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	82
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	82
Kevin Camacho R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	19	SU	4.84	15.3%	12.9%	2.5%	.271	4.71	19.2%	0.8%	68	-0.13	4.12	113	82