Luis Amador — OGILVIE

Luis Amador P FCL Astros

Age 18 RHP 6'4" / 185 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.96

FIP4.96

K%20.1%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%7.7%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	14	4	31	130	26	14	1	29%	2.2	13.6%	13.5%	0.1%	1.1%	4.40	4.29	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	14	4	31	130	26	14	1	29%	2.2	13.6%	13.5%	0.1%	1.1%	4.40	4.29	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	14	4	31	130	26	14	1	29%	2.2	20.0%	10.8%	9.2%	0.8%	4.40	3.20	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	14	0	19	99	15	18	4	0%	1.4	10.3%	22.7%	-12.4%	5.7%	9.00	8.21	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	14	0	19	99	15	18	4	0%	1.4	10.3%	22.7%	-12.4%	5.7%	9.00	8.21	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	18	ROK RAW	HOU	14	0	19	99	15	18	4	0%	1.4	15.2%	18.2%	-3.0%	4.0%	9.00	6.34	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	HOU	28	0	29	122	26	14	4	0%	1.0	20.9%	11.2%	9.7%	2.9%	4.78	4.71	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	HOU	13	0	14	59	12	7	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	11.2%	9.7%	2.9%	4.78	4.71	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	60	13	7	2	0%	1.0	20.9%	11.2%	9.7%	2.9%	4.78	4.33	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	98	28	0%	1.1	20.9%	11.2%	9.7%	2.9%	4.78	4.33	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		28	4	50	229	28	40	7	14%	1.8	12.2%	17.5%	-5.3%	3.1%	6.16	5.98	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		113	16	200	922	112	161	29	14%	1.8	12.2%	17.5%	-5.3%	3.1%	6.16	5.98	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Amador (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.96	20.1%	12.3%	2.9%	—	4.71	20.9%	9.7%	29	-0.25	—	—	—
Kevin Rodriguez R 2019 · 4.37 FIP	18	SU	4.37	17.4%	12.8%	2.0%	.279	4.14	16.7%	7.6%	41	-0.23	2.34	188	88
Harold Cortijo R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	18	SU	4.46	19.1%	9.8%	3.1%	.309	5.64	13.5%	2.2%	73	+1.18	4.15	179	87
Raimon Gomez R 2021 · 4.90 FIP	19	SW	4.90	17.3%	13.6%	2.8%	.265	3.28	19.5%	8.0%	48	-1.62	3.28	103	85
Yordin Chalas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	19	SU	4.56	17.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.294	3.92	19.9%	7.8%	116	-0.64	3.67	140	85
Kevin Tejada R 2023 · 3.97 FIP	18	SU	3.97	17.4%	10.0%	1.9%	.284	5.53	13.1%	2.7%	78	+1.56	3.97	108	85
Blake Workman R 2018 · 4.00 FIP	20	SU	4.00	18.9%	9.5%	2.4%	.307	3.98	23.8%	19.5%	105	-0.02	3.09	213	83
Leury Tejada R 2018 · 4.03 FIP	18	SW	4.03	16.5%	10.1%	1.9%	.286	5.06	17.4%	6.2%	39	+1.03	4.03	183	83
Greiber Mendez R 2022 · 4.92 FIP	18	SU	4.92	15.7%	11.5%	3.1%	.330	4.78	16.7%	2.5%	152	-0.14	3.64	247	83
Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.30	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.25	4.05	113	83
Augusto Mendieta R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	18	SU	5.24	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.439	3.70	21.0%	10.5%	116	-1.54	2.29	131	82
Francisco Frias R 2023 · 5.74 FIP	18	SU	5.74	20.8%	14.1%	4.8%	.294	4.83	19.2%	2.2%	134	-0.91	4.00	148	82
Irvin Gonzalez R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	17	SU	4.26	16.5%	10.7%	2.2%	.326	4.37	13.5%	0.2%	95	+0.11	3.90	111	82
Devon Fisher R 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	16.5%	12.5%	2.0%	.333	5.76	15.1%	0.9%	88	+1.37	4.39	102	82
Angel Guillen R 2015 · 3.92 FIP	18	SU	3.92	20.6%	10.2%	2.3%	.411	3.44	15.7%	8.6%	78	-0.48	3.37	181	82
Troy Bacon R 2017 · 3.92 FIP	20	SU	3.92	19.9%	11.7%	1.9%	.222	4.06	19.7%	10.8%	102	+0.14	3.34	203	81
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	81
Miguel Castro R 2015 · 4.61 FIP	20	SU	4.61	19.1%	10.9%	3.2%	.290	4.55	14.5%	4.9%	207	-0.06	3.34	554	81
José Cruz R 2018 · 5.53 FIP	18	SU	5.53	15.3%	11.8%	4.1%	.256	3.65	18.8%	3.8%	70	-1.88	2.18	227	81
Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP	21	SU	4.71	19.5%	11.6%	3.3%	.273	4.10	17.7%	8.7%	234	-0.61	3.17	337	81
Seth Mayberry R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	19	SU	4.12	18.3%	14.4%	1.4%	.270	3.41	23.6%	10.3%	53	-0.71	2.88	120	81