Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 14 | 4 | 31 | 130 | 26 | 14 | 1 | 29% | 2.2 | 13.6% | 13.5% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 4.40 | 4.33 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 14 | 4 | 31 | 130 | 26 | 14 | 1 | 29% | 2.2 | 20.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 0.8% | 4.40 | 3.20 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | FCL Astros | 14 | 0 | 19 | 99 | 15 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 10.3% | 22.7% | -12.4% | 5.7% | 9.00 | 8.21 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | HOU | 17 | 0 | 18 | 77 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.6% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.39 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 18 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 37 | 176 | 32 | 25 | 6 | — | — | 18.4% | 14.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.74 | 6.34 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | HOU | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | HOU | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.89 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.89 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 28 | 4 | 50 | 229 | 28 | 40 | 7 | 14% | 1.8 | 12.2% | 17.5% | -5.3% | 3.1% | 6.16 | 6.01 | -0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 113 | 16 | 200 | 922 | 112 | 161 | 29 | 14% | 1.8 | 12.2% | 17.5% | -5.3% | 3.1% | 6.16 | 6.01 | -1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Amador (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 22.6% | 9.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.27 | 23.1% | 14.0% | 20 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Harold Cortijo R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 18 | SU | 4.46 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .309 | 5.87 | 13.5% | 2.2% | 73 | +1.41 | 4.13 | 179 | 86 |
| Blake Workman R 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.00 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .307 | 3.92 | 23.8% | 19.5% | 105 | -0.08 | 3.34 | 213 | 83 |
| Matt Walker R 2028 · 3.21 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.21 | 24.8% | 10.3% | 1.7% | .326 | 3.90 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 178 | +0.69 | 2.42 | 211 | 82 |
| Angel Guillen R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 18 | SU | 3.92 | 20.6% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .411 | 3.44 | 15.7% | 8.6% | 78 | -0.48 | 3.37 | 181 | 82 |
| Kevin Malisheski R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 18 | SU | 4.99 | 20.4% | 8.3% | 4.7% | .333 | 4.81 | 12.0% | 0.1% | 122 | -0.18 | 3.81 | 198 | 82 |
| David Matoma R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 18 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .259 | 5.85 | 14.9% | -6.1% | 62 | +1.96 | 3.58 | 101 | 81 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2029 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 81 |
| Danny Dopico R 2029 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.11 | 3.00 | 318 | 81 |
| Chris Gau R 2029 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 81 |
| Anthony Hoopii-Tuionetoa R 2028 · 4.12 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.12 | 25.1% | 13.3% | 2.6% | .327 | 3.37 | 23.8% | 13.4% | 81 | -0.75 | 3.30 | 104 | 80 |
| Pedro Da Costa Lemos R 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.62 | 23.5% | 13.2% | 1.5% | .286 | 5.15 | 17.2% | 6.2% | 157 | +1.53 | 3.62 | 181 | 80 |
| David Davalillo R 2028 · 3.24 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.24 | 18.6% | 6.8% | 1.5% | .292 | 3.32 | 21.0% | 12.0% | 262 | +0.08 | 2.94 | 279 | 79 |
| Jeff Bain R 2029 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.94 | 19.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .339 | 4.13 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 274 | +0.19 | 3.37 | 475 | 79 |
| Jake Elliott R 2029 · 3.82 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.82 | 19.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .353 | 3.81 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 202 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 354 | 79 |
| Yordin Chalas R 2027 · 4.72 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.72 | 17.3% | 10.6% | 3.2% | .294 | 3.99 | 19.9% | 7.8% | 116 | -0.73 | 3.69 | 140 | 79 |
| Ismael Cabrera R 2029 · 3.56 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.56 | 19.0% | 7.4% | 2.1% | .250 | 5.44 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 117 | +1.88 | 3.56 | 133 | 79 |
| Antwone Kelly R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 18 | SW | 4.58 | 19.1% | 12.1% | 2.9% | .290 | 3.92 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 216 | -0.66 | 3.19 | 345 | 78 |
| Mason Fox R 2029 · 3.59 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.59 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 1.6% | .260 | 7.31 | 21.3% | 4.8% | 30 | +3.72 | 3.59 | 112 | 78 |
| Caleb Freeman R 2029 · 3.98 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.98 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 2.4% | .267 | 5.17 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 58 | +1.19 | 3.98 | 222 | 78 |
| Sean Boyle R 2029 · 4.70 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.70 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .342 | 2.85 | 22.6% | 15.3% | 86 | -1.85 | 2.85 | 496 | 78 |