Augusto Mendieta P Northwest Arkansas Naturals
Age 21 RHP 5'11" / 190 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 17 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 96
ERA4.19
FIP4.19
K%22.9%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP17
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
K: +1.6 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+2KBB: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -3.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-4CONTACTSTAM: +2.3 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.04 (57 IP)-0.0WAR
0.10.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202318ROKACL Royals111147020729%1.319.4%12.5%6.9%4.0%8.795.24
202318ROKACL Royals111147020729%1.328.6%10.0%18.6%2.9%8.793.59
202419ROKACL Royals120156612600%1.212.4%11.4%1.0%0.0%3.683.50
202419ROKACL Royals120156612600%1.218.2%9.1%9.1%0.0%3.682.69
202520MIX2 levels30043186571300%1.421.7%8.1%13.6%0.0%3.122.29
202520MIX2 levels30043186571300%1.430.6%7.0%23.7%0.0%3.121.37
▸ 2026 Season
202621AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals26040175501750%1.520.6%11.3%9.3%3.6%4.504.79-0.1
ROS21MLBKC160177116620%1.122.9%9.1%13.8%2.7%4.194.19+0.1
ROS21MLBKC022.9%9.1%13.8%2.7%4.194.19
2026 TOT21MLBKC572466623726.9%9.5%17.4%2.8%4.414.61-0.0
2026 FULL21MLBKC0100022.9%9.1%13.8%2.7%4.193.81+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722MLBKC190208420720%1.123.8%8.6%15.3%2.7%4.104.03+0.1
202722MLBKC100104210410%1.023.8%8.6%15.3%2.7%4.104.03+0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career100104410410%1.023.8%8.6%15.2%2.7%4.103.66+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084419377190%1.023.8%8.6%15.2%2.7%4.103.66+4.1
Career791112497985191%1.419.8%10.3%9.5%1.8%4.413.75+2.2
/ 200 IP141220088517591161%1.419.8%10.3%9.5%1.8%4.413.75+3.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Augusto Mendieta (OGILVIE) 4.19 22.9%9.1%2.7% 4.03 23.8%15.3%20 -0.16
Michael Gomez R 2027 · 3.38 FIP 22 SU 3.38 22.6%9.2%1.9%.283 3.78 17.9%8.3%110 +0.40 3.33 286 91
Addison Russ R 2027 · 3.90 FIP 22 SU 3.90 22.2%7.9%3.1%.324 3.02 25.6%17.5%121 -0.88 2.96 194 90
Collin Kober R 2027 · 3.39 FIP 22 SU 3.39 21.3%7.5%2.1%.268 3.04 24.0%17.9%128 -0.35 2.40 294 90
Kenny Oakley R 2027 · 3.50 FIP 22 SU 3.50 23.8%9.1%2.3%.348 3.65 17.3%7.8%115 +0.15 3.00 144 90
Cody Palmquist R 2027 · 4.04 FIP 22 SU 4.04 21.9%9.0%3.0%.278 5.78 14.7%7.1%62 +1.74 4.04 104 89
Sandy Lugo R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 21 SU 3.86 20.7%9.5%2.4%.352 3.94 23.6%12.5%119 +0.08 3.28 146 88
Danny Dopico R 2026 · 3.87 FIP 21 SU 3.87 25.4%10.8%2.8%.333 3.98 22.8%8.1%173 +0.11 3.00 318 88
Devon Roedahl R 2027 · 3.94 FIP 22 SU 3.94 19.7%6.7%3.0%.305 4.92 16.5%9.2%100 +0.98 3.94 122 87
Heath Holder R 2028 · 4.16 FIP 23 SU 4.16 21.1%10.1%2.8%.287 3.13 22.3%13.1%247 -1.03 2.74 367 87
Jeff Bain R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 21 SU 3.94 19.7%6.7%3.0%.339 4.13 19.1%10.7%274 +0.19 3.37 475 87
Peyton Williams R 2028 · 3.53 FIP 23 SU 3.53 22.3%10.3%1.8%.311 5.00 22.2%10.2%100 +1.47 3.53 123 87
Reilly Hovis R 2028 · 4.03 FIP 23 SU 4.03 21.1%7.7%3.2%.250 4.41 19.8%6.4%50 +0.38 4.03 130 86
Brandon White R 2026 · 3.14 FIP 21 SU 3.14 25.9%7.9%2.2%.294 3.60 17.3%8.4%166 +0.46 3.14 221 86
Scott Williams R 2026 · 3.22 FIP 21 SU 3.22 22.0%8.6%1.6%.238 3.61 19.3%10.5%76 +0.39 2.90 119 86
Kevin Coulter R 2027 · 3.27 FIP 22 SU 3.27 21.0%7.4%1.8%.287 4.31 16.1%7.6%92 +1.04 3.27 128 86
Chris Gau R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 21 SU 4.76 20.0%8.6%4.1%.290 3.23 29.5%23.5%37 -1.53 2.88 211 86
Tyler Bray R 2028 · 4.08 FIP 23 SU 4.08 22.3%9.1%3.1%.356 3.17 17.9%7.6%114 -0.91 2.81 152 86
Mason Fox R 2026 · 3.59 FIP 21 SU 3.59 21.9%11.5%1.6%.260 7.31 21.3%4.8%30 +3.72 3.59 112 86
David Garner R 2027 · 3.94 FIP 22 SU 3.94 21.7%10.0%2.6%.282 4.65 19.8%5.2%98 +0.71 3.94 154 85
Nick Lockhart R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 21 SU 4.65 22.0%9.9%3.9%.275 4.67 16.1%5.5%43 +0.02 4.65 140 85