Collin Kober
P
Arkansas Travelers
+0.3
WAR
Age 31
RHP
6'1" / 185 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.8%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%13.6%
IP56
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 17 | 0 | 22 | 87 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 3.68 | 3.39 | +0.4 |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | 38 | 0 | 60 | 248 | 82 | 13 | 2 | 24.7% | 6.1% | 1.1% | 2.55 | 2.38 | +1.7 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 48 | 0 | 70 | 309 | 91 | 19 | 5 | 23.4% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 3.45 | 3.10 | +1.5 |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 32 | 0 | 40 | 177 | 48 | 20 | 3 | 22.0% | 12.4% | 2.4% | 3.40 | 4.11 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 27 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 44 | 1 | 48 | 202 | 64 | 23 | 6 | 25.7% | 12.5% | 3.9% | 3.38 | 4.67 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 28 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 43 | 1 | 60 | 270 | 60 | 22 | 10 | 18.0% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 5.55 | 5.59 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 56 | — | 56 | 236 | 54 | 22 | 7 | 22.8% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 54 | — | 54 | 226 | 51 | 21 | 7 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 4.47 | 4.51 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 48 | 21 | 7 | 22.3% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 4.54 | 4.59 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 49 | — | 49 | 205 | 45 | 20 | 7 | 22.0% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 4.62 | 4.69 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 46 | — | 46 | 193 | 42 | 19 | 7 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 4.72 | 4.80 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 36 | MLB | SEA | 43 | — | 43 | 181 | 38 | 18 | 6 | 21.2% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 4.85 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 222 | 2 | 300 | 1293 | 291 | 112 | 37 | 22.5% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 3.69 | 3.89 | +4.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 148 | 1 | 200 | 862 | 194 | 75 | 25 | 22.5% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 3.69 | 3.89 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Collin Kober (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 22.8% | 9.2% | 3.1% | — | 4.59 | 22.3% | 12.8% | 153 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 90 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 88 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.33 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.33 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .342 | 4.98 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 122 | 87 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.68 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.22 | 3.46 | 160 | 85 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.38 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.98 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.60 | 3.38 | 212 | 85 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.39 | 25.5% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.70 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 129 | +0.31 | 2.80 | 410 | 85 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.48 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .258 | 2.91 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.57 | 2.00 | 380 | 85 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 83 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.83 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .283 | 4.53 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.30 | 2.93 | 176 | 82 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.21 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .253 | 3.95 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.26 | 3.80 | 132 | 82 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.69 | 21.1% | 6.4% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.49 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 29 | -0.20 | 3.46 | 295 | 82 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 82 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.45 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.45 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.18 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.27 | 2.48 | 147 | 82 |
| Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.35 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 210 | 82 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.62 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 224 | 81 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.09 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .278 | 3.53 | 24.3% | 18.2% | 99 | -0.56 | 2.31 | 403 | 81 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.75 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.9% | .244 | 4.71 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +0.96 | 3.75 | 521 | 80 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.01 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 1.9% | .276 | 3.38 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.63 | 3.38 | 129 | 80 |
| Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 80 |
| Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.53 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .268 | 4.27 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.26 | 3.50 | 292 | 79 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.