Collin Kober — OGILVIE

Collin Kober P Arkansas Travelers

Age 31 RHP 6'1" / 185 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.57

FIP4.57

K%21.0%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%11.9%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	22	87	24	7	2	0%	1.3	21.3%	7.5%	13.9%	2.1%	3.68	3.39	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	22	87	24	7	2	0%	1.3	27.6%	8.0%	19.5%	2.3%	3.68	3.05	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	60	248	82	13	2	0%	1.6	24.7%	6.1%	18.5%	1.1%	2.55	2.38	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	60	248	82	13	2	0%	1.6	33.1%	5.2%	27.8%	0.8%	2.55	1.45	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	70	309	91	19	5	0%	1.5	23.4%	6.2%	17.3%	2.2%	3.45	3.10	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	70	309	91	19	5	0%	1.5	29.4%	6.1%	23.3%	1.6%	3.45	2.25	—
2021	26	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	32	0	40	177	48	20	3	0%	1.2	22.0%	12.4%	9.5%	2.3%	3.40	4.07	—
2021	26	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	32	0	40	177	48	20	3	0%	1.2	27.1%	11.3%	15.8%	1.7%	3.40	3.18	—
2022	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	44	1	48	202	64	23	6	2%	1.1	25.7%	12.5%	13.1%	3.9%	3.38	4.67	—
2022	27	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	44	1	48	202	64	23	6	2%	1.1	31.7%	11.4%	20.3%	3.0%	3.38	3.50	—
2023	28	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	43	1	60	270	60	22	10	2%	1.4	18.0%	9.0%	9.0%	5.2%	5.55	5.58	—
2023	28	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	43	1	60	270	60	22	10	2%	1.4	18.0%	9.0%	9.0%	5.2%	5.55	5.58	—
2023	28	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	43	1	60	270	60	22	10	2%	1.4	22.2%	8.1%	14.1%	3.7%	5.55	4.37	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	SEA	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	21.0%	9.1%	11.9%	3.1%	4.57	4.57	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	SEA	34	0	36	153	32	15	5	0%	1.1	20.8%	9.5%	11.3%	3.4%	4.68	4.77	-0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	SEA	10	0	11	46	10	4	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	9.5%	11.3%	3.4%	4.68	4.77	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	48	10	5	2	0%	1.0	20.8%	9.5%	11.3%	3.4%	4.68	4.39	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	177	88	35	0%	1.1	20.8%	9.5%	11.3%	3.4%	4.68	4.39	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		222	2	300	1293	291	112	37	1%	1.4	22.5%	8.7%	13.9%	2.9%	3.69	3.88	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		148	1	200	862	194	75	25	1%	1.4	22.5%	8.7%	13.9%	2.9%	3.69	3.88	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Collin Kober (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.57	21.0%	9.1%	3.1%	—	4.77	20.8%	11.3%	36	+0.20	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	91
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.92	176	87
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	85
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	84
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	84
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	84
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	83
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	83
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	83
Kevin Jepsen R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	31	SU	3.47	20.7%	9.1%	1.8%	.241	5.85	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.38	3.47	160	83
Logan Kensing R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	17.6%	8.8%	1.5%	.270	3.06	17.9%	10.0%	124	-0.50	2.73	172	82
Carlos Fisher R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.17	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.28	2.48	147	81
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	80
Mark Serrano R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	21.9%	6.4%	2.7%	.240	5.25	20.2%	12.3%	42	+1.69	3.16	120	80
Pedro Beato R 2018 · 3.71 FIP	31	SU	3.71	21.1%	6.4%	2.9%	.266	3.49	16.8%	9.3%	29	-0.22	3.47	295	80
Joakim Soria R 2015 · 3.70 FIP	31	SU	3.70	23.5%	6.6%	3.2%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.79	2.01	380	80
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	80
Erik Davis R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	31	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.9%	1.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	227	79
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2016 · 3.50 FIP	31	SU	3.50	16.4%	8.4%	1.3%	.308	4.77	19.3%	7.3%	90	+1.27	3.50	170	79
Tanner Scheppers R 2017 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	15.7%	6.7%	4.1%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	101	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	38	20.9%	9.3%	1.25	4.62
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47