Collin Kober
P
Arkansas Travelers
Age 31
RHP
6'1" / 185 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 39 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.47
FIP4.47
K%22.8%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 22 | 87 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 2.1% | 3.68 | 3.39 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 22 | 87 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.6% | 8.0% | 19.5% | 2.3% | 3.68 | 3.05 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 60 | 248 | 82 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 24.7% | 6.1% | 18.5% | 1.1% | 2.55 | 2.40 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 60 | 248 | 82 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 33.1% | 5.2% | 27.8% | 0.8% | 2.55 | 1.45 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 70 | 309 | 91 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.4% | 6.2% | 17.3% | 3.1% | 3.45 | 3.61 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 70 | 309 | 91 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 29.4% | 6.1% | 23.3% | 1.6% | 3.45 | 2.25 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 32 | 0 | 40 | 177 | 48 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.0% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 3.40 | 4.24 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 32 | 0 | 40 | 177 | 48 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.1% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 1.7% | 3.40 | 3.18 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 44 | 1 | 48 | 202 | 64 | 23 | 6 | 2% | 1.1 | 25.7% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 4.4% | 3.38 | 4.91 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 44 | 1 | 48 | 202 | 64 | 23 | 6 | 2% | 1.1 | 31.7% | 11.4% | 20.3% | 3.0% | 3.38 | 3.50 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 43 | 1 | 60 | 270 | 60 | 22 | 10 | 2% | 1.4 | 18.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.55 | 6.17 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 43 | 1 | 60 | 270 | 60 | 22 | 10 | 2% | 1.4 | 22.2% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 3.7% | 5.55 | 4.37 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 34 | 0 | 36 | 153 | 34 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 3.4% | 4.59 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 3.4% | 4.59 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 3.4% | 4.59 | 4.30 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 88 | 35 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 3.4% | 4.59 | 4.30 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 222 | 2 | 300 | 1293 | 291 | 112 | 45 | 1% | 1.4 | 22.5% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 3.4% | 3.69 | 4.19 | +4.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 148 | 1 | 200 | 862 | 194 | 75 | 30 | 1% | 1.4 | 22.5% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 3.4% | 3.69 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Collin Kober (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 22.8% | 9.2% | 3.2% | — | 4.68 | 22.4% | 12.8% | 36 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 90 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 87 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 87 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 86 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 86 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 82 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.40 | 25.5% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.69 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 129 | +0.29 | 2.73 | 410 | 82 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 82 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 82 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.58 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .258 | 2.93 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.65 | 2.01 | 380 | 82 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .240 | 5.21 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.45 | 3.03 | 120 | 81 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 81 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 21.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | .266 | 3.41 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 29 | -0.38 | 3.40 | 295 | 80 |
| Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 79 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .278 | 3.50 | 24.3% | 18.2% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.27 | 426 | 79 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 79 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .246 | 3.76 | 28.8% | 20.4% | 145 | -0.32 | 1.74 | 468 | 79 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 79 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.86 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 137 | 79 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.18 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .276 | 3.35 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.83 | 3.35 | 129 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 38 | 22.6% | 9.4% | 1.27 | 4.53 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |