José Cruz — OGILVIE

José Cruz P Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 178 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 124

ERA5.63

FIP5.63

K%23.2%

BB%19.4%

K-BB%3.9%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants	20	0	31	138	31	13	4	0%	1.6	15.3%	11.8%	3.5%	4.1%	4.88	5.53	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants	20	0	31	138	31	13	4	0%	1.6	22.5%	9.4%	13.0%	2.9%	4.88	4.03	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	AZL Giants Black	14	3	46	210	45	29	1	21%	3.3	14.6%	17.3%	-2.7%	0.7%	4.50	4.42	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	AZL Giants Black	14	3	46	210	45	29	1	21%	3.3	21.4%	13.8%	7.6%	0.5%	4.50	3.32	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Black	19	0	24	107	42	9	0	0%	1.3	26.7%	10.5%	16.2%	0.0%	4.44	2.18	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Black	19	0	24	107	42	9	0	0%	1.3	39.3%	8.4%	30.8%	0.0%	4.44	0.76	—
2022	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	38	0	52	202	86	23	3	0%	1.4	31.5%	13.4%	18.1%	1.8%	2.06	3.14	—
2022	22	A RAW	San Jose Giants	38	0	52	202	86	23	3	0%	1.4	42.6%	11.4%	31.2%	1.5%	2.06	1.88	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	44	203	67	38	5	0%	1.2	26.2%	20.8%	5.4%	3.3%	4.47	5.31	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	44	203	67	38	5	0%	1.2	26.2%	20.8%	5.4%	3.3%	4.47	5.31	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	44	203	67	38	5	0%	1.2	33.0%	18.7%	14.3%	2.5%	4.47	4.12	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	31	163	46	38	4	0%	1.1	22.1%	25.0%	-2.9%	2.9%	8.71	6.01	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	31	163	46	38	4	0%	1.1	22.1%	25.0%	-2.9%	2.9%	8.71	6.01	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	31	163	46	38	4	0%	1.1	28.2%	23.3%	4.9%	2.5%	8.71	5.49	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	SF	2	0	2	8	2	2	0	0%	1.0	23.2%	19.4%	3.9%	3.0%	5.63	5.63	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SF	26	0	28	116	27	21	4	0%	1.1	23.2%	18.4%	4.8%	3.1%	5.52	5.53	-0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	SF	10	0	10	42	10	8	1	0%	1.0	23.2%	18.4%	4.8%	3.1%	5.52	5.53	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	44	10	8	1	0%	1.0	23.2%	18.4%	4.8%	3.1%	5.52	5.15	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	194	155	19	0%	1.1	23.2%	18.4%	4.8%	3.1%	5.52	5.15	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		154	3	229	1023	233	174	22	2%	1.5	22.8%	17.0%	5.8%	2.2%	4.55	4.51	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		134	3	200	892	203	152	19	2%	1.5	22.8%	17.0%	5.8%	2.2%	4.55	4.51	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
José Cruz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.63	23.2%	19.4%	3.0%	—	5.53	23.2%	4.8%	28	-0.10	—	—	—
Mitchell Stumpo R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	26	SU	4.55	24.0%	16.8%	2.4%	.225	5.67	21.5%	6.6%	78	+1.12	3.97	158	82
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	81
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	81
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	81
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	81
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	80
Evan Johnson R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	23.6%	17.6%	2.4%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	80
Manuel Alvarez R 2022 · 5.02 FIP	26	SU	5.02	20.3%	17.1%	2.7%	.330	6.63	11.8%	-14.8%	12	+1.61	4.58	154	80
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	80
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	80
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	79
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	79
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	78
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	78
Jackson Goddard R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	26	SU	4.53	21.1%	14.3%	2.5%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	149	78
Austin Ross R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	26	SU	4.99	22.4%	16.8%	3.0%	.295	5.74	18.0%	5.8%	15	+0.75	4.41	121	78
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	78
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	78
Manny Barreda R 2015 · 5.04 FIP	26	SU	5.04	21.2%	14.7%	3.4%	.286	3.69	19.6%	9.5%	186	-1.35	3.30	376	77
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	77