José Cruz P Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 178 lbs AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 110
ERA4.82
FIP4.82
K%23.3%
BB%13.0%
K-BB%10.3%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP
K: +0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -0.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +0.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.06 (19 IP)-0.1WAR
-0.1-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201818ROKDSL Giants20031138311340%1.615.3%11.8%3.5%4.1%4.885.53
201818ROKDSL Giants20031138311340%1.622.5%9.4%13.0%2.9%4.884.03
201919ROKAZL Giants Black143462104529121%3.314.6%17.3%-2.7%0.7%4.504.42
201919ROKAZL Giants Black143462104529121%3.321.4%13.8%7.6%0.5%4.503.32
202121ROKACL Giants Black1902410742900%1.326.7%10.5%16.2%0.0%4.442.18
202121ROKACL Giants Black1902410742900%1.339.3%8.4%30.8%0.0%4.440.76
202222ASan Jose Giants38052202862330%1.431.5%13.4%18.1%1.7%2.063.08
202222ASan Jose Giants38052202862330%1.442.6%11.4%31.2%1.5%2.061.88
202323MIX2 levels36044203673850%1.226.2%20.8%5.4%3.6%4.475.52
202323MIX2 levels36044203673850%1.233.0%18.7%14.3%2.5%4.474.12
202424MIX2 levels27031163463840%1.122.1%25.0%-2.9%2.8%8.715.92
202424MIX2 levels27031163463840%1.128.2%23.3%4.9%2.5%8.715.49
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBSF1902082191120%1.023.3%13.0%10.3%3.0%4.824.82-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBSF1902084201130%1.123.3%12.7%10.6%3.1%4.794.81-0.1
202727MLBSF808348410%1.023.3%12.7%10.6%3.1%4.794.81-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career708327410%1.123.3%12.7%10.6%3.1%4.794.43+0.0
/ 200 IP1900200844186106270%1.123.3%12.7%10.6%3.1%4.794.43+2.3
Career15432291023233174222%1.522.8%17.0%5.8%2.2%4.554.53+2.3
/ 200 IP1343200892203152202%1.522.8%17.0%5.8%2.2%4.554.53+2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
José Cruz (OGILVIE) 4.82 23.3%13.0%3.0% 4.81 23.3%10.6%20 -0.01
Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP 26 SU 4.16 24.5%13.2%2.6%.256 4.34 20.3%9.0%115 +0.18 3.78 180 88
Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP 26 SU 3.91 23.7%11.6%2.5%.305 3.92 17.1%13.9%45 +0.01 3.21 161 88
Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP 26 SU 4.34 23.4%11.6%3.2%.273 4.52 18.7%7.1%88 +0.18 3.57 187 87
Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP 26 SU 3.75 21.7%11.4%1.9%.292 4.81 19.0%7.9%223 +1.06 3.75 299 85
Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.36 FIP 26 SU 4.36 21.8%14.5%2.3%.254 4.21 13.5%-4.3%15 -0.15 3.58 169 83
Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP 28 SU 4.81 19.8%13.5%3.0%.265 3.88 18.2%10.2%272 -0.93 3.53 365 83
Nick Ernst R 2025 · 4.99 FIP 25 SU 4.99 21.9%14.6%3.4%.275 3.54 117 82
Nelson L. Alvarez R 2026 · 4.09 FIP 26 SU 4.09 23.4%14.2%2.1%.282 4.63 18.5%9.4%35 +0.54 2.53 233 82
Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 26 SU 3.89 25.1%13.4%2.2%.310 4.58 25.4%10.8%79 +0.69 3.89 272 82
Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.57 FIP 26 SU 4.57 26.5%11.2%4.2%.299 4.42 22.3%10.3%87 -0.15 3.74 163 82
Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 4.67 FIP 26 SU 4.67 24.1%15.3%3.0%.318 3.24 172 81
Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 3.85 FIP 26 SU 3.85 21.1%13.3%1.6%.306 3.61 20.1%13.5%54 -0.24 2.88 157 81
Morris Austin R 2026 · 5.05 FIP 26 SU 5.05 22.3%14.8%3.6%.287 4.08 164 81
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP 26 SU 4.46 19.9%9.8%3.3%.278 5.02 22.7%10.3%89 +0.56 2.69 315 81
Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.51 FIP 26 SU 4.51 23.1%10.9%3.6%.300 3.61 23.0%12.8%63 -0.90 3.16 377 81
Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.61 FIP 25 SU 4.61 20.7%14.0%2.7%.300 2.36 132 81
Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP 25 SU 3.94 22.6%10.5%2.6%.336 2.17 116 81
Logan Boyer R 2026 · 3.65 FIP 26 SU 3.65 25.0%12.3%2.0%.267 4.98 17.9%1.6%54 +1.33 3.65 121 80
Justin Evans R 2025 · 3.73 FIP 25 SU 3.73 23.6%14.3%1.5%.323 4.80 16.4%-7.9%14 +1.07 3.73 105 80
Layne Henderson R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 26 SU 3.94 24.9%12.7%2.4%.277 4.63 24.2%8.7%82 +0.69 3.91 233 80