Michael Cordero — OGILVIE

Michael CorderoIF DSL Cardinals

Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 169 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .266 / .274

PA169

HR2

K%29

BB%8

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 29 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT29

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	16	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	128	104	22	6	0	3	21	41	3	1	0	212	359	356	715	144	317	32	16	333	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	199	161	38	11	2	4	30	51	5	2	0	236	372	404	776	168	312	26	15	348	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	128	110	14	4	0	1	15	52	3	1	0	127	250	191	441	64	210	41	12	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	199	170	24	7	1	2	21	62	5	2	0	141	255	229	485	88	197	31	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	128	110	14	4	0	1	15	52	3	1	0	127	250	191	441	64	228	41	12	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	128	104	22	6	0	3	21	41	3	1	0	212	359	356	715	144	317	32	16	333	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	199	170	24	7	1	2	21	62	5	2	0	141	255	229	485	88	202	31	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	199	161	38	11	2	4	30	51	5	2	0	236	372	404	776	168	312	26	15	348	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	128	109	14	4	0	1	15	52	3	1	0	128	250	193	443	64	210	41	12	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	199	171	24	7	1	2	21	62	5	2	0	140	255	228	483	88	197	31	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	128	109	14	4	0	1	15	52	3	1	0	128	250	193	443	64	210	41	12	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	199	171	24	7	1	2	21	62	5	2	0	140	255	228	483	88	197	31	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	STL	0%	309	276	52	10	2	3	26	91	4	4	2	189	268	276	544	87	265	29	8	251	56	-16	+0	+0	+0	+7	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	STL	34%	252	226	44	9	2	3	21	73	3	4	2	195	275	291	566	96	269	29	8	260	62	-11	+0	+0	+0	+5	-0.6
2028	19	MLB CTX	STL	34%	87	79	16	3	1	1	7	25	1	1	1	196	276	290	566	94	271	29	8	260	62	-4	-0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	87	79	16	3	1	1	7	25	1	1	1	203	276	304	580	101	283	29	8	260	48	-4	-0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	118	22	7	7	52	187	7	7	7	200	272	297	569	97	280	29	8	260	48	-29	-1	+0	+0	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	748	657	111	26	4	8	71	237	13	9	3	169	263	257	520	88	247	32	9	239	48	-20	+0	+0	+0	+9	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	96	23	3	7	62	206	11	8	3	168	262	256	518	88	246	32	10	239	48	-31	+0	+0	+0	+14	-1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	256	3	4	192	269	282	+0	+0	-0.5	-0.3
/162	664	7	10	+0.0	+0.0	-1.4	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Michael Cordero (OGILVIE)	18	24→29	35→40	44→49	64	188/266/274	86	265	2	2	29%	8%	56	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	37	37→40	48→40	49	176/273/245	69	259	5	4	31%	10%	53	-2.1	181/273/257	76	304	5	4	38%	9%	55	-2.0	161/257/235	74	286	5	3	41%	9%	43	-0.8
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	36	38→40	51→60	46	169/274/247	78	269	5	6	36%	10%	54	-2.0	182/297/263	81	257	4	11	27%	12%	66	-1.1	156/296/225	69	205	4	20	22%	14%	57	-0.6
✕Kendry Chirinos 2023 · A	18	37	36→40	47→50	50	173/283/243	70	269	3	4	33%	11%	57	-1.8	188/290/262	74	322	5	5	38%	11%	63	-1.4	190/285/262	72	323	6	3	38%	10%	59	-0.7
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	37	38→40	53→45	42	178/244/257	79	264	5	8	33%	7%	43	-2.8	187/256/268	81	287	4	8	33%	8%	49	-2.4	189/276/283	93	254	3	8	24%	10%	59	-0.6
✕Juan Sierra 2024 · A	18	35	39→45	45	51	172/263/254	81	224	7	5	25%	10%	51	-2.3	188/264/291	103	255	11	8	29%	8%	59	-1.7	178/250/288	109	245	13	9	32%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Douglas Glod 2023 · A	18	39	38→45	45	48	183/272/267	84	278	5	7	33%	10%	56	-1.9	171/272/262	91	324	7	5	44%	11%	56	-1.9	141/253/223	82	287	7	3	47%	12%	39	-1.2
✕Jose Pirela 2024 · A	18	39→35	38→45	48→50	47	185/272/266	81	257	4	10	28%	8%	57	-1.8	168/242/269	101	276	9	9	40%	6%	46	-2.6	157/231/267	110	255	11	11	41%	6%	39	-1.7
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	37	39→45	48→55	47	181/266/266	84	243	7	9	27%	8%	54	-2.0	205/279/326	121	260	13	15	25%	8%	72	-0.7	200/278/339	139	242	16	20	24%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Edwin Sanchez 2024 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	53	179/286/263	84	239	7	8	26%	11%	62	-1.4	187/321/279	92	246	7	9	24%	13%	80	-0.2	153/326/245	92	196	8	11	22%	16%	76	-0.1
✕Athanael Duarte 2023 · A	18	37	39→40	53→45	48	183/256/271	88	235	7	14	24%	8%	51	-2.3	189/256/271	82	249	6	10	25%	7%	51	-2.3	153/243/231	78	239	5	5	35%	9%	36	-1.0
✕Roni Cabrera 2023 · A	18	38	37→45	51→55	42	182/249/251	69	265	4	10	31%	7%	43	-2.8	183/257/282	99	270	8	12	33%	8%	54	-2.0	154/234/265	111	235	11	17	37%	8%	40	-0.8
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	34	38→40	50	39	169/229/246	77	248	5	6	33%	6%	34	-3.5	162/235/226	64	222	3	6	27%	6%	34	-3.5	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9
✕Victor Cardoza 2024 · A	18	40	37→40	50	41	188/264/265	77	274	3	11	31%	7%	53	-2.1	195/247/286	91	301	7	13	36%	5%	51	-2.3	191/238/278	88	304	8	14	38%	5%	43	-1.0
✕Alfredo Alcantara 2024 · A	18	41→33	42→40	47→45	49	200/291/304	104	269	9	6	27%	9%	72	-0.7	187/278/284	97	301	10	6	38%	9%	63	-1.3	177/272/277	99	273	12	6	37%	9%	57	-1.0
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	39→36	37→40	50	43	187/252/262	75	256	4	8	27%	7%	47	-2.6	212/263/294	82	263	5	14	20%	5%	58	-1.7	223/269/315	92	265	7	18	18%	4%	63	-0.5
✕José Suárez 2023 · A	18	38	40	48→50	42	183/254/278	95	277	7	5	34%	8%	51	-2.2	188/244/278	90	306	8	7	39%	6%	48	-2.5	188/243/267	80	307	7	10	39%	5%	41	-1.4
✕Jose Pena 2011 · A	18	35→36	37→45	47→40	47	170/252/248	77	248	3	6	30%	9%	45	-2.7	178/233/281	103	244	8	4	29%	6%	44	-2.8	173/221/298	125	225	12	3	29%	5%	42	-1.1
✕Waner Luciano 2023 · A	18	36	41→40	51→50	49	180/274/280	100	235	8	10	26%	9%	61	-1.5	175/250/268	93	230	9	7	27%	7%	49	-2.4	169/251/257	88	219	9	13	26%	8%	46	-1.4
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	40	36→45	51→60	50	186/273/253	67	253	2	13	25%	9%	54	-2.0	202/271/287	85	305	6	23	33%	7%	60	-1.6	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Sherten Apostel 2018 · A	19	35	40→45	42→40	52	174/269/267	93	238	7	5	28%	11%	55	-1.9	194/274/314	120	277	13	4	33%	9%	68	-1.0	193/267/324	131	282	16	2	36%	8%	65	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps