Roy Rivero — OGILVIE

Roy RiveroSS DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 18 L/R 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION176 act + 16 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.267 / .312 / .333

PA16

HR0

K%19

BB%6

BABIP293

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$52M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$8M	+1.2	$4M	+$2M
2037	Arb-3	$11M	+1.1	$4M	+$0.4M
Totals		$27M		$30M	+$20M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	168	138	34	6	2	0	27	15	0	8	8	246	370	319	689	72	272	9	16	317	101	+0	-2	—	—	+4	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	168	150	30	5	2	0	15	23	0	8	8	200	273	260	533	60	222	14	9	236	46	-11	-2	—	—	+4	-0.9
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	168	150	30	5	2	0	15	23	0	8	8	200	273	260	533	60	233	14	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	168	138	34	6	2	0	27	15	0	8	8	246	370	319	689	72	272	9	16	317	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	168	151	30	5	2	0	15	23	0	8	8	199	273	258	531	60	222	14	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	168	151	30	5	2	0	15	23	0	8	8	199	273	258	531	60	222	14	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	KC	—	176	157	44	7	0	0	14	26	1	14	9	280	343	325	668	45	331	15	8	294	85	-3	-1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	KC	—	176	148	50	9	0	0	22	18	1	14	9	338	424	399	823	61	379	10	12	368	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	KC	0%	16	15	4	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	267	312	333	646	67	296	19	6	278	74	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	KC	—	192	172	48	8	0	0	15	29	1	15	9	279	340	326	666	47	331	15	8	293	84	-4	-1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	KC	34%	241	218	53	9	1	2	19	47	2	5	2	243	310	321	631	78	298	20	8	290	82	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2028	20	MLB MLE	KC	48%	369	332	83	14	2	5	30	71	4	8	3	250	320	349	669	99	299	19	8	298	88	-5	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2029	21	MLB MLE	KC	54%	465	419	104	18	2	7	38	89	5	9	4	248	318	351	669	103	300	19	8	304	92	-4	+0	+0	+5	+10	1.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	KC	57%	532	477	121	21	3	9	44	102	6	10	5	254	324	367	691	113	300	19	8	308	95	-3	+0	+0	+6	+12	1.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	KC	58%	578	519	131	22	3	10	48	110	6	11	5	252	323	364	687	112	301	19	8	311	96	-2	+0	+0	+6	+13	1.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	KC	57%	607	544	139	24	3	11	51	115	7	12	5	256	327	371	699	116	302	19	8	313	98	-2	+0	+0	+7	+13	1.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	KC	57%	624	559	142	24	3	11	53	118	7	12	5	254	326	367	693	113	302	19	8	314	99	-1	+0	+0	+7	+14	2.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	KC	60%	632	567	144	24	3	12	53	119	7	12	5	254	325	370	696	116	302	19	8	315	99	-1	+0	+0	+7	+14	2.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	KC	62%	632	566	144	24	3	12	54	120	7	12	5	254	327	371	698	117	302	19	9	315	99	-1	+0	+0	+7	+14	2.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	KC	63%	628	562	143	24	3	12	54	120	7	12	5	254	327	372	699	117	302	19	9	314	99	-1	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	KC	65%	618	552	140	24	3	11	54	119	7	11	5	254	328	368	696	114	301	19	9	312	97	-2	+0	-1	+7	+13	1.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	KC	65%	608	543	137	23	3	11	53	119	7	11	5	252	327	366	693	114	300	20	9	310	96	-3	+0	-2	+7	+13	1.5
2039	31	MLB MLE	KC	65%	593	530	132	22	3	10	52	118	6	10	4	249	323	358	682	109	298	20	9	306	93	-5	+0	-3	+6	+13	1.2
2040	32	MLB MLE	KC	65%	575	514	125	21	2	9	50	116	6	9	4	243	318	344	662	101	295	20	9	300	89	-7	+0	-4	+6	+12	0.8
2041	33	MLB MLE	KC	65%	545	488	117	19	2	8	47	113	5	8	4	240	313	336	649	96	292	21	9	294	85	-10	+0	-4	+6	+12	0.4
2042	34	MLB MLE	KC	60%	498	447	104	16	2	7	43	106	5	7	3	233	307	324	631	92	287	21	9	285	79	-12	+0	-5	+5	+11	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	KC	34%	83	75	18	3	0	1	7	16	1	2	1	240	313	320	633	80	295	19	8	280	82	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	KC	48%	179	160	40	7	1	2	15	35	2	4	2	250	322	344	666	94	296	20	8	287	88	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2029	21	MLB CTX	KC	54%	252	226	55	9	1	3	21	48	3	5	2	243	316	332	648	88	296	19	8	292	92	-2	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.6
2030	22	MLB CTX	KC	57%	301	270	68	11	2	5	25	58	3	6	3	252	322	363	685	111	297	19	8	296	95	-2	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.8
2031	23	MLB CTX	KC	58%	333	298	75	13	2	5	28	63	4	6	3	252	324	359	683	107	298	19	8	298	96	-1	+0	+0	+4	+7	1.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	KC	57%	346	310	78	13	2	6	29	65	4	7	3	252	324	365	688	113	299	19	8	300	98	-1	+0	+0	+4	+7	1.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	KC	57%	354	317	80	13	2	6	30	67	4	7	3	252	325	363	688	110	299	19	8	301	99	-1	+0	+0	+4	+8	1.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	KC	60%	382	343	86	14	2	7	32	72	4	7	3	251	322	364	686	114	299	19	8	302	99	-0	+0	+0	+4	+8	1.2
2035	27	MLB CTX	KC	62%	393	352	89	15	2	7	34	74	4	7	3	253	326	366	692	114	299	19	9	302	99	-0	+0	+0	+4	+9	1.3
2036	28	MLB CTX	KC	63%	397	356	89	15	2	7	34	76	4	7	3	250	322	362	685	112	298	19	9	301	99	-1	+0	-0	+4	+9	1.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	KC	65%	402	360	90	15	2	7	35	77	4	7	3	250	323	361	684	111	298	19	9	300	97	-1	+0	-1	+4	+9	1.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	KC	65%	395	354	87	14	2	6	34	77	4	7	3	246	319	347	666	102	297	19	9	297	96	-2	+0	-1	+4	+9	1.0
2039	31	MLB CTX	KC	65%	385	344	85	14	2	6	34	76	4	6	3	247	322	352	674	105	295	20	9	293	93	-3	+0	-2	+4	+8	0.8
2040	32	MLB CTX	KC	65%	374	335	80	13	2	5	32	76	4	6	3	239	313	334	647	96	292	20	9	288	89	-5	+0	-2	+4	+8	0.5
2041	33	MLB CTX	KC	65%	354	316	76	12	2	5	31	73	4	5	2	241	316	339	655	98	289	21	9	282	85	-6	+0	-3	+4	+8	0.3
2042	34	MLB CTX	KC	60%	301	269	61	9	1	4	26	64	3	4	2	227	302	312	614	86	284	21	9	274	79	-7	+0	-3	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5231	4685	1157	190	27	82	447	1017	56	93	42	247	320	352	672	105	297	19	9	295	93	-38	+2	-13	+56	+113	12.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	144	24	3	10	56	126	7	12	5	247	321	351	671	103	298	19	9	295	93	-5	+0	-2	+7	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	8929	8002	1993	335	43	147	759	1728	94	168	77	249	321	357	678	108	299	19	9	305	93	-66	+4	-20	+94	+190	20.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	145	24	3	11	55	126	7	12	6	249	321	357	678	108	298	19	8	305	93	-5	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	9.3	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.2	18.2
/162	664	5	19	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#3Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#4Jordy Mercerlast yr '21 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,394 PA	5.1	3,394	66	13	257	315	387	+35	+50	17.0	16.7
/162	664	13	3	+6.9	+9.8	3.3	pk7: 17
#5Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	8.1	5,381	88	97	250	319	358	+55	+30	16.2	13.1
/162	664	11	12	+6.8	+3.7	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roy Rivero (OGILVIE)	18	45	20	50	60	237/302/301	64	296	1	6	19%	8%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Roynier Hernandez 2023 · A	18	44→51	34→30	46→50	52	204/278/258	54	261	2	8	21%	9%	56	-1.9	234/302/288	54	298	1	9	20%	9%	71	-0.8	250/313/298	48	318	0	9	20%	8%	75	-0.2
✕Nolan Beltran 2023 · A	18	44→49	35→40	45	54	202/283/260	58	244	2	7	17%	9%	59	-1.7	199/268/277	78	256	5	6	23%	8%	57	-1.8	204/291/293	90	251	7	4	20%	10%	67	-0.4
✕Carlos Arroyo 2019 · A	18	50	35→30	50	51	231/310/281	51	284	3	13	19%	8%	74	-0.6	221/279/288	67	257	4	15	15%	6%	63	-1.4	183/236/245	62	242	4	19	25%	4%	36	-1.1
✕Ayendy Perez 2013 · A	19	46	35→30	49→60	48	211/290/270	59	283	1	12	24%	8%	63	-1.4	229/292/289	60	291	1	24	20%	7%	67	-1.1	241/299/295	54	302	0	33	19%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Jeffer Patino 2007 · A	18	45	37→45	49→45	47	211/274/288	78	271	3	8	22%	7%	61	-1.5	220/284/302	82	271	5	5	19%	7%	68	-1.0	213/266/288	75	257	5	3	18%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	43	196/259/277	81	254	5	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	212/289/284	72	268	5	9	21%	9%	66	-1.1	221/317/274	53	274	5	10	19%	11%	72	-0.3
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A	19	44	37→40	47→40	45	209/268/279	70	271	5	6	24%	7%	56	-1.9	225/291/332	107	274	8	5	20%	8%	77	-0.3	252/305/321	69	287	2	0	12%	6%	75	-0.1
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	54	-2.0	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	73	-0.6	224/288/270	46	274	0	22	17%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Alvaro Montero 2018 · A	18	48	35→30	52→60	54	219/315/281	62	294	3	16	24%	11%	76	-0.4	215/296/270	55	306	2	18	27%	9%	65	-1.2	232/319/263	31	312	0	30	23%	9%	71	-0.4
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/320/283	69	272	4	14	20%	11%	78	-0.3	222/318/349	127	252	16	10	19%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	41→51	35→45	51→50	46	190/270/254	64	256	2	15	24%	7%	53	-2.1	230/299/329	99	282	6	10	20%	6%	80	-0.1	244/324/361	117	272	11	9	14%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Julio Izturis 2007 · A	17	43	35→30	48→60	46	200/278/258	58	271	2	14	25%	7%	56	-1.9	214/300/262	48	265	2	24	18%	8%	65	-1.2	217/310/253	36	266	2	31	17%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Jose Reyes 2017 · A	18	50	36→45	51→55	44	235/281/303	67	296	3	10	21%	5%	66	-1.1	221/269/309	88	263	5	15	17%	6%	63	-1.4	219/269/317	97	252	6	20	15%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Marco Vargas 2023 · A	18	47	38→40	50→60	51	221/294/308	87	285	4	13	23%	9%	73	-0.6	208/298/278	70	288	3	18	26%	11%	68	-1.0	213/291/276	63	314	3	36	30%	10%	62	-0.7
✕Lurvin Basabe 2008 · A	18	48	35→30	47→55	55	223/303/284	61	272	3	15	18%	10%	71	-0.8	203/267/268	65	275	4	14	25%	7%	53	-2.1	125/191/170	45	173	4	22	29%	6%	3	-1.0
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	46	35→30	50	55	208/299/269	61	275	1	14	22%	11%	67	-1.1	215/285/280	65	301	2	9	27%	9%	63	-1.4	224/291/259	35	315	0	4	26%	9%	56	-0.4
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	51	37→40	46→50	53	240/305/319	80	282	3	10	16%	8%	79	-0.2	208/265/274	66	271	2	6	22%	7%	53	-2.1	181/234/228	47	241	0	2	23%	6%	30	-0.9
✕Offerman Collado 2014 · A	18	45	36→30	46→50	44	214/268/276	62	286	3	9	26%	7%	55	-1.9	222/285/278	56	268	2	9	16%	8%	62	-1.4	221/288/264	43	261	1	11	14%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	47→57	36→45	50→45	51	217/297/292	76	290	2	9	24%	10%	71	-0.8	206/254/266	60	262	3	6	21%	5%	47	-2.5	278/317/371	94	319	8	6	15%	4%	95	+0.7
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2012 · A	18	48	37→40	50	53	224/302/310	86	274	3	10	18%	9%	76	-0.4	188/245/267	79	274	5	6	31%	6%	45	-2.7	150/201/214	65	228	4	3	35%	5%	14	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps