Roy Rivero — OGILVIE

Roy RiveroSS DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 18 L/R 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION187 act + 124 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .299 / .311

PA124

HR1

K%22

BB%8

BABIP292

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.0	$9M	+$9M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.1	$9M	+$9M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+2.1	$8M	+$7M
2036	Arb-2	$7M	+1.9	$7M	+$5M
2037	Arb-3	$9M	+1.7	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$23M		$50M	+$42M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	168	151	29	4	2	0	14	24	0	8	8	192	261	245	506	53	225	14	8	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	168	138	34	6	2	0	27	15	0	8	8	246	370	319	689	72	272	9	16	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	KC	—	187	170	42	6	0	0	14	35	2	12	9	247	312	282	594	35	311	19	7	268	64	-8	-1	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
YTD	18	ROK	KC	—	187	161	50	8	0	0	23	24	2	12	9	311	403	360	763	50	365	13	12	352	127	+6	-1	+0	+2	+5	1.2
ROS	18	ROK	KC	0%	124	112	26	4	1	1	10	27	1	4	2	231	299	311	610	80	291	22	8	268	63	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
ROS	18	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		288	—	—	259	56	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	KC	—	187	171	42	6	0	0	14	35	2	12	9	246	312	281	593	35	309	19	7	268	64	-8	-1	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
TOT	18	ROK	KC	—	311	282	68	10	1	1	24	62	3	16	11	241	307	294	600	53	304	20	8	268	63	-13	-1	+0	+3	+9	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	KC	34%	314	283	67	11	2	3	25	67	3	6	3	237	305	322	627	85	294	21	8	281	73	-9	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.3
2028	20	MLB	KC	48%	424	382	91	15	2	5	34	89	5	8	4	238	309	327	636	89	295	21	8	291	81	-9	+0	+0	+5	+12	0.7
2029	21	MLB	KC	54%	505	453	111	18	3	8	41	106	6	10	5	245	316	351	667	106	296	21	8	297	85	-8	+0	+0	+5	+14	1.2
2030	22	MLB	KC	57%	559	501	122	20	3	9	46	116	7	11	5	244	316	349	665	106	297	21	8	301	89	-7	+0	+0	+6	+16	1.5
2031	23	MLB	KC	58%	596	535	131	22	3	10	49	123	7	11	6	245	316	353	670	108	298	21	8	304	91	-6	-0	+0	+6	+17	1.7
2032	24	MLB	KC	57%	619	555	136	22	3	11	52	127	7	12	6	245	318	355	673	110	299	21	8	306	92	-5	+0	+0	+7	+18	1.9
2033	25	MLB	KC	57%	632	566	140	23	3	12	53	129	8	12	6	247	321	362	683	115	299	20	8	307	93	-5	+0	+0	+7	+18	2.0
2034	26	MLB	KC	57%	637	571	141	23	3	12	53	130	8	12	6	247	320	361	680	114	299	20	8	308	94	-5	+0	+0	+7	+18	2.1
2035	27	MLB	KC	60%	636	569	141	23	3	12	54	131	8	12	6	248	322	362	684	114	299	21	8	308	94	-5	+0	+0	+7	+18	2.1
2036	28	MLB	KC	62%	630	563	140	23	3	12	54	130	8	12	6	249	323	364	687	115	298	21	9	307	93	-5	+0	-1	+7	+18	1.9
2037	29	MLB	KC	63%	619	554	135	22	3	11	53	129	7	11	5	244	318	354	671	110	298	21	9	305	92	-6	+0	-1	+7	+18	1.7
2038	30	MLB	KC	63%	608	543	132	21	3	11	53	128	7	11	5	243	318	354	672	110	297	21	9	302	90	-7	+0	-2	+7	+17	1.5
2039	31	MLB	KC	65%	594	531	127	20	3	10	51	127	7	10	5	239	314	345	659	105	295	21	9	299	87	-9	+0	-3	+6	+17	1.2
2040	32	MLB	KC	65%	575	513	121	19	2	9	50	126	7	9	4	236	312	333	646	97	292	22	9	293	83	-11	+0	-4	+6	+16	0.8
2027	19	MLB	KC	34%	108	97	23	4	1	1	9	23	1	2	1	237	308	330	638	93	290	21	8	271	66	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2028	20	MLB	KC	48%	205	184	43	7	1	2	17	43	2	4	2	234	305	315	621	82	292	21	8	279	72	-6	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2029	21	MLB	KC	54%	274	247	59	10	1	4	22	57	3	5	3	239	309	336	645	97	293	21	8	285	76	-7	-0	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2030	22	MLB	KC	57%	316	283	69	11	2	5	26	66	4	6	3	244	316	350	666	106	294	21	8	289	79	-7	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.5
2031	23	MLB	KC	58%	343	308	75	12	2	6	28	71	4	7	3	244	315	354	669	110	294	21	8	292	81	-7	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2032	24	MLB	KC	57%	353	317	77	12	2	6	29	72	4	7	3	243	314	350	664	107	295	20	8	294	83	-7	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2033	25	MLB	KC	57%	358	321	79	13	2	6	30	73	4	7	3	246	318	355	673	109	295	20	8	295	84	-7	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2034	26	MLB	KC	57%	360	323	80	13	2	7	30	74	4	7	3	248	319	365	685	118	295	21	8	295	84	-7	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2035	27	MLB	KC	60%	380	340	83	13	2	7	32	78	5	7	4	244	318	356	674	112	295	21	8	295	84	-7	-0	+0	+4	+11	0.8
2036	28	MLB	KC	62%	389	348	85	14	2	7	33	80	5	7	3	244	319	356	675	112	295	21	8	294	83	-7	+0	-0	+4	+11	0.8
2037	29	MLB	KC	63%	389	347	84	13	2	7	34	81	5	7	3	242	319	352	670	110	294	21	9	293	82	-8	+0	-1	+4	+11	0.7
2038	30	MLB	KC	63%	386	345	82	13	2	6	33	82	5	7	3	238	313	339	652	101	293	21	9	290	80	-9	+0	-1	+4	+11	0.5
2039	31	MLB	KC	65%	386	345	82	13	2	6	33	83	5	6	3	238	313	339	652	101	291	22	9	287	78	-10	+0	-2	+4	+11	0.4
2040	32	MLB	KC	65%	374	335	79	12	2	6	32	82	4	6	3	236	310	337	647	101	289	22	9	282	74	-11	+0	-2	+4	+11	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4621	4141	1000	160	25	76	388	965	55	85	40	241	315	347	662	106	296	21	8	290	80	-104	+1	-7	+50	+131	7.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	142	23	4	11	55	136	8	12	6	244	318	354	672	110	298	21	8	290	80	-15	+0	-1	+7	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	8240	7382	1790	290	42	136	692	1709	96	159	82	242	316	348	664	106	296	21	8	300	88	-116	-1	-10	+88	+233	19.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	141	23	3	11	55	135	8	13	6	242	316	349	665	107	296	21	8	300	88	-9	+0	-1	+7	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	168	138	34	6	2	0	27	15	0	8	8	246	370	319	689	72	272	9	16	317	101	+0	-2	—	—	+5	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,816	80	89	244	313	350	+52	+27	12.1	10.0
	/162	664	11	12	244	313	350	+7.1	+3.7	1.7	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roy Rivero (OGILVIE)	18	45	20	50	60	241/307/294	53	304	1	16	20%	8%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Roynier Hernandez 2023 · A	18	44	34→30	46→50	53	203/279/257	54	256	2	8	20%	10%	50	-1.7	230/299/285	55	293	1	9	20%	9%	65	-0.7	244/304/306	62	315	3	7	22%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Alvaro Montero 2018 · A	18	48	35→30	52→60	54	219/315/281	62	294	3	16	24%	11%	72	-0.2	215/296/270	55	306	2	18	27%	9%	61	-1.0	232/319/263	31	312	0	30	23%	9%	67	-0.2
✕Jeffer Patino 2007 · A	18	45	37→45	49→45	47	211/274/288	78	271	3	8	22%	7%	56	-1.3	220/284/302	82	271	5	5	19%	7%	63	-0.8	213/278/290	77	257	5	4	18%	7%	55	-0.5
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	43	37→30	52→50	46	204/257/278	73	249	3	9	19%	6%	46	-2.0	230/283/304	74	270	3	15	15%	6%	63	-0.9	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
●Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	41→51	35→45	51→50	46	190/270/254	64	256	2	15	24%	7%	46	-2.0	231/300/330	99	282	6	10	19%	6%	79	+0.3	245/326/365	120	273	11	9	14%	7%	96	+1.4
✕Carlos Arroyo 2019 · A	18	50	35→30	50	51	231/310/281	51	284	3	13	19%	8%	70	-0.3	221/279/288	67	257	4	15	15%	6%	58	-1.2	184/235/249	65	243	5	19	25%	4%	28	-1.1
✕Jose Reyes 2017 · A	18	50	36→45	51→55	44	235/281/303	67	296	3	10	21%	5%	62	-0.9	221/269/309	88	263	5	15	17%	6%	58	-1.2	219/269/317	97	252	6	20	15%	6%	56	-0.5
✕Marco Vargas 2023 · A	18	47→46	38→40	50→55	52	219/294/304	85	285	4	13	23%	10%	68	-0.5	206/296/277	71	288	3	18	26%	11%	63	-0.8	200/290/257	57	280	2	27	26%	11%	54	-0.7
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	48	-1.9	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	69	-0.4	221/287/267	45	270	0	22	16%	8%	54	-0.5
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	52	37→40	46→50	53	241/307/322	81	285	3	10	16%	8%	78	+0.2	207/265/272	65	271	2	6	22%	7%	47	-1.9	177/232/223	46	237	0	2	24%	6%	19	-1.0
✕Ayendy Perez 2013 · A	19	46	35→30	49→60	48	211/290/270	59	283	1	12	24%	8%	58	-1.2	228/291/287	59	290	1	24	20%	8%	62	-0.9	236/296/289	54	295	0	33	19%	7%	61	-0.4
✕Julio Izturis 2007 · A	17	43	35→30	48→60	46	200/278/258	58	271	2	14	25%	7%	50	-1.7	214/300/262	48	265	2	24	18%	8%	61	-1.0	217/310/253	36	266	2	31	17%	9%	61	-0.3
✕Juan Ramirez 2017 · A	18	50	36→40	48→45	54	230/299/304	74	266	1	7	14%	8%	70	-0.3	218/275/284	66	262	1	9	16%	7%	54	-1.4	211/264/266	55	251	0	11	15%	6%	42	-0.6
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A	19	44	37→40	47→40	45	209/268/279	70	271	5	6	24%	7%	50	-1.7	225/289/328	103	278	7	5	20%	8%	72	-0.2	255/307/326	71	293	2	0	13%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Offerman Collado 2014 · A	18	45	36→30	46→50	44	214/268/276	62	286	3	9	26%	7%	50	-1.8	222/285/278	56	268	2	9	16%	8%	57	-1.2	221/288/264	43	261	1	11	14%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Livan Soto 2018 · A	18	42→52	34→40	47→50	49	194/261/243	49	243	2	9	20%	8%	39	-2.5	198/258/246	48	250	2	9	20%	7%	37	-2.6	236/307/320	84	310	7	8	24%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Rochest Cruz 2018 · A	19	46	36→40	43→65	52	214/289/283	69	266	3	10	20%	9%	61	-1.0	213/286/278	65	276	3	30	22%	8%	59	-1.1	205/284/259	53	265	2	47	21%	8%	50	-0.6
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2012 · A	18	48	37→40	50	53	224/302/310	86	274	3	10	18%	9%	73	-0.1	188/245/267	79	274	5	6	31%	6%	38	-2.6	150/201/214	65	228	4	3	35%	5%	3	-1.3