Lexer SaduyCF Lynchburg Hillcats
Age 23 L/L 5'10" / 148 lbs A K +5%HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.6 · 2030
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .272 / .311
PA100
HR2
K%31
BB%7
MLB%0%
BAT: -4.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +2.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2030

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Arb-3$0.9M+0.5$2M+$1M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M+0.4$2M+$1.0M
2033Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+0.2$1.0M+$0.0M
2034Ext / FA-deal$3M
2035Ext / FA-deal$0.4M
2036Ext / FA-deal$0.6M
Totals $7M $0.4M -$6M
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL Indians Blue 139123 24700 12313 41 .195.283.252.535 .057.258 229 .247 47 -8 +0 +0 +0 +4 -0.4
202219 ROK2 teams 169149 31311 15553 94 .208.293.262.555 .054.316 339 .249 49 -10 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.4
202320 ALynchburg Hillcats 309276 481112 211309 145 .174.255.243.498 .069.313 427 .230 34 -23 +1 +0 +1 +9 -1.3
202421 ALynchburg Hillcats 131118 22202 7324 75 .186.256.254.510 .068.233 245 .231 35 -10 -1 +0 +0 +4 -0.6
▸ 2026 Season
202623 MLBCLE 10091 19312 7312 21 .209.280.330.610 .121.286 317 .267 62 -4 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202724 MLB 10%CLE 149135 28513 11452 31 .207.277.326.603 .119.288 307 .280 73 -5 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.0
202825 MLB 25%CLE 256230 49916 20754 52 .213.287.339.627 .126.289 298 .289 80 -6 +0 +0 +1 +7 0.3
202926 MLB 42%CLE 330295 661229 27955 72 .224.300.369.669 .146.291 298 .294 83 -6 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.5
203027 MLB 58%CLE 371332 7414210 301076 72 .223.299.367.666 .145.291 298 .295 84 -7 +1 +0 +1 +11 0.6
203128 MLB 68%CLE 395353 7714210 331156 72 .218.296.354.650 .136.290 298 .294 83 -7 +1 -1 +1 +11 0.5
203229 MLB 77%CLE 403360 7814210 341186 62 .217.295.350.645 .133.289 298 .292 82 -8 +0 -1 +1 +11 0.4
203330 MLB 84%CLE 405362 7714210 341206 61 .213.291.345.636 .133.288 308 .289 79 -10 +1 -2 +1 +11 0.2
203431 MLB 91%CLE 398356 7614210 331206 41 .213.291.348.639 .135.286 308 .285 76 -11 +0 -3 +1 +11 -0.0
203532 MLBCLE 383343 721329 321175 20 .210.287.338.625 .128.285 318 .280 73 -12 +0 -4 +1 +11 -0.3
203633 MLBCLE 356319 651218 291115 00 .204.280.323.603 .119.283 318 .275 69 -13 +0 -4 +1 +10 -0.6
203734 MLBCLE 314281 561017 261014 00 .199.277.317.593 .117.281 328 .269 64 -13 +0 -5 +1 +9 -0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 46084123 8621572199 371140376 8329 .209.286.329.616 .120.288 308 .278 71 -151 +5 -20 +16 +131 -1.9
/ 162G 650582 12222314 5219811 124 .210.287.330.617 .120.289 308 .278 71 -21 +1 -3 +2 +18 -0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL Indians Blue 139115 30810 20253 41 .261.384.348.732 .087.330 1814 .338 117 +3 +0 +4 0.7
202219 ALynchburg Hillcats 4136 8100 5120 00 .222.317.250.567 .028.333 2912 .271 66 -2 +0 +1 -0.0
202219 ROKACL Guardians 128103 29311 20273 94 .282.413.359.772 .078.364 2116 .355 130 +4 +0 +4 0.8
202320 ALynchburg Hillcats 309263 581423 34909 145 .221.330.323.653 .103.318 2911 .301 89 -4 +1 +9 0.6
202421 ALynchburg Hillcats 131113 25202 12224 75 .221.318.292.610 .071.253 179 .283 75 -4 -1 +4 -0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Lexer Saduy (OGILVIE) 23 .202/.272/.311 .109.286 22 31% 7% 62 -0.1
Chris Meyers
2022 · A
23 41→46 42→50 51→40 45 .201/.269/.304 .103.264 911 26% 7% 59 -1.1 .222/.280/.362 .140.293 167 29% 6% 79 +0.3 .226/.286/.378.152.29419329%6%82+0.3
Adrian Del Castillo
2023 · A
23 36→45 43→55 52→40 41 .184/.246/.294 .110.257 107 32% 7% 46 -2.0 .210/.280/.351 .141.289 154 31% 8% 76 +0.0 .218/.292/.382.164.29319131%9%86+0.5
Christopher Familia
2023 · A
23 40 45→55 47→45 45 .204/.281/.326 .122.262 138 27% 7% 70 -0.3 .219/.278/.391 .172.284 224 30% 6% 85 +0.7 .215/.266/.411.196.27028032%5%81+0.2
Ryan Schimpf
2011 · A
23 39 43→60 52→45 39 .192/.257/.314 .121.284 910 34% 6% 56 -1.3 .198/.273/.355 .157.273 177 32% 8% 74 -0.1 .201/.284/.419.218.23528228%9%91+0.9
Kyle Kubitza
2013 · A
23 40→50 41→50 49→50 43 .194/.262/.301 .107.286 711 33% 8% 54 -1.4 .214/.288/.342 .128.327 910 34% 9% 76 +0.0 .219/.294/.350.131.33491034%9%79+0.3
Brian O'Grady
2015 · A
23 40→39 43→60 53→50 47 .198/.263/.312 .114.259 98 26% 8% 57 -1.2 .192/.274/.305 .113.267 1014 30% 10% 61 -1.0 .210/.274/.401.191.276231532%7%84+0.5
Randy Florentino
2023 · A
23 36 41→50 47→45 40 .183/.244/.273 .090.273 97 35% 7% 40 -2.4 .196/.244/.284 .088.259 96 27% 6% 42 -2.3 .184/.224/.260.076.2317423%4%25-1.0
Imanol Vargas
2021 · A
23 43→44 44→55 46→45 47 .209/.291/.330 .121.305 128 33% 10% 75 -0.0 .210/.290/.374 .164.332 204 39% 10% 85 +0.7 .200/.288/.364.164.31621240%10%79+0.2
Travis Blankenhorn
2019 · A
22 40→43 45→55 51→50 38 .201/.261/.328 .127.288 117 33% 6% 61 -1.0 .215/.262/.357 .142.295 169 32% 5% 69 -0.4 .211/.283/.380.168.27621631%8%81+0.3
Jordan Patterson
2015 · A
23 42→49 43→50 47→50 40 .210/.271/.317 .108.275 1213 28% 5% 63 -0.8 .224/.282/.365 .141.307 1411 30% 5% 80 +0.4 .221/.281/.375.154.30615931%5%79+0.2
Matthew Sweeney
2011 · AA
23 42→41 44→50 49→45 41 .207/.267/.325 .119.293 114 32% 7% 63 -0.9 .184/.247/.296 .112.270 104 34% 7% 47 -1.9 .152/.219/.263.111.21611134%7%24-1.3
Carlos Guzman
2009 · A
23 42→48 44→50 52→50 37 .208/.257/.321 .112.300 1212 34% 6% 57 -1.2 .230/.279/.338 .108.309 116 28% 6% 70 -0.3 .235/.287/.332.097.30810326%6%70-0.2
Anthony Seigler
2022 · A
23 41→39 41→45 44→55 45 .195/.271/.299 .104.290 86 34% 9% 58 -1.2 .192/.292/.304 .112.255 1014 26% 12% 69 -0.4 .200/.299/.321.122.247122723%12%74-0.1
Caleb Roberts
2023 · AA
23 40→43 42→50 50 42 .194/.271/.297 .103.298 912 36% 8% 58 -1.2 .202/.279/.332 .130.296 1211 33% 8% 70 -0.3 .195/.272/.328.134.276131032%8%64-0.6
Tim Wheeler
2011 · A
23 43→52 44→50 50 43 .215/.276/.330 .115.277 1214 26% 6% 68 -0.5 .235/.289/.369 .134.309 1413 27% 6% 83 +0.6 .237/.290/.360.124.314131328%6%78+0.2
Blaze Alexander
2022 · A
23 38→48 42→50 52→50 39 .185/.256/.288 .103.292 1114 38% 7% 49 -1.8 .218/.290/.354 .136.331 1511 36% 7% 81 +0.4 .220/.308/.345.126.328131034%8%84+0.4
Carlos Moncrief
2012 · A
23 41→51 44→50 51→50 44 .199/.277/.322 .124.308 1111 36% 9% 66 -0.6 .216/.273/.363 .147.317 1512 35% 7% 75 -0.0 .234/.288/.372.138.297141125%7%81+0.4
Sam Hilliard
2017 · A
23 43→48 45→55 53→55 39 .209/.263/.333 .124.313 1215 36% 7% 63 -0.9 .208/.258/.324 .116.328 1220 38% 6% 58 -1.2 .203/.279/.381.178.280211834%9%80+0.2
Grant Witherspoon
2021 · A
24 40→45 40→55 52→50 40 .196/.247/.290 .094.271 812 30% 6% 44 -2.1 .219/.273/.373 .154.297 1913 32% 7% 78 +0.2 .216/.275/.377.161.291211432%7%77+0.1
Brian Pointer
2015 · A
23 39→41 44→45 49→50 40 .192/.266/.307 .115.289 1113 36% 7% 59 -1.1 .214/.286/.346 .132.318 1411 34% 8% 76 +0.1 .211/.286/.358.146.306161034%9%75-0.0