Lexer Saduy — OGILVIE

Lexer SaduyCF Lynchburg Hillcats

Age 23 L/L 5'10" / 148 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 100 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .282 / .331

PA8

HR0

K%26

BB%7

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Indians Blue	—	139	115	30	8	1	0	20	25	3	4	1	261	384	348	732	87	330	18	14	338	115	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	41	36	8	1	0	0	5	12	0	0	0	222	317	250	567	28	333	29	12	271	69	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	128	103	29	3	1	1	20	27	3	9	4	282	413	359	772	78	364	21	16	355	126	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2023	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	309	263	58	14	2	3	34	90	9	14	5	221	330	323	653	103	318	29	11	301	90	-4	+1	—	—	+7	0.4
2024	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	131	113	25	2	0	2	12	22	4	7	5	221	318	292	610	71	253	17	9	283	78	-4	-1	—	—	+3	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Blue	—	139	123	24	6	1	0	12	34	3	4	1	195	283	260	543	65	256	24	9	241	49	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2022	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	41	38	7	1	0	0	3	17	0	0	0	184	244	211	454	26	314	41	7	198	20	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	128	111	24	2	1	1	12	38	3	9	4	216	310	279	589	63	298	30	9	263	64	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2023	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	309	276	48	11	1	2	21	130	9	14	5	174	255	243	498	69	307	42	7	230	42	-21	+1	—	—	+7	-1.4
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	131	118	22	2	0	2	7	32	4	7	5	186	256	254	510	68	225	24	5	231	42	-9	-1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Blue	—	139	123	24	6	1	0	12	34	3	4	1	195	283	260	543	65	267	24	9	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Indians Blue	—	139	115	30	8	1	0	20	25	3	4	1	261	384	348	732	87	330	18	14	338	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	169	149	31	3	1	1	15	56	3	9	4	208	293	262	555	54	319	33	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	169	139	37	4	1	1	25	39	3	9	4	266	389	331	720	65	356	23	15	335	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	309	276	48	11	1	2	21	130	9	14	5	174	255	243	498	69	313	42	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	309	263	58	14	2	3	34	90	9	14	5	221	330	323	653	103	318	29	11	301	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	131	118	22	2	0	2	7	32	4	7	5	186	256	254	510	68	233	24	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	131	113	25	2	0	2	12	22	4	7	5	221	318	292	610	71	253	17	9	283	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Blue	—	139	123	24	6	1	0	12	34	3	4	1	195	283	260	543	65	256	24	9	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	169	149	31	3	1	1	15	56	3	9	4	208	293	262	555	54	302	33	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	309	276	48	11	1	2	21	130	9	14	5	174	255	243	498	69	307	42	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	131	119	22	2	0	2	7	32	4	7	5	185	256	252	508	67	225	24	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	309	276	48	11	1	2	21	130	9	14	5	174	255	243	498	69	307	42	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	131	119	22	2	0	2	7	32	4	7	5	185	256	252	508	67	225	24	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		284	25	12	279	75	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CLE	30%	149	135	31	6	1	3	11	38	2	3	1	230	297	356	653	126	285	26	7	289	81	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	CLE	44%	256	231	52	10	1	6	19	65	4	5	2	225	295	355	650	130	286	25	7	295	85	-4	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	CLE	51%	330	298	69	13	2	8	24	83	5	6	2	232	300	369	669	138	287	25	7	298	88	-5	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.4
2030	27	MLB MLE	CLE	52%	371	335	76	14	2	9	28	93	5	7	2	227	296	361	657	134	287	25	8	299	88	-5	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.5
2031	28	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	395	356	81	15	2	10	30	100	6	7	2	228	298	365	664	138	286	25	8	298	88	-6	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	403	363	82	15	2	10	31	103	6	7	2	226	297	361	658	135	286	26	8	296	87	-6	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	CLE	52%	405	365	82	15	2	10	31	104	6	6	2	225	296	359	655	134	285	26	8	294	85	-7	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.1
2034	31	MLB MLE	CLE	52%	398	359	80	15	2	9	30	104	6	5	2	223	294	351	645	128	283	26	8	290	82	-8	+0	-3	+1	+9	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	CLE	30%	45	41	9	2	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	220	289	341	630	122	285	27	7	277	81	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	CLE	44%	113	102	24	4	1	3	8	29	2	2	1	235	304	382	686	147	285	26	7	283	85	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	CLE	51%	167	151	34	6	1	4	12	42	2	3	1	225	291	358	649	132	286	25	7	286	88	-2	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	CLE	52%	194	174	40	7	1	5	15	49	3	4	1	230	302	368	670	138	286	25	8	287	88	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	211	190	43	8	1	5	16	53	3	4	1	226	297	358	655	132	286	25	8	286	88	-3	+0	-0	+1	+5	0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	212	191	43	8	1	5	16	54	3	4	1	225	295	356	651	131	285	25	8	285	87	-3	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	CLE	52%	211	190	43	8	1	5	16	54	3	3	1	226	297	358	655	132	284	26	8	282	85	-4	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.1
2034	31	MLB CTX	CLE	52%	206	185	42	8	1	5	16	54	3	3	1	227	299	362	661	135	282	26	8	278	82	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1359	1224	278	51	7	33	102	347	20	24	7	227	297	361	658	134	288	26	8	284	77	-23	+2	-4	+5	+29	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	132	24	3	16	49	166	10	11	3	226	297	359	656	133	286	26	8	284	77	-11	+1	-2	+2	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3463	3115	679	125	17	70	260	944	59	80	30	218	291	336	627	118	287	27	8	282	77	-46	+3	-7	+10	+59	1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	127	23	3	13	49	177	11	15	6	217	290	333	623	116	286	27	8	282	77	-11	+1	-2	+2	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.2	1,459	35	26	227	294	362	+5	+12	2.0	2.0
/162	664	16	12	+2.4	+5.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lexer Saduy (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	217/282/331	114	284	2	2	26%	7%	75	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Tim Wheeler 2011 · A	23	43→53	44→50	50	43	215/276/329	115	276	12	14	26%	6%	72	-0.7	238/291/364	126	311	13	13	26%	6%	85	+0.2	241/293/361	120	316	12	13	26%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→45	44→50	51→40	43	210/272/331	121	280	12	9	28%	7%	70	-0.8	225/283/368	143	295	17	5	29%	6%	83	+0.1	222/283/366	144	287	17	3	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Blake Tekotte 2010 · A	23	43→47	43→50	50→55	47	213/273/320	107	259	10	15	22%	7%	68	-1.0	221/282/366	145	287	16	21	27%	7%	82	+0.0	214/275/365	151	282	17	23	29%	7%	76	-0.4
✕Jordan Patterson 2015 · A	23	43→49	43→50	48→50	40	213/276/317	104	284	11	13	28%	6%	69	-0.9	224/283/367	143	309	13	11	31%	5%	83	+0.1	221/280/376	155	306	15	9	31%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	40	46→55	47→45	45	203/281/331	128	258	14	8	26%	8%	74	-0.5	219/278/387	168	291	21	4	31%	6%	86	+0.3	217/271/408	191	280	27	0	32%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A	23	45	40→45	51→55	44	215/280/315	101	289	7	13	27%	7%	69	-0.9	208/260/300	92	298	6	11	30%	6%	58	-1.7	173/207/222	50	261	0	15	32%	4%	18	-0.8
✕Ka'ai Tom 2018 · A	24	45→48	43→50	52→50	46	220/282/340	120	279	10	15	24%	7%	76	-0.4	228/291/380	152	293	15	10	26%	7%	88	+0.5	214/288/369	154	277	16	7	28%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Kody Clemens 2019 · A	23	46→44	44→60	50→45	45	227/284/346	119	293	11	8	26%	7%	78	-0.3	201/260/331	130	273	12	8	30%	7%	65	-1.2	227/284/435	209	256	27	8	24%	6%	97	+0.8
✕Kyle Isbel 2021 · A	24	42→52	45→50	52→55	39	213/260/335	122	280	12	16	28%	5%	66	-1.1	227/285/358	131	289	12	18	25%	6%	82	-0.0	229/287/366	137	285	12	19	24%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Nicky Delmonico 2015 · A	23	40→47	47→50	46→45	43	206/271/340	134	280	15	8	31%	7%	72	-0.7	225/282/366	141	294	13	6	27%	7%	82	-0.0	230/299/381	151	284	16	4	24%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Nate Tenbrink 2010 · A	23	48→53	43→50	52→50	42	230/286/343	113	306	9	9	27%	6%	78	-0.3	234/301/374	140	309	13	16	27%	8%	91	+0.7	232/308/387	155	306	15	20	27%	8%	94	+0.5
✕Matthew Spencer 2009 · A	23	46→49	45→50	51→45	40	230/278/354	124	298	13	9	27%	5%	77	-0.3	230/273/372	142	283	16	7	24%	5%	80	-0.1	223/266/368	145	269	17	7	24%	5%	75	-0.4
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	210/284/319	109	280	9	10	27%	8%	72	-0.7	203/288/320	117	266	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.5	197/276/341	144	245	18	22	27%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	42→39	44→50	50→45	45	207/273/328	121	277	11	7	28%	8%	70	-0.8	210/268/335	125	296	14	5	32%	7%	70	-0.9	191/245/320	130	262	17	1	34%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	48→55	52→55	43	209/268/351	142	267	16	12	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/379	156	286	16	20	27%	8%	88	+0.4	222/295/383	161	284	16	22	27%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Conner Capel 2019 · A	22	42→45	44→45	47→55	43	209/267/331	122	277	11	11	28%	7%	68	-1.0	212/262/326	114	280	12	10	27%	6%	65	-1.2	213/285/332	119	269	12	19	24%	8%	72	-0.5
●JJ Bleday 2021 · A	23	44→49	43→60	48→45	42	219/269/330	112	289	10	7	28%	6%	69	-0.9	190/279/330	140	246	15	6	28%	10%	74	-0.6	231/319/425	194	268	23	4	22%	11%	106	+1.7
✕Quincy Hamilton 2022 · A	24	46	40→50	51→50	46	220/296/311	91	301	8	15	28%	8%	75	-0.5	221/301/359	138	285	15	14	26%	9%	88	+0.4	208/293/354	146	263	17	14	27%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Orlando Martinez 2021 · A	23	43→49	45	44→50	41	217/263/341	124	278	13	7	27%	6%	68	-1.0	216/260/337	121	291	12	8	29%	5%	67	-1.1	231/294/322	92	284	6	11	20%	8%	74	-0.3
✕DJ Stewart 2017 · A	23	45→48	42→55	51→50	48	215/293/325	110	294	9	16	28%	9%	77	-0.3	225/297/366	141	277	15	14	24%	8%	88	+0.5	208/314/396	188	250	26	2	28%	11%	99	+0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps