Wilian Trinidad

2B FCL Rays

Age 21 L/R 5'8" / 165 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	17	ROKTB	230	.270/.395/.333	1	16	46	—	.185/.285/.230
2024	18	ROKDSL Tampa Bay	219	.251/.377/.335	0	21	43	—	.180/.279/.238
2025	19	ROKTB	59	.204/.259/.241	0	2	-15	—	.125/.155/.143
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBTB	186	.201/.268/.275	1	4	55	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBTB	24	.208/.276/.295	0	1	61	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Whiff%55

Z-Con%42

Speed36

K%20

Chase%19

ISO12

CompsJaden Rudd (age 21) · Dan Arcila (age 21) · Chris Roller (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 32 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .265 / .273

PA32

HR0

K%29

BB%7

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	230	189	51	9	0	1	38	46	1	16	9	270	395	333	728	63	347	20	17	339	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	219	179	45	7	4	0	33	49	3	21	11	251	377	335	712	84	338	22	15	326	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	59	54	11	2	0	0	4	17	0	2	0	204	259	241	499	37	297	29	7	229	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	230	200	37	6	0	1	27	57	1	16	9	185	285	230	515	45	243	25	12	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	219	189	34	5	3	0	23	61	3	21	11	180	279	238	517	58	245	28	11	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	59	56	7	1	0	0	2	25	0	2	0	125	155	143	298	18	233	42	3	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	230	200	37	6	0	1	27	57	1	16	9	185	285	230	515	45	250	25	12	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	230	189	51	9	0	1	38	46	1	16	9	270	395	333	728	63	347	20	17	339	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	219	189	34	5	3	0	23	61	3	21	11	180	279	238	517	58	260	28	11	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	219	179	45	7	4	0	33	49	3	21	11	251	377	335	712	84	338	22	15	326	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	59	56	7	1	0	0	2	25	0	2	0	125	155	143	298	18	226	42	3	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	59	54	11	2	0	0	4	17	0	2	0	204	259	241	499	37	297	29	7	229	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	230	200	37	6	0	1	27	57	1	16	9	185	285	230	515	45	243	25	12	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	219	191	34	5	3	0	23	61	3	21	11	178	279	236	515	58	245	28	11	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	59	57	7	1	0	0	2	25	0	2	0	123	155	140	296	18	233	42	3	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	219	191	34	5	3	0	23	61	3	21	11	178	279	236	515	58	245	28	11	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	59	57	7	1	0	0	2	25	0	2	0	123	155	140	296	18	233	42	3	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TB	0%	186	168	33	5	2	1	14	55	2	4	1	201	268	275	543	75	285	30	8	249	55	-10	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TB	34%	71	65	14	2	1	1	5	20	1	2	0	206	273	293	566	87	286	28	7	258	61	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	TB	34%	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	208	276	295	570	86	290	29	8	260	61	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	182	250	227	477	45	267	29	8	260	41	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	108	27	0	0	54	190	0	27	0	181	249	227	476	45	266	29	8	260	41	-30	+5	+0	+2	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	611	540	97	15	4	2	59	172	5	42	20	180	267	233	500	54	256	28	10	229	41	-5	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	103	16	4	2	63	183	5	45	21	179	266	232	498	52	256	28	10	229	41	-32	+4	+0	+2	+14	-1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKFCL Rays · 59 PAwOBA .223 → .146 (−77)K% 28.8% → 42.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.81%	÷0.985	×1.440	—	—	42.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.78%	÷0.991	×0.620	—	×0.995	4.22%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.32%	÷1.018	×0.820	—	×0.995	19.49%
Doubles /BIP	5.41%	÷1.026	×0.720	—	×0.995	3.77%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.809	×0.780	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .223 → .146; ISO .037 → .022; BABIP .297 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 219 PAwOBA .323 → .232 (−91)K% 22.4% → 28.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.37%	÷0.975	×1.220	—	—	28.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.07%	÷1.011	×0.700	—	×0.995	10.39%
HBP% /PA	1.37%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	0.95%
Singles /BIP	26.15%	÷0.963	×0.680	×1.050	×0.995	19.30%
Doubles /BIP	5.38%	÷0.945	×0.600	×1.050	×0.995	3.57%
Triples /BIP	3.08%	÷0.900	×0.600	×1.050	×0.995	2.14%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.982	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 93, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .323 → .232; ISO .084 → .058; BABIP .338 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Rays · 230 PAwOBA .334 → .236 (−98)K% 20.0% → 24.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷0.987	×1.220	—	—	24.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.52%	÷0.984	×0.700	—	×1.008	11.84%
HBP% /PA	0.43%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.31%
Singles /BIP	28.67%	÷1.005	×0.680	×1.050	×1.008	20.53%
Doubles /BIP	6.29%	÷0.993	×0.600	×1.050	×1.008	4.02%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.035	×0.600	×1.050	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.70%	÷0.938	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.35%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 107, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .334 → .236; ISO .063 → .039; BABIP .347 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Wilian Trinidad (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	199/265/273	74	285	0	1	29%	7%	55	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jaden Rudd 2024 · A	21	39→36	37→30	52→50	48	179/290/250	70	276	4	14	32%	10%	61	-1.5	193/286/269	76	307	5	13	35%	9%	63	-1.4	155/260/202	47	253	3	16	35%	10%	36	-0.9
✕Dan Arcila 2011 · A	21	33	37→40	53→50	42	166/231/239	73	242	5	12	32%	7%	34	-3.5	196/250/324	128	265	13	6	30%	6%	61	-1.5	174/233/338	164	215	19	3	29%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Luis Mendez 2024 · A	21	38	38→40	47→50	43	182/254/259	77	275	6	10	34%	8%	47	-2.5	193/255/274	81	270	5	12	28%	7%	50	-2.3	187/247/263	77	253	5	13	27%	7%	43	-1.2
✕Rubel Cespedes 2022 · A	21	32→42	39→45	49→40	36	166/219/248	82	252	6	6	36%	6%	31	-3.7	210/258/309	99	293	9	4	30%	6%	59	-1.6	215/263/317	102	288	10	3	28%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	38	38→45	53→50	51	181/272/260	79	252	4	15	28%	10%	55	-2.0	185/255/278	93	317	6	13	40%	8%	52	-2.2	140/198/215	76	278	6	16	49%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Deivis Nadal 2023 · A	21	38	36→40	48→55	37	178/244/244	65	288	3	14	37%	6%	40	-3.1	173/249/273	100	324	9	19	45%	8%	49	-2.4	138/226/243	104	269	10	25	48%	9%	32	-1.5
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	53→50	46	189/269/285	96	280	8	13	33%	9%	59	-1.6	194/280/279	85	302	5	15	34%	10%	62	-1.4	185/278/271	86	290	5	16	34%	10%	58	-1.1
✕Michael Swinson 2011 · A	21	41	41→40	52→50	43	201/265/299	98	278	8	12	29%	7%	60	-1.6	201/265/274	73	267	4	10	24%	8%	54	-2.0	196/267/258	62	261	2	10	23%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Shane Mardirosian 2017 · A	21	41→40	36→40	46→45	39	198/244/266	69	266	3	9	26%	4%	44	-2.8	203/257/283	80	293	6	8	31%	6%	53	-2.1	198/267/282	84	301	7	7	34%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	42→33	40→45	50	44	200/275/295	95	300	7	13	34%	8%	63	-1.3	203/269/320	117	297	12	11	34%	7%	67	-1.1	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Roberto Reyes 2010 · A	21	35	37→40	55	44	168/249/240	72	256	4	15	33%	8%	42	-2.9	189/249/265	76	287	4	8	33%	6%	46	-2.6	179/233/246	67	261	5	2	32%	5%	34	-1.2
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Shane Opitz 2013 · A	21	41	38→40	48→50	40	199/241/281	81	267	4	5	26%	5%	46	-2.6	238/277/316	78	303	4	9	22%	5%	67	-1.1	254/288/325	71	310	3	9	18%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Andry Arias 2021 · A	21	38	39→40	51→40	42	186/255/269	83	272	6	8	32%	8%	50	-2.3	190/255/289	99	292	8	6	35%	7%	55	-2.0	163/234/264	101	246	9	3	35%	7%	39	-1.0
✕Jhon Diaz 2024 · A	21	37→26	40→45	49→50	39	181/241/278	97	288	6	11	38%	7%	46	-2.6	174/225/289	115	248	13	16	34%	6%	43	-2.8	154/204/269	115	207	15	17	34%	5%	28	-2.5
✕Charles Mack 2021 · A	21	44	37→45	49→40	42	207/268/285	77	297	4	7	30%	7%	57	-1.8	183/261/286	103	304	10	4	39%	9%	57	-1.8	154/240/258	104	248	11	1	40%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	37	38→40	49→50	44	181/259/263	83	253	5	11	29%	8%	51	-2.3	186/256/284	98	256	7	9	28%	7%	54	-2.0	123/201/242	119	154	9	9	26%	8%	23	-1.1
✕Dionis Paulino 2015 · A	21	40	36→40	51→50	48	189/267/252	64	257	3	15	26%	9%	51	-2.3	202/263/272	70	293	3	12	30%	7%	53	-2.1	206/248/291	84	301	9	11	33%	5%	47	-0.8