Daniel Brito
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | A+PHI | 379 | .243/.300/.325 | 4 | 6 | 36 | — | .193/.243/.262 |
| 2020 | 22 | INTLAguilas del Z… | 145 | .277/.333/.438 | 3 | 5 | 111 | — | |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA/AAPHI | 307 | .295/.364/.473 | 8 | 3 | 98 | — | .275/.325/.416 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | DSL Phillies | — | 257 | 212 | 57 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 269 | 385 | 344 | 729 | 75 | 298 | 9 | 14 | 333 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Phillies | — | 215 | 190 | 54 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 27 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 284 | 358 | 421 | 780 | 137 | 319 | 13 | 10 | 344 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 491 | 447 | 107 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 95 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 239 | 299 | 318 | 617 | 78 | 290 | 19 | 7 | 279 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 49 | 44 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 273 | 333 | 318 | 652 | 45 | 364 | 22 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 100 | 92 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 250 | 303 | 348 | 651 | 98 | 311 | 19 | 6 | 291 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 368 | 329 | 83 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 64 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 252 | 313 | 340 | 653 | 88 | 297 | 17 | 7 | 289 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 379 | 342 | 83 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 73 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 243 | 300 | 325 | 625 | 82 | 293 | 19 | 6 | 279 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 22 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 145 | 130 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 277 | 333 | 438 | 772 | 162 | 303 | 14 | 6 | 333 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 32 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 286 | 375 | 607 | 982 | 321 | 316 | 22 | 12 | 421 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 275 | 247 | 73 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 46 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 296 | 363 | 457 | 820 | 162 | 344 | 17 | 8 | 362 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies | — | 257 | 222 | 42 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 189 | 286 | 239 | 524 | 50 | 205 | 11 | 10 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 215 | 198 | 44 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 222 | 274 | 328 | 602 | 106 | 255 | 18 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 491 | 457 | 96 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 128 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 210 | 256 | 282 | 538 | 72 | 273 | 26 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 100 | 93 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 273 | 312 | 585 | 86 | 305 | 27 | 5 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 368 | 337 | 78 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 88 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 231 | 277 | 303 | 579 | 71 | 288 | 24 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 379 | 347 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 108 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 193 | 243 | 262 | 505 | 69 | 251 | 28 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 32 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 276 | 344 | 586 | 930 | 310 | 288 | 25 | 9 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 275 | 255 | 70 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 57 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 275 | 322 | 396 | 718 | 122 | 335 | 21 | 5 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies | — | 257 | 222 | 42 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 189 | 286 | 239 | 524 | 50 | 214 | 11 | 10 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Phillies | — | 257 | 212 | 57 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 269 | 385 | 344 | 729 | 75 | 298 | 9 | 14 | 333 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 215 | 198 | 44 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 222 | 274 | 328 | 602 | 106 | 264 | 18 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Phillies | — | 215 | 190 | 54 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 27 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 284 | 358 | 421 | 780 | 137 | 319 | 13 | 10 | 344 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 540 | 503 | 106 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 141 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 211 | 255 | 280 | 535 | 70 | 279 | 26 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 540 | 491 | 119 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 106 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 242 | 302 | 318 | 620 | 75 | 297 | 20 | 7 | 280 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 468 | 431 | 98 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 115 | 3 | 16 | 7 | 227 | 271 | 297 | 568 | 70 | 298 | 25 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 468 | 421 | 106 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 83 | 3 | 16 | 7 | 252 | 311 | 342 | 653 | 90 | 300 | 18 | 7 | 290 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 379 | 347 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 108 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 193 | 243 | 262 | 505 | 69 | 263 | 28 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ RAW | Clearwater Threshers | — | 379 | 342 | 83 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 73 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 243 | 300 | 325 | 625 | 82 | 293 | 19 | 6 | 279 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 22 | INTL MLE | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 145 | 130 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 277 | 333 | 438 | 772 | 162 | 303 | 14 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 22 | INTL RAW | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 145 | 130 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 277 | 333 | 438 | 772 | 162 | 303 | 14 | 6 | 333 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 307 | 284 | 76 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 65 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 268 | 318 | 398 | 716 | 130 | 332 | 21 | 6 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 307 | 275 | 81 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 53 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 295 | 364 | 473 | 837 | 178 | 341 | 17 | 9 | 368 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies | — | 257 | 225 | 42 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 187 | 286 | 236 | 521 | 49 | 205 | 11 | 10 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 215 | 199 | 44 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 221 | 274 | 327 | 600 | 106 | 255 | 18 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 540 | 505 | 106 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 141 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 210 | 255 | 279 | 534 | 69 | 273 | 26 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 468 | 439 | 98 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 115 | 3 | 16 | 7 | 223 | 271 | 292 | 563 | 68 | 292 | 25 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 379 | 353 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 108 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 190 | 243 | 258 | 501 | 68 | 251 | 28 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 307 | 283 | 76 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 65 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 269 | 318 | 399 | 717 | 131 | 330 | 21 | 6 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2311 | 2115 | 469 | 74 | 18 | 23 | 130 | 515 | 25 | 57 | 42 | 222 | 275 | 306 | 581 | 85 | 280 | 22 | 6 | 234 | 45 | -152 | -5 | +0 | +8 | +50 | -10.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 132 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 145 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 222 | 275 | 304 | 580 | 82 | 281 | 22 | 6 | 234 | 45 | -43 | -2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAReading Fightin Phils · 275 PAwOBA .350 → .310 (−40)K% 16.7% → 20.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.73% | ÷0.985 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.64% | ÷0.989 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.027 | 5.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.38% | ÷0.989 | ×0.940 | ×1.039 | ×1.027 | 24.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.97% | ÷0.993 | ×0.870 | ×1.039 | ×1.027 | 6.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.99% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.039 | ×1.027 | 1.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.99% | ÷1.344 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 1.78% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 169, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .350 → .310; ISO .162 → .124; BABIP .344 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 32 PAwOBA .409 → .335 (−75)K% 21.9% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.88% | ÷0.992 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.061 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 8.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 18.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 4.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 4.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.52% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 7.31% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .409 → .335; ISO .321 → .255; BABIP .316 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Clearwater Threshers · 379 PAwOBA .275 → .221 (−54)K% 19.3% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.26% | ÷0.960 | ×1.420 | — | — | 28.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.80% | ÷0.964 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 4.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.58% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.79% | ÷1.014 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 21.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.20% | ÷1.242 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 3.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.49% | ÷0.949 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 1.42% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 148, 3B 95, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .275 → .221; ISO .082 → .064; BABIP .293 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ALakewood BlueClaws · 368 PAwOBA .286 → .254 (−32)K% 17.4% → 23.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.39% | ÷0.976 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.34% | ÷0.987 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 5.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.15% | ÷0.960 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×1.030 | 24.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.91% | ÷0.992 | ×0.820 | ×1.009 | ×1.030 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷1.086 | ×0.940 | ×1.009 | ×1.030 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.51% | ÷0.966 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 1.32% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 92, 2B 98, 3B 117, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .286 → .254; ISO .088 → .075; BABIP .297 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Clearwater Threshers · 100 PAwOBA .286 → .252 (−34)K% 19.0% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.00% | ÷0.995 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.042 | 4.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.042 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.92% | ÷0.950 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | ×1.042 | 21.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.85% | ÷1.028 | ×0.960 | ×0.994 | ×1.042 | 6.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.994 | ×1.042 | 2.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.197 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 90, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .286 → .252; ISO .098 → .082; BABIP .311 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ALakewood BlueClaws · 491 PAwOBA .273 → .237 (−36)K% 19.3% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.35% | ÷0.994 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.72% | ÷0.980 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.045 | 4.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.045 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.15% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×1.045 | 22.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.927 | ×0.820 | ×1.009 | ×1.045 | 3.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.28% | ÷1.021 | ×0.940 | ×1.009 | ×1.045 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.70% | ÷0.854 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.045 | 1.71% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 106, 2B 85, 3B 104, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .273 → .237; ISO .078 → .073; BABIP .290 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKGCL Phillies · 215 PAwOBA .338 → .256 (−83)K% 12.6% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.56% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 6.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.47% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.990 | ×1.022 | 18.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×1.022 | 4.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×1.022 | 2.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.98% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .338 → .256; ISO .137 → .101; BABIP .319 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 DSLDSL Phillies · 257 PAwOBA .327 → .235 (−91)K% 8.6% → 10.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.56% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 10.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 9.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.95% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.016 | ×1.022 | 16.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.016 | ×1.022 | 3.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.016 | ×1.022 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .327 → .235; ISO .075 → .050; BABIP .298 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .