Offerman Collado
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROKIdaho Falls C… | 183 | .250/.343/.295 | 0 | 9 | 36 | — | .206/.264/.242 |
| 2018 | 22 | ROKIdaho Falls C… | 259 | .273/.345/.352 | 2 | 9 | 45 | — | .211/.258/.257 |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA/A+2 orgs | 49 | .209/.277/.256 | 0 | 0 | 26 | — | .202/.254/.249 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK | DSL Royals | — | 76 | 65 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 262 | 342 | 277 | 619 | 15 | 309 | 16 | 11 | 281 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK | DSL Royals | — | 216 | 178 | 51 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 28 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 287 | 404 | 348 | 752 | 62 | 331 | 13 | 15 | 346 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | DSL Royals | — | 233 | 199 | 57 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 286 | 383 | 357 | 739 | 70 | 303 | 5 | 13 | 336 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | AZL Royals | — | 86 | 80 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 286 | 287 | 573 | 37 | 294 | 14 | 3 | 257 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 183 | 156 | 39 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 24 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 250 | 343 | 295 | 638 | 45 | 295 | 13 | 12 | 291 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 259 | 227 | 62 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 36 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 273 | 345 | 352 | 698 | 79 | 312 | 14 | 10 | 310 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 214 | 231 | 445 | 77 | 154 | 6 | 6 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 33 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 303 | 267 | 570 | 33 | 269 | 12 | 6 | 268 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals | — | 76 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 194 | 260 | 209 | 469 | 15 | 224 | 20 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals | — | 216 | 188 | 37 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 34 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 197 | 291 | 223 | 514 | 27 | 232 | 16 | 11 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals | — | 233 | 208 | 41 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 197 | 274 | 240 | 514 | 43 | 208 | 6 | 9 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 86 | 81 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 198 | 226 | 222 | 448 | 25 | 247 | 20 | 2 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 183 | 165 | 34 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 35 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 206 | 264 | 242 | 506 | 36 | 247 | 19 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 259 | 237 | 50 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 52 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 211 | 258 | 257 | 515 | 46 | 257 | 20 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 214 | 231 | 445 | 77 | 140 | 6 | 6 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 33 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 273 | 258 | 531 | 32 | 249 | 18 | 3 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals | — | 76 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 194 | 260 | 209 | 469 | 15 | 241 | 20 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Royals | — | 76 | 65 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 262 | 342 | 277 | 619 | 15 | 309 | 16 | 11 | 281 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals | — | 216 | 188 | 37 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 34 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 197 | 291 | 223 | 514 | 27 | 237 | 16 | 11 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Royals | — | 216 | 178 | 51 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 28 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 287 | 404 | 348 | 752 | 62 | 331 | 13 | 15 | 346 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals | — | 233 | 208 | 41 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 197 | 274 | 240 | 514 | 43 | 211 | 6 | 9 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Royals | — | 233 | 199 | 57 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 286 | 383 | 357 | 739 | 70 | 303 | 5 | 13 | 336 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 86 | 81 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 198 | 226 | 222 | 448 | 25 | 250 | 20 | 2 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK RAW | AZL Royals | — | 86 | 80 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 286 | 287 | 573 | 37 | 294 | 14 | 3 | 257 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 183 | 165 | 34 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 35 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 206 | 264 | 242 | 506 | 36 | 262 | 19 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK RAW | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 183 | 156 | 39 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 24 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 250 | 343 | 295 | 638 | 45 | 295 | 13 | 12 | 291 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 259 | 237 | 50 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 52 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 211 | 258 | 257 | 515 | 46 | 262 | 20 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK RAW | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 259 | 227 | 62 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 36 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 273 | 345 | 352 | 698 | 79 | 312 | 14 | 10 | 310 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 49 | 44 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 255 | 250 | 505 | 45 | 237 | 14 | 4 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 49 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 277 | 256 | 532 | 47 | 231 | 10 | 6 | 239 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals | — | 76 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 186 | 260 | 200 | 460 | 14 | 224 | 20 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals | — | 216 | 189 | 37 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 34 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 196 | 291 | 222 | 513 | 26 | 232 | 16 | 11 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Royals | — | 233 | 209 | 41 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 196 | 274 | 239 | 513 | 43 | 208 | 6 | 9 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 86 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 193 | 226 | 217 | 443 | 24 | 247 | 20 | 2 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 183 | 168 | 34 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 35 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 202 | 264 | 238 | 502 | 36 | 247 | 19 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 259 | 242 | 50 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 52 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 207 | 258 | 252 | 510 | 45 | 257 | 20 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 49 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 255 | 239 | 494 | 43 | 213 | 14 | 4 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1102 | 990 | 200 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 83 | 174 | 4 | 37 | 25 | 202 | 266 | 238 | 505 | 36 | 242 | 16 | 8 | 228 | 41 | -78 | -3 | +0 | +4 | +24 | -5.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 119 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 49 | 103 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 204 | 268 | 243 | 511 | 39 | 243 | 16 | 8 | 228 | 41 | -46 | -2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 33 PAwOBA .261 → .220 (−41)K% 12.1% → 16.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.12% | ÷1.024 | ×1.420 | — | — | 16.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.06% | ÷1.102 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 3.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.03% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 2.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷0.999 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.998 | 21.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 3.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.884 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 100, 2B 99, 3B 84, K 105, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .261 → .220; ISO .033 → .027; BABIP .269 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 16 PAwOBA .188 → .180 (−8)K% 6.2% → 8.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.25% | ÷0.971 | ×1.290 | — | — | 8.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.065 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 4.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.024 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.050 | 7.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 7.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 108, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .188 → .180; ISO .077 → .078; BABIP .154 → .140. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars · 259 PAwOBA .306 → .235 (−71)K% 13.9% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.90% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.975 | 5.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.975 | 22.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.975 | 2.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.975 | 1.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.975 | 0.77% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .306 → .235; ISO .079 → .059; BABIP .312 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars · 183 PAwOBA .284 → .221 (−63)K% 13.1% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.985 | 7.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 21.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 1.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .284 → .221; ISO .045 → .034; BABIP .295 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKAZL Royals · 86 PAwOBA .250 → .198 (−52)K% 14.0% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.95% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 2.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.16% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 21.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 3.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .250 → .198; ISO .037 → .027; BABIP .294 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 DSLDSL Royals · 233 PAwOBA .328 → .233 (−95)K% 4.7% → 5.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 4.72% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 5.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 9.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.036 | ×0.995 | 17.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.036 | ×0.995 | 2.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.036 | ×0.995 | 0.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .328 → .233; ISO .070 → .046; BABIP .303 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 DSLDSL Royals · 216 PAwOBA .341 → .244 (−97)K% 13.0% → 15.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.96% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 10.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.038 | ×1.008 | 21.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.038 | ×1.008 | 0.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.038 | ×1.008 | 1.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.32% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .341 → .244; ISO .062 → .038; BABIP .331 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 DSLDSL Royals · 76 PAwOBA .282 → .211 (−71)K% 15.8% → 19.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 7.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 22.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 1.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .282 → .211; ISO .015 → .010; BABIP .309 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).