Dave Neely

SS DSL Rangers Blue

Age 20 L/R 5'10" / 165 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL Rangers B…	116	.230/.417/.264	0	12	34	—	.137/.287/.158
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBTEX	226	.178/.269/.235	1	5	48	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBTEX	41	.184/.275/.252	0	1	53	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

BB%94

Chase%72

wOBA62

wRC+56

Speed50

ISO11

CompsHans Montero (age 20) · Dan Arcila (age 20) · Neyfy Castillo (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 63 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .267 / .233

PA63

HR0

K%36

BB%10

ISO58

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	116	87	20	3	0	0	26	43	2	12	6	230	417	264	682	34	444	37	22	335	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	116	95	13	2	0	0	18	55	2	12	6	137	287	158	445	21	297	47	16	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	116	95	13	2	0	0	18	55	2	12	6	137	287	158	445	21	317	47	16	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	116	87	20	3	0	0	26	43	2	12	6	230	417	264	682	34	444	37	22	335	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	116	95	13	2	0	0	18	55	2	12	6	137	287	158	445	21	297	47	16	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	116	95	13	2	0	0	18	55	2	12	6	137	287	158	445	21	297	47	16	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	226	199	35	5	1	1	23	82	2	5	1	178	269	235	505	58	290	36	10	239	48	-14	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	119	105	20	3	1	1	12	42	1	3	0	183	274	250	525	67	291	35	10	246	53	-7	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	41	37	6	1	0	0	4	15	0	1	0	184	275	252	526	68	291	37	10	247	53	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	41	37	6	1	0	0	4	15	0	1	0	162	244	189	433	27	273	37	10	247	45	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	95	16	0	0	63	238	0	16	0	162	243	189	432	27	272	37	10	247	45	-37	+3	+0	+7	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	298	256	43	7	1	1	36	120	4	16	6	168	280	215	495	47	307	40	12	234	45	-11	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	558	93	15	2	2	79	262	9	35	13	167	280	211	492	45	305	40	12	234	45	-38	+3	+0	+7	+14	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dave Neely (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	176/267/233	57	290	0	1	36%	10%	48	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hans Montero 2024 · A	20	36→37	37→45	55	49	172/276/241	69	264	5	18	33%	11%	53	-2.1	182/260/285	103	297	10	17	39%	8%	56	-1.9	173/254/287	113	278	12	22	39%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Dan Arcila 2010 · A	20	33	34→40	53→50	45	159/241/211	52	247	1	15	33%	9%	32	-3.7	181/238/292	111	250	11	8	31%	6%	49	-2.4	160/212/308	147	198	17	3	29%	5%	39	-0.9
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Anyelo Encarnación 2024 · A	20	41→36	38→40	54→50	49	188/284/272	84	293	5	14	34%	11%	62	-1.4	183/267/272	89	313	8	14	40%	9%	56	-1.9	171/261/262	92	293	9	17	41%	10%	49	-1.4
✕Jaden Rudd 2024 · A	21	39→36	37→30	52→50	48	179/290/250	70	276	4	14	32%	10%	61	-1.5	193/286/269	76	307	5	13	35%	9%	63	-1.4	155/260/202	47	253	3	16	35%	10%	36	-0.9
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	53→50	46	189/269/285	96	280	8	13	33%	9%	59	-1.6	194/280/279	85	302	5	15	34%	10%	62	-1.4	185/278/271	86	290	5	16	34%	10%	58	-1.1
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Deivis Nadal 2023 · A	21	38	36→40	48→55	37	178/244/244	65	288	3	14	37%	6%	40	-3.1	173/249/273	100	324	9	19	45%	8%	49	-2.4	138/226/243	104	269	10	25	48%	9%	32	-1.5
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	37	38→40	49→50	44	181/259/263	83	253	5	11	29%	8%	51	-2.3	186/256/284	98	256	7	9	28%	7%	54	-2.0	123/201/242	119	154	9	9	26%	8%	23	-1.1
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	40→41	40→45	57→50	41	193/255/292	99	294	7	15	35%	7%	55	-2.0	188/260/303	115	277	12	13	34%	8%	60	-1.6	187/246/292	106	241	12	16	27%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	33	36→40	54→50	51	159/256/227	68	220	2	11	26%	10%	42	-2.9	182/263/253	71	238	3	14	23%	8%	49	-2.4	139/229/187	48	171	0	27	17%	8%	19	-1.2
✕Carlos Colmenarez 2024 · A	20	39	38→40	45→50	38	169/261/242	74	337	6	12	47%	9%	47	-2.5	176/263/259	83	319	8	11	43%	9%	52	-2.2	166/255/251	85	291	10	11	42%	8%	45	-1.4
✕Jefrey De Los Santos 2023 · A	20	35	38→40	47→45	39	171/233/249	78	267	6	9	36%	7%	37	-3.3	169/241/259	90	274	6	7	37%	8%	42	-2.9	151/223/243	92	242	6	7	38%	7%	30	-1.9
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	41	176/252/260	84	283	6	10	37%	8%	47	-2.5	192/274/286	94	292	6	14	33%	9%	61	-1.5	139/214/211	72	250	5	19	43%	8%	20	-1.4
✕Lizandro Espinoza 2023 · A	20	37→24	37→45	51→60	38	178/236/254	76	272	4	10	34%	6%	38	-3.2	159/221/246	87	248	8	13	37%	6%	32	-3.7	159/229/271	111	233	12	30	36%	7%	39	-1.8
✕Gabriel Terrero 2023 · A	19	35	36→45	51→45	45	170/255/232	62	249	4	12	31%	8%	42	-2.9	181/255/274	93	289	7	9	37%	8%	51	-2.2	144/225/255	111	233	9	7	39%	8%	34	-1.3
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2024 · A	19	39	39→40	51→45	52	184/289/271	87	279	5	10	32%	12%	64	-1.3	183/279/280	97	312	6	8	38%	11%	62	-1.4	181/284/294	113	294	8	6	37%	12%	65	-0.6
✕Eduardo Sosa 2011 · A	20	40→42	38→40	52→50	42	191/253/269	78	273	5	15	30%	7%	49	-2.4	208/250/277	69	309	3	11	32%	5%	49	-2.4	204/247/267	63	301	2	11	31%	5%	42	-1.5
✕Justin Reed 2008 · A	20	39→40	38→40	50	37	186/246/269	83	298	5	11	37%	6%	46	-2.6	192/250/279	87	314	6	12	38%	7%	49	-2.4	183/243/267	84	298	6	13	38%	7%	41	-2.0