Dave Neely — OGILVIE

Dave NeelySS DSL Rangers Blue

Age 19 L/R 5'10" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 98 proj PA

wRC+†36

AVG/OBP/SLG.172 / .257 / .233

PA98

HR1

K%38

BB%9

ISO61

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	116	97	11	1	0	0	16	68	2	12	6	113	252	124	376	10	367	59	14	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	116	87	20	3	0	0	26	43	2	12	6	230	417	264	682	34	444	37	22	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	TEX	—	98	88	15	2	0	1	9	37	1	2	0	170	255	227	482	57	290	38	9	232	36	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	TEX	34%	188	167	31	5	1	2	17	69	2	5	1	186	269	263	532	78	292	37	9	246	46	-11	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.4
2027	20	MLB	TEX	34%	65	58	11	2	0	1	6	24	1	2	0	190	277	276	553	86	294	37	9	238	41	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	65	58	11	2	0	1	6	24	1	2	0	190	277	276	553	86	303	37	9	238	41	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	110	20	0	10	60	240	10	20	0	190	277	276	553	86	303	37	9	238	41	-44	+4	+0	+7	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	402	352	57	8	1	3	42	174	5	19	7	162	261	216	477	54	305	43	10	227	32	-31	+1	+0	+4	+11	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	93	13	2	5	68	281	8	31	11	163	262	220	482	56	308	43	10	227	32	-50	+2	+0	+7	+18	-2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	116	87	20	3	0	0	26	43	2	12	6	230	417	264	682	34	444	37	22	335	114	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dave Neely (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	172/257/233	61	290	1	2	38%	9%	36	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jefry Puente 2011 · A	19	34	34→45	49→50	42	165/238/215	50	261	2	9	35%	8%	23	-3.6	179/263/256	77	250	3	13	27%	9%	44	-2.1	160/256/245	84	217	2	18	25%	9%	37	-0.9
✕Hans Montero 2023 · A	19	35	34→45	52→55	42	157/254/208	51	292	2	18	42%	10%	29	-3.2	170/258/258	88	293	8	16	41%	9%	43	-2.2	164/251/285	121	279	13	20	43%	9%	44	-1.3
✕Gabriel Terrero 2023 · A	19	38	37→50	51→45	42	180/260/249	69	278	5	12	34%	8%	41	-2.3	190/262/297	107	326	9	9	41%	8%	53	-1.5	160/235/297	137	288	11	7	45%	8%	40	-0.9
✕Robert Lopez 2023 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	40	174/248/241	67	275	4	6	36%	7%	33	-2.9	194/254/283	89	295	8	4	34%	7%	46	-2.0	181/244/265	84	271	8	3	34%	7%	35	-1.0
✕David Calabrese 2022 · A	19	38→37	36→45	51→50	37	171/239/238	67	321	3	8	44%	8%	28	-3.2	185/255/300	115	282	11	13	36%	8%	52	-1.6	175/251/298	123	259	13	14	36%	9%	47	-1.2
✕Edidson Rojas 2018 · A	19	41	38→40	50→55	42	192/266/269	77	290	5	14	33%	7%	48	-1.9	188/266/260	72	286	4	10	33%	8%	46	-2.0	167/253/227	60	254	4	10	33%	9%	30	-1.1
✕Shalin Polanco 2023 · A	19	36→21	39→45	47→50	37	178/232/259	81	273	7	10	36%	6%	30	-3.1	186/247/307	121	297	13	12	40%	7%	50	-1.7	168/233/292	124	263	15	12	40%	7%	38	-1.5
✕Jhon Diaz 2022 · A	19	36→24	36→45	47→50	37	165/232/231	66	303	4	7	44%	8%	24	-3.6	172/227/272	100	288	8	13	41%	6%	31	-3.0	160/213/279	119	244	13	18	39%	6%	25	-1.9
✕Dan Arcila 2009 · A	19	38	33→40	51→50	45	171/258/218	47	290	1	13	38%	10%	32	-3.0	174/237/261	87	269	7	11	35%	7%	33	-2.9	154/208/269	115	216	11	10	34%	5%	20	-1.2
✕Ronny Brito 2018 · A	19	37	38→45	50	37	178/235/261	83	285	5	10	37%	6%	32	-3.0	200/249/307	107	347	11	5	43%	6%	50	-1.7	161/215/285	124	297	17	1	50%	6%	30	-1.1
✕Michael Swinson 2009 · A	19	40	36→40	50	38	186/247/251	65	303	3	10	37%	6%	34	-2.8	207/271/296	89	286	6	11	28%	7%	56	-1.3	188/255/258	70	249	3	11	24%	8%	37	-1.1
✕Cristhian Vasquez 2016 · A	19	34	36→30	51→50	43	168/238/234	66	250	4	10	33%	8%	27	-3.3	179/237/253	74	242	5	9	27%	6%	31	-3.0	164/220/234	70	213	4	8	24%	5%	17	-1.4
✕Joan Mauricio 2016 · A	19	36	36→40	54→45	40	171/232/242	71	273	2	7	36%	7%	26	-3.4	174/230/228	54	241	3	5	27%	7%	21	-3.7	141/200/168	26	185	2	3	23%	7%	-9	-1.5
✕Neyfy Castillo 2019 · A	18	37→29	36→50	54→55	39	177/242/241	64	278	4	16	36%	6%	30	-3.1	181/246/275	94	298	8	13	39%	7%	41	-2.3	170/240/302	132	292	17	16	45%	7%	43	-1.2
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2016 · A	19	39	36→40	52→60	41	180/254/245	64	298	3	18	37%	8%	37	-2.7	181/251/259	78	274	5	14	33%	8%	39	-2.5	161/234/234	74	233	6	16	31%	8%	24	-1.2
✕Ricardo Verenzuela 2018 · A	18	37	34→30	51→60	37	167/244/222	55	304	2	12	42%	7%	27	-3.3	190/258/239	49	294	1	20	33%	7%	37	-2.7	184/254/215	31	275	0	30	30%	7%	26	-1.1
✕Yeniel Laboy 2023 · A	19	43	37→30	51→45	39	200/258/272	72	317	4	9	36%	7%	44	-2.1	194/274/252	58	279	3	6	29%	9%	47	-1.9	177/266/216	39	252	2	5	28%	9%	34	-1.1
✕Roberto Reyes 2009 · A	20	36	35→40	52→55	39	168/240/232	64	278	2	8	37%	7%	27	-3.3	188/254/272	84	309	5	11	38%	7%	43	-2.2	180/243/261	81	275	6	10	35%	6%	33	-1.1
✕Junior Payano 2009 · A	19	35	36→30	51→50	36	160/225/222	62	305	4	11	46%	8%	18	-3.9	188/252/252	64	311	4	11	38%	7%	37	-2.7	198/266/242	43	294	3	16	31%	8%	37	-1.1
✕Deivis Nadal 2023 · A	21	37	36→40	48→55	37	175/244/240	65	289	3	14	38%	6%	31	-3.0	173/255/277	104	332	9	19	46%	9%	46	-2.0	140/234/249	109	282	11	25	49%	10%	28	-1.4