Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025
16
ROKMLE
DSL CLE Goryl
12
11
48
199
40
23
1
92%
4.0
13.7%
14.4%
-0.8%
0.5%
2.81
4.07
—
2025
16
ROKMLE
DSL CLE Goryl
12
11
48
199
40
23
1
92%
4.0
13.7%
14.4%
-0.8%
0.5%
2.81
4.07
—
2025
16
ROKRAW
DSL CLE Goryl
12
11
48
199
40
23
1
92%
4.0
20.1%
11.6%
8.5%
0.5%
2.81
3.14
—
2026
17
ROKMLE
DSL CLE Goryl
12
12
42
196
48
22
3
100%
3.5
16.7%
14.0%
2.6%
2.1%
5.95
4.65
—
2026
17
ROKMLE
DSL CLE Goryl
12
12
42
196
48
22
3
100%
3.5
16.7%
14.0%
2.6%
2.1%
5.95
4.65
—
2026
17
ROKRAW
DSL CLE Goryl
12
12
42
196
48
22
3
100%
3.5
24.5%
11.2%
13.3%
1.5%
5.95
3.31
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
18
MLB
—
5
5
26
110
16
18
3
100%
5.2
14.8%
16.4%
-1.6%
2.9%
5.89
5.89
-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
19
MLBMLE
—
8
8
45
192
32
28
5
100%
5.7
16.4%
14.7%
1.8%
2.8%
5.60
5.51
-0.3
2029
20
MLBMLE
—
9
9
48
201
35
27
6
100%
5.3
17.6%
13.6%
4.0%
2.8%
5.36
5.25
-0.2
2030
21
MLBMLE
—
9
9
50
212
39
27
6
100%
5.6
18.3%
12.8%
5.4%
2.7%
5.17
5.07
-0.1
2031
22
MLBMLE
—
10
10
53
222
43
27
6
100%
5.3
19.3%
12.1%
7.2%
2.7%
4.98
4.86
+0.0
2032
23
MLBMLE
—
10
10
55
231
46
27
6
100%
5.5
20.0%
11.7%
8.3%
2.6%
4.83
4.72
+0.1
2033
24
MLBMLE
—
10
10
56
236
49
27
6
100%
5.6
20.6%
11.4%
9.2%
2.6%
4.71
4.63
+0.2
2034
25
MLBMLE
—
10
10
57
239
50
27
6
100%
5.7
21.0%
11.3%
9.7%
2.6%
4.63
4.57
+0.2
2035
26
MLBMLE
—
9
9
57
239
51
27
6
100%
6.3
21.2%
11.3%
9.9%
2.6%
4.58
4.55
+0.2
2036
27
MLBMLE
—
9
9
56
236
50
27
6
100%
6.2
21.2%
11.3%
9.8%
2.6%
4.58
4.58
+0.2
2028
19
MLBCTX
—
4
4
22
93
15
14
3
100%
5.5
16.4%
14.7%
1.8%
2.8%
5.60
5.51
-0.2
2029
20
MLBCTX
—
6
6
35
148
26
20
4
100%
5.8
17.6%
13.6%
4.0%
2.8%
5.36
5.25
-0.1
2030
21
MLBCTX
—
8
8
42
177
32
23
5
100%
5.2
18.3%
12.8%
5.4%
2.7%
5.17
5.07
-0.1
2031
22
MLBCTX
—
9
9
47
198
38
24
5
100%
5.2
19.3%
12.1%
7.2%
2.7%
4.98
4.86
+0.0
2032
23
MLBCTX
—
9
9
51
215
43
25
6
100%
5.7
20.0%
11.7%
8.3%
2.6%
4.83
4.72
+0.1
2033
24
MLBCTX
—
9
9
52
220
45
25
6
100%
5.8
20.6%
11.4%
9.2%
2.6%
4.71
4.63
+0.2
2034
25
MLBCTX
—
9
9
54
228
48
26
6
100%
6.0
21.0%
11.3%
9.7%
2.6%
4.63
4.57
+0.2
2035
26
MLBCTX
—
9
9
54
228
48
26
6
100%
6.0
21.2%
11.3%
9.9%
2.6%
4.58
4.55
+0.2
2036
27
MLBCTX
—
9
9
53
224
47
25
6
100%
5.9
21.2%
11.3%
9.8%
2.6%
4.58
4.58
+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
76
76
410
1732
344
208
46
100%
5.4
19.9%
12.0%
7.9%
2.7%
4.86
4.41
+2.4
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
37
37
200
844
168
101
22
100%
5.4
19.9%
12.0%
7.9%
2.7%
4.86
4.41
+1.1
Career
—
MLE
24
23
90
395
60
56
5
96%
3.8
15.1%
14.2%
0.9%
1.3%
4.28
4.36
+0.4
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
53
51
200
875
132
125
12
96%
3.8
15.1%
14.2%
0.9%
1.3%
4.28
4.36
+0.1
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.