Jhoan Espinoza

P DSL Colorado

Age 19 RHP 6'1" / 161 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKDSL Colorado	11	4	27	9.79	5.61	14.2%	6.7%	—	K 9.6% · BB 8.4% · FIP 6.31
2027PROJ	19	MLB—	15	0	16	4.53	4.53	20.5%	8.7%	0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLB—	11	0	12	4.44	4.40	21.2%	8.5%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsLuis Aguilar (age 19) · Saul Teran (age 20) · Dawil Almonte (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

K%20.5%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%11.8%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	11	4	27	134	19	9	6	36%	2.4	9.6%	8.4%	1.2%	5.4%	9.79	6.31	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	11	4	27	134	19	9	6	36%	2.4	9.6%	8.4%	1.2%	5.4%	9.79	6.31	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	11	4	27	134	19	9	6	36%	2.4	14.2%	6.7%	7.5%	4.5%	9.79	5.61	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	—	15	0	16	68	14	6	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	8.7%	11.8%	3.0%	4.53	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	24	0	25	106	23	9	3	0%	1.1	21.2%	8.5%	12.7%	3.0%	4.44	4.40	+0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	11	0	12	51	11	4	2	0%	1.1	21.2%	8.5%	12.7%	3.0%	4.44	4.40	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	52	11	4	2	0%	1.0	21.2%	8.5%	12.7%	3.0%	4.44	4.02	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	65	32	0%	1.1	21.2%	8.5%	12.7%	3.0%	4.44	4.02	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		11	4	27	134	13	11	7	36%	2.4	9.6%	8.4%	1.2%	5.4%	9.79	6.31	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	30	200	1005	97	84	54	36%	2.4	9.6%	8.4%	1.2%	5.4%	9.79	6.31	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jhoan Espinoza (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	20.5%	8.7%	3.0%	—	4.40	21.2%	12.7%	25	-0.13	—	—	—
Luis Aguilar R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	17.6%	10.3%	2.8%	.356	4.27	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.18	3.51	146	84
Saul Teran R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.5%	9.8%	3.5%	.333	3.88	20.8%	8.7%	94	-0.93	2.28	166	83
Dawil Almonte R 2022 · 3.59 FIP	20	SW	3.59	17.4%	7.8%	1.8%	.271	4.54	14.7%	3.3%	97	+0.95	3.59	138	83
Simon Mathews R 2017 · 4.09 FIP	21	SW	4.09	17.7%	7.5%	2.8%	.326	4.42	16.0%	5.9%	167	+0.33	4.09	215	83
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	82
Huei-Sheng Lin R 2019 · 4.59 FIP	20	SW	4.59	17.4%	7.4%	3.7%	.360	5.64	16.1%	3.7%	88	+1.05	4.59	120	81
Jose Martinez R 2024 · 4.37 FIP	19	SW	4.37	18.8%	6.9%	3.6%	.305	4.31	20.2%	9.9%	72	-0.06	3.17	138	81
Jerming Rosario R 2021 · 4.97 FIP	19	SW	4.97	21.1%	10.5%	4.2%	.303	4.43	20.9%	5.7%	281	-0.54	3.05	507	81
Cole Stapler R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	22	SW	3.83	19.2%	6.0%	2.9%	.266	3.31	18.1%	13.2%	220	-0.52	3.26	255	81
Alimber Santa R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	18	SW	4.85	17.0%	11.4%	3.2%	.304	5.08	20.9%	1.8%	125	+0.23	3.30	277	80
Ricardo Brizuela R 2022 · 4.03 FIP	19	SW	4.03	20.1%	11.6%	2.1%	.375	4.39	16.0%	7.1%	208	+0.36	3.20	246	80
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	80
Anderson Cardenas R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	18	SW	4.90	19.5%	11.9%	3.5%	.235	3.52	22.2%	8.8%	58	-1.38	3.52	129	80
Layonel Ovalles R 2022 · 3.57 FIP	19	SW	3.57	23.1%	10.2%	2.1%	.333	4.62	17.4%	3.0%	146	+1.05	2.60	227	80
Leury Tejada R 2018 · 4.03 FIP	18	SW	4.03	16.5%	10.1%	1.9%	.286	5.06	17.4%	6.2%	39	+1.03	4.03	183	80
Carlos Gutierrez R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	19	SW	4.71	15.1%	7.1%	3.6%	.326	3.08	18.3%	6.2%	47	-1.63	3.08	122	79
Jose Morban R 2017 · 4.42 FIP	19	SP-	4.42	18.7%	11.2%	2.7%	.333	3.98	16.9%	5.8%	61	-0.44	3.98	178	78
Nick Gallagher R 2018 · 4.26 FIP	22	SW	4.26	17.2%	7.1%	3.1%	.310	4.55	22.4%	7.1%	90	+0.29	4.10	196	78
Adolfo Oviedo R 2024 · 3.74 FIP	19	SP-	3.74	17.2%	8.1%	1.9%	.272	4.90	12.6%	5.2%	124	+1.16	3.74	235	78
Domingo Pena R 2017 · 4.99 FIP	19	SP-	4.99	20.4%	8.3%	4.7%	.250	5.87	11.9%	2.8%	43	+0.88	3.34	165	78