Frandy Guillen

SS DSL Orioles Black

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 188 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1677ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Orioles O…	113	.190/.270/.210	0	1	-9	—	.126/.189/.136
2026	18	ROKDSL Orioles B…	128	.245/.346/.327	2	5	24	—	.157/.236/.200
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBBAL	238	.224/.285/.297	2	4	66	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBBAL	42	.231/.293/.315	0	1	71	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBBAL	106	.234/.297/.326	1	2	75	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%79

Whiff%52

Z-Con%44

Speed35

ISO31

wOBA26

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsDustin Peterson (age 19) · Carlos Tocci (age 19) · Francisco Martinez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .283 / .294

PA66

HR1

K%24

BB%7

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	113	100	19	2	0	0	11	19	0	1	0	190	270	210	480	20	232	17	10	227	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	128	110	27	3	0	2	15	20	2	5	0	245	346	327	674	82	281	16	12	311	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	113	103	13	1	0	0	8	23	0	1	0	126	189	136	325	10	158	20	7	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	128	115	18	2	0	1	10	24	2	5	0	157	236	200	436	43	186	19	8	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	113	103	13	1	0	0	8	23	0	1	0	126	189	136	325	10	160	20	7	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	113	100	19	2	0	0	11	19	0	1	0	190	270	210	480	20	232	17	10	227	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	128	115	18	2	0	1	10	24	2	5	0	157	236	200	436	43	187	19	8	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	128	110	27	3	0	2	15	20	2	5	0	245	346	327	674	82	281	16	12	311	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	113	104	13	1	0	0	8	23	0	1	0	125	189	135	324	10	158	20	7	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	128	115	18	2	0	1	10	24	2	5	0	157	236	200	436	43	186	19	8	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	113	104	13	1	0	0	8	23	0	1	0	125	189	135	324	10	158	20	7	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	128	115	18	2	0	1	10	24	2	5	0	157	236	200	436	43	186	19	8	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	238	217	48	7	1	2	17	58	2	4	1	224	285	297	581	72	294	24	7	265	66	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	122	111	26	4	1	1	9	29	1	2	1	228	290	309	599	81	295	24	7	272	71	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	218	198	46	7	1	3	16	52	2	4	1	231	294	320	614	89	296	24	7	278	75	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	329	299	70	10	2	5	24	78	3	7	2	233	297	328	626	96	297	24	7	283	78	-9	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2031	23	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	409	372	86	13	2	6	30	96	4	8	3	235	300	336	636	101	297	23	7	287	80	-9	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	460	418	99	15	3	8	34	108	5	9	3	237	302	342	644	106	298	23	7	290	83	-9	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	489	444	105	16	3	8	37	115	5	10	3	237	302	343	646	106	298	24	8	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.7
2034	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	505	457	109	17	3	9	38	119	5	10	4	237	302	344	646	107	298	24	8	291	83	-10	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.7
2035	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	510	462	110	17	3	9	38	120	5	10	4	236	301	341	643	105	297	24	7	290	82	-11	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.6
2036	28	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	507	459	107	16	3	8	38	121	5	9	4	234	299	337	636	103	297	24	7	287	81	-12	+0	-1	+5	+11	0.4
2037	29	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	498	453	106	16	3	8	37	120	5	8	4	232	297	331	628	99	296	24	7	284	78	-13	+0	-1	+5	+11	0.2
2038	30	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	486	443	101	15	3	7	36	119	4	8	4	229	294	324	617	94	294	24	7	280	75	-14	+0	-2	+5	+11	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	42	39	8	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	0	231	293	315	608	84	299	24	7	276	71	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	106	96	22	3	1	1	8	25	1	2	1	234	297	326	623	92	300	24	8	282	75	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	178	161	39	6	1	3	13	42	2	4	1	236	301	335	636	99	301	24	7	287	78	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	232	211	50	8	1	4	17	55	2	5	2	238	303	343	646	104	301	24	7	291	80	-5	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	260	236	58	9	2	5	19	61	3	5	2	240	305	349	654	109	302	23	7	295	83	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	276	250	60	9	2	5	21	65	3	5	2	240	306	351	656	110	302	24	8	295	83	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	285	259	63	10	2	5	21	67	3	6	2	240	306	351	657	111	302	24	7	295	83	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	283	257	61	9	2	5	21	67	3	5	2	239	305	348	653	109	301	24	7	294	82	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2036	28	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	278	252	60	9	2	5	21	66	3	5	2	238	303	344	647	106	301	24	8	292	81	-6	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	266	242	56	9	1	4	20	64	2	4	2	236	300	338	638	102	300	24	8	288	78	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	256	233	54	8	1	4	19	63	2	4	2	233	297	330	627	98	298	25	7	284	75	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2462	2236	531	81	15	41	183	585	24	46	18	237	302	342	644	105	302	24	7	291	76	-58	+2	-2	+26	+53	2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	140	21	4	11	48	154	6	12	5	237	301	342	643	105	301	24	7	291	76	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4840	4394	1010	151	27	74	360	1140	47	92	33	230	295	327	622	97	292	24	7	281	76	-111	+4	-4	+49	+100	3.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	136	20	4	10	48	153	6	12	4	231	295	329	623	98	293	24	7	281	76	-16	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Orioles Black · 128 PAwOBA .306 → .203 (−103)K% 15.6% → 19.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.62%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	19.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.72%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	8.16%
HBP% /PA	1.56%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	1.09%
Singles /BIP	24.44%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.004	×0.995	16.61%
Doubles /BIP	3.33%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.004	×0.995	2.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.004	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.22%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	1.04%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .306 → .203; ISO .082 → .043; BABIP .281 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Orioles Orange · 113 PAwOBA .224 → .155 (−69)K% 16.8% → 20.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.81%	÷1.009	×1.220	—	—	20.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.73%	÷1.001	×0.700	—	×1.008	6.86%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.99%	÷0.989	×0.680	×0.997	×1.008	14.50%
Doubles /BIP	2.47%	÷1.010	×0.600	×0.997	×1.008	1.47%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.600	×0.997	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.913	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 98, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .224 → .155; ISO .020 → .012; BABIP .232 → .158. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#4Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.8	2,528	40	47	235	296	336	+27	+21	3.9	3.6
/162	664	11	12	+7.1	+5.5	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Mike Tyson'72-'81 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,200 PA	4.8	3,200	27	23	236*	281*	354*	+20	+24	1.9	3.3
/162	664	6	5	+4.1	+4.9	0.4	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Frandy Guillen (OGILVIE)	19	55→60	31→36	47→52	53	222/283/294	72	294	1	1	24%	7%	66	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dustin Peterson 2014 · A	19	46→51	35→45	50→45	38	215/258/272	57	301	2	6	28%	4%	50	-2.3	207/247/294	87	286	7	3	29%	5%	51	-2.2	240/285/359	119	300	14	2	24%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Carlos Tocci 2015 · A	19	45→55	35→40	42→45	39	212/253/273	61	275	2	7	23%	4%	49	-2.4	250/290/323	73	317	3	8	21%	4%	74	-0.6	266/308/338	72	332	3	8	20%	4%	81	-0.1
✕Francisco Martinez 2010 · A	19	42→52	35→40	50→55	42	199/243/252	53	254	3	15	23%	5%	40	-3.1	227/268/308	81	306	6	14	26%	5%	62	-1.4	234/277/316	82	314	6	16	26%	5%	64	-0.9
✕Kevin Alcántara 2021 · A	19	42→52	37→50	48→50	37	201/248/278	78	286	4	8	30%	5%	48	-2.5	227/283/353	126	340	12	10	34%	7%	79	-0.2	232/296/372	139	341	17	12	35%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Allen Córdoba 2016 · A	20	46→51	35→45	50→55	44	216/263/272	57	258	3	12	18%	5%	53	-2.1	228/278/310	82	286	5	13	21%	6%	67	-1.1	233/296/332	99	290	8	22	21%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Kelvin Gutiérrez 2014 · A	19	40→50	35→45	50	47	187/245/247	60	235	1	9	20%	7%	40	-3.0	222/271/288	66	282	2	9	21%	6%	59	-1.7	244/288/321	77	324	3	10	24%	5%	70	-0.5
✕Jose Gomez 2016 · A	19	42→52	35→40	46→50	46	194/250/249	56	224	2	13	14%	5%	43	-2.8	243/283/308	65	296	3	13	18%	4%	68	-1.0	253/287/311	58	316	3	13	20%	3%	66	-0.7
✕Dixon Machado 2011 · A	19	41→51	35→45	54→55	47	190/247/244	55	232	2	18	19%	7%	40	-3.0	202/258/245	43	256	2	15	20%	7%	45	-2.7	254/310/331	78	304	5	12	17%	7%	81	-0.1
●Juan Lagares 2008 · A	19	40→50	38→45	52→50	40	194/241/285	91	263	4	12	27%	5%	47	-2.5	222/252/306	84	290	5	12	24%	3%	55	-1.9	276/309/387	111	347	6	13	22%	4%	93	+0.7
✕Diego Hernandez 2021 · A	20	45→54	36→40	46→60	40	212/256/277	64	287	4	10	27%	5%	51	-2.3	232/283/305	73	325	5	26	28%	6%	68	-1.0	235/286/309	74	327	5	32	28%	6%	67	-0.7
✕Buddy Kennedy 2019 · A	20	45→55	39→45	51→50	44	215/267/304	88	283	5	6	25%	6%	61	-1.5	217/275/326	109	287	10	7	27%	7%	70	-0.8	237/323/352	115	299	9	6	22%	10%	93	+0.7
✕Adrián Sanchez 2010 · A	19	41→48	36→45	52→50	44	193/239/263	70	231	3	13	18%	5%	41	-3.0	231/256/304	73	280	4	12	19%	2%	56	-1.9	245/278/342	97	288	7	15	17%	4%	72	-0.3
✕Junior Lake 2009 · A	19	42→52	38→50	54→55	38	200/247/280	81	281	4	12	30%	5%	48	-2.5	217/255/315	98	324	8	13	34%	4%	59	-1.6	246/294/373	127	337	13	19	30%	6%	87	+0.2
✕José Azocar 2016 · A	20	46→56	35→45	50→65	37	217/244/279	62	280	1	9	23%	3%	45	-2.7	223/247/280	57	330	1	9	31%	3%	47	-2.6	243/284/353	111	319	8	29	25%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Luis De Los Santos 2018 · A	20	43→50	35→45	52→45	36	202/243/264	62	274	3	8	26%	3%	43	-2.8	195/240/285	90	279	7	8	31%	4%	47	-2.5	222/288/333	111	299	11	7	28%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Nate Nankil 2024 · A	21	42→51	37→40	50→45	43	198/250/270	72	264	4	7	26%	6%	47	-2.5	225/294/314	89	290	7	5	23%	7%	75	-0.5	221/293/305	83	282	7	5	22%	7%	69	-0.7
✕Francisco Lugo 2012 · A	20	43→53	35→30	49→45	51	194/259/254	60	222	2	8	13%	7%	47	-2.5	208/241/289	81	250	5	9	18%	4%	47	-2.5	287/316/348	62	336	5	9	16%	3%	85	+0.2
✕Marcus Wilson 2016 · A	19	40→50	35→50	46→50	41	186/250/246	60	297	3	8	36%	8%	42	-2.9	213/277/309	96	321	7	11	33%	8%	67	-1.1	191/276/341	150	316	16	16	41%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Michael Almanzar 2011 · A	20	40→50	38→45	46→45	36	196/235/277	81	273	6	4	30%	4%	43	-2.8	211/249/309	98	279	9	6	27%	4%	56	-1.9	243/289/370	127	299	13	8	23%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Randolph Gassaway 2014 · A	19	43→47	36→40	49→40	43	205/251/276	70	265	2	7	23%	6%	49	-2.4	213/253/308	95	290	8	8	28%	5%	57	-1.8	228/268/311	84	299	7	2	25%	5%	61	-1.0

Frandy Guillen

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps