Nate Nankil — OGILVIE

Nate NankilOF Lansing Lugnuts

Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 210 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION216 act + 144 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .287 / .287

PA144

HR1

K%23

BB%8

BABIP271

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	58	55	8	2	0	0	3	12	0	1	0	145	190	182	371	36	186	21	5	168	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	58	53	10	3	0	0	5	9	0	1	0	189	259	245	504	57	227	16	9	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	475	418	101	22	1	8	36	119	18	3	3	242	328	356	685	115	316	25	8	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	475	402	122	27	1	11	52	89	18	3	3	303	407	458	864	154	364	19	11	387	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	535	486	96	15	2	3	31	119	13	10	3	198	264	255	519	58	252	22	6	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	535	468	130	26	3	3	49	85	13	10	3	278	362	365	728	88	330	16	9	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	OAK	—	216	189	35	5	1	2	20	51	5	2	1	185	280	254	534	69	243	24	9	246	46	-13	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.8
YTD	23	A+	OAK	—	216	181	40	6	1	3	28	38	5	2	1	221	341	315	656	94	264	18	13	305	92	-2	+0	+0	-1	+6	0.3
ROS	23	A+	OAK	0%	144	129	27	5	1	1	11	33	3	2	1	209	287	287	574	78	266	23	8	262	58	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
ROS	23	MLB	OAK	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						264	0	0	244	45	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	OAK	—	217	190	35	5	1	2	20	51	5	2	1	184	279	253	532	68	241	24	9	246	46	-13	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.9
TOT	23	A+	OAK	—	360	318	62	10	2	3	31	84	8	4	2	195	283	267	550	72	254	23	9	252	51	-20	+0	+0	-2	+10	-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	OAK	22%	526	471	103	18	2	8	40	118	10	6	2	219	294	316	610	98	270	22	8	276	70	-18	+0	+0	-3	+15	-0.6
2028	25	MLB	OAK	35%	556	498	110	19	2	10	43	124	10	7	3	221	296	327	623	106	272	22	8	285	76	-15	+0	+0	-3	+16	-0.2
2029	26	MLB	OAK	42%	572	512	114	20	2	11	45	128	10	7	3	223	298	334	632	111	274	22	8	289	79	-13	+0	+0	-3	+16	-0.0
2027	24	MLB	OAK	22%	116	104	22	4	0	2	9	26	2	1	1	212	287	308	595	96	268	22	8	260	57	-6	-0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	OAK	35%	192	171	37	6	1	3	15	43	4	2	1	216	295	316	611	99	270	22	8	269	64	-8	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
2029	26	MLB	OAK	42%	239	214	48	8	1	5	19	53	4	3	1	224	300	341	641	117	271	22	8	273	67	-9	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	548	490	107	18	2	10	43	122	10	6	3	218	295	324	619	106	269	22	8	269	64	-22	+0	+0	-3	+16	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	126	21	2	12	51	145	12	7	4	217	293	322	615	105	266	22	8	269	64	-26	-0	+0	-4	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	2866	2569	559	101	10	41	209	653	64	36	15	218	293	313	605	95	274	23	7	274	68	-105	+1	+1	-17	+81	-4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	126	23	2	9	47	148	15	8	3	216	291	309	600	93	272	23	7	274	68	-24	+0	+0	-4	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	58	53	10	3	0	0	5	9	0	1	0	189	259	245	504	57	227	16	9	236	39	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2024	21	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	116	104	37	7	0	1	8	25	3	0	1	356	417	452	869	96	456	22	7	389	156	+7	-0	—	—	+3	1.0
2024	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	359	298	85	20	1	10	44	64	15	3	2	285	403	460	863	174	332	18	12	386	154	+22	-0	—	—	+10	3.2
2025	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	166	152	37	7	1	0	11	32	3	3	2	243	307	303	610	59	308	19	7	281	74	-5	-0	—	—	+5	-0.0
2025	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	369	316	93	19	2	3	38	53	10	7	1	294	387	396	783	101	340	14	10	353	128	+12	+1	—	—	+10	2.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	549	10	7	223	295	331	-3	+0	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	12	8	223	295	331	-4.0	+0.0	-0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nate Nankil (OGILVIE)	23	45	45	45	51	195/283/267	72	254	3	4	23%	9%	51	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dustin Peterson 2018 · AAA	23	47→48	40→50	43→45	42	225/272/314	89	289	7	4	24%	5%	61	-1.0	232/273/351	119	305	13	5	27%	5%	72	-0.2	238/284/365	127	294	16	2	24%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Luke Persico 2019 · A	23	47→53	39→45	44→45	44	223/270/315	92	282	4	5	22%	6%	60	-1.0	219/272/315	96	309	7	7	29%	6%	61	-1.0	185/241/265	79	288	7	3	36%	6%	32	-0.8
✕Matt Fiedler 2018 · A	23	47	40→45	47→50	44	226/281/324	98	293	7	8	25%	6%	67	-0.5	220/274/336	116	284	11	9	25%	6%	68	-0.5	205/256/344	139	244	16	10	23%	5%	59	-0.3
✕Cam Balego 2018 · A	23	45→42	39→45	41→30	45	215/281/311	97	293	5	6	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/280/308	95	280	9	3	26%	6%	64	-0.8	207/282/306	99	266	11	1	25%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Colton Welker 2021 · AA	23	43→53	41→40	47→45	41	214/256/312	98	276	9	5	26%	5%	54	-1.4	210/282/313	103	278	10	6	26%	8%	66	-0.6	190/284/260	70	260	6	3	27%	10%	52	-0.5
✕Kyle Bellows 2012 · AA	23	48→50	39→45	43→45	44	229/277/322	93	283	6	6	21%	5%	65	-0.7	217/268/318	101	278	9	7	24%	6%	60	-1.0	196/250/297	100	250	11	5	26%	7%	44	-0.6
✕Kevin Heller 2013 · A	23	45	37→45	45→50	44	212/274/291	79	299	4	6	29%	8%	56	-1.3	202/276/296	94	302	8	10	33%	7%	59	-1.1	197/279/298	101	298	9	12	34%	7%	59	-0.6
✕Alfredo Marte 2012 · AA	23	46→47	42→50	49→45	40	227/265/331	104	283	9	7	23%	4%	63	-0.9	226/281/353	127	279	13	7	23%	6%	76	+0.1	219/280/347	129	271	13	6	24%	6%	72	-0.2
✕Tim Kennelly 2010 · AA	23	50→52	40	47→40	47	236/299/342	107	300	6	7	22%	7%	80	+0.4	229/279/318	89	288	6	6	21%	6%	66	-0.6	225/268/301	76	282	5	4	21%	5%	53	-0.8
✕Ruben Cardenas 2021 · A	23	43→42	40→55	46→50	41	208/257/305	97	279	7	8	28%	6%	53	-1.5	216/264/385	169	290	23	8	33%	6%	78	+0.2	208/270/383	175	256	23	10	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Christian Lopes 2017 · AA	24	47→50	38→45	46→50	45	222/278/303	81	284	5	7	23%	6%	61	-1.0	226/293/339	113	275	9	15	20%	8%	77	+0.1	218/301/343	126	271	13	13	23%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Ryan Vilade 2022 · AAA	23	44→51	40→50	50	43	213/260/309	96	271	6	13	24%	6%	55	-1.4	212/275/311	99	280	9	12	26%	7%	63	-0.9	227/289/416	189	269	24	16	25%	7%	94	+0.8
✕Michael Guldberg 2023 · AA	24	45	39→45	50→55	45	217/283/304	87	281	7	13	24%	7%	64	-0.8	210/263/305	95	287	8	11	28%	6%	56	-1.3	176/213/260	83	241	8	10	30%	4%	17	-0.9
✕Alika Williams 2022 · A	23	48→45	40→45	42→45	39	229/267/321	91	296	7	8	25%	4%	60	-1.0	218/275/319	101	283	9	7	25%	7%	64	-0.8	242/291/349	107	304	9	4	22%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Brandon Villarreal 2017 · AAA	22	47	40	47→45	44	226/275/321	94	271	8	10	19%	5%	64	-0.8	238/284/341	103	299	11	8	23%	5%	73	-0.1	260/306/334	75	315	9	5	20%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Concepcion Rodriguez 2010 · AA	23	46→49	41→45	42→45	44	223/269/321	98	274	8	9	22%	6%	62	-0.9	214/269/293	79	281	5	9	24%	6%	54	-1.4	188/254/237	48	256	0	8	24%	7%	33	-1.4
✕Dorssys Paulino 2018 · AA	23	49→50	42→45	47→45	43	235/290/339	104	314	9	8	27%	6%	76	+0.0	225/290/349	124	297	13	7	27%	8%	79	+0.3	195/277/347	152	235	19	0	26%	10%	70	-0.1
✕Wendell Rijo 2019 · AA	23	41	39→55	42→50	44	198/257/281	83	259	7	8	25%	6%	47	-1.9	212/265/353	141	275	17	8	29%	6%	69	-0.4	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Chadwick Tromp 2018 · AA	23	44	39→50	46→40	41	215/258/300	85	275	7	4	24%	5%	51	-1.7	224/281/341	117	280	12	5	24%	6%	73	-0.1	222/279/363	141	273	17	0	25%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Alex Buchholz 2011 · A	23	46→48	40→45	42→45	43	222/269/319	97	271	7	7	21%	5%	61	-1.0	232/274/335	103	269	10	6	17%	5%	67	-0.5	235/277/345	110	266	12	5	16%	4%	68	-0.3