Jhonger Ochoa — OGILVIE

Jhonger OchoaSS DSL Tigers 1

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 187 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 137 proj PA

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .262 / .256

PA137

HR1

K%29

BB%7

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.8M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.4M
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	164	140	21	4	0	0	11	58	11	14	4	150	265	179	444	29	250	35	7	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	164	133	33	7	0	0	18	39	11	14	4	248	383	301	683	53	344	24	11	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	DET	—	137	124	24	4	1	1	9	40	3	3	1	194	265	266	531	73	274	29	7	243	44	-9	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	DET	34%	224	202	40	7	1	2	15	63	5	5	1	198	270	272	543	74	278	28	7	256	54	-12	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	DET	48%	357	321	66	12	2	4	25	99	8	9	1	206	280	293	572	87	281	28	7	265	61	-16	+1	+0	+4	+10	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	DET	54%	456	409	86	16	2	6	33	124	11	11	2	210	287	303	590	93	282	27	7	271	66	-18	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.2
2030	22	MLB	DET	57%	526	471	100	18	3	8	38	142	12	13	2	212	288	314	602	102	284	27	7	275	69	-19	+2	+0	+6	+15	0.4
2031	23	MLB	DET	58%	574	514	110	20	3	9	42	155	13	14	2	214	290	317	607	103	284	27	7	277	70	-19	+2	+0	+6	+16	0.5
2032	24	MLB	DET	57%	605	542	117	21	3	10	44	163	14	15	3	216	292	321	613	105	285	27	7	279	71	-20	+2	+0	+6	+17	0.6
2033	25	MLB	DET	61%	623	557	120	22	3	10	46	167	15	15	3	215	293	320	612	104	285	27	7	280	72	-20	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.7
2034	26	MLB	DET	63%	631	565	122	22	3	11	46	169	15	16	3	216	292	324	616	108	285	27	7	280	72	-20	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.7
2035	27	MLB	DET	64%	632	565	122	22	3	11	47	170	15	16	3	216	293	324	617	108	285	27	7	280	73	-20	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.7
2036	28	MLB	DET	65%	627	560	120	22	3	10	47	169	15	15	3	214	293	318	610	104	285	27	7	279	72	-20	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.6
2037	29	MLB	DET	65%	618	552	117	21	3	10	47	168	14	14	2	212	290	315	606	103	284	27	8	278	71	-21	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.4
2038	30	MLB	DET	65%	607	542	114	20	3	9	46	167	14	14	2	210	289	308	597	98	283	28	8	275	69	-22	+2	-2	+7	+17	0.2
2027	19	MLB	DET	34%	77	70	13	2	0	1	5	22	2	2	0	186	260	257	517	71	274	29	6	235	38	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	DET	48%	173	155	32	6	1	2	12	48	4	4	1	206	281	297	577	90	276	28	7	244	45	-11	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.4
2029	21	MLB	DET	54%	247	221	45	8	1	3	18	67	6	6	1	204	282	290	571	86	278	27	7	250	50	-14	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.4
2030	22	MLB	DET	57%	298	267	56	10	2	4	22	81	7	7	1	210	287	307	594	97	279	27	7	254	52	-16	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.3
2031	23	MLB	DET	58%	330	295	62	11	2	5	24	89	8	8	1	210	287	312	599	102	280	27	7	256	54	-17	+1	+0	+4	+9	-0.3
2032	24	MLB	DET	57%	345	309	65	12	2	5	25	93	8	9	1	210	287	311	597	100	281	27	7	257	55	-17	+1	+0	+4	+10	-0.3
2033	25	MLB	DET	61%	378	338	72	13	2	6	28	101	9	9	2	213	291	317	607	104	281	27	7	258	56	-19	+1	+0	+4	+11	-0.3
2034	26	MLB	DET	63%	395	354	74	13	2	6	29	106	9	10	2	209	286	308	594	99	281	27	7	259	56	-20	+1	+0	+4	+11	-0.3
2035	27	MLB	DET	64%	401	359	75	13	2	6	30	108	9	10	2	209	286	306	593	97	281	27	7	259	56	-20	+1	+0	+4	+11	-0.3
2036	28	MLB	DET	65%	408	364	77	14	2	6	31	110	10	10	2	212	291	310	602	99	280	27	8	258	56	-21	+1	-0	+4	+12	-0.4
2037	29	MLB	DET	65%	402	359	75	13	2	6	31	109	9	9	2	209	288	306	595	97	280	27	8	256	54	-21	+1	-1	+4	+11	-0.5
2038	30	MLB	DET	65%	395	353	73	13	2	6	30	109	9	9	2	207	286	306	592	99	279	28	8	254	52	-21	+1	-1	+4	+11	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3849	3444	719	128	20	56	285	1043	90	93	17	209	286	306	593	98	280	27	7	255	54	-202	+12	-3	+41	+109	-4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	121	22	3	9	48	176	15	16	3	208	285	302	588	95	280	27	7	255	54	-34	+2	-0	+7	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	6781	6064	1279	231	33	101	496	1854	165	174	32	211	288	310	598	99	284	27	7	274	68	-247	+22	-4	+73	+192	3.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	123	22	3	10	48	178	16	17	3	212	290	312	601	100	285	27	7	274	68	-24	+2	-0	+7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	164	133	33	7	0	0	18	39	11	14	4	248	383	301	683	53	344	24	11	324	106	+1	+1	—	—	+5	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,985	61	96	214	287	315	+43	+24	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	10	16	214	287	315	+7.1	+4.0	0.4	pk7: 3
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhonger Ochoa (OGILVIE)	18	35	20	60	40	191/262/256	65	274	1	3	29%	7%	44	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Marco Soto 2022 · A	18	41	36→30	52→50	41	195/262/260	64	278	3	10	29%	6%	44	-2.1	202/257/256	54	271	2	8	25%	5%	40	-2.4	184/237/220	36	252	1	8	26%	5%	21	-0.9
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2007 · A	18	40	38→30	54→45	37	197/239/278	81	273	6	11	30%	4%	37	-2.6	217/280/275	58	274	3	9	20%	6%	55	-1.4	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	47	-1.9	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Jesus Castillo 2022 · A	19	41→44	34→30	51→55	42	194/257/244	49	275	2	16	28%	6%	37	-2.6	213/312/258	45	291	1	19	24%	11%	66	-0.6	202/327/232	30	283	1	24	24%	14%	65	-0.3
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2017 · A	18	37	35→40	51→60	40	176/238/231	55	271	2	17	34%	7%	25	-3.5	204/268/282	78	293	5	21	30%	8%	52	-1.6	192/263/269	77	285	7	32	32%	8%	44	-0.7
✕Olivber Moreno 2019 · A	18	40	36→40	52→50	41	192/248/253	61	272	3	13	29%	6%	36	-2.7	198/268/274	76	279	6	11	29%	7%	50	-1.7	203/284/283	80	254	7	13	21%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Manuel Falcon 2008 · A	18	43	35→30	49→50	41	200/260/254	54	286	2	8	29%	6%	41	-2.3	227/283/274	47	287	1	10	20%	6%	56	-1.3	240/298/272	32	295	0	11	17%	6%	60	-0.4
✕Alexander Benua 2022 · A	18	36	35→40	54→55	39	170/242/232	61	261	2	13	33%	6%	28	-3.2	190/257/267	77	288	5	16	34%	6%	44	-2.1	181/251/262	81	286	6	17	36%	6%	38	-0.9
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Alex Gonzalez 2009 · A	18	40	34→30	52→60	46	186/266/232	45	269	2	22	29%	8%	39	-2.5	202/266/250	48	293	1	18	29%	7%	42	-2.3	216/290/265	49	291	1	14	24%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕James Harris 2012 · A	18	35→45	34→40	50	38	171/232/224	53	252	2	14	31%	5%	22	-3.7	179/238/253	74	258	5	11	30%	6%	31	-3.0	225/287/315	90	321	7	14	30%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Henry Ramos 2023 · A	18	37	34→45	55	45	175/253/225	50	259	2	17	31%	8%	31	-3.0	179/240/248	69	278	4	16	35%	7%	30	-3.1	199/257/269	70	294	5	20	32%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	43	37→30	52→50	46	204/257/278	73	249	3	9	19%	6%	46	-2.0	230/283/304	74	270	3	15	15%	6%	63	-0.9	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Emmanuel Morel 2015 · A	18	42	36→30	51→55	41	199/261/262	63	278	3	9	28%	6%	43	-2.2	192/267/250	58	298	2	16	33%	9%	43	-2.2	173/256/219	46	280	0	22	34%	9%	29	-0.9
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	42	37→40	53→50	38	197/250/268	71	300	4	9	34%	6%	40	-2.4	215/278/290	75	306	3	10	28%	7%	58	-1.2	221/291/292	71	306	2	12	26%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→35	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	45	-2.1	201/265/282	81	295	5	9	31%	7%	50	-1.7	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Juan Zabala 2017 · A	18	41	36→40	49→50	40	193/261/259	66	274	3	10	29%	6%	43	-2.2	185/266/247	62	249	2	7	24%	8%	43	-2.2	204/284/284	80	266	7	17	24%	8%	56	-0.5