Meykel Baro

SS DSL Orioles Black

Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 172 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1846ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	16	ROKDSL Orioles O…	137	.190/.370/.324	3	12	32	—	.125/.274/.205
2026	17	ROKDSL Orioles B…	209	.262/.401/.439	6	16	48	—	.155/.272/.241
2027PROJMLE	18	MLBBAL	319	.188/.270/.273	4	7	56	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBBAL	55	.196/.280/.293	1	1	62	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBBAL	134	.201/.286/.306	2	3	67	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed79

ISO77

Chase%63

wOBA61

wRC+58

BB%53

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsRobert Gonzalez (age 18) · Tyler Rodriguez (age 18) · Vladi Gomez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 110 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .268 / .271

PA110

HR1

K%30

BB%9

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 27 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT27

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE67

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	16	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	137	105	20	1	2	3	25	45	5	12	1	190	370	324	694	133	293	33	18	325	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	209	164	43	7	2	6	33	58	5	16	6	262	401	439	840	177	349	28	16	367	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	137	112	14	1	1	2	18	54	5	12	1	125	274	205	479	80	190	39	13	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	209	174	27	4	1	3	23	71	5	16	6	155	272	241	514	86	215	34	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	137	112	14	1	1	2	18	54	5	12	1	125	274	205	479	80	211	39	13	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	137	105	20	1	2	3	25	45	5	12	1	190	370	324	694	133	293	33	18	325	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	209	174	27	4	1	3	23	71	5	16	6	155	272	241	514	86	226	34	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	209	164	43	7	2	6	33	58	5	16	6	262	401	439	840	177	349	28	16	367	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	137	113	14	1	1	2	18	54	5	12	1	124	274	204	478	80	190	39	13	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	209	179	27	4	1	3	23	71	5	16	6	151	272	235	507	84	215	34	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	137	113	14	1	1	2	18	54	5	12	1	124	274	204	478	80	190	39	13	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	209	179	27	4	1	3	23	71	5	16	6	151	272	235	507	84	215	34	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	319	284	53	8	2	4	28	95	4	7	1	188	270	273	544	86	264	30	9	251	56	-17	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	161	144	27	4	1	2	14	47	2	4	1	193	277	287	565	94	268	29	9	260	62	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	276	245	48	8	2	4	25	79	4	7	2	198	283	300	583	102	271	29	9	267	67	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
2030	21	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	393	349	71	11	3	7	35	111	6	10	3	202	287	310	597	108	273	28	9	273	71	-14	+1	+0	+4	+9	-0.0
2031	22	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	472	419	86	14	3	9	42	132	8	12	4	206	290	319	609	113	275	28	9	278	74	-15	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.2
2032	23	MLB MLE	BAL	58%	526	466	98	16	4	10	47	145	8	14	4	209	293	326	619	117	276	28	9	281	77	-15	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.4
2033	24	MLB MLE	BAL	61%	560	496	104	17	4	11	50	154	9	15	4	210	294	327	621	118	277	28	9	282	77	-15	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.4
2034	25	MLB MLE	BAL	63%	576	510	107	17	4	12	52	158	9	15	4	210	294	328	622	118	277	27	9	283	77	-15	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2035	26	MLB MLE	BAL	64%	590	523	110	18	4	12	53	162	9	15	4	210	294	327	621	118	277	27	9	282	77	-16	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.5
2036	27	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	590	523	110	18	4	12	53	163	9	15	4	209	293	325	618	116	276	28	9	281	76	-17	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.4
2037	28	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	582	516	107	17	4	11	52	162	9	14	4	207	291	320	611	113	275	28	9	279	75	-18	+1	-1	+6	+13	0.2
2038	29	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	565	501	102	16	4	10	51	159	8	12	4	205	288	314	603	110	274	28	9	275	72	-19	+1	-1	+6	+12	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	55	49	10	2	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	196	280	293	574	97	271	29	9	263	62	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	134	119	24	4	1	2	12	39	2	3	1	201	286	306	592	105	274	29	9	271	67	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	213	189	39	6	2	4	19	60	3	6	2	206	290	317	607	112	277	28	9	277	71	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2031	22	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	267	237	49	8	2	5	24	75	4	7	2	209	293	326	619	117	278	28	9	282	74	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2032	23	MLB CTX	BAL	58%	303	268	56	9	2	6	27	83	5	8	2	212	296	333	629	121	280	27	9	286	77	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2033	24	MLB CTX	BAL	61%	341	302	64	11	2	7	31	94	5	9	3	213	297	335	632	122	281	28	9	287	77	-9	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2034	25	MLB CTX	BAL	63%	361	320	69	11	3	8	32	99	6	9	3	213	297	335	632	122	281	27	9	287	77	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2035	26	MLB CTX	BAL	64%	376	333	72	12	3	8	34	103	6	10	3	213	297	335	632	122	281	27	9	287	77	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2036	27	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	384	340	73	12	3	8	35	106	6	10	3	212	296	332	628	120	280	28	9	285	76	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2037	28	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	378	335	71	11	3	8	34	105	6	9	3	210	294	328	622	117	279	28	9	283	75	-11	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.1
2038	29	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	367	326	67	11	2	7	33	103	5	8	3	208	291	322	613	113	278	28	9	279	72	-12	+0	-1	+4	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3179	2818	594	97	23	64	286	883	49	80	25	211	295	330	624	119	281	28	9	283	72	-95	+6	-1	+34	+69	1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	122	20	5	13	58	181	10	16	5	212	295	332	626	120	283	28	9	283	72	-19	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5747	5076	1029	164	40	106	525	1630	92	164	45	203	289	313	603	111	273	28	9	275	72	-166	+12	-2	+58	+117	1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	117	19	5	12	59	184	10	19	5	204	289	317	606	113	275	28	9	275	72	-20	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Orioles Black · 209 PAwOBA .369 → .239 (−130)K% 27.8% → 33.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.75%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	33.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.79%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	11.14%
HBP% /PA	2.39%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.69%
Singles /BIP	26.42%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.950	×1.008	17.19%
Doubles /BIP	6.60%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	3.79%
Triples /BIP	1.89%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	1.08%
Home runs /BIP	5.66%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	2.68%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .369 → .239; ISO .177 → .095; BABIP .349 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Orioles Orange · 137 PAwOBA .320 → .215 (−106)K% 32.8% → 39.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.85%	÷1.009	×1.220	—	—	39.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.25%	÷1.001	×0.700	—	×1.022	13.05%
HBP% /PA	3.65%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	2.61%
Singles /BIP	23.33%	÷0.989	×0.680	×0.980	×1.022	16.07%
Doubles /BIP	1.67%	÷1.010	×0.600	×0.980	×1.022	0.99%
Triples /BIP	3.33%	÷1.150	×0.600	×0.980	×1.022	1.74%
Home runs /BIP	5.00%	÷0.913	×0.470	—	×1.022	2.63%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 98, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .320 → .215; ISO .133 → .072; BABIP .293 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Ed Brinkman'61-'75 * career totals — 14 seasons, 6,640 PA	10.0	6,640	60	30	229*	284*	330*	+70	+51	6.5	9.2
/162	664	6	3	+7.0	+5.1	0.7	pk7: 12
#5Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.0	3,290	62	82	207	288	321	+35	+21	3.4	3.3
/162	664	12	17	+7.1	+4.2	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Enzo Hernandez'71-'78 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,612 PA	3.9	2,612	2	129	222*	281*	294*	+28	+4	1.6	1.9
/162	664	1	33	+7.0	+1.0	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Meykel Baro (OGILVIE)	18	22→27	37→42	57→62	67	186/268/271	85	264	1	3	30%	9%	56	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	36	38→40	51→60	46	169/274/247	78	269	5	6	36%	10%	54	-2.0	182/297/263	81	257	4	11	27%	12%	66	-1.1	156/296/225	69	205	4	20	22%	14%	57	-0.6
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Vladi Gomez 2024 · A	18	34	38→30	55→65	49	165/258/243	77	232	5	14	29%	10%	47	-2.6	177/267/241	64	248	3	28	27%	10%	49	-2.4	170/262/223	53	238	2	43	27%	10%	41	-1.0
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	37	39→45	48→55	47	181/266/266	84	243	7	9	27%	8%	54	-2.0	205/279/326	121	260	13	15	25%	8%	72	-0.7	200/278/339	139	242	16	20	24%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Keiberg Camacaro 2024 · A	17	37	38→40	49→60	41	178/262/262	84	282	5	12	36%	8%	52	-2.2	178/283/253	75	253	4	14	28%	10%	59	-1.7	159/287/230	71	209	5	23	24%	12%	55	-0.5
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	40	36→45	51→60	50	186/273/253	67	253	2	13	25%	9%	54	-2.0	202/271/287	85	305	6	23	33%	7%	60	-1.6	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Dashyll Tejeda 2024 · A	18	38	35→40	52→60	45	178/263/238	59	271	3	17	32%	9%	47	-2.6	195/280/265	70	269	4	38	26%	9%	59	-1.7	186/279/257	71	263	5	49	28%	10%	55	-0.7
✕Waner Luciano 2023 · A	18	36	41→40	51→50	49	180/274/280	100	235	8	10	26%	9%	61	-1.5	175/250/268	93	230	9	7	27%	7%	49	-2.4	169/251/257	88	219	9	13	26%	8%	46	-1.4
✕Rayne Doncon 2022 · A	18	41→38	39→45	53→40	44	198/266/282	84	282	6	11	30%	8%	57	-1.8	195/246/322	127	253	14	6	28%	6%	59	-1.7	185/240/312	128	238	14	4	29%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	42	41→45	52→50	43	206/268/305	99	267	8	9	25%	6%	63	-1.4	203/274/291	88	258	5	11	22%	6%	62	-1.4	210/267/312	102	264	5	11	22%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Michael Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	37→30	53→50	50	187/278/257	70	263	5	13	29%	10%	57	-1.8	187/280/252	65	272	3	12	29%	10%	56	-1.9	162/276/207	45	226	2	17	25%	12%	45	-1.0
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕John Gil 2024 · A	18	43→45	36→40	55→60	52	202/288/273	71	266	3	18	23%	10%	63	-1.3	209/283/287	78	275	6	30	24%	9%	64	-1.3	211/283/297	86	272	8	38	24%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Javier Mogollon 2024 · A	18	41	43→50	52→60	52	202/278/312	110	233	10	12	18%	8%	68	-1.0	189/274/314	125	302	13	19	38%	9%	68	-1.0	177/267/312	135	297	15	27	42%	9%	63	-0.6
✕Gilbert Gomez 2010 · A	18	40→39	37→40	55→50	53	190/284/262	72	256	4	23	25%	11%	60	-1.6	199/264/283	84	277	5	13	28%	7%	56	-1.9	205/267/293	88	287	6	10	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Alejandro Selen 2007 · A	18	38	35→50	51→30	44	178/255/240	62	263	2	11	30%	8%	44	-2.8	195/253/267	72	248	4	7	22%	6%	49	-2.4	220/256/360	140	315	15	1	34%	3%	68	-0.4

Meykel Baro

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps