Meykel Baro — OGILVIE

Meykel BaroSS DSL Orioles Black

Age 17 R/R 6'1" / 172 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION122 act + 81 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .258 / .273

PA81

HR1

K%34

BB%9

BABIP271

ISO95

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$2M	+$1.0M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.6M
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	137	115	15	1	1	3	15	64	5	12	1	130	259	235	494	104	245	47	11	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	137	105	20	1	2	3	25	45	5	12	1	190	370	324	694	133	293	33	18	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	17	ROK	BAL	—	122	105	16	2	1	2	10	56	2	7	3	152	239	248	487	95	275	46	8	225	30	-10	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.5
YTD	17	ROK	BAL	—	122	99	24	4	2	3	16	39	2	7	3	242	359	414	773	172	344	32	13	335	114	+2	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.7
ROS	17	ROK	BAL	0%	81	73	13	2	1	1	7	28	1	2	1	177	258	273	531	95	265	34	9	244	45	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
ROS	17	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		269	—	—	237	39	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	17	ROK	BAL	—	122	106	16	2	1	2	10	56	2	7	3	151	239	245	485	94	269	46	8	225	30	-10	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.5
TOT	17	ROK	BAL	—	203	178	29	4	2	3	17	84	3	9	4	163	247	258	505	95	273	41	8	233	36	-15	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	18	MLB	BAL	34%	246	220	41	7	2	4	21	83	3	6	1	186	266	291	557	105	271	34	9	254	53	-13	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
2028	19	MLB	BAL	48%	377	337	65	11	3	7	32	123	5	9	2	193	273	306	578	113	275	33	8	264	60	-17	+1	+0	+4	+11	-0.1
2029	20	MLB	BAL	54%	476	425	85	14	4	10	41	152	7	12	3	200	281	322	604	122	278	32	9	271	66	-18	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.1
2030	21	MLB	BAL	57%	551	489	98	16	4	12	48	174	9	14	4	200	284	323	607	123	279	32	9	276	69	-19	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.4
2031	22	MLB	BAL	58%	596	530	108	17	5	14	52	187	9	15	4	204	286	334	620	130	280	31	9	278	71	-20	+1	+0	+6	+17	0.5
2032	23	MLB	BAL	58%	614	546	111	18	5	14	53	192	10	15	4	203	286	332	617	128	280	31	9	280	72	-19	+1	+0	+7	+17	0.6
2033	24	MLB	BAL	57%	626	556	114	18	5	15	55	195	10	16	4	205	288	336	625	131	281	31	9	281	73	-19	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.7
2034	25	MLB	BAL	61%	634	563	116	19	5	15	56	197	10	16	4	206	289	337	627	131	281	31	9	282	74	-19	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.8
2035	26	MLB	BAL	63%	639	568	116	19	5	15	56	199	10	16	4	204	287	335	622	130	281	31	9	282	74	-19	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.8
2036	27	MLB	BAL	64%	637	565	116	19	5	15	57	199	10	16	4	205	290	336	626	131	281	31	9	282	74	-19	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.8
2037	28	MLB	BAL	65%	631	559	114	18	5	15	57	198	10	15	4	204	289	335	624	131	280	31	9	281	73	-19	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.6
2038	29	MLB	BAL	65%	621	550	110	18	4	14	56	196	10	15	4	200	286	324	609	124	280	32	9	279	72	-20	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.5
2039	30	MLB	BAL	65%	609	539	107	17	4	14	55	194	10	14	4	199	285	323	608	124	279	32	9	277	70	-21	+1	-2	+7	+17	0.2
2027	18	MLB	BAL	34%	83	75	15	2	1	2	7	28	1	2	1	200	277	333	610	133	274	34	8	248	48	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	19	MLB	BAL	48%	182	162	31	5	1	4	15	60	3	4	1	191	272	309	581	117	279	33	8	257	55	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2029	20	MLB	BAL	54%	258	230	47	8	2	6	22	82	4	6	2	204	285	335	620	130	281	32	9	264	60	-12	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2030	21	MLB	BAL	57%	312	277	56	9	2	7	27	98	5	8	2	202	285	325	610	123	283	31	9	268	63	-13	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.0
2031	22	MLB	BAL	58%	343	305	63	10	3	8	30	108	5	9	2	207	288	338	626	131	284	31	9	270	65	-14	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2032	23	MLB	BAL	58%	356	316	66	11	3	9	31	111	6	9	2	209	292	348	640	139	284	31	9	272	66	-14	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2033	24	MLB	BAL	57%	358	318	67	11	3	9	31	112	6	9	2	211	293	349	642	138	285	31	9	273	67	-13	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2034	25	MLB	BAL	61%	385	342	71	12	3	9	34	120	6	10	2	208	291	339	630	132	285	31	9	274	68	-14	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.2
2035	26	MLB	BAL	63%	400	356	74	12	3	10	35	125	6	10	3	208	290	343	632	135	285	31	9	274	68	-15	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.2
2036	27	MLB	BAL	64%	405	359	74	12	3	10	36	126	7	10	3	206	291	340	631	134	285	31	9	274	68	-15	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.2
2037	28	MLB	BAL	65%	410	363	75	12	3	10	37	128	7	10	3	207	292	339	631	132	284	31	9	273	67	-15	+1	-0	+4	+12	0.1
2038	29	MLB	BAL	65%	404	358	74	12	3	10	37	127	6	10	2	207	292	341	633	134	284	31	9	271	66	-16	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.1
2039	30	MLB	BAL	65%	396	351	72	12	3	9	36	126	6	9	2	205	290	333	623	128	283	32	9	269	64	-16	+1	-1	+4	+11	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4292	3813	785	128	33	103	378	1351	68	106	27	206	289	338	627	132	286	31	9	270	65	-169	+10	-3	+46	+122	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	119	19	5	16	57	205	10	16	4	206	288	340	628	133	287	32	9	270	65	-26	+2	-0	+7	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	7475	6635	1329	214	58	168	661	2381	119	193	48	200	284	326	610	126	282	32	9	276	69	-258	+19	-4	+80	+212	5.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	116	19	5	15	57	207	10	17	4	201	284	329	613	128	282	32	9	276	69	-22	+2	-0	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	137	105	20	1	2	3	25	45	5	12	1	190	370	324	694	133	293	33	18	325	107	+1	+2	—	—	+4	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,426	100	109	202	282	328	+47	+24	3.4	3.2
	/162	664	15	16	202	282	328	+7.1	+3.6	0.5	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Meykel Baro (OGILVIE)	17	20→25	40→45	56→61	60	163/247/258	95	273	3	9	41%	8%	36	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	50	-1.8	193/299/287	94	289	6	11	32%	11%	68	-0.5	180/305/264	84	250	5	20	26%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	39	39→45	53→45	38	185/246/275	89	296	6	8	38%	7%	41	-2.3	197/260/287	90	318	5	8	36%	7%	50	-1.8	215/289/325	110	304	4	8	28%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→45	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	196/245/301	105	305	10	7	37%	5%	46	-2.0	224/273/340	115	327	12	2	33%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	41→37	45	51→55	41	205/265/332	127	282	12	11	31%	6%	64	-0.8	178/230/270	92	318	9	13	44%	6%	33	-2.9	192/243/304	112	295	12	19	37%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Denzer Guzman 2022 · A	18	39→36	42→45	47→50	46	192/253/301	109	237	9	13	23%	7%	50	-1.7	186/243/279	93	277	8	8	33%	7%	40	-2.4	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Hector Garcia 2008 · A	18	38	40→45	49→40	41	188/237/274	86	249	7	6	27%	6%	36	-2.7	212/263/289	77	269	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	222/269/309	87	270	7	1	20%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Neyfy Castillo 2019 · A	18	37→29	36→50	54→55	39	177/242/241	64	278	4	16	36%	6%	30	-3.1	181/246/275	94	298	8	13	39%	7%	41	-2.3	170/240/302	132	292	17	16	45%	7%	43	-1.2
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Kelvin Hidalgo 2023 · A	18	42→39	40→45	50→55	44	204/266/298	94	269	6	13	25%	6%	55	-1.4	206/263/306	100	292	9	17	31%	6%	56	-1.3	196/248/285	89	291	8	23	34%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Simon Juan 2023 · A	18	38	38→45	56→50	38	183/245/263	80	272	5	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	188/242/284	96	295	9	9	37%	6%	41	-2.3	186/239/293	108	289	12	10	38%	6%	40	-1.0
✕Athanael Duarte 2023 · A	18	39	45→40	53→45	44	200/265/322	122	263	12	14	28%	7%	61	-1.0	204/268/306	102	270	9	10	27%	7%	58	-1.2	186/255/279	93	257	8	7	29%	7%	44	-0.7
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2017 · A	18	37	35→40	51→60	40	176/238/231	55	271	2	17	34%	7%	25	-3.5	204/268/282	78	293	5	21	30%	8%	52	-1.6	192/263/269	77	285	7	32	32%	8%	44	-0.7
✕Amador Arias 2019 · A	18	34	39→45	48→50	45	170/242/253	83	225	7	13	27%	7%	34	-2.8	186/256/285	99	277	9	12	34%	7%	48	-1.9	118/203/228	110	217	14	11	50%	8%	10	-1.7
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2007 · A	18	40	38→30	54→45	37	197/239/278	81	273	6	11	30%	4%	37	-2.6	217/280/275	58	274	3	9	20%	6%	55	-1.4	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	39→49	37→45	55→50	55	183/284/257	74	242	4	15	24%	11%	54	-1.4	194/267/263	69	267	3	9	26%	8%	47	-1.9	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	41→34	38→45	50	40	197/258/282	85	286	5	8	31%	6%	48	-1.9	226/275/318	92	287	6	14	22%	5%	63	-0.8	239/283/340	101	289	8	18	19%	4%	70	-0.1
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→35	45→55	44→45	44	197/265/314	117	266	13	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	203/264/335	132	259	15	9	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/269/389	177	241	26	8	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	38	38→40	48→40	45	181/270/258	78	284	6	4	36%	9%	48	-1.9	187/273/272	85	333	6	4	41%	9%	53	-1.5	167/258/250	82	313	7	3	44%	9%	39	-0.7