Victor Castellano

P DSL Colorado

Age 19 LHP 6'0" / 156 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKDSL Colorado	12	19	8.20	4.71	17.3%	17.3%	—	K 11.8% · BB 21.7% · FIP 5.52
2026	18	ROKDSL Colorado	15	23	6.26	5.01	18.6%	10.2%	—	K 12.7% · BB 12.7% · FIP 6.24
2027PROJ	19	MLB—	12	13	5.31	5.31	19.0%	14.0%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLB—	10	11	5.07	4.98	20.1%	12.4%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAnfernny Reyes (age 19) · Denny Bentley (age 20) · Boone Logan (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118126vR 134

ERA5.31

FIP5.31

K%19.0%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%5.0%

Proj IP13

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	12	0	19	98	17	17	1	0%	1.6	11.8%	21.7%	-9.9%	1.2%	8.20	5.52	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	12	0	19	98	17	17	1	0%	1.6	11.8%	21.7%	-9.9%	1.2%	8.20	5.52	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	12	0	19	98	17	17	1	0%	1.6	17.3%	17.3%	0.0%	1.0%	8.20	4.71	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	15	0	23	118	22	12	4	0%	1.5	12.7%	12.7%	-0.0%	4.7%	6.26	6.24	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	15	0	23	118	22	12	4	0%	1.5	12.7%	12.7%	-0.0%	4.7%	6.26	6.24	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	15	0	23	118	22	12	4	0%	1.5	18.6%	10.2%	8.5%	3.4%	6.26	5.01	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	—	12	0	13	55	10	8	2	0%	1.1	19.0%	14.0%	5.0%	3.0%	5.31	5.31	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	21	0	22	92	18	11	3	0%	1.0	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	3.0%	5.07	4.98	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	10	0	11	46	9	6	1	0%	1.1	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	3.0%	5.07	4.98	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	45	9	6	1	0%	1.1	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	3.0%	5.07	4.60	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	169	112	19	0%	1.1	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	3.0%	5.07	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		27	0	42	216	27	36	7	0%	1.5	12.3%	16.8%	-4.5%	3.1%	7.13	5.92	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		130	0	200	1037	127	174	33	0%	1.5	12.3%	16.8%	-4.5%	3.1%	7.13	5.92	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Victor Castellano (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.31	19.0%	14.0%	3.0%	—	4.98	20.1%	7.7%	22	-0.33	—	—	—
Anfernny Reyes L 2023 · 4.98 FIP	19	SU	4.98	21.6%	13.6%	3.6%	.282	4.34	21.0%	1.8%	99	-0.64	2.89	175	83
Denny Bentley L 2018 · 4.85 FIP	20	SU	4.85	19.6%	10.3%	3.8%	.318	2.88	25.4%	10.3%	58	-1.97	2.88	175	83
Boone Logan L 2006 · 4.69 FIP	21	SU	4.69	16.1%	14.0%	2.1%	.302	4.14	17.2%	10.5%	110	-0.55	2.58	442	82
Zach Matson L 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	14.4%	10.9%	2.0%	.319	4.72	25.2%	10.0%	68	+0.33	4.39	187	81
Fabian Blanco L 2017 · 4.28 FIP	19	SU	4.28	18.8%	9.9%	2.8%	.368	4.05	16.9%	1.3%	74	-0.23	3.57	215	80
Vance Tatum L 2016 · 5.04 FIP	21	SU	5.04	17.2%	9.7%	3.9%	.319	5.06	15.6%	2.3%	85	+0.02	4.90	116	80
CD Pelham L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	20	SU	4.77	18.8%	18.7%	1.6%	.286	4.00	20.4%	7.8%	109	-0.77	3.39	288	79
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	79
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	79
Harold Melenge L 2021 · 4.55 FIP	19	SU	4.55	17.3%	12.7%	2.4%	.297	3.44	16.4%	10.2%	89	-1.11	2.69	238	79
Drew Harrington L 2016 · 4.18 FIP	21	SU	4.18	15.7%	9.6%	2.1%	.295	4.14	12.5%	5.4%	175	-0.04	3.17	190	79
Peter Bonilla L 2024 · 4.63 FIP	19	SU	4.63	20.9%	18.3%	1.8%	.250	6.24	19.5%	-5.4%	51	+1.61	4.27	134	79
Ignacio Briceno L 2021 · 5.16 FIP	20	SU	5.16	12.7%	12.9%	2.7%	.230	3.33	17.0%	7.2%	82	-1.83	2.39	156	79
Rio Britton L 2024 · 4.28 FIP	21	SU	4.28	19.2%	13.5%	2.0%	.354	5.03	22.4%	7.1%	98	+0.75	4.28	166	77
Esmerlin Vinicio L 2022 · 4.71 FIP	19	SW	4.71	17.6%	15.7%	2.0%	.365	4.87	17.2%	0.5%	207	+0.16	3.73	383	76
Daniel Juarez L 2019 · 4.45 FIP	18	SU	4.45	24.9%	14.7%	2.9%	.389	4.24	26.5%	9.0%	68	-0.21	3.68	221	76
Will Mabrey L 2023 · 4.27 FIP	22	SU	4.27	18.5%	12.6%	2.1%	.256	4.27	19.2%	6.6%	62	+0.00	4.14	128	76
Felix Carvallo L 2015 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	17.1%	9.8%	3.0%	.323	4.60	17.7%	4.7%	67	+0.04	4.56	132	76
Jake Higginbotham L 2018 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	17.2%	10.6%	3.9%	.256	4.77	18.8%	6.4%	59	-0.38	3.28	335	75
Izaak Martinez L 2024 · 6.26 FIP	22	SU	6.26	21.5%	15.0%	5.6%	.300	4.03	20.0%	10.6%	125	-2.23	3.77	138	74