Luis Hernandez

C DSL Phillies White

Age 19 L/R 5'9" / 183 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP65ETA2028MLB%20%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Phillies …	131	.102/.260/.120	0	0	-24	—	.061/.183/.070
2027PROJ20% MLB	19	MLB—	13	.191/.268/.259	0	0	52	-0.0
2028PROJ53% MLB	20	MLB—	65	.196/.275/.274	1	1	58	-0.1
2029PROJ60% MLB	21	MLB—	164	.201/.279/.288	2	3	63	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$2M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Chase%76

BB%56

Whiff%13

Z-Con%11

K%9

ISO5

CompsManuel Pena (age 19) · Victor Arias (age 19) · Joe Rizzo (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+52

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .268 / .259

PA13

HR0

K%31

BB%8

BABIP292

ISO33

MLB%20%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	131	108	11	2	0	0	19	44	4	0	0	102	260	120	380	19	172	34	15	205	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	131	114	7	1	0	0	13	57	4	0	0	61	183	70	253	9	119	44	10	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	131	114	7	1	0	0	13	57	4	0	0	61	183	70	253	9	123	44	10	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	131	108	11	2	0	0	19	44	4	0	0	102	260	120	380	19	172	34	15	205	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	131	113	7	1	0	0	13	57	4	0	0	62	183	71	254	9	119	44	10	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	131	113	7	1	0	0	13	57	4	0	0	62	183	71	254	9	119	44	10	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	20%	241	216	42	7	2	2	20	81	3	3	1	191	268	259	527	68	292	34	8	245	52	-14	+0	-0	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	19	MLB CTX	—	20%	13	12	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	191	268	259	527	68	292	31	8	245	52	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	53%	122	109	21	3	1	1	10	40	2	2	1	196	275	274	549	78	294	33	8	254	58	-6	+0	-0	+2	+3	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	60%	272	244	49	8	2	3	22	88	4	4	2	201	279	288	568	87	295	32	8	261	63	-12	+0	-0	+5	+6	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	62%	386	345	71	12	2	6	32	122	6	6	3	205	284	300	584	96	296	32	8	267	67	-15	+0	-1	+7	+8	-0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	62%	464	415	87	14	3	8	39	145	7	7	4	208	287	311	598	103	296	31	8	273	71	-16	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	61%	515	459	97	16	3	9	43	158	8	8	4	212	290	321	611	109	297	31	8	278	74	-16	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	61%	520	463	99	16	3	10	44	160	8	8	4	213	291	324	615	111	297	31	8	279	75	-15	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	61%	520	463	98	16	3	10	44	160	8	8	4	213	291	326	618	114	297	31	8	280	76	-15	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	60%	520	464	98	16	3	10	44	160	7	8	4	212	290	324	614	112	297	31	8	279	75	-16	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	59%	520	464	98	16	3	10	44	161	7	7	5	210	288	319	607	109	296	31	8	276	73	-17	-1	-1	+9	+11	0.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	58%	520	465	97	16	3	9	43	163	7	7	5	208	285	313	598	105	294	31	8	272	71	-18	-1	-2	+9	+11	-0.0
2038	30	MLB MLE	—	61%	520	465	96	15	3	9	43	165	7	6	6	205	282	305	586	100	292	32	8	268	67	-20	-1	-3	+9	+11	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	53%	65	59	11	2	0	1	5	21	1	1	0	196	275	274	549	78	294	32	8	254	58	-3	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	60%	164	146	30	5	1	2	14	53	3	3	1	201	279	288	568	87	295	32	9	261	63	-7	+0	-0	+3	+4	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	62%	239	213	43	7	1	3	20	76	4	4	2	205	284	300	584	96	296	32	8	267	67	-9	+0	-0	+4	+5	-0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	62%	289	259	54	9	2	5	24	90	4	5	2	208	287	311	598	103	296	31	8	273	71	-10	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	61%	316	282	60	10	2	6	26	97	5	5	2	212	290	321	611	109	297	31	8	278	74	-10	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	61%	317	282	60	10	2	6	27	97	5	5	3	213	291	324	615	111	297	31	9	279	75	-9	-0	-0	+6	+7	0.3
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	61%	317	282	60	10	2	6	27	97	5	5	3	213	291	326	618	114	297	31	9	280	76	-9	-0	-0	+6	+7	0.3
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	60%	311	278	59	10	2	6	26	96	4	5	3	212	290	324	614	112	297	31	8	279	75	-9	-0	-0	+6	+7	0.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	59%	308	275	59	10	2	6	26	96	4	4	3	210	288	319	607	109	296	31	8	276	73	-10	-0	-1	+6	+7	0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	58%	301	269	56	9	2	5	25	94	4	4	3	208	285	313	598	105	294	31	8	272	71	-11	-0	-1	+5	+7	-0.0
2038	30	MLB CTX	—	61%	318	285	58	9	2	5	26	101	4	4	4	205	282	305	586	100	292	32	8	268	67	-12	-1	-2	+6	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2945	2630	550	91	18	51	246	918	43	45	26	209	287	316	603	106	297	31	8	274	69	-100	-1	-7	+53	+64	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	121	20	4	11	54	203	9	10	6	209	286	314	600	105	297	31	8	274	69	-22	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5077	4531	929	151	29	85	426	1602	76	72	42	205	284	307	592	102	294	32	8	270	69	-170	-2	-11	+88	+107	1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	119	19	4	11	55	205	10	9	5	205	285	309	594	103	294	32	8	270	69	-22	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#2Gerald Lairdlast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,690 PA	4.1	2,690	37	21	244	305	354	+48	-40	3.7	5.4
/162	664	9	5	+11.9	-9.8	0.9	pk7: 7
#3Lou Criger'01-'12 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,522 PA	3.8	2,522	6	31	203*	288*	330*	+44	-1	3.8	4.2
/162	664	2	8	+11.6	-0.3	1.0	pk7: 5
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.5	2,958	51	44	210	284	315	+53	-14	3.4	3.2
/162	664	11	10	+11.9	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 3
#6Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
/162	664	1	5	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Hernandez (OGILVIE)	19	55	55	45	—	189/266/256	68	292	0	1	34%	8%	52	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Manuel Pena 2023 · A	19	41→50	38→50	47→50	42	198/255/277	79	286	6	10	32%	7%	51	-2.3	213/257/304	91	311	6	8	32%	5%	57	-1.8	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Victor Arias 2023 · A	19	43→50	37→45	49→50	47	199/284/273	74	302	3	11	32%	10%	62	-1.4	217/300/325	108	317	8	16	31%	9%	80	-0.2	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Joe Rizzo 2017 · A	19	46→50	38→50	47→40	41	217/267/297	80	311	6	5	31%	6%	59	-1.6	220/276/303	83	315	7	3	30%	7%	65	-1.2	235/283/369	133	291	16	2	25%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Yasmil Bucce 2024 · A	19	41	38→55	49→40	44	194/265/274	79	279	5	4	30%	8%	55	-2.0	199/299/306	107	308	10	4	35%	11%	76	-0.4	192/301/328	137	300	16	2	37%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Gavin Conticello 2022 · A	19	47→50	37→45	48→50	38	216/279/292	76	320	4	8	32%	5%	64	-1.3	193/258/300	107	297	9	8	36%	7%	58	-1.7	230/290/358	128	308	12	7	28%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Drew Ward 2014 · A	19	47→48	37→50	40→30	43	216/288/290	74	323	3	5	32%	8%	67	-1.1	217/275/319	102	335	9	3	35%	6%	68	-1.0	206/273/357	151	318	18	1	39%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Ricardo Méndez 2019 · A	19	44	37→45	49→50	37	206/257/280	75	320	4	9	35%	6%	52	-2.2	208/263/290	82	327	4	11	35%	6%	57	-1.8	212/252/306	95	305	6	14	31%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Cam Collier 2024 · A	19	46→44	40→45	47→40	46	215/292/308	93	309	8	5	31%	9%	72	-0.7	214/289/325	111	309	11	3	32%	9%	76	-0.4	204/279/320	116	291	12	1	32%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Ryan Mount 2006 · A	19	42	38→50	50	42	194/263/278	84	305	5	8	35%	8%	55	-2.0	216/268/330	114	295	12	11	29%	6%	68	-1.0	242/286/380	138	297	15	8	23%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Tzu-Wei Lin 2014 · A	20	45→51	36→45	48→50	43	209/269/278	70	308	3	8	31%	7%	56	-1.9	216/267/279	63	273	2	11	20%	7%	55	-1.9	241/294/348	107	314	8	10	24%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2019 · A	19	43→53	36→45	42→50	41	197/260/261	65	310	3	8	35%	8%	49	-2.4	207/260/277	70	287	5	12	28%	6%	53	-2.1	242/295/347	105	295	9	9	20%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Ronny Hernandez 2024 · A	19	44→53	39→40	49→30	46	211/281/302	91	288	6	4	28%	8%	67	-1.1	227/301/310	83	296	7	3	24%	9%	76	-0.4	229/306/323	94	287	11	1	22%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Alberto Mineo 2013 · A	19	42→49	36→40	47→30	44	196/265/260	64	293	3	7	32%	8%	51	-2.2	193/261/260	67	300	3	4	34%	8%	49	-2.4	226/289/298	72	309	3	1	26%	7%	66	-0.5
✕Colson Montgomery 2022 · A	20	47→48	36→55	44→45	43	216/286/287	71	312	3	5	30%	7%	65	-1.2	223/309/344	121	305	12	4	29%	9%	88	+0.4	207/301/335	128	287	13	4	30%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jorge Burgos 2022 · A	19	50→53	37→50	51→45	44	230/293/317	87	325	3	9	28%	7%	74	-0.5	224/290/322	98	312	8	5	29%	8%	74	-0.5	207/275/311	104	285	11	3	30%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Raynel Delgado 2019 · A	19	50→56	36→40	50→60	45	226/293/294	68	335	3	11	31%	9%	69	-0.9	208/262/282	74	311	4	10	32%	6%	55	-2.0	246/311/338	92	338	7	32	27%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Wilson Rodriguez 2024 · A	19	44	41→50	45→55	42	205/277/306	101	323	8	6	36%	8%	67	-1.1	195/270/290	95	292	8	11	33%	9%	61	-1.5	196/275/315	119	252	11	19	25%	9%	67	-0.5
✕Rio Ruiz 2013 · A	19	43→53	38→50	52→40	42	205/261/298	93	294	4	6	30%	7%	58	-1.7	232/297/350	118	303	9	5	24%	9%	83	+0.1	246/316/351	105	316	8	2	23%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Antonis Macias 2024 · A	19	44→51	34→45	45	44	201/282/257	56	290	2	12	29%	8%	58	-1.7	223/308/294	71	307	3	7	26%	10%	76	-0.4	228/313/308	80	299	6	5	23%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Grant McCray 2021 · A	20	45→49	36→50	46→55	42	206/275/272	66	323	3	14	35%	8%	58	-1.7	208/274/322	114	360	10	20	41%	8%	69	-0.9	203/276/346	142	327	14	26	39%	8%	72	-0.6

Luis Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps